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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:BBAI - US08975B1098 - Common Stock

6.85 USD
+0.57 (+9.08%)
Last: 9/19/2025, 8:04:01 PM
6.98 USD
+0.13 (+1.9%)
After Hours: 9/19/2025, 8:04:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall BBAI gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated BBAI against 87 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. BBAI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year BBAI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
BBAI had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative operating cash flow.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

BBAI has a Return On Assets of -74.96%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 90.80% of its industry peers.
BBAI has a Return On Equity of -168.55%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 83.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -74.96%
ROE -168.55%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

BBAI's Gross Margin of 27.97% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.
BBAI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.97%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.92 indicates that BBAI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
BBAI has a Altman-Z score (2.92) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39 indicates that BBAI is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.39, BBAI is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.39
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.92
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.3%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

BBAI has a Current Ratio of 1.91. This is a normal value and indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BBAI's Current ratio of 1.91 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI outperforms 57.47% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.91 indicates that BBAI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BBAI has a Quick ratio (1.91) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.91
Quick Ratio 1.91
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for BBAI have decreased strongly by -227.03% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.45% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-227.03%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-880%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.45%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-18.38%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.23% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
BBAI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -2.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.32%
EPS Next 2Y30.96%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.16%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 -1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 24.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y30.96%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BBAI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (9/19/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 6.98 +0.13 (+1.9%)

6.85

+0.57 (+9.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)08-11 2025-08-11/amc
Earnings (Next)11-03 2025-11-03/amc
Inst Owners25.9%
Inst Owner Change23.3%
Ins Owners1.19%
Ins Owner Change6.88%
Market Cap2.54B
Analysts80
Price Target4.85 (-29.2%)
Short Float %19.86%
Short Ratio0.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-486.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-658.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-315.2%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-447.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)21.57%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-251.97%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-205.17%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.03%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-15.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-6.03%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-16.18%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.32%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)18.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-15.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-29.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-58.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-11.88%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-28.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-8.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-20.49%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 16.64
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 9.53
P/tB 24.78
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.21
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.21
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.07
OCFYN/A
SpS0.41
BVpS0.72
TBVpS0.28
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -74.96%
ROE -168.55%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.97%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.39
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 78.12%
Cap/Sales 6.89%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.91
Quick Ratio 1.91
Altman-Z 2.92
F-Score3
WACC9.3%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-227.03%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-880%
EPS Next Y11.32%
EPS Next 2Y30.96%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.45%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-18.38%
Revenue Next Year-22.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.16%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.49%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year94.54%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y10.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y34.74%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A