BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:BLBD - Nasdaq - US0953061068 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall BLBD gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated BLBD against 128 industry peers in the Machinery industry. BLBD has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. BLBD may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings would make BLBD suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BLBD was profitable.
BLBD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
BLBD has a better Return On Assets (19.89%) than 98.44% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a Return On Equity of 56.80%. This is amongst the best in the industry. BLBD outperforms 98.44% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 28.98%, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.44% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.89% | ||
| ROE | 56.8% | ||
| ROIC | 28.98% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BLBD has a better Profit Margin (7.97%) than 61.72% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of BLBD (9.74%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
BLBD has a worse Gross Margin (19.18%) than 74.22% of its industry peers.
BLBD's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.97% | ||
| GM | 19.18% |
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
BLBD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
BLBD has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BLBD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 5.81 indicates that BLBD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 5.81, BLBD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.91% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.07. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
BLBD has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.07. This is amongst the best in the industry. BLBD outperforms 86.72% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46 indicates that BLBD is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.46, BLBD is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.81 |
ROIC/WACC2.76
WACC10.49%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.45 indicates that BLBD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BLBD has a Current ratio of 1.45. This is in the lower half of the industry: BLBD underperforms 76.56% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a Quick Ratio of 1.45. This is a bad value and indicates that BLBD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.73, BLBD is doing worse than 82.03% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 22.76% over the past year.
BLBD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 16.38% yearly.
BLBD shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.57%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.74% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.76%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%7.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.57%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.74%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.83% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, BLBD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.4%
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.94%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.47, the valuation of BLBD can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.41% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BLBD to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.60), we can say BLBD is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.62, the valuation of BLBD can be described as very reasonable.
89.84% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BLBD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
BLBD is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.43, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.62 |
4.2 Price Multiples
BLBD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BLBD is cheaper than 82.03% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BLBD is valued a bit cheaper than 79.69% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BLBD may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.01
PEG (5Y)0.7
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BLBD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
40.82
-0.43 (-1.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.01%
Inst Owner Change6.18%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change8.66%
Market Cap1.31B
Analysts83.08
Price Target54.06 (32.44%)
Short Float %16.41%
Short Ratio10.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(2)10.53%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)74.11%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)53.29%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-95.09%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-86.39%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.08%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.72%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.68%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-6.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.65%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.62 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.86 | ||
| P/B | 6.88 | ||
| P/tB | 10.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.64 |
EPS(TTM)3.56
EY8.72%
EPS(NY)4.24
Fwd EY10.39%
FCF(TTM)2.72
FCFY6.66%
OCF(TTM)3.44
OCFY8.43%
SpS42.24
BVpS5.93
TBVpS4.02
PEG (NY)1.01
PEG (5Y)0.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.89% | ||
| ROE | 56.8% | ||
| ROCE | 41.65% | ||
| ROIC | 28.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 49.31% | ||
| ROICexgc | 73.58% | ||
| OM | 9.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.97% | ||
| GM | 19.18% | ||
| FCFM | 6.44% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y220.13%
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y207.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.73%
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover2.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 152.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.71% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.82 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.01% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.71% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.81 |
F-Score8
WACC10.49%
ROIC/WACC2.76
Cap/Depr(3y)67.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.76%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%7.87%
EPS Next Y11.4%
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.57%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.74%
Revenue Next Year8.94%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y7.72%
EBIT growth 3Y177.79%
EBIT growth 5Y26.04%
EBIT Next Year38.79%
EBIT Next 3Y15.18%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y249.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y36.54%
OCF growth 1Y248.76%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.81%