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BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY LTD (BIR.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:BIR - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0906971035 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

6.92  +0.1 (+1.47%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to BIR. BIR was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. BIR has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. BIR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BIR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year BIR had a positive cash flow from operations.
BIR had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years BIR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
BIR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBIR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

BIR has a better Return On Assets (3.89%) than 75.36% of its industry peers.
BIR has a Return On Equity (6.07%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
BIR has a Return On Invested Capital (0.85%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BIR is in line with the industry average of 7.39%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.95%) for BIR is well above the current ROIC(0.85%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.89%
ROE 6.07%
ROIC 0.85%
ROA(3y)7.52%
ROA(5y)6.18%
ROE(3y)10.03%
ROE(5y)8.49%
ROIC(3y)5.95%
ROIC(5y)5.59%
BIR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBIR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

BIR has a better Profit Margin (21.39%) than 79.71% of its industry peers.
BIR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of BIR (6.58%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BIR has declined.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 86.62%, BIR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.62% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BIR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.58%
PM (TTM) 21.39%
GM 86.62%
OM growth 3Y-63.51%
OM growth 5Y-36.69%
PM growth 3Y-35.89%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.77%
GM growth 5Y-0.14%
BIR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBIR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BIR is destroying value.
BIR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BIR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BIR is higher compared to a year ago.
BIR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingBIR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BIR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBIR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

BIR has an Altman-Z score of 1.41. This is a bad value and indicates that BIR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BIR has a Altman-Z score of 1.41. This is in the better half of the industry: BIR outperforms 67.15% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that BIR is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, BIR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.41
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC7.15%
BIR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBIR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.52 indicates that BIR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.52, BIR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.88% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.52 indicates that BIR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BIR has a Quick ratio of 1.52. This is in the better half of the industry: BIR outperforms 76.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 1.52
BIR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBIR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 257.14% over the past year.
The earnings per share for BIR have been decreasing by -44.02% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has decreased by -4.51% in the past year.
BIR shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)257.14%
EPS 3Y-44.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%500%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.16%
Sales Q2Q%21.26%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BIR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 37.16% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BIR will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 44.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y341.03%
EPS Next 2Y125.84%
EPS Next 3Y68.95%
EPS Next 5Y37.16%
Revenue Next Year229.62%
Revenue Next 2Y31.77%
Revenue Next 3Y44.32%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
BIR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBIR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
BIR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBIR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.84, which indicates a correct valuation of BIR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, BIR is valued a bit cheaper than 64.25% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.30. BIR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.78, the valuation of BIR can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, BIR is valued a bit cheaper than 79.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.76, BIR is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.84
Fwd PE 6.78
BIR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBIR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BIR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.22% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.52
BIR.CA Per share dataBIR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BIR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
BIR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
BIR's earnings are expected to grow with 68.95% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y125.84%
EPS Next 3Y68.95%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BIR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.70%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.35, BIR has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
BIR's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.37.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.7%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of BIR grows each year by 24.50%, which is quite nice.
BIR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
BIR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareBIR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

BIR pays out 65.12% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
BIR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.12%
EPS Next 2Y125.84%
EPS Next 3Y68.95%
BIR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBIR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M
BIR.CA Dividend Payout.BIR.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BIR.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY LTD

TSX:BIR (7/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

6.92

+0.1 (+1.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-14 2025-05-14/amc
Earnings (Next)08-12 2025-08-12/amc
Inst Owners13.53%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.88B
Analysts76.25
Price Target8.16 (17.92%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.7%
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.5%
DP65.12%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date06-13 2025-06-13 (0.03)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)175.45%
Min EPS beat(2)21.86%
Max EPS beat(2)329.04%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)244.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.01%
Max EPS beat(4)661.06%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)53.63%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)17.69%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)21.36%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.25%
Max Revenue beat(2)-10.98%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.74%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.53%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)4.63%
PT rev (3m)5.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)187.48%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.84
Fwd PE 6.78
P/S 2.94
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 7.12
P/B 0.83
P/tB 0.83
EV/EBITDA 8.52
EPS(TTM)0.5
EY7.23%
EPS(NY)1.02
Fwd EY14.74%
FCF(TTM)-0.06
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.97
OCFY14.05%
SpS2.35
BVpS8.29
TBVpS8.29
PEG (NY)0.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.89%
ROE 6.07%
ROCE 1.24%
ROIC 0.85%
ROICexc 0.85%
ROICexgc 0.85%
OM 6.58%
PM (TTM) 21.39%
GM 86.62%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.52%
ROA(5y)6.18%
ROE(3y)10.03%
ROE(5y)8.49%
ROIC(3y)5.95%
ROIC(5y)5.59%
ROICexc(3y)5.95%
ROICexc(5y)5.59%
ROICexgc(3y)5.95%
ROICexgc(5y)5.59%
ROCE(3y)8.7%
ROCE(5y)8.16%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-69.67%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-39.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y-69.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y-39.71%
OM growth 3Y-63.51%
OM growth 5Y-36.69%
PM growth 3Y-35.89%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.77%
GM growth 5Y-0.14%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.14
Cap/Depr 112.61%
Cap/Sales 44.09%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 90.41%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.52
Quick Ratio 1.52
Altman-Z 1.41
F-Score6
WACC7.15%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)138.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)132.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)39.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)40.18%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)257.14%
EPS 3Y-44.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%500%
EPS Next Y341.03%
EPS Next 2Y125.84%
EPS Next 3Y68.95%
EPS Next 5Y37.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.16%
Sales Q2Q%21.26%
Revenue Next Year229.62%
Revenue Next 2Y31.77%
Revenue Next 3Y44.32%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-50.66%
EBIT growth 3Y-67.82%
EBIT growth 5Y-36.79%
EBIT Next Year1943.67%
EBIT Next 3Y161.91%
EBIT Next 5Y82.73%
FCF growth 1Y-103.58%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-70.02%
OCF growth 3Y-26.61%
OCF growth 5Y-9.04%