BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:BLBD - US0953061068 - Common Stock
56.38 USD
+0.59 (+1.06%)
56.38 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to BLBD. BLBD was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. BLBD has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. BLBD may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth This makes BLBD very considerable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
BLBD had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year BLBD had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
BLBD has a Return On Assets of 20.14%. This is amongst the best in the industry. BLBD outperforms 98.46% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 52.24%, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.46% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD has a better Return On Invested Capital (28.56%) than 99.23% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.14% | ||
| ROE | 52.24% | ||
| ROIC | 28.56% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BLBD has a Profit Margin of 8.16%. This is in the better half of the industry: BLBD outperforms 64.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
BLBD has a Operating Margin (10.02%) which is in line with its industry peers.
BLBD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 19.47%, BLBD is not doing good in the industry: 73.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
BLBD's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.16% | ||
| GM | 19.47% |
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
BLBD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BLBD has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, BLBD has more shares outstanding
BLBD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
BLBD has an Altman-Z score of 6.69. This indicates that BLBD is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
BLBD has a Altman-Z score of 6.69. This is amongst the best in the industry. BLBD outperforms 87.69% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.64. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.64, BLBD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.23% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39 indicates that BLBD is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.39, BLBD is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.39 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.69 |
ROIC/WACC3.03
WACC9.41%
2.3 Liquidity
BLBD has a Current Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that BLBD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BLBD has a worse Current ratio (1.58) than 71.54% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.92 indicates that BLBD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.92, BLBD is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.92 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BLBD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.95%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, BLBD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 16.38% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, BLBD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.31% in the last year.
BLBD shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.74% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.95%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%30.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.31%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%19.39%
3.2 Future
BLBD is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.19% yearly.
BLBD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.74% yearly.
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.46%
Revenue Next 2Y6.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.31%
Revenue Next 5Y6.74%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.68, which indicates a correct valuation of BLBD.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.83, BLBD is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.92, BLBD is valued correctly.
BLBD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BLBD is cheaper than 88.46% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BLBD to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.82), we can say BLBD is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.92 |
4.2 Price Multiples
BLBD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. BLBD is cheaper than 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.68 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
BLBD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BLBD may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)0.9
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BLBD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
56.38
+0.59 (+1.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners113.37%
Inst Owner Change0.32%
Ins Owners0.54%
Ins Owner Change-7.4%
Market Cap1.79B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)115.89M
Analysts82.86
Price Target60.31 (6.97%)
Short Float %14.16%
Short Ratio7.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.14%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(2)21.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)21.07%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.57%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-86.96%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-81.93%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.34%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.43%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.25%
PT rev (1m)4.51%
PT rev (3m)14.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.92 | ||
| P/S | 1.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.74 | ||
| P/B | 8.06 | ||
| P/tB | 11.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.68 |
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY6.81%
EPS(NY)4.37
Fwd EY7.74%
FCF(TTM)4.51
FCFY8%
OCF(TTM)5.25
OCFY9.31%
SpS44.81
BVpS7
TBVpS5.07
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)0.9
Graham Number24.59
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.14% | ||
| ROE | 52.24% | ||
| ROCE | 41.05% | ||
| ROIC | 28.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 56.99% | ||
| ROICexgc | 87.8% | ||
| OM | 10.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.16% | ||
| GM | 19.47% | ||
| FCFM | 10.07% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y220.13%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y207.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.73%
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover2.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.39 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 149.83% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 13.04 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 105.36% | ||
| Profit Quality | 123.49% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.69 |
F-Score7
WACC9.41%
ROIC/WACC3.03
Cap/Depr(3y)67.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.95%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%30.77%
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.31%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%19.39%
Revenue Next Year9.46%
Revenue Next 2Y6.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.31%
Revenue Next 5Y6.74%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y177.79%
EBIT growth 5Y26.04%
EBIT Next Year45.81%
EBIT Next 3Y18.59%
EBIT Next 5Y13.76%
FCF growth 1Y34.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y36.54%
OCF growth 1Y45.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.81%
BLUE BIRD CORP / BLBD FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BLUE BIRD CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to BLBD.
What is the valuation status of BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of BLBD stock?
BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of BLUE BIRD CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) is 14.68 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 8.06.
Is the dividend of BLUE BIRD CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.