BLUE BIRD CORP (BLBD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:BLBD - Nasdaq - US0953061068 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall BLBD gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated BLBD against 128 industry peers in the Machinery industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of BLBD get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. BLBD has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BLBD was profitable.
In the past year BLBD had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: BLBD reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years BLBD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
BLBD's Return On Assets of 19.89% is amongst the best of the industry. BLBD outperforms 98.43% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 56.80%, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.64% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of BLBD (28.98%) is better than 98.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.89% | ||
| ROE | 56.8% | ||
| ROIC | 28.98% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.97%, BLBD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 9.74%, BLBD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.97% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 19.18%, BLBD is not doing good in the industry: 73.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BLBD has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.97% | ||
| GM | 19.18% |
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), BLBD is creating value.
BLBD has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, BLBD has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, BLBD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.55 indicates that BLBD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.55, BLBD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.61% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLBD is 1.07, which is an excellent value as it means it would take BLBD, only 1.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLBD (1.07) is better than 85.83% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46 indicates that BLBD is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.46, BLBD is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.61% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.55 |
ROIC/WACC3
WACC9.66%
2.3 Liquidity
BLBD has a Current Ratio of 1.45. This is a normal value and indicates that BLBD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BLBD has a Current ratio of 1.45. This is in the lower half of the industry: BLBD underperforms 77.95% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that BLBD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of BLBD (0.73) is worse than 81.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.95% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 16.38% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 18.92% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.74% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.95%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%30.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.92%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%19.39%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.83% on average over the next years.
BLBD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.99% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.4%
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.16%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5Y6.99%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.41, the valuation of BLBD can be described as correct.
BLBD's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BLBD is cheaper than 82.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.48, BLBD is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.04, the valuation of BLBD can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BLBD indicates a rather cheap valuation: BLBD is cheaper than 82.68% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.04. BLBD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.04 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BLBD indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BLBD is cheaper than 68.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BLBD indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BLBD is cheaper than 63.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
BLBD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)0.88
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BLBD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
55.34
+3.03 (+5.79%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners119.23%
Inst Owner Change-1.66%
Ins Owners0.55%
Ins Owner Change0.19%
Market Cap1.75B
Analysts83.08
Price Target52.6 (-4.95%)
Short Float %16.34%
Short Ratio13.25
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(2)10.53%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)74.11%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)53.29%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-95.09%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-86.39%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.08%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.72%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.68%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.65%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.04 | ||
| P/S | 1.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.81 | ||
| P/B | 9.18 | ||
| P/tB | 13.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.6 |
EPS(TTM)3.84
EY6.94%
EPS(NY)4.24
Fwd EY7.67%
FCF(TTM)2.76
FCFY5%
OCF(TTM)3.5
OCFY6.33%
SpS42.96
BVpS6.03
TBVpS4.08
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)0.88
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.89% | ||
| ROE | 56.8% | ||
| ROCE | 41.65% | ||
| ROIC | 28.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 49.31% | ||
| ROICexgc | 73.58% | ||
| OM | 9.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.97% | ||
| GM | 19.18% | ||
| FCFM | 6.44% |
ROA(3y)4.43%
ROA(5y)3.41%
ROE(3y)-1048.58%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y220.13%
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y207.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.73%
OM growth 3Y121.61%
OM growth 5Y19.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y26.86%
GM growth 3Y21.73%
GM growth 5Y7.73%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover2.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 152.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.71% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.82 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.01% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.71% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.45 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.55 |
F-Score8
WACC9.66%
ROIC/WACC3
Cap/Depr(3y)67.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.95%
EPS 3Y123.91%
EPS 5Y16.38%
EPS Q2Q%30.77%
EPS Next Y11.4%
EPS Next 2Y10.42%
EPS Next 3Y6.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.92%
Revenue growth 3Y25.35%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%19.39%
Revenue Next Year9.16%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5Y6.99%
EBIT growth 1Y7.72%
EBIT growth 3Y177.79%
EBIT growth 5Y26.04%
EBIT Next Year39.1%
EBIT Next 3Y15.17%
EBIT Next 5Y14.15%
FCF growth 1Y249.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y36.54%
OCF growth 1Y248.76%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.81%