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BAYTEX ENERGY CORP (BTE.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:BTE - CA07317Q1054 - Common Stock

3.44 CAD
-0.06 (-1.71%)
Last: 9/18/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to BTE. BTE was compared to 216 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While BTE belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. BTE has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BTE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year BTE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years BTE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years BTE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
BTE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBTE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.87%, BTE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.01%, BTE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.43% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of BTE (6.34%) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BTE is in line with the industry average of 6.93%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.87%
ROE 9.01%
ROIC 6.34%
ROA(3y)5.56%
ROA(5y)-4.3%
ROE(3y)9.27%
ROE(5y)-64.21%
ROIC(3y)8.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
BTE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBTE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

BTE's Profit Margin of 11.64% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTE outperforms 73.15% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BTE has declined.
BTE's Operating Margin of 21.97% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTE outperforms 74.07% of its industry peers.
BTE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of BTE (80.34%) is better than 93.98% of its industry peers.
BTE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.97%
PM (TTM) 11.64%
GM 80.34%
OM growth 3Y-12.27%
OM growth 5Y17.02%
PM growth 3Y-59.31%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y1.87%
BTE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBTE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 -200 -300

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BTE is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BTE has less shares outstanding
BTE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BTE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
BTE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingBTE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
BTE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBTE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.55, we must say that BTE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.55, BTE is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.61% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BTE is 4.09, which is a neutral value as it means it would take BTE, 4.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
BTE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.09. This is amongst the best in the industry. BTE outperforms 82.87% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that BTE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.52, BTE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 4.09
Altman-Z 0.55
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC7.97%
BTE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBTE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

BTE has a Current Ratio of 0.68. This is a bad value and indicates that BTE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BTE's Current ratio of 0.68 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BTE is outperformed by 65.74% of its industry peers.
BTE has a Quick Ratio of 0.68. This is a bad value and indicates that BTE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.68, BTE is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.68
Quick Ratio 0.68
BTE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBTE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 195.92% over the past year.
The earnings per share for BTE have been decreasing by -32.67% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, BTE shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.76% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, BTE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 17.51% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)195.92%
EPS 3Y-32.67%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.76%
Revenue growth 3Y29.61%
Revenue growth 5Y17.51%
Sales Q2Q%-21.76%

3.2 Future

BTE is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -25.99% yearly.
BTE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.69% yearly.
EPS Next Y-10.61%
EPS Next 2Y-26.92%
EPS Next 3Y-25.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.41%
Revenue Next 2Y1.05%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.3%
Revenue Next 5Y1.69%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BTE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBTE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
BTE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBTE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2 -4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BTE is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.32.
82.87% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BTE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
BTE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.41.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.21, BTE is valued on the expensive side.
BTE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BTE to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.88), we can say BTE is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.32
Fwd PE 22.21
BTE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBTE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BTE is valued cheaper than 94.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BTE indicates a rather cheap valuation: BTE is cheaper than 96.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.09
EV/EBITDA 2.35
BTE.CA Per share dataBTE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BTE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
BTE's earnings are expected to decrease with -25.99% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-26.92%
EPS Next 3Y-25.99%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BTE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.74%.
BTE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.90.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, BTE has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.74%

5.2 History

The dividend of BTE decreases each year by -45.77%.
BTE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of BTE decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-45.77%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
BTE.CA Yearly Dividends per shareBTE.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

19.01% of the earnings are spent on dividend by BTE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of BTE has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP19.01%
EPS Next 2Y-26.92%
EPS Next 3Y-25.99%
BTE.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBTE.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B
BTE.CA Dividend Payout.BTE.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BTE.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

BAYTEX ENERGY CORP

TSX:BTE (9/18/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

3.44

-0.06 (-1.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)07-31 2025-07-31/amc
Earnings (Next)10-30 2025-10-30
Inst Owners32.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.64B
Analysts71.43
Price Target4.08 (18.6%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.74%
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)-45.77%
DP19.01%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date09-15 2025-09-15 (0.0225)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)268.78%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.51%
Max EPS beat(2)560.07%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)89.56%
Min EPS beat(4)-151.21%
Max EPS beat(4)560.07%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-48.31%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)24.13%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)58.69%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.99%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.99%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.43%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-7.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-128.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.14%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-20.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.41%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.32
Fwd PE 22.21
P/S 0.84
P/FCF 5.09
P/OCF 1.46
P/B 0.65
P/tB 0.65
EV/EBITDA 2.35
EPS(TTM)0.47
EY13.66%
EPS(NY)0.15
Fwd EY4.5%
FCF(TTM)0.68
FCFY19.66%
OCF(TTM)2.35
OCFY68.28%
SpS4.11
BVpS5.32
TBVpS5.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.87%
ROE 9.01%
ROCE 10%
ROIC 6.34%
ROICexc 6.34%
ROICexgc 6.34%
OM 21.97%
PM (TTM) 11.64%
GM 80.34%
FCFM 16.44%
ROA(3y)5.56%
ROA(5y)-4.3%
ROE(3y)9.27%
ROE(5y)-64.21%
ROIC(3y)8.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.44%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.44%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.67%
ROICexcg growth 5Y31.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y31.22%
OM growth 3Y-12.27%
OM growth 5Y17.02%
PM growth 3Y-59.31%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y1.87%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 4.09
Debt/EBITDA 1.04
Cap/Depr 96.55%
Cap/Sales 40.64%
Interest Coverage 3.74
Cash Conversion 89.1%
Profit Quality 141.26%
Current Ratio 0.68
Quick Ratio 0.68
Altman-Z 0.55
F-Score7
WACC7.97%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)94.96%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)33.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)31.28%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)195.92%
EPS 3Y-32.67%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.85%
EPS Next Y-10.61%
EPS Next 2Y-26.92%
EPS Next 3Y-25.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.76%
Revenue growth 3Y29.61%
Revenue growth 5Y17.51%
Sales Q2Q%-21.76%
Revenue Next Year5.41%
Revenue Next 2Y1.05%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.3%
Revenue Next 5Y1.69%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.99%
EBIT growth 3Y13.71%
EBIT growth 5Y37.51%
EBIT Next Year83.55%
EBIT Next 3Y11.46%
EBIT Next 5Y10.2%
FCF growth 1Y66.22%
FCF growth 3Y14.4%
FCF growth 5Y16.36%
OCF growth 1Y82.07%
OCF growth 3Y38.88%
OCF growth 5Y17.98%