BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:BBAIUS08975B1098

Current stock price

3.51 USD
-0.07 (-1.96%)
At close:
3.52 USD
+0.01 (+0.28%)
Pre-Market:

This BBAI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. BBAI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year BBAI has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year BBAI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • BBAI had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • BBAI has a Return On Assets of -32.86%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI has a Return On Equity of -48.04%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BBAI underperforms 69.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -32.86%
ROE -48.04%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

  • The Gross Margin of BBAI (22.31%) is worse than 73.86% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.31%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.01%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100 -150 -200

3

2. BBAI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • There is no outstanding debt for BBAI. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.22 indicates that BBAI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • BBAI has a Altman-Z score of 2.22. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BBAI outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.15. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • BBAI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.15) than 65.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.15
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.22
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.58%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.78 indicates that BBAI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.78, BBAI is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • BBAI has a Quick Ratio of 1.78. This is a normal value and indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.78, BBAI is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.78
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

3

3. BBAI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • BBAI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.35%.
  • The Revenue for BBAI has decreased by -19.32% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, BBAI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -6.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.35%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%97.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.32%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.26%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-37.71%

3.2 Future

  • BBAI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 21.20% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.15% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y65.07%
EPS Next 2Y21.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y9.15%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

1

4. BBAI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 21.20% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. BBAI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for BBAI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

BBAI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (4/6/2026, 8:22:10 PM)

Premarket: 3.52 +0.01 (+0.28%)

3.51

-0.07 (-1.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners48.22%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.61%
Ins Owner Change6.68%
Market Cap1.67B
Revenue(TTM)127.67M
Net Income(TTM)-293.91M
Analysts77.78
Price Target5.44 (54.99%)
Short Float %27.33%
Short Ratio2.47
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)98.51%
Min EPS beat(2)83.66%
Max EPS beat(2)113.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-194.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-658.55%
Max EPS beat(4)113.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-225.64%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-173.84%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-173.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.11%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-14.97%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-11.7%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-9.42%
PT rev (1m)-15.79%
PT rev (3m)-20%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-13.24%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-13.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 13.09
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.73
P/tB 7.22
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.73
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.25
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.09
OCFYN/A
SpS0.27
BVpS1.29
TBVpS0.49
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -32.86%
ROE -48.04%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.31%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.01%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.15
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 28.57%
Cap/Sales 3.42%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.78
Altman-Z 2.22
F-Score4
WACC9.58%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)56.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)37.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.77%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.35%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%97.67%
EPS Next Y65.07%
EPS Next 2Y21.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.32%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.26%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-37.71%
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y9.15%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-82.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.42%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y5.92%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-10.05%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BBAI.


What is the valuation status of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

The dividend rating of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.