BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:BBAI • US08975B1098

4.78 USD
-0.26 (-5.16%)
At close: Feb 2, 2026
4.83 USD
+0.05 (+1.05%)
After Hours: 2/2/2026, 7:25:07 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to BBAI. BBAI was compared to 88 industry peers in the IT Services industry. While BBAI seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BBAI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year BBAI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • BBAI had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative operating cash flow.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • BBAI has a Return On Assets of -47.25%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BBAI underperforms 84.09% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI has a worse Return On Equity (-71.24%) than 78.41% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

  • BBAI's Gross Margin of 27.28% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 67.05% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.
  • BBAI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has more shares outstanding
  • BBAI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 3.42. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of BBAI (3.42) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • BBAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.17, BBAI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.42
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.32%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • BBAI has a Current Ratio of 3.13. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BBAI's Current ratio of 3.13 is amongst the best of the industry. BBAI outperforms 80.68% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.13 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 3.13, BBAI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for BBAI have decreased strongly by -155.56% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -6.95% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-20.15%

3.2 Future

  • BBAI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.86% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.16% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.73%
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Also next year BBAI is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 13.86% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • BBAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BBAI.


What is the valuation status of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of BBAI stock?

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BBAI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is expected to decline by -27.73% in the next year.