BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:BLBD - Nasdaq - US0953061068 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, BLBD scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BLBD was compared to 129 industry peers in the Machinery industry. BLBD has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on BLBD. With these ratings, BLBD could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BLBD was profitable.
In the past year BLBD had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: BLBD reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: BLBD reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 20.20%, BLBD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.45% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of BLBD (60.16%) is better than 98.45% of its industry peers.
BLBD's Return On Invested Capital of 30.58% is amongst the best of the industry. BLBD outperforms 98.45% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.2% | ||
| ROE | 60.16% | ||
| ROIC | 30.58% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of BLBD (8.05%) is better than 62.02% of its industry peers.
BLBD's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
BLBD has a Operating Margin (10.01%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 18.83%, BLBD is not doing good in the industry: 74.42% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
BLBD's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.05% | ||
| GM | 18.83% |
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BLBD is creating value.
BLBD has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BLBD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
BLBD has an Altman-Z score of 5.81. This indicates that BLBD is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 5.81, BLBD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.62% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.78. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
BLBD has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.78) than 89.15% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49 indicates that BLBD is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of BLBD (0.49) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.81 |
ROIC/WACC2.99
WACC10.22%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that BLBD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.44, BLBD is not doing good in the industry: 76.74% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
BLBD has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a bad value and indicates that BLBD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of BLBD (0.73) is worse than 82.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 22.76% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, BLBD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 16.38% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, BLBD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 18.92% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, BLBD shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.74% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.76%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%7.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.92%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.74%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, BLBD will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.60% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BLBD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.13%
EPS Next 2Y14.42%
EPS Next 3Y8.6%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.94%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.40, the valuation of BLBD can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaper than 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 24.95, BLBD is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.91, the valuation of BLBD can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.02% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 20.99. BLBD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
82.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BLBD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BLBD indicates a rather cheap valuation: BLBD is cheaper than 89.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
BLBD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BLBD may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.71
PEG (5Y)0.7
EPS Next 2Y14.42%
EPS Next 3Y8.6%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BLBD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
40.59
+0.66 (+1.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.01%
Inst Owner Change0.23%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change8.66%
Market Cap1.30B
Analysts83.08
Price Target54.06 (33.19%)
Short Float %16.41%
Short Ratio10.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.89%
Min EPS beat(2)10.53%
Max EPS beat(2)15.25%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)44.95%
Min EPS beat(4)10.53%
Max EPS beat(4)79.91%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)80.6%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-112.02%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-88.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.87%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.65%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.42%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)8.73%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.38%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-6.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.91 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.83 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.49 | ||
| P/B | 7.25 | ||
| P/tB | 11.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.44 |
EPS(TTM)3.56
EY8.77%
EPS(NY)4.56
Fwd EY11.22%
FCF(TTM)3.75
FCFY9.23%
OCF(TTM)4.28
OCFY10.53%
SpS41.84
BVpS5.6
TBVpS3.67
PEG (NY)0.71
PEG (5Y)0.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.2% | ||
| ROE | 60.16% | ||
| ROCE | 43.96% | ||
| ROIC | 30.58% | ||
| ROICexc | 55.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 86.77% | ||
| OM | 10.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.05% | ||
| GM | 18.83% | ||
| FCFM | 8.96% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y220.13%
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y207.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.73%
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover2.51
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.78 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 112.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 91.86% | ||
| Profit Quality | 111.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.81 |
F-Score8
WACC10.22%
ROIC/WACC2.99
Cap/Depr(3y)67.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.76%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%7.87%
EPS Next Y16.13%
EPS Next 2Y14.42%
EPS Next 3Y8.6%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.92%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.74%
Revenue Next Year8.94%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y34.93%
EBIT growth 3Y177.79%
EBIT growth 5Y26.04%
EBIT Next Year38.79%
EBIT Next 3Y15.18%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y433.95%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y36.54%
OCF growth 1Y380.59%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.81%