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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BBAI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US08975B1098 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.83  +0.1 (+2.68%)

After market: 3.84 +0.01 (+0.26%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall BBAI gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated BBAI against 82 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. BBAI is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
BBAI had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

BBAI has a Return On Assets of -58.64%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 90.24% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of BBAI (-117.49%) is worse than 84.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -58.64%
ROE -117.49%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of BBAI (28.54%) is worse than 64.63% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.
BBAI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 28.54%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
BBAI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
BBAI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 1.26. This is a bad value and indicates that BBAI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BBAI has a worse Altman-Z score (1.26) than 69.51% of its industry peers.
BBAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.51. This is a neutral value indicating BBAI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.51, BBAI is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.34% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.26
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.46%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.66 indicates that BBAI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BBAI has a Current ratio (1.66) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.66 indicates that BBAI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BBAI has a Quick ratio (1.66) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.66
Quick Ratio 1.66
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for BBAI have decreased strongly by -75.00% in the last year.
The Revenue has grown by 9.36% in the past year. This is quite good.
BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.81% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-14.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.36%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.94%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.23% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.63% on average per year.
EPS Next Y62.78%
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.7%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 24.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BBAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (6/12/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 3.84 +0.01 (+0.26%)

3.83

+0.1 (+2.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners41.79%
Inst Owner Change17.42%
Ins Owners1.49%
Ins Owner Change2.83%
Market Cap1.12B
Analysts78
Price Target4.08 (6.53%)
Short Float %21.02%
Short Ratio0.93
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-576.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(2)-315.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-275.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)29.97%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-176.76%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-185.21%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.03%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-6.03%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-14%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)6.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)-26.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.78%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-16.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 6.98
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 5.64
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.77
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.16
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.1
OCFYN/A
SpS0.55
BVpS0.68
TBVpS-0.13
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -58.64%
ROE -117.49%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 28.54%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 85.66%
Cap/Sales 6.91%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.66
Quick Ratio 1.66
Altman-Z 1.26
F-Score4
WACC9.46%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-14.29%
EPS Next Y62.78%
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.36%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.94%
Revenue Next Year-2.7%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-52.99%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year95.35%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y22.93%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y43.04%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A