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BAYTEX ENERGY CORP (BTE.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:BTE - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA07317Q1054 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

2.44  -0.08 (-3.17%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall BTE gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated BTE against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. BTE has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. BTE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BTE was profitable.
BTE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years BTE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years BTE had a positive operating cash flow.
BTE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBTE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of BTE (4.09%) is better than 75.71% of its industry peers.
BTE has a Return On Equity of 7.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: BTE outperforms 60.95% of its industry peers.
BTE's Return On Invested Capital of 7.36% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTE outperforms 75.71% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BTE is in line with the industry average of 7.31%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.09%
ROE 7.62%
ROIC 7.36%
ROA(3y)5.56%
ROA(5y)-4.3%
ROE(3y)9.27%
ROE(5y)-64.21%
ROIC(3y)8.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
BTE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBTE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of BTE (9.57%) is better than 62.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BTE has declined.
BTE has a Operating Margin of 24.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: BTE outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
BTE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of BTE (81.22%) is better than 94.76% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BTE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.87%
PM (TTM) 9.57%
GM 81.22%
OM growth 3Y-12.27%
OM growth 5Y17.02%
PM growth 3Y-59.31%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y1.87%
BTE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBTE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 -200 -300

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BTE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for BTE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
BTE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BTE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
BTE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingBTE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
BTE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBTE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

BTE has an Altman-Z score of 0.45. This is a bad value and indicates that BTE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BTE has a Altman-Z score of 0.45. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BTE outperforms 40.95% of its industry peers.
BTE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.21. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as BTE would need 3.21 years to pay back of all of its debts.
BTE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.21. This is amongst the best in the industry. BTE outperforms 80.48% of its industry peers.
BTE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52. This is a neutral value indicating BTE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
BTE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.52. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BTE outperforms 46.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.21
Altman-Z 0.45
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC7.83%
BTE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBTE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.63 indicates that BTE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.63, BTE is doing worse than 71.90% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that BTE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of BTE (0.63) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.63
BTE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBTE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 253.85% over the past year.
BTE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -32.67% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 10.55% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 17.51% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)253.85%
EPS 3Y-32.67%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%550%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.55%
Revenue growth 3Y29.61%
Revenue growth 5Y17.51%
Sales Q2Q%1.52%

3.2 Future

BTE is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -32.26% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.69% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-7.71%
EPS Next 2Y-86.8%
EPS Next 3Y-32.26%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.28%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.32%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.46%
Revenue Next 5Y1.69%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BTE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBTE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
BTE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBTE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 -4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 6.10 indicates a rather cheap valuation of BTE.
88.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BTE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BTE to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.21), we can say BTE is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 483.17, BTE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as BTE.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.70. BTE is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.1
Fwd PE 483.17
BTE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBTE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 100 200 300 400

4.2 Price Multiples

BTE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BTE is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
BTE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BTE is cheaper than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 2.74
EV/EBITDA 1.85
BTE.CA Per share dataBTE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BTE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
BTE's earnings are expected to decrease with -32.26% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-86.8%
EPS Next 3Y-32.26%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BTE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.59%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.19, BTE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, BTE pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.59%

5.2 History

The dividend of BTE decreases each year by -45.77%.
BTE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
BTE has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-45.77%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
BTE.CA Yearly Dividends per shareBTE.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

22.10% of the earnings are spent on dividend by BTE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
BTE's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP22.1%
EPS Next 2Y-86.8%
EPS Next 3Y-32.26%
BTE.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBTE.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B
BTE.CA Dividend Payout.BTE.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BTE.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

BAYTEX ENERGY CORP

TSX:BTE (6/30/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

2.44

-0.08 (-3.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Earnings (Next)07-31 2025-07-31
Inst Owners32.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.88B
Analysts72.86
Price Target4.05 (65.98%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.59%
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)-45.77%
DP22.1%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date06-13 2025-06-13 (0.0225)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-86.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-151.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-22.51%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-55.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-151.21%
Max EPS beat(4)-19.55%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-92.41%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.72%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)14.79%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.16%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.7%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.65%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.33%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.06%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-9.14%
PT rev (3m)-26.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-76.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)18.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.1
Fwd PE 483.17
P/S 0.56
P/FCF 2.74
P/OCF 0.96
P/B 0.45
P/tB 0.45
EV/EBITDA 1.85
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY16.39%
EPS(NY)0.01
Fwd EY0.21%
FCF(TTM)0.89
FCFY36.5%
OCF(TTM)2.54
OCFY104.27%
SpS4.35
BVpS5.47
TBVpS5.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.09%
ROE 7.62%
ROCE 11.62%
ROIC 7.36%
ROICexc 7.37%
ROICexgc 7.37%
OM 24.87%
PM (TTM) 9.57%
GM 81.22%
FCFM 20.47%
ROA(3y)5.56%
ROA(5y)-4.3%
ROE(3y)9.27%
ROE(5y)-64.21%
ROIC(3y)8.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.44%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.44%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.67%
ROICexcg growth 5Y31.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y31.22%
OM growth 3Y-12.27%
OM growth 5Y17.02%
PM growth 3Y-59.31%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y1.87%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.21
Debt/EBITDA 1
Cap/Depr 93.35%
Cap/Sales 38%
Interest Coverage 3.81
Cash Conversion 89.16%
Profit Quality 213.81%
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 0.45
F-Score8
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)94.96%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)33.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)31.28%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)253.85%
EPS 3Y-32.67%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%550%
EPS Next Y-7.71%
EPS Next 2Y-86.8%
EPS Next 3Y-32.26%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.55%
Revenue growth 3Y29.61%
Revenue growth 5Y17.51%
Sales Q2Q%1.52%
Revenue Next Year10.28%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.32%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.46%
Revenue Next 5Y1.69%
EBIT growth 1Y20.69%
EBIT growth 3Y13.71%
EBIT growth 5Y37.51%
EBIT Next Year83.55%
EBIT Next 3Y11.46%
EBIT Next 5Y10.2%
FCF growth 1Y23.48%
FCF growth 3Y14.4%
FCF growth 5Y16.36%
OCF growth 1Y68.77%
OCF growth 3Y38.88%
OCF growth 5Y17.98%