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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BBAI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US08975B1098 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.72  +0.17 (+4.79%)

After market: 3.75 +0.03 (+0.81%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, BBAI scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BBAI was compared to 82 industry peers in the IT Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of BBAI have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, BBAI is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

BBAI had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year BBAI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative net income.
BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -58.64%, BBAI is not doing good in the industry: 90.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Return On Equity of BBAI (-117.49%) is worse than 81.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -58.64%
ROE -117.49%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 28.54%, BBAI is doing worse than 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BBAI has grown nicely.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for BBAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 28.54%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for BBAI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
BBAI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BBAI has an Altman-Z score of 1.02. This is a bad value and indicates that BBAI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.02, BBAI is doing worse than 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.51 indicates that BBAI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.51, BBAI is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.34% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.02
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.57%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.66 indicates that BBAI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.66, BBAI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
BBAI has a Quick Ratio of 1.66. This is a normal value and indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BBAI's Quick ratio of 1.66 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.66
Quick Ratio 1.66
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BBAI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -75.00%.
BBAI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.36%.
Measured over the past years, BBAI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-14.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.36%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.94%

3.2 Future

BBAI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.23% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, BBAI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.63% on average per year.
EPS Next Y62.78%
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.94%
Revenue Next 2Y5.21%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 24.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

BBAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (5/21/2025, 4:35:17 PM)

After market: 3.75 +0.03 (+0.81%)

3.72

+0.17 (+4.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners41.79%
Inst Owner Change17.1%
Ins Owners1.49%
Ins Owner Change1.51%
Market Cap1.08B
Analysts78.18
Price Target4.08 (9.68%)
Short Float %21.48%
Short Ratio1.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-576.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(2)-315.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-275.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)29.97%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-176.76%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-185.21%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.03%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-6.03%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-14%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-8.57%
PT rev (3m)52.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)-26.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-15.7%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 6.78
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 5.48
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.77
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.16
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.1
OCFYN/A
SpS0.55
BVpS0.68
TBVpS-0.13
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -58.64%
ROE -117.49%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 28.54%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 85.66%
Cap/Sales 6.91%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.66
Quick Ratio 1.66
Altman-Z 1.02
F-Score4
WACC9.57%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-14.29%
EPS Next Y62.78%
EPS Next 2Y33.65%
EPS Next 3Y24.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.36%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.94%
Revenue Next Year-1.94%
Revenue Next 2Y5.21%
Revenue Next 3Y14.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-52.99%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year95.13%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y22.93%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y43.04%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A