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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:BBAI - US08975B1098 - Common Stock

5.545 USD
+0.1 (+1.93%)
Last: 12/18/2025, 2:55:10 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall BBAI gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated BBAI against 85 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. BBAI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative net income.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

BBAI's Return On Assets of -47.25% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 88.24% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of BBAI (-71.24%) is worse than 82.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of BBAI (27.28%) is worse than 68.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.
BBAI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
BBAI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 3.76. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
BBAI has a Altman-Z score of 3.76. This is in the better half of the industry: BBAI outperforms 63.53% of its industry peers.
BBAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of BBAI (0.17) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.76
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.71%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.13 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
BBAI's Current ratio of 3.13 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.13 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
BBAI has a Quick ratio of 3.13. This is amongst the best in the industry. BBAI outperforms 81.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for BBAI have decreased strongly by -155.56% in the last year.
BBAI shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.95%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.81% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-20.15%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.86% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.16% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.73%
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year BBAI is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 13.86% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BBAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (12/18/2025, 2:55:10 PM)

5.545

+0.1 (+1.93%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)11-10 2025-11-10/amc
Earnings (Next)03-04 2026-03-04/amc
Inst Owners33.95%
Inst Owner Change-3.54%
Ins Owners0.72%
Ins Owner Change1.09%
Market Cap2.42B
Revenue(TTM)144.20M
Net Income(TTM)-434.57M
Analysts80
Price Target6.8 (22.63%)
Short Float %21.27%
Short Ratio0.73
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-272.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-658.55%
Max EPS beat(2)113.37%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-424.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)113.37%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-255.37%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-192.26%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-485.24%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.11%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.39%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.14%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.68%
PT rev (1m)14.29%
PT rev (3m)40.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)14.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)14.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)16.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-44.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 16.79
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.97
P/tB 5.39
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.25
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.08
OCFYN/A
SpS0.33
BVpS1.4
TBVpS1.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 53.09%
Cap/Sales 5.22%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
Altman-Z 3.76
F-Score5
WACC8.71%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
EPS Next Y-27.73%
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-20.15%
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.91%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year75.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-34.59%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-21.43%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BBAI.


What is the valuation status for BBAI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of BBAI stock?

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is expected to decline by -27.73% in the next year.


Is the dividend of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.