BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:BLBD - US0953061068 - Common Stock
56.89 USD
-1.5 (-2.57%)
56.89 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to BLBD. BLBD was compared to 128 industry peers in the Machinery industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of BLBD get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on BLBD. These ratings could make BLBD a good candidate for value investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BLBD was profitable.
BLBD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: BLBD reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 20.14%, BLBD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.44% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of BLBD (52.24%) is better than 98.44% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 28.56%, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.22% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.14% | ||
| ROE | 52.24% | ||
| ROIC | 28.56% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BLBD's Profit Margin of 8.16% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD outperforms 63.28% of its industry peers.
BLBD's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
BLBD's Operating Margin of 10.02% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BLBD outperforms 54.69% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 19.47%, BLBD is doing worse than 73.44% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.16% | ||
| GM | 19.47% |
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
BLBD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BLBD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BLBD has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.75 indicates that BLBD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
BLBD has a Altman-Z score of 6.75. This is amongst the best in the industry. BLBD outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLBD is 0.64, which is an excellent value as it means it would take BLBD, only 0.64 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
BLBD's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.64 is amongst the best of the industry. BLBD outperforms 89.84% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of BLBD (0.39) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.39 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.75 |
ROIC/WACC2.76
WACC10.35%
2.3 Liquidity
BLBD has a Current Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that BLBD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of BLBD (1.58) is worse than 71.88% of its industry peers.
BLBD has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a bad value and indicates that BLBD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BLBD has a worse Quick ratio (0.92) than 70.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.92 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BLBD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.95%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 16.38% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, BLBD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.31% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.74% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.95%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%30.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.31%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%19.39%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.19% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
BLBD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.99% yearly.
EPS Next Y19.15%
EPS Next 2Y11.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.39%
Revenue Next 2Y7.03%
Revenue Next 3Y8.89%
Revenue Next 5Y4.99%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.82, the valuation of BLBD can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BLBD is valued cheaper than 82.81% of the companies in the same industry.
BLBD is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.90, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.18, the valuation of BLBD can be described as correct.
84.38% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BLBD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
BLBD is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.52, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BLBD indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BLBD is cheaper than 72.66% of the companies listed in the same industry.
BLBD's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BLBD is cheaper than 88.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
BLBD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.77
PEG (5Y)0.9
EPS Next 2Y11.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for BLBD!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
56.89
-1.5 (-2.57%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners119.23%
Inst Owner Change-5.43%
Ins Owners0.55%
Ins Owner Change-3.93%
Market Cap1.80B
Analysts83.08
Price Target57.7 (1.42%)
Short Float %16.04%
Short Ratio8.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.14%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(2)21.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)21.07%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.57%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-86.96%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-81.93%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.34%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.43%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.25%
PT rev (1m)9.7%
PT rev (3m)6.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.96%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.18 | ||
| P/S | 1.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.84 | ||
| P/B | 8.13 | ||
| P/tB | 11.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.9 |
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY6.75%
EPS(NY)4.32
Fwd EY7.59%
FCF(TTM)4.51
FCFY7.93%
OCF(TTM)5.25
OCFY9.23%
SpS44.81
BVpS7
TBVpS5.07
PEG (NY)0.77
PEG (5Y)0.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 20.14% | ||
| ROE | 52.24% | ||
| ROCE | 41.05% | ||
| ROIC | 28.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 56.99% | ||
| ROICexgc | 87.8% | ||
| OM | 10.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.16% | ||
| GM | 19.47% | ||
| FCFM | 10.07% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y220.13%
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y207.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.73%
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover2.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.39 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 149.83% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 13.04 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 105.36% | ||
| Profit Quality | 123.49% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.75 |
F-Score7
WACC10.35%
ROIC/WACC2.76
Cap/Depr(3y)67.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.95%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%30.77%
EPS Next Y19.15%
EPS Next 2Y11.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.19%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.31%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%19.39%
Revenue Next Year9.39%
Revenue Next 2Y7.03%
Revenue Next 3Y8.89%
Revenue Next 5Y4.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y177.79%
EBIT growth 5Y26.04%
EBIT Next Year39.1%
EBIT Next 3Y15.17%
EBIT Next 5Y13.76%
FCF growth 1Y34.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y36.54%
OCF growth 1Y45.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.81%