47.39 USD
-0.4 (-0.84%)
47.39 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, BLBD scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BLBD was compared to 132 industry peers in the Machinery industry. BLBD has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. BLBD scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. With these ratings, BLBD could be worth investigating further for value and quality investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BLBD was profitable.
BLBD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
BLBD's Return On Assets of 20.43% is amongst the best of the industry. BLBD outperforms 99.24% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a better Return On Equity (50.00%) than 97.73% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of BLBD (31.83%) is better than 98.48% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BLBD is significantly above the industry average of 10.21%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (31.83%) for BLBD is above the 3 year average (29.27%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.43% | ||
| ROE | 50% | ||
| ROIC | 31.83% |
ROA(3y)15.41%
ROA(5y)6.73%
ROE(3y)58.56%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)29.27%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.63%, BLBD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
BLBD's Operating Margin of 11.29% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
BLBD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
BLBD's Gross Margin of 20.51% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD is outperformed by 70.45% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.29% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.63% | ||
| GM | 20.51% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y35.18%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y44.13%
GM growth 3Y65.07%
GM growth 5Y13.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
BLBD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BLBD has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.24 indicates that BLBD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
BLBD has a better Altman-Z score (6.24) than 85.61% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLBD is 0.59, which is an excellent value as it means it would take BLBD, only 0.59 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
BLBD's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.59 is amongst the best of the industry. BLBD outperforms 90.15% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that BLBD is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of BLBD (0.33) is better than 62.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.24 |
ROIC/WACC3.29
WACC9.67%
2.3 Liquidity
BLBD has a Current Ratio of 1.74. This is a normal value and indicates that BLBD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BLBD has a worse Current ratio (1.74) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.15 indicates that BLBD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BLBD has a Quick ratio (1.15) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BLBD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.15%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, BLBD shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 39.87% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 9.87% in the past year. This is quite good.
BLBD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.15%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y39.87%
EPS Q2Q%71.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.87%
Revenue growth 3Y22.73%
Revenue growth 5Y10.98%
Sales Q2Q%16.89%
3.2 Future
BLBD is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.42% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, BLBD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.46%
EPS Next 2Y6.43%
EPS Next 3Y4.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.79%
Revenue Next 2Y4.1%
Revenue Next 3Y3.83%
Revenue Next 5Y5.93%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.79, the valuation of BLBD can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.45% of the companies are valued more expensively.
BLBD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.17.
BLBD is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.75.
BLBD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BLBD is cheaper than 96.21% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.79. BLBD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
93.18% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BLBD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BLBD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.70% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.53 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BLBD may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)23.61
PEG (5Y)0.27
EPS Next 2Y6.43%
EPS Next 3Y4.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for BLBD!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
47.39
-0.4 (-0.84%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners113.59%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners0.81%
Ins Owner Change-1.09%
Market Cap1.50B
Revenue(TTM)1.48B
Net Income(TTM)127.72M
Analysts82.86
Price Target65.03 (37.22%)
Short Float %16.36%
Short Ratio12.13
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)23.12%
Min EPS beat(2)21.07%
Max EPS beat(2)25.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)13.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)25.16%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)45.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)58.27%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-76.43%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.51%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.51%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.73%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.72%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.99%
PT rev (1m)4.08%
PT rev (3m)7.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.8 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.53 | ||
| P/B | 5.88 | ||
| P/tB | 7.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.53 |
EPS(TTM)4.39
EY9.26%
EPS(NY)4.41
Fwd EY9.31%
FCF(TTM)4.84
FCFY10.2%
OCF(TTM)5.56
OCFY11.73%
SpS46.68
BVpS8.05
TBVpS6.15
PEG (NY)23.61
PEG (5Y)0.27
Graham Number28.21
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.43% | ||
| ROE | 50% | ||
| ROCE | 43.03% | ||
| ROIC | 31.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 77.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 125.35% | ||
| OM | 11.29% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.63% | ||
| GM | 20.51% | ||
| FCFM | 10.36% |
ROA(3y)15.41%
ROA(5y)6.73%
ROE(3y)58.56%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)29.27%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)58.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)104.89%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)39.57%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y47.59%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y50.42%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y35.18%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y44.13%
GM growth 3Y65.07%
GM growth 5Y13.39%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover2.37
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.59 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 146.75% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.55% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 22.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.42% | ||
| Profit Quality | 120.06% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.24 |
F-Score8
WACC9.67%
ROIC/WACC3.29
Cap/Depr(3y)101.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.2%
Profit Quality(3y)226.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.15%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y39.87%
EPS Q2Q%71.43%
EPS Next Y0.46%
EPS Next 2Y6.43%
EPS Next 3Y4.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.87%
Revenue growth 3Y22.73%
Revenue growth 5Y10.98%
Sales Q2Q%16.89%
Revenue Next Year4.79%
Revenue Next 2Y4.1%
Revenue Next 3Y3.83%
Revenue Next 5Y5.93%
EBIT growth 1Y19.98%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y50.02%
EBIT Next Year30.97%
EBIT Next 3Y13.03%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y59.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y58.59%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y119.48%
BLUE BIRD CORP / BLBD FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BLUE BIRD CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to BLBD.
What is the valuation status for BLBD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for BLUE BIRD CORP?
BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) is 10.79 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.88.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BLBD stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) is expected to grow by 0.46% in the next year.