BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:BBAI • US08975B1098

5.04 USD
-0.48 (-8.7%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
5.0998 USD
+0.06 (+1.19%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 10:29:42 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, BBAI scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BBAI was compared to 88 industry peers in the IT Services industry. While BBAI seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BBAI does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
  • BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative net income.
  • BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • BBAI has a Return On Assets of -47.25%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 84.09% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of BBAI (-71.24%) is worse than 78.41% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 27.28%, BBAI is doing worse than 67.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for BBAI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for BBAI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 3.42. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of BBAI (3.42) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17 indicates that BBAI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.17, BBAI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.42
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.32%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • BBAI has a Current Ratio of 3.13. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BBAI has a Current ratio of 3.13. This is amongst the best in the industry. BBAI outperforms 80.68% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI has a Quick Ratio of 3.13. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BBAI's Quick ratio of 3.13 is amongst the best of the industry. BBAI outperforms 80.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for BBAI have decreased strongly by -155.56% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -6.95% in the past year.
  • BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.81% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-20.15%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.86% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -2.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.73%
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 13.86% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • BBAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BBAI.


What is the valuation status of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of BBAI stock?

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BBAI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is expected to decline by -27.73% in the next year.