AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AXL • US0240611030
9 USD
+0.78 (+9.49%)
At close: Feb 4, 2026
9.14 USD
+0.14 (+1.56%)
After Hours: 2/4/2026, 8:04:32 PM
Overall AXL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AXL against 41 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. While AXL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AXL has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AXL was profitable.
- AXL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In multiple years AXL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- In the past 5 years AXL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.75%, AXL is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.49% of the companies in the same industry.
- AXL's Return On Equity of 5.58% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AXL outperforms 67.44% of its industry peers.
- AXL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.97% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AXL outperforms 48.84% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AXL is below the industry average of 9.03%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (4.62%) for AXL is below the current ROIC(4.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.75% | ||
| ROE | 5.58% | ||
| ROIC | 4.97% |
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of AXL (0.69%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AXL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- AXL has a Operating Margin (4.39%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- AXL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 12.31%, AXL is not doing good in the industry: 74.42% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AXL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.69% | ||
| GM | 12.31% |
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AXL is destroying value.
- AXL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for AXL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AXL has about the same debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.56, we must say that AXL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AXL's Altman-Z score of 1.56 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AXL outperforms 48.84% of its industry peers.
- AXL has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AXL would need 16.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 16.22, AXL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.51% of the companies in the same industry.
- AXL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.61. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- AXL's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.61 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AXL is outperformed by 88.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC8.11%
2.3 Liquidity
- AXL has a Current Ratio of 1.77. This is a normal value and indicates that AXL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AXL has a Current ratio (1.77) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that AXL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- AXL's Quick ratio of 1.43 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AXL outperforms 65.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- AXL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -16.67%.
- Measured over the past years, AXL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -20.64% on average per year.
- AXL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.02%.
- The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AXL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 30.48% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AXL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.46% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-15.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.24%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue Next Year-4.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.23%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AXL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.50.
- AXL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- AXL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.99.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.02, the valuation of AXL can be described as correct.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AXL.
- AXL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.02 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- AXL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AXL is cheaper than 93.02% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AXL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.02% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as AXL's earnings are expected to grow with 22.24% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.24%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for AXL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
9
+0.78 (+9.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)11-07 2025-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-13 2026-02-13/amc
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner Change0.18%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change14.24%
Market Cap1.07B
Revenue(TTM)5.83B
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts70
Price Target9.97 (10.78%)
Short Float %32.33%
Short Ratio8.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)23.15%
Min EPS beat(2)14.91%
Max EPS beat(2)31.39%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)77.08%
Min EPS beat(4)14.91%
Max EPS beat(4)227.01%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)213.37%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)17.6%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)36.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.37%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.28%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.36%
PT rev (1m)32.35%
PT rev (3m)42.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-245.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.03%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.02 | ||
| P/S | 0.18 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.62 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.42 | ||
| P/B | 1.49 | ||
| P/tB | 7.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.16 |
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY4.44%
EPS(NY)0.64
Fwd EY7.13%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY15.1%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY41.4%
SpS49.15
BVpS6.05
TBVpS1.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.75% | ||
| ROE | 5.58% | ||
| ROCE | 6.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.02% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.26% | ||
| OM | 4.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.69% | ||
| GM | 12.31% | ||
| FCFM | 2.77% |
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc(3y)6.63%
ROICexgc(5y)6.27%
ROCE(3y)5.85%
ROCE(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.43% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.56 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 61.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 402.24% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.56 |
F-Score8
WACC8.11%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)43.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
EPS Next Y-15.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.24%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
Revenue Next Year-4.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.23%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.31%
EBIT Next Year186.84%
EBIT Next 3Y44.38%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y-45.43%
FCF growth 3Y-16.99%
FCF growth 5Y10.25%
OCF growth 1Y-10.05%
OCF growth 3Y-5.43%
OCF growth 5Y-4.04%
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS / AXL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AXL.
What is the valuation status for AXL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AXL stock?
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 22.5 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.49.
How financially healthy is AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?
The financial health rating of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 2 / 10.