BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:BLBD - US0953061068 - Common Stock
51.17 USD
-0.73 (-1.41%)
51.5 USD
+0.33 (+0.64%)
BLBD gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of BLBD get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. BLBD scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. With these ratings, BLBD could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BLBD was profitable.
BLBD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: BLBD reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: BLBD reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
BLBD's Return On Assets of 20.14% is amongst the best of the industry. BLBD outperforms 99.23% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a better Return On Equity (52.24%) than 97.69% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a Return On Invested Capital of 28.56%. This is amongst the best in the industry. BLBD outperforms 98.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.14% | ||
| ROE | 52.24% | ||
| ROIC | 28.56% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.16%, BLBD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.15% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
BLBD has a Operating Margin of 10.02%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BLBD outperforms 54.62% of its industry peers.
BLBD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
BLBD has a Gross Margin of 19.47%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BLBD underperforms 73.85% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.16% | ||
| GM | 19.47% |
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), BLBD is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
BLBD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.44 indicates that BLBD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
BLBD has a better Altman-Z score (6.44) than 86.92% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLBD is 0.64, which is an excellent value as it means it would take BLBD, only 0.64 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLBD (0.64) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
BLBD has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.39) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.39 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.44 |
ROIC/WACC2.96
WACC9.64%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.58 indicates that BLBD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.58, BLBD is doing worse than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a bad value and indicates that BLBD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.92, BLBD is doing worse than 68.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.92 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BLBD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.95%, which is quite good.
BLBD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 16.38% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 9.31% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.74% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.95%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%30.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.31%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%19.39%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.19% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.74% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.46%
Revenue Next 2Y6.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.31%
Revenue Next 5Y6.74%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
BLBD is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.33.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.89, BLBD is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.72 indicates a reasonable valuation of BLBD.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BLBD indicates a rather cheap valuation: BLBD is cheaper than 88.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
BLBD is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
74.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BLBD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BLBD indicates a rather cheap valuation: BLBD is cheaper than 86.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.75 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
BLBD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
BLBD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.67
PEG (5Y)0.81
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for BLBD!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
51.17
-0.73 (-1.41%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners113.37%
Inst Owner Change-2.88%
Ins Owners0.54%
Ins Owner Change-8.96%
Market Cap1.62B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)115.89M
Analysts82.86
Price Target60.31 (17.86%)
Short Float %14.7%
Short Ratio9.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.14%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(2)21.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)21.07%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.57%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-86.96%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-81.93%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.34%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.43%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)14.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.72 | ||
| P/S | 1.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.34 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.75 | ||
| P/B | 7.31 | ||
| P/tB | 10.09 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.75 |
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY7.5%
EPS(NY)4.37
Fwd EY8.53%
FCF(TTM)4.51
FCFY8.82%
OCF(TTM)5.25
OCFY10.26%
SpS44.81
BVpS7
TBVpS5.07
PEG (NY)0.67
PEG (5Y)0.81
Graham Number24.59
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.14% | ||
| ROE | 52.24% | ||
| ROCE | 41.05% | ||
| ROIC | 28.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 56.99% | ||
| ROICexgc | 87.8% | ||
| OM | 10.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.16% | ||
| GM | 19.47% | ||
| FCFM | 10.07% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y220.13%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y207.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.73%
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover2.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.39 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 149.83% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 13.04 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 105.36% | ||
| Profit Quality | 123.49% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.44 |
F-Score7
WACC9.64%
ROIC/WACC2.96
Cap/Depr(3y)67.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.95%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%30.77%
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.31%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%19.39%
Revenue Next Year9.46%
Revenue Next 2Y6.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.31%
Revenue Next 5Y6.74%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y177.79%
EBIT growth 5Y26.04%
EBIT Next Year45.81%
EBIT Next 3Y18.59%
EBIT Next 5Y13.76%
FCF growth 1Y34.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y36.54%
OCF growth 1Y45.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.81%
BLUE BIRD CORP / BLBD FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BLUE BIRD CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to BLBD.
What is the valuation status of BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of BLBD stock?
BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of BLUE BIRD CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) is 13.33 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.31.
Is the dividend of BLUE BIRD CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.