BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:BLBD - Nasdaq - US0953061068 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, BLBD scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BLBD was compared to 127 industry peers in the Machinery industry. BLBD has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on BLBD. With these ratings, BLBD could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
BLBD had positive earnings in the past year.
BLBD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: BLBD reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
BLBD's Return On Assets of 19.89% is amongst the best of the industry. BLBD outperforms 99.21% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 56.80%, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 28.98%, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.89% | ||
| ROE | 56.8% | ||
| ROIC | 28.98% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.97%, BLBD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.42% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
BLBD's Operating Margin of 9.74% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD outperforms 51.18% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
BLBD's Gross Margin of 19.18% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD is outperformed by 74.80% of its industry peers.
BLBD's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.97% | ||
| GM | 19.18% |
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
BLBD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BLBD has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, BLBD has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, BLBD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
BLBD has an Altman-Z score of 5.99. This indicates that BLBD is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
BLBD has a better Altman-Z score (5.99) than 82.68% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLBD is 1.07, which is an excellent value as it means it would take BLBD, only 1.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
BLBD has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.07. This is amongst the best in the industry. BLBD outperforms 85.04% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46 indicates that BLBD is not too dependend on debt financing.
BLBD's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.46 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD outperforms 50.39% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.99 |
ROIC/WACC2.92
WACC9.91%
2.3 Liquidity
BLBD has a Current Ratio of 1.45. This is a normal value and indicates that BLBD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BLBD's Current ratio of 1.45 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD is outperformed by 77.95% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that BLBD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.73, BLBD is doing worse than 83.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BLBD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 22.76%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, BLBD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 16.38% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.57% in the past year.
BLBD shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.74% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.76%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%7.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.57%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.74%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.83% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.99% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.4%
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.16%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5Y6.99%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.16, BLBD is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
BLBD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.41.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.20 indicates a reasonable valuation of BLBD.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
BLBD is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.2 |
4.2 Price Multiples
80.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BLBD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BLBD is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.38% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
BLBD's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
BLBD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.07
PEG (5Y)0.74
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BLBD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
43.28
-1.67 (-3.72%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners118.16%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change0.94%
Market Cap1.37B
Analysts83.08
Price Target52.6 (21.53%)
Short Float %16.5%
Short Ratio12.77
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(2)10.53%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)74.11%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)53.29%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-95.09%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-86.39%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.08%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.72%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.68%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.65%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.75%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.2 | ||
| P/S | 1.01 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.36 | ||
| P/B | 7.18 | ||
| P/tB | 10.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.38 |
EPS(TTM)3.56
EY8.23%
EPS(NY)4.24
Fwd EY9.8%
FCF(TTM)2.76
FCFY6.39%
OCF(TTM)3.5
OCFY8.09%
SpS42.96
BVpS6.03
TBVpS4.08
PEG (NY)1.07
PEG (5Y)0.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.89% | ||
| ROE | 56.8% | ||
| ROCE | 41.65% | ||
| ROIC | 28.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 49.31% | ||
| ROICexgc | 73.58% | ||
| OM | 9.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.97% | ||
| GM | 19.18% | ||
| FCFM | 6.44% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y220.13%
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y207.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.73%
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover2.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 152.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.71% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.82 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.01% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.71% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.99 |
F-Score8
WACC9.91%
ROIC/WACC2.92
Cap/Depr(3y)67.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.76%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%7.87%
EPS Next Y11.4%
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.57%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.74%
Revenue Next Year9.16%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5Y6.99%
EBIT growth 1Y7.72%
EBIT growth 3Y177.79%
EBIT growth 5Y26.04%
EBIT Next Year39.1%
EBIT Next 3Y15.18%
EBIT Next 5Y14.15%
FCF growth 1Y249.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y36.54%
OCF growth 1Y248.76%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.81%