BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:BBAI • US08975B1098

4.78 USD
-0.26 (-5.16%)
At close: Feb 2, 2026
4.9297 USD
+0.15 (+3.13%)
Pre-Market: 2/3/2026, 8:38:59 AM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall BBAI gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated BBAI against 88 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. BBAI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year BBAI has reported negative net income.
  • BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative operating cash flow.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -47.25%, BBAI is not doing good in the industry: 84.09% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • BBAI has a worse Return On Equity (-71.24%) than 78.41% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

  • BBAI has a Gross Margin of 27.28%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BBAI underperforms 67.05% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.
  • BBAI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • BBAI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 3.20. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • BBAI has a Altman-Z score (3.20) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17 indicates that BBAI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.17, BBAI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.2
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.32%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • BBAI has a Current Ratio of 3.13. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BBAI has a better Current ratio (3.13) than 80.68% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.13 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • BBAI has a Quick ratio of 3.13. This is amongst the best in the industry. BBAI outperforms 80.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • BBAI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -155.56%.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -6.95% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-20.15%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.86% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.16% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.73%
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Also next year BBAI is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 13.86% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • BBAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (2/2/2026, 8:54:41 PM)

Premarket: 4.9297 +0.15 (+3.13%)

4.78

-0.26 (-5.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)11-10
Earnings (Next)03-04
Inst Owners34.16%
Inst Owner Change8.49%
Ins Owners0.73%
Ins Owner Change1.28%
Market Cap2.09B
Revenue(TTM)144.20M
Net Income(TTM)-434.57M
Analysts80
Price Target6.46 (35.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-272.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-658.55%
Max EPS beat(2)113.37%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-424.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)113.37%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-255.37%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-192.26%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-485.24%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.11%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.39%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.14%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.68%
PT rev (1m)-5%
PT rev (3m)8.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)14.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)16.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 14.47
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.42
P/tB 4.65
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.25
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.08
OCFYN/A
SpS0.33
BVpS1.4
TBVpS1.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 53.09%
Cap/Sales 5.22%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
Altman-Z 3.2
F-Score5
WACC9.32%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
EPS Next Y-27.73%
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-20.15%
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.91%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year75.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-34.59%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-21.43%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BBAI.


What is the valuation status of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of BBAI stock?

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BBAI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is expected to decline by -27.73% in the next year.