Fundamental Analysis of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC(NYSE:BBAI) stock

Fundamental Rating

We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to BBAI. BBAI was compared to 86 industry peers in the IT Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of BBAI have multiple concerns. BBAI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BBAI has reported negative net income.

BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.

1.2 Ratios

BBAI's Return On Assets of -30.19% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 85.71% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-30.19%
ROE	N/A
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)-41.59%

ROA(5y)N/A

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

BBAI's Gross Margin of 26.16% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 69.05% of its industry peers.

BBAI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	26.16%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

The number of shares outstanding for BBAI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.

BBAI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.13, we must say that BBAI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

BBAI's Altman-Z score of -1.13 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 83.33% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	-1.13

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC10.45%

2.3 Liquidity

BBAI has a Current Ratio of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that BBAI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

BBAI has a worse Current ratio (0.93) than 76.19% of its industry peers.

A Quick Ratio of 0.93 indicates that BBAI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

The Quick ratio of BBAI (0.93) is worse than 73.81% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	0.93
Quick Ratio	0.93

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

BBAI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 55.79%, which is quite impressive.

Looking at the last year, BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.11% in the last year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)55.79%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS growth Q2Q39.13%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.11%

Revenue growth 3YN/A

Revenue growth 5YN/A

Revenue growth Q2Q0.4%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.73% on average over the next years. This is quite good.

Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.67% on average per year.

EPS Next Y45.96%

EPS Next 2Y25.98%

EPS Next 3Y12.96%

EPS Next 5Y14.73%

Revenue Next Year28.9%

Revenue Next 2Y20.47%

Revenue Next 3Y16.7%

Revenue Next 5Y14.67%

3.3 Evolution

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 12.96% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y25.98%

EPS Next 3Y12.96%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BBAI does not give a dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (5/1/2024, 4:29:44 PM)

After market: 1.75 +0.03 (+1.74%)

1.72

+0.06 (+3.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorInformation Technology

GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services

GICS IndustryIT Services

Earnings (Last)

Earnings (Next)

Inst Owners

Inst Owner Change

Ins Owners

Ins Owner Change

Market Cap417.32M

Analysts

Price Target

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)

Div Incr Years

Div Non Decr Years

Ex-Date

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)

Avg EPS beat(2)

Min EPS beat(2)

Max EPS beat(2)

EPS beat(4)

Avg EPS beat(4)

Min EPS beat(4)

Max EPS beat(4)

EPS beat(8)

Avg EPS beat(8)

EPS beat(12)

Avg EPS beat(12)

EPS beat(16)

Avg EPS beat(16)

Revenue beat(2)

Avg Revenue beat(2)

Min Revenue beat(2)

Max Revenue beat(2)

Revenue beat(4)

Avg Revenue beat(4)

Min Revenue beat(4)

Max Revenue beat(4)

Revenue beat(8)

Avg Revenue beat(8)

Revenue beat(12)

Avg Revenue beat(12)

Revenue beat(16)

Avg Revenue beat(16)

PT rev (1m)

PT rev (3m)

EPS NQ rev (1m)

EPS NQ rev (3m)

EPS NY rev (1m)

EPS NY rev (3m)

Revenue NQ rev (1m)

Revenue NQ rev (3m)

Revenue NY rev (1m)

Revenue NY rev (3m)

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S
P/FCF
P/OCF
P/B
P/tB
EV/EBITDA

EPS(TTM)

EPS(NY)

Fwd EY

FCF(TTM)

FCFY

OCF(TTM)

OCFY

SpS

BVpS

TBVpS

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-30.19%
ROE	N/A
ROCE
ROIC
ROICexc
ROICexgc
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	26.16%
FCFM

ROA(3y)

ROA(5y)

ROE(3y)

ROE(5y)

ROIC(3y)

ROIC(5y)

ROICexc(3y)

ROICexc(5y)

ROICexgc(3y)

ROICexgc(5y)

ROCE(3y)

ROCE(5y)

ROICexcg growth 3Y

ROICexcg growth 5Y

ROICexc growth 3Y

ROICexc growth 5Y

OM growth 3Y

OM growth 5Y

PM growth 3Y

PM growth 5Y

GM growth 3Y

GM growth 5Y

F-Score

Asset Turnover0.78

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF
Debt/EBITDA
Cap/Depr
Cap/Sales
Interest Coverage
Cash Conversion
Profit Quality
Current Ratio	0.93
Quick Ratio	0.93
Altman-Z

F-Score

WACC

ROIC/WACC

Cap/Depr(3y)

Cap/Depr(5y)

Cap/Sales(3y)

Cap/Sales(5y)

Profit Quality(3y)

Profit Quality(5y)

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)55.79%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y

EPS growth Q2Q

EPS Next Y45.96%

EPS Next 2Y

EPS Next 3Y

EPS Next 5Y

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.11%

Revenue growth 3YN/A

Revenue growth 5Y

Revenue growth Q2Q

Revenue Next Year

Revenue Next 2Y

Revenue Next 3Y

Revenue Next 5Y

EBIT growth 1Y

EBIT growth 3Y

EBIT growth 5Y

EBIT Next Year

EBIT Next 3Y

EBIT Next 5Y

FCF growth 1Y

FCF growth 3Y

FCF growth 5Y

OCF growth 1Y

OCF growth 3Y

OCF growth 5Y

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI)

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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