BBAI Fundamental Analysis - BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

Fundamental Rating

Taking everything into account, BBAI scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BBAI was compared to 88 industry peers in the IT Services industry. The financial health of BBAI is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BBAI is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BBAI has reported negative net income.

In the past year BBAI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative net income.

In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

BBAI has a Return On Assets of -47.25%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 84.09% of its industry peers.

BBAI's Return On Equity of -71.24% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 78.41% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-47.25%
ROE	-71.24%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)-59.47%

ROA(5y)-42.13%

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

With a Gross Margin value of 27.28%, BBAI is not doing good in the industry: 67.05% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	27.28%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y6.86%

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

BBAI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.

Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has an improved debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.22 indicates that BBAI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.

Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.22, BBAI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17 indicates that BBAI is not too dependend on debt financing.

With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.17, BBAI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.17
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	4.22

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC9.17%

2.3 Liquidity

BBAI has a Current Ratio of 3.13. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.

Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.13, BBAI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.68% of the companies in the same industry.

A Quick Ratio of 3.13 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

BBAI's Quick ratio of 3.13 is amongst the best of the industry. BBAI outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	3.13
Quick Ratio	3.13

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

BBAI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -155.56%.

Looking at the last year, BBAI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.95% in the last year.

BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.81% yearly.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%120%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%

Revenue growth 3Y2.81%

Revenue growth 5YN/A

Sales Q2Q%-20.15%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.86% on average over the next years. This is quite good.

Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -2.16% on average per year.

EPS Next Y-27.73%

EPS Next 2Y28.66%

EPS Next 3Y13.86%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-22.56%

Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%

Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

Also next year BBAI is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 13.86% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y28.66%

EPS Next 3Y13.86%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BBAI does not give a dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	0%

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (1/8/2026, 6:51:29 PM)

After market: 6.15 -0.02 (-0.32%)

6.17

+0.18 (+3.01%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorInformation Technology

GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services

GICS IndustryIT Services

Earnings (Last)11-10 2025-11-10/amc

Earnings (Next)03-04 2026-03-04/amc

Inst Owners34.16%

Inst Owner Change0%

Ins Owners0.73%

Ins Owner Change1.28%

Market Cap2.69B

Revenue(TTM)144.20M

Net Income(TTM)-434.57M

Analysts80

Price Target6.8 (10.21%)

Short Float %21.59%

Short Ratio0.8

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	0%

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP0%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)1

Avg EPS beat(2)-272.59%

Min EPS beat(2)-658.55%

Max EPS beat(2)113.37%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)-424.3%

Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%

Max EPS beat(4)113.37%

EPS beat(8)3

Avg EPS beat(8)-255.37%

EPS beat(12)4

Avg EPS beat(12)-192.26%

EPS beat(16)4

Avg EPS beat(16)-485.24%

Revenue beat(2)1

Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.7%

Min Revenue beat(2)-21.51%

Max Revenue beat(2)2.11%

Revenue beat(4)1

Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.64%

Min Revenue beat(4)-21.51%

Max Revenue beat(4)2.11%

Revenue beat(8)1

Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.39%

Revenue beat(12)2

Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.14%

Revenue beat(16)4

Avg Revenue beat(16)6.68%

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)40.35%

EPS NQ rev (1m)0%

EPS NQ rev (3m)14.29%

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)16.01%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.39%

Revenue NY rev (1m)0%

Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S	18.68
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	4.42
P/tB	6
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)-1.15

EYN/A

EPS(NY)-0.25

Fwd EYN/A

FCF(TTM)-0.1

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.08

OCFYN/A

SpS0.33

BVpS1.4

TBVpS1.03

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Graham NumberN/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-47.25%
ROE	-71.24%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	27.28%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)-59.47%

ROA(5y)-42.13%

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexgc growth 3YN/A

ROICexgc growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y6.86%

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score5

Asset Turnover0.16

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.17
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	53.09%
Cap/Sales	5.22%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	3.13
Quick Ratio	3.13
Altman-Z	4.22

F-Score5

WACC9.17%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%

Cap/Depr(5y)N/A

Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%

Cap/Sales(5y)N/A

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%120%

EPS Next Y-27.73%

EPS Next 2Y28.66%

EPS Next 3Y13.86%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%

Revenue growth 3Y2.81%

Revenue growth 5YN/A

Sales Q2Q%-20.15%

Revenue Next Year-22.56%

Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%

Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-48.91%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5YN/A

EBIT Next Year75.58%

EBIT Next 3Y27.38%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-34.59%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y-21.43%

OCF growth 3YN/A

OCF growth 5YN/A

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BBAI.

What is the valuation status of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI). This can be considered as Overvalued.

What is the profitability of BBAI stock?

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.

Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BBAI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is expected to decline by -27.73% in the next year.

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

What is the valuation status of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

What is the profitability of BBAI stock?

Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BBAI stock?