B&G FOODS INC (BGS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:BGS • US05508R1068

Current stock price

4.85 USD
-0.1 (-2.02%)
At close:
4.85 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This BGS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. BGS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • BGS had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year BGS had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • BGS had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years BGS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
BGS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBGS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • BGS has a Return On Assets of -1.53%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BGS underperforms 60.92% of its industry peers.
  • BGS has a Return On Equity of -9.55%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BGS underperforms 63.22% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.55%, BGS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BGS is in line with the industry average of 7.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.53%
ROE -9.55%
ROIC 5.55%
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
BGS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBGS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of BGS (10.04%) is better than 77.01% of its industry peers.
  • BGS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 21.81%, BGS is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • BGS's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.04%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 21.81%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
BGS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBGS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. BGS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BGS is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, BGS has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for BGS has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • BGS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
BGS Yearly Shares OutstandingBGS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
BGS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBGS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • BGS has an Altman-Z score of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that BGS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • BGS has a Altman-Z score of 1.39. This is in the lower half of the industry: BGS underperforms 62.07% of its industry peers.
  • BGS has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.56. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as BGS would need 27.56 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • BGS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 27.56. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BGS outperforms 52.87% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.30 is on the high side and indicates that BGS has dependencies on debt financing.
  • BGS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (4.30) than 85.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.3
Debt/FCF 27.56
Altman-Z 1.39
ROIC/WACC0.74
WACC7.55%
BGS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBGS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.32 indicates that BGS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.32, BGS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that BGS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.43, BGS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.32
Quick Ratio 1.43
BGS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBGS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. BGS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for BGS have decreased strongly by -27.14% in the last year.
  • BGS shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -25.75% yearly.
  • BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.37%.
  • BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%

3.2 Future

  • BGS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.19% yearly.
  • BGS is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.65% yearly.
EPS Next Y-0.7%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.65%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
BGS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBGS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
BGS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBGS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2

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7

4. BGS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.51, which indicates a very decent valuation of BGS.
  • 85.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BGS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. BGS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • BGS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.58.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, BGS is valued cheaper than 87.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BGS to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.28), we can say BGS is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.51
Fwd PE 9.58
BGS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBGS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BGS is valued a bit cheaper than 63.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 93.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BGS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.48
EV/EBITDA 9.17
BGS Per share dataBGS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as BGS's earnings are expected to grow with 15.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. BGS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • BGS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.45%, which is a nice return.
  • BGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.45. BGS pays more dividend than 98.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, BGS pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.45%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of BGS decreases each year by -16.37%.
  • BGS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of BGS decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
BGS Yearly Dividends per shareBGS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of BGS are negative and hence is the payout ratio. BGS will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-140.09%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
BGS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBGS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

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BGS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

B&G FOODS INC

NYSE:BGS (3/20/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 4.85 0 (0%)

4.85

-0.1 (-2.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners64.29%
Inst Owner Change-5.33%
Ins Owners3.72%
Ins Owner Change6.16%
Market Cap387.90M
Revenue(TTM)1.83B
Net Income(TTM)-43.26M
Analysts48.33
Price Target4.67 (-3.71%)
Short Float %13.86%
Short Ratio4.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.45%
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
DP-140.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-31
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)12.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.59%
Max EPS beat(2)33.56%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-74.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.56%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.59%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.61%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.02%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.85%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.85%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.51
Fwd PE 9.58
P/S 0.21
P/FCF 5.48
P/OCF 3.83
P/B 0.86
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.17
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY10.52%
EPS(NY)0.51
Fwd EY10.44%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY18.24%
OCF(TTM)1.27
OCFY26.14%
SpS22.86
BVpS5.66
TBVpS-16.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.06
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.53%
ROE -9.55%
ROCE 7.03%
ROIC 5.55%
ROICexc 5.67%
ROICexgc 17.67%
OM 10.04%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 21.81%
FCFM 3.87%
ROA(3y)-3.94%
ROA(5y)-2.07%
ROE(3y)-21.78%
ROE(5y)-11.87%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)5.35%
ROICexc(3y)5.96%
ROICexc(5y)5.44%
ROICexgc(3y)19.22%
ROICexgc(5y)17.87%
ROCE(3y)7.41%
ROCE(5y)6.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.56%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.05%
OM growth 3Y3.14%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.3
Debt/FCF 27.56
Debt/EBITDA 7.79
Cap/Depr 46.28%
Cap/Sales 1.68%
Interest Coverage 1.23
Cash Conversion 40.59%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.32
Quick Ratio 1.43
Altman-Z 1.39
F-Score4
WACC7.55%
ROIC/WACC0.74
Cap/Depr(3y)41.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.14%
EPS 3Y-23.07%
EPS 5Y-25.75%
EPS Q2Q%-9.68%
EPS Next Y-0.7%
EPS Next 2Y15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue Next Year-1.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.65%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.47%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.86%
EBIT Next Year33.19%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-22.61%
OCF growth 1Y-22.55%
OCF growth 3Y156.62%
OCF growth 5Y-18.47%

B&G FOODS INC / BGS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for BGS stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BGS.


What is the valuation status for BGS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to B&G FOODS INC (BGS). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of BGS stock?

B&G FOODS INC (BGS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is B&G FOODS INC?

The financial health rating of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for B&G FOODS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is expected to decline by -0.7% in the next year.