B&G FOODS INC (BGS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:BGS - US05508R1068 - Common Stock
4.39 USD
-0.1 (-2.23%)
4.4342 USD
+0.04 (+1.01%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to BGS. BGS was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. Both the profitability and financial health of BGS have multiple concerns. BGS has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- BGS had positive earnings in the past year.
- BGS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In multiple years BGS reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- BGS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- BGS has a worse Return On Assets (-8.50%) than 71.26% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of BGS (-53.12%) is worse than 71.26% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.37%, BGS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- BGS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.46%. This is significantly below the industry average of 27.80%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.5% | ||
| ROE | -53.12% | ||
| ROIC | 5.37% |
ROA(3y)-3.53%
ROA(5y)-1.07%
ROE(3y)-19.04%
ROE(5y)-6.78%
ROIC(3y)5.46%
ROIC(5y)5.48%
1.3 Margins
- BGS's Operating Margin of 9.93% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BGS outperforms 74.71% of its industry peers.
- BGS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 21.45%, BGS is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.72% of the companies in the same industry.
- BGS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.93% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.45% |
OM growth 3Y1.19%
OM growth 5Y-2.1%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.91%
GM growth 5Y-1.1%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), BGS is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for BGS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- BGS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- BGS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- BGS has an Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is a bad value and indicates that BGS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.37, BGS is doing worse than 63.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of BGS is 37.46, which is on the high side as it means it would take BGS, 37.46 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 37.46, BGS is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.43% of the companies in the same industry.
- BGS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.29. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of BGS (4.29) is worse than 87.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC7.05%
2.3 Liquidity
- BGS has a Current Ratio of 3.20. This indicates that BGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- BGS's Current ratio of 3.20 is amongst the best of the industry. BGS outperforms 86.21% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.30 indicates that BGS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- BGS's Quick ratio of 1.30 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BGS outperforms 71.26% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.2 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.3 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for BGS have decreased strongly by -21.74% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, BGS shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -15.66% on average per year.
- BGS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.04%.
- Measured over the past years, BGS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.08% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.74%
EPS 3Y-27.93%
EPS 5Y-15.66%
EPS Q2Q%15.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.08%
Sales Q2Q%-4.72%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, BGS will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.12% on average per year.
- BGS is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -2.22% yearly.
EPS Next Y-24.48%
EPS Next 2Y-14.94%
EPS Next 3Y-1.12%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.29%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 8.13, the valuation of BGS can be described as reasonable.
- BGS's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BGS is cheaper than 91.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BGS to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say BGS is valued rather cheaply.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.67, the valuation of BGS can be described as very reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BGS indicates a rather cheap valuation: BGS is cheaper than 98.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.29. BGS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BGS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.22% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BGS is valued cheaper than 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-14.94%
EPS Next 3Y-1.12%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 16.93%, BGS is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.28, BGS pays a better dividend. On top of this BGS pays more dividend than 98.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- BGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.85.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 16.93% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of BGS decreases each year by -16.37%.
- BGS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of BGS decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- BGS has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
- The Dividend Rate of BGS has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP-24.15%
EPS Next 2Y-14.94%
EPS Next 3Y-1.12%
4.39
-0.1 (-2.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-23 2026-02-23/amc
Inst Owners69.11%
Inst Owner Change0.51%
Ins Owners3.72%
Ins Owner Change-0.52%
Market Cap351.11M
Revenue(TTM)1.84B
Net Income(TTM)-250.08M
Analysts48.33
Price Target4.59 (4.56%)
Short Float %18.55%
Short Ratio7.36
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 16.93% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-16.37%
DP-24.15%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-32.87%
Max EPS beat(2)33.56%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-74.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.56%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-17.19%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.88%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.91%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.26%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.26%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.67 | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.09 | ||
| P/B | 0.75 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.27 |
EPS(TTM)0.54
EY12.3%
EPS(NY)0.51
Fwd EY11.54%
FCF(TTM)0.68
FCFY15.41%
OCF(TTM)1.07
OCFY24.48%
SpS23.01
BVpS5.89
TBVpS-16.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.5% | ||
| ROE | -53.12% | ||
| ROCE | 6.8% | ||
| ROIC | 5.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.94% | ||
| OM | 9.93% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 21.45% | ||
| FCFM | 2.94% |
ROA(3y)-3.53%
ROA(5y)-1.07%
ROE(3y)-19.04%
ROE(5y)-6.78%
ROIC(3y)5.46%
ROIC(5y)5.48%
ROICexc(3y)5.54%
ROICexc(5y)5.56%
ROICexgc(3y)18%
ROICexgc(5y)19.45%
ROCE(3y)6.91%
ROCE(5y)6.94%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.12%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.5%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.01%
OM growth 3Y1.19%
OM growth 5Y-2.1%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.91%
GM growth 5Y-1.1%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.46 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.08 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 47.46% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.73% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 34.39% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.2 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
F-Score4
WACC7.05%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)34.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.44%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.74%
EPS 3Y-27.93%
EPS 5Y-15.66%
EPS Q2Q%15.38%
EPS Next Y-24.48%
EPS Next 2Y-14.94%
EPS Next 3Y-1.12%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.08%
Sales Q2Q%-4.72%
Revenue Next Year-5.29%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-44.47%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.88%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year21.95%
EBIT Next 3Y7.65%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-71.27%
FCF growth 3Y27.08%
FCF growth 5Y90.64%
OCF growth 1Y-59.09%
OCF growth 3Y11.71%
OCF growth 5Y23%
B&G FOODS INC / BGS FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to BGS.
What is the valuation status for BGS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to B&G FOODS INC (BGS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of BGS stock?
B&G FOODS INC (BGS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
How financially healthy is B&G FOODS INC?
The financial health rating of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for B&G FOODS INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of B&G FOODS INC (BGS) is expected to decline by -24.48% in the next year.