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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:BBAI - US08975B1098 - Common Stock

7.08 USD
-0.38 (-5.09%)
Last: 10/21/2025, 6:48:06 PM
7.04 USD
-0.04 (-0.56%)
After Hours: 10/21/2025, 6:48:06 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to BBAI. BBAI was compared to 86 industry peers in the IT Services industry. The financial health of BBAI is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BBAI does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year BBAI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative operating cash flow.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -74.96%, BBAI is doing worse than 93.02% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -168.55%, BBAI is not doing good in the industry: 84.88% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -74.96%
ROE -168.55%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 27.97%, BBAI is doing worse than 68.60% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.
BBAI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.97%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
BBAI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BBAI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 3.32. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
BBAI has a Altman-Z score of 3.32. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BBAI outperforms 54.65% of its industry peers.
BBAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.39, BBAI is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.84% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.39
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.32
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.05%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.91 indicates that BBAI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BBAI's Current ratio of 1.91 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI outperforms 56.98% of its industry peers.
BBAI has a Quick Ratio of 1.91. This is a normal value and indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.91, BBAI is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.30% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.91
Quick Ratio 1.91
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for BBAI have decreased strongly by -227.03% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.45% in the past year.
BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.81% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-227.03%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-880%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.45%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-18.38%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.69% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.15% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-52.08%
EPS Next 2Y24.86%
EPS Next 3Y6.69%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.16%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 -1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.86%
EPS Next 3Y6.69%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BBAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (10/21/2025, 6:48:06 PM)

After market: 7.04 -0.04 (-0.56%)

7.08

-0.38 (-5.09%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)08-11 2025-08-11/amc
Earnings (Next)11-10 2025-11-10/amc
Inst Owners33.74%
Inst Owner Change0.19%
Ins Owners0.93%
Ins Owner Change1.72%
Market Cap2.62B
Analysts80
Price Target4.85 (-31.5%)
Short Float %21.39%
Short Ratio0.94
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-486.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-658.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-315.2%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-447.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)21.57%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-251.97%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-205.17%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.03%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-15.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-6.03%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-16.18%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.32%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-29.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-71.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)-171.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-28.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-20.49%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 17.2
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 9.85
P/tB 25.61
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.21
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.33
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.07
OCFYN/A
SpS0.41
BVpS0.72
TBVpS0.28
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -74.96%
ROE -168.55%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.97%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.39
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 78.12%
Cap/Sales 6.89%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.91
Quick Ratio 1.91
Altman-Z 3.32
F-Score3
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-227.03%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-880%
EPS Next Y-52.08%
EPS Next 2Y24.86%
EPS Next 3Y6.69%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.45%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-18.38%
Revenue Next Year-22.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.16%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.49%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year78.52%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y10.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y34.74%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A