AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AXL - US0240611030 - Common Stock
7.7 USD
-0.1 (-1.28%)
7.7 USD
0 (0%)
AXL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 42 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. AXL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AXL has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AXL was profitable.
- AXL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In multiple years AXL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- In the past 5 years AXL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of 0.75%, AXL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of AXL (5.58%) is better than 71.43% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.97%, AXL is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AXL is below the industry average of 9.10%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (4.62%) for AXL is below the current ROIC(4.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.75% | ||
| ROE | 5.58% | ||
| ROIC | 4.97% |
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
1.3 Margins
- AXL has a Profit Margin (0.69%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AXL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.39%, AXL is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AXL has declined.
- AXL's Gross Margin of 12.31% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AXL is outperformed by 73.81% of its industry peers.
- AXL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.69% | ||
| GM | 12.31% |
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- AXL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AXL has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for AXL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- AXL has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
2.2 Solvency
- AXL has an Altman-Z score of 1.54. This is a bad value and indicates that AXL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AXL has a worse Altman-Z score (1.54) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of AXL is 16.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take AXL, 16.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 16.22, AXL is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.61 is on the high side and indicates that AXL has dependencies on debt financing.
- AXL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (3.61) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.63
WACC7.85%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that AXL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- AXL has a Current ratio (1.77) which is in line with its industry peers.
- AXL has a Quick Ratio of 1.43. This is a normal value and indicates that AXL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.43, AXL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AXL have decreased strongly by -16.67% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, AXL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -20.64% on average per year.
- AXL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.02%.
- AXL shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AXL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 30.48% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.46% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-15.93%
EPS Next 2Y14.08%
EPS Next 3Y20.6%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue Next Year-4.53%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.97%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.43%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.25, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AXL.
- AXL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.38, AXL is valued a bit cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.60, the valuation of AXL can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AXL is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.29. AXL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AXL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AXL is cheaper than 97.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AXL is valued cheaper than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as AXL's earnings are expected to grow with 20.60% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.08%
EPS Next 3Y20.6%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- AXL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
7.7
-0.1 (-1.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)11-07 2025-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Inst Owners140.17%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners3.57%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap913.99M
Revenue(TTM)5.83B
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts70
Price Target7.61 (-1.17%)
Short Float %25.17%
Short Ratio9.49
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)23.15%
Min EPS beat(2)14.91%
Max EPS beat(2)31.39%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)77.08%
Min EPS beat(4)14.91%
Max EPS beat(4)227.01%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)213.37%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)17.6%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)36.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.37%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.28%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.36%
PT rev (1m)5.21%
PT rev (3m)16.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-362.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.96%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.6 | ||
| P/S | 0.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.67 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.07 | ||
| P/B | 1.27 | ||
| P/tB | 6.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.95 |
EPS(TTM)0.4
EY5.19%
EPS(NY)0.66
Fwd EY8.62%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY17.65%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY48.39%
SpS49.15
BVpS6.05
TBVpS1.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.75% | ||
| ROE | 5.58% | ||
| ROCE | 6.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.02% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.26% | ||
| OM | 4.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.69% | ||
| GM | 12.31% | ||
| FCFM | 2.77% |
ROA(3y)0.39%
ROA(5y)-1.64%
ROE(3y)3.42%
ROE(5y)-28%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.36%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc(3y)6.63%
ROICexgc(5y)6.27%
ROCE(3y)5.85%
ROCE(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.31%
OM growth 3Y-7.92%
OM growth 5Y-8.14%
PM growth 3Y70.91%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.77%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.43% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.56 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 61.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 402.24% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.54 |
F-Score8
WACC7.85%
ROIC/WACC0.63
Cap/Depr(3y)43.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)40.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.67%
EPS 3Y-17.85%
EPS 5Y-20.64%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
EPS Next Y-15.93%
EPS Next 2Y14.08%
EPS Next 3Y20.6%
EPS Next 5Y30.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.02%
Revenue growth 3Y5.9%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.28%
Sales Q2Q%0.03%
Revenue Next Year-4.53%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.97%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.43%
Revenue Next 5Y1.46%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.31%
EBIT Next Year186.93%
EBIT Next 3Y43.59%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y-45.43%
FCF growth 3Y-16.99%
FCF growth 5Y10.25%
OCF growth 1Y-10.05%
OCF growth 3Y-5.43%
OCF growth 5Y-4.04%
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS / AXL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AXL.
What is the valuation status for AXL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AXL stock?
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 19.25 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.27.
How financially healthy is AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS?
The financial health rating of AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HOLDINGS (AXL) is 2 / 10.