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BAYTEX ENERGY CORP (BTE.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:BTE - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA07317Q1054 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

2.84  -0.05 (-1.73%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, BTE scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BTE was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. BTE has an average financial health and profitability rating. BTE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BTE was profitable.
In the past year BTE had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: BTE reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years BTE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
BTE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBTE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

BTE has a Return On Assets of 4.09%. This is in the better half of the industry: BTE outperforms 75.71% of its industry peers.
BTE's Return On Equity of 7.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BTE outperforms 60.48% of its industry peers.
BTE has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.36%) than 77.14% of its industry peers.
BTE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.42%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.31%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.09%
ROE 7.62%
ROIC 7.36%
ROA(3y)5.56%
ROA(5y)-4.3%
ROE(3y)9.27%
ROE(5y)-64.21%
ROIC(3y)8.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
BTE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBTE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of BTE (9.57%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
BTE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
BTE has a Operating Margin of 24.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: BTE outperforms 74.76% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BTE has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 81.22%, BTE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.76% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BTE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.87%
PM (TTM) 9.57%
GM 81.22%
OM growth 3Y-12.27%
OM growth 5Y17.02%
PM growth 3Y-59.31%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y1.87%
BTE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBTE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 -200 -300

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BTE is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BTE has less shares outstanding
BTE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BTE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
BTE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingBTE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
BTE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBTE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.50, we must say that BTE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of BTE (0.50) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BTE is 3.21, which is a good value as it means it would take BTE, 3.21 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
BTE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.21) than 81.90% of its industry peers.
BTE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52. This is a neutral value indicating BTE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
BTE has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.52) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.21
Altman-Z 0.5
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC8.41%
BTE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBTE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.63 indicates that BTE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
BTE has a worse Current ratio (0.63) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that BTE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
BTE's Quick ratio of 0.63 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BTE outperforms 40.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.63
BTE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBTE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 253.85% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, BTE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -32.67% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, BTE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.55% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 17.51% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)253.85%
EPS 3Y-32.67%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%550%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.55%
Revenue growth 3Y29.61%
Revenue growth 5Y17.51%
Sales Q2Q%1.52%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BTE will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -32.26% on average per year.
BTE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.69% yearly.
EPS Next Y-7.71%
EPS Next 2Y-86.8%
EPS Next 3Y-32.26%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.28%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.32%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.46%
Revenue Next 5Y1.69%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
BTE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBTE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
BTE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBTE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 -4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.10, the valuation of BTE can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BTE is valued cheaper than 86.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.05, BTE is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 562.38, BTE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
BTE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
BTE is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 37.67, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.1
Fwd PE 562.38
BTE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBTE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 100 200 300 400 500

4.2 Price Multiples

BTE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BTE is cheaper than 95.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BTE is valued cheaper than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3.19
EV/EBITDA 1.99
BTE.CA Per share dataBTE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BTE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
BTE's earnings are expected to decrease with -32.26% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-86.8%
EPS Next 3Y-32.26%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BTE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.17%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.32, BTE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, BTE pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.17%

5.2 History

The dividend of BTE decreases each year by -45.77%.
BTE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of BTE decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-45.77%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
BTE.CA Yearly Dividends per shareBTE.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

BTE pays out 22.10% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of BTE has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP22.1%
EPS Next 2Y-86.8%
EPS Next 3Y-32.26%
BTE.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBTE.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B
BTE.CA Dividend Payout.BTE.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BTE.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

BAYTEX ENERGY CORP

TSX:BTE (7/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

2.84

-0.05 (-1.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Earnings (Next)07-31 2025-07-31/amc
Inst Owners32.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.18B
Analysts71.43
Price Target4.05 (42.61%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.17%
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)-45.77%
DP22.1%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date06-13 2025-06-13 (0.0225)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-86.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-151.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-22.51%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-55.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-151.21%
Max EPS beat(4)-19.55%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-92.41%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.72%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)14.79%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.16%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.7%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.65%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.33%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.06%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-18.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-76.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.1
Fwd PE 562.38
P/S 0.65
P/FCF 3.19
P/OCF 1.12
P/B 0.52
P/tB 0.52
EV/EBITDA 1.99
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY14.08%
EPS(NY)0.01
Fwd EY0.18%
FCF(TTM)0.89
FCFY31.38%
OCF(TTM)2.55
OCFY89.63%
SpS4.35
BVpS5.47
TBVpS5.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.09%
ROE 7.62%
ROCE 11.62%
ROIC 7.36%
ROICexc 7.37%
ROICexgc 7.37%
OM 24.87%
PM (TTM) 9.57%
GM 81.22%
FCFM 20.47%
ROA(3y)5.56%
ROA(5y)-4.3%
ROE(3y)9.27%
ROE(5y)-64.21%
ROIC(3y)8.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.44%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.44%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.67%
ROICexcg growth 5Y31.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y31.22%
OM growth 3Y-12.27%
OM growth 5Y17.02%
PM growth 3Y-59.31%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y1.87%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.21
Debt/EBITDA 1
Cap/Depr 93.35%
Cap/Sales 38%
Interest Coverage 3.81
Cash Conversion 89.16%
Profit Quality 213.81%
Current Ratio 0.63
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 0.5
F-Score8
WACC8.41%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)94.96%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)33.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)31.28%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)253.85%
EPS 3Y-32.67%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%550%
EPS Next Y-7.71%
EPS Next 2Y-86.8%
EPS Next 3Y-32.26%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.55%
Revenue growth 3Y29.61%
Revenue growth 5Y17.51%
Sales Q2Q%1.52%
Revenue Next Year10.28%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.32%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.46%
Revenue Next 5Y1.69%
EBIT growth 1Y20.69%
EBIT growth 3Y13.71%
EBIT growth 5Y37.51%
EBIT Next Year83.55%
EBIT Next 3Y11.46%
EBIT Next 5Y10.2%
FCF growth 1Y23.48%
FCF growth 3Y14.4%
FCF growth 5Y16.36%
OCF growth 1Y68.77%
OCF growth 3Y38.88%
OCF growth 5Y17.98%