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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BBAI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US08975B1098 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.41  -0.17 (-4.75%)

After market: 3.5202 +0.11 (+3.23%)

Fundamental Rating

1

We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to BBAI. BBAI was compared to 82 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. BBAI is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BBAI has reported negative net income.
In the past year BBAI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
BBAI had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -85.97%, BBAI is not doing good in the industry: 90.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -85.97%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

With a Gross Margin value of 28.58%, BBAI is not doing good in the industry: 67.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
BBAI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 28.58%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for BBAI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BBAI has an Altman-Z score of -0.90. This is a bad value and indicates that BBAI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BBAI's Altman-Z score of -0.90 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 84.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.9
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.98%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.46 indicates that BBAI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of BBAI (0.46) is worse than 91.46% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.46 indicates that BBAI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.46, BBAI is doing worse than 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.46
Quick Ratio 0.46
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

BBAI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -76.19%.
Looking at the last year, BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.91% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-207.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.91%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%8.05%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.23% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.63% on average per year.
EPS Next Y70.6%
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.45%
Revenue Next 2Y5.44%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year BBAI is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.2 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 24.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BBAI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (4/30/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 3.5202 +0.11 (+3.23%)

3.41

-0.17 (-4.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)03-06 2025-03-06/amc
Earnings (Next)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Inst Owners41.79%
Inst Owner Change0.34%
Ins Owners1.49%
Ins Owner Change2.95%
Market Cap985.52M
Analysts78.18
Price Target4.46 (30.79%)
Short Float %19.61%
Short Ratio1.15
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-407.62%
Min EPS beat(2)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(2)21.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-257.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)29.97%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-163.67%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-166.95%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-11.6%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-18.68%
Min Revenue beat(4)-25.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-11.6%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-11.92%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-8.81%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)16.67%
PT rev (3m)66.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-15.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-15.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 6.23
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.22
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.17
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.13
OCFYN/A
SpS0.55
BVpS-0.01
TBVpS-0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -85.97%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 28.58%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 93.61%
Cap/Sales 7.02%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.46
Quick Ratio 0.46
Altman-Z -0.9
F-Score3
WACC8.98%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-207.14%
EPS Next Y70.6%
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.91%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
Revenue Next Year-1.45%
Revenue Next 2Y5.44%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year95.13%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-122.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-108.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A