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BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY LTD (BIR.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:BIR - CA0906971035 - Common Stock

5.71 CAD
-0.09 (-1.55%)
Last: 10/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to BIR. BIR was compared to 216 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. BIR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. BIR has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BIR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year BIR had a positive cash flow from operations.
BIR had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years BIR had a positive operating cash flow.
BIR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBIR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.21%, BIR is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.48% of the companies in the same industry.
BIR has a Return On Equity (3.42%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
BIR has a Return On Invested Capital (1.23%) which is in line with its industry peers.
BIR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.95%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.96%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (1.23%) for BIR is well below the 3 year average (5.95%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that BIR had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 3.42%
ROIC 1.23%
ROA(3y)7.52%
ROA(5y)6.18%
ROE(3y)10.03%
ROE(5y)8.49%
ROIC(3y)5.95%
ROIC(5y)5.58%
BIR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBIR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of BIR (11.82%) is better than 73.61% of its industry peers.
BIR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 9.31%, BIR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BIR has declined.
BIR has a Gross Margin of 87.36%. This is amongst the best in the industry. BIR outperforms 97.22% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BIR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.31%
PM (TTM) 11.82%
GM 87.36%
OM growth 3Y-64.36%
OM growth 5Y-37.58%
PM growth 3Y-35.89%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.77%
GM growth 5Y-0.14%
BIR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBIR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), BIR is destroying value.
BIR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BIR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BIR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
BIR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingBIR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BIR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBIR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

BIR has an Altman-Z score of 1.30. This is a bad value and indicates that BIR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BIR has a better Altman-Z score (1.30) than 60.65% of its industry peers.
BIR has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.98. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as BIR would need 15.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 15.98, BIR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.37% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that BIR is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, BIR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 15.98
Altman-Z 1.3
ROIC/WACC0.19
WACC6.63%
BIR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBIR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.47 indicates that BIR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of BIR (1.47) is better than 71.30% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that BIR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BIR has a Quick ratio of 1.47. This is in the better half of the industry: BIR outperforms 72.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 1.47
BIR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBIR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BIR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 83.29%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for BIR have been decreasing by -44.02% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, BIR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.17% in the last year.
BIR shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)83.29%
EPS 3Y-44.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-132.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.17%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.34%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 27.68% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -51.29% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y145.77%
EPS Next 2Y103.91%
EPS Next 3Y62.52%
EPS Next 5Y27.68%
Revenue Next Year122%
Revenue Next 2Y58.68%
Revenue Next 3Y-51.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BIR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBIR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
BIR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBIR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 21.15, the valuation of BIR can be described as rather expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as BIR.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BIR to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.86), we can say BIR is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.87, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of BIR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, BIR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.94% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BIR to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.29), we can say BIR is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.15
Fwd PE 6.87
BIR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBIR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

BIR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. BIR is cheaper than 74.07% of the companies in the same industry.
BIR's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 38.71
EV/EBITDA 7.09
BIR.CA Per share dataBIR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
BIR's earnings are expected to grow with 62.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y103.91%
EPS Next 3Y62.52%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%, BIR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
BIR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 7.62.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, BIR has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%

5.2 History

The dividend of BIR is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 24.50%!
BIR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
BIR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareBIR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

91.92% of the earnings are spent on dividend by BIR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of BIR is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP91.92%
EPS Next 2Y103.91%
EPS Next 3Y62.52%
BIR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBIR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M
BIR.CA Dividend Payout.BIR.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BIR.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY LTD

TSX:BIR (10/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

5.71

-0.09 (-1.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)08-13 2025-08-13/amc
Earnings (Next)11-12 2025-11-12/amc
Inst Owners14.88%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.56B
Analysts78.75
Price Target8.56 (49.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.5%
DP91.92%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date09-15 2025-09-15 (0.03)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-84.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-190.87%
Max EPS beat(2)21.86%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)32%
Min EPS beat(4)-190.87%
Max EPS beat(4)329.04%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-56.74%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.02%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)7.43%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.91%
Min Revenue beat(2)-10.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)-10.84%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-15.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)-10.84%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.64%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)4.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-44.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-32.67%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.15
Fwd PE 6.87
P/S 2.41
P/FCF 38.71
P/OCF 4.49
P/B 0.7
P/tB 0.7
EV/EBITDA 7.09
EPS(TTM)0.27
EY4.73%
EPS(NY)0.83
Fwd EY14.56%
FCF(TTM)0.15
FCFY2.58%
OCF(TTM)1.27
OCFY22.27%
SpS2.37
BVpS8.19
TBVpS8.19
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 3.42%
ROCE 1.79%
ROIC 1.23%
ROICexc 1.23%
ROICexgc 1.23%
OM 9.31%
PM (TTM) 11.82%
GM 87.36%
FCFM 6.22%
ROA(3y)7.52%
ROA(5y)6.18%
ROE(3y)10.03%
ROE(5y)8.49%
ROIC(3y)5.95%
ROIC(5y)5.58%
ROICexc(3y)5.95%
ROICexc(5y)5.58%
ROICexgc(3y)5.95%
ROICexgc(5y)5.58%
ROCE(3y)8.69%
ROCE(5y)8.16%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-70.38%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-40.55%
ROICexc growth 3Y-70.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y-40.55%
OM growth 3Y-64.36%
OM growth 5Y-37.58%
PM growth 3Y-35.89%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.77%
GM growth 5Y-0.14%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 15.98
Debt/EBITDA 2.01
Cap/Depr 120.93%
Cap/Sales 47.37%
Interest Coverage -3.96
Cash Conversion 110.53%
Profit Quality 52.6%
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 1.3
F-Score5
WACC6.63%
ROIC/WACC0.19
Cap/Depr(3y)138.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)132.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)39.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)40.18%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)83.29%
EPS 3Y-44.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-132.39%
EPS Next Y145.77%
EPS Next 2Y103.91%
EPS Next 3Y62.52%
EPS Next 5Y27.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.17%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.34%
Revenue Next Year122%
Revenue Next 2Y58.68%
Revenue Next 3Y-51.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-4.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-68.57%
EBIT growth 5Y-37.68%
EBIT Next Year1518.98%
EBIT Next 3Y168.37%
EBIT Next 5Y79.3%
FCF growth 1Y-86.54%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.25%
OCF growth 3Y-26.61%
OCF growth 5Y-9.04%