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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BBAI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US08975B1098 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

6.44  -0.68 (-9.55%)

After market: 6.41 -0.03 (-0.47%)

Fundamental Rating

3

BBAI gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 82 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. BBAI is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year BBAI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative net income.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

BBAI has a Return On Assets of -58.64%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 90.24% of its industry peers.
BBAI's Return On Equity of -117.49% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 84.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -58.64%
ROE -117.49%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

BBAI has a Gross Margin of 28.54%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BBAI underperforms 64.63% of its industry peers.
BBAI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 28.54%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.16 indicates that BBAI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 4.16, BBAI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
BBAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.51. This is a neutral value indicating BBAI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
BBAI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI outperforms 46.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.16
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.68%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.66 indicates that BBAI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BBAI has a Current ratio of 1.66. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BBAI outperforms 52.44% of its industry peers.
BBAI has a Quick Ratio of 1.66. This is a normal value and indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BBAI has a Quick ratio (1.66) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.66
Quick Ratio 1.66
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BBAI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -75.00%.
BBAI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.36%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.81% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-14.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.36%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.94%

3.2 Future

BBAI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.23% yearly.
BBAI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.63% yearly.
EPS Next Y43.95%
EPS Next 2Y31.05%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.7%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year BBAI is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 24.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.05%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BBAI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (7/11/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 6.41 -0.03 (-0.47%)

6.44

-0.68 (-9.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners20.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.33%
Ins Owner Change9.39%
Market Cap1.88B
Analysts78
Price Target4.08 (-36.65%)
Short Float %27.39%
Short Ratio0.69
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-576.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(2)-315.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-275.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)29.97%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-176.76%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-185.21%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.03%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-6.03%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-14%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-8.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-50.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-91.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 11.73
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 9.48
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.77
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.21
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.1
OCFYN/A
SpS0.55
BVpS0.68
TBVpS-0.13
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -58.64%
ROE -117.49%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 28.54%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 85.66%
Cap/Sales 6.91%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.66
Quick Ratio 1.66
Altman-Z 4.16
F-Score4
WACC9.68%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-14.29%
EPS Next Y43.95%
EPS Next 2Y31.05%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.36%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.94%
Revenue Next Year-2.7%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-52.99%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year95.35%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y22.93%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y43.04%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A