BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:BBAI • US08975B1098

3.83 USD
+0.03 (+0.79%)
At close: Mar 4, 2026
3.83 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/4/2026, 8:09:41 PM

This BBAI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

BBAI gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 86 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. BBAI does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. BBAI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
  • BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • BBAI had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative operating cash flow.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • BBAI has a Return On Assets of -47.25%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 83.72% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI has a worse Return On Equity (-71.24%) than 76.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

  • BBAI's Gross Margin of 27.28% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 66.28% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

5

2. BBAI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • There is no outstanding debt for BBAI. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 2.37. This is not the best score and indicates that BBAI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • BBAI has a Altman-Z score (2.37) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17 indicates that BBAI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.17, BBAI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.79% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.37
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.17%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • BBAI has a Current Ratio of 3.13. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BBAI's Current ratio of 3.13 is amongst the best of the industry. BBAI outperforms 80.23% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI has a Quick Ratio of 3.13. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.13, BBAI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

3

3. BBAI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for BBAI have decreased by -2.70% in the last year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%90.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-37.71%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.07% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.97% on average per year.
EPS Next Y66.45%
EPS Next 2Y22.07%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year22.91%
Revenue Next 2Y9.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

1

4. BBAI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year BBAI is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 22.07% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y22.07%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. BBAI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • BBAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

BBAI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (3/4/2026, 8:09:41 PM)

After market: 3.83 0 (0%)

3.83

+0.03 (+0.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners34.16%
Inst Owner Change26.38%
Ins Owners0.73%
Ins Owner Change1.76%
Market Cap1.67B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)-434.57M
Analysts77.78
Price Target6.46 (68.67%)
Short Float %30.58%
Short Ratio1.88
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-272.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-658.55%
Max EPS beat(2)113.37%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-424.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)113.37%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-255.37%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-192.26%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-485.24%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.11%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.39%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.14%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.68%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)16.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 11.59
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.74
P/tB 3.72
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.76
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.25
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.08
OCFYN/A
SpS0.33
BVpS1.4
TBVpS1.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 53.09%
Cap/Sales 5.22%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
Altman-Z 2.37
F-Score5
WACC9.17%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%90.7%
EPS Next Y66.45%
EPS Next 2Y22.07%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-37.71%
Revenue Next Year22.91%
Revenue Next 2Y9.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.91%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year75.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-34.59%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-21.43%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to BBAI.


What is the valuation status of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of BBAI stock?

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BBAI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is expected to grow by 66.45% in the next year.