AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC (AVB)       174.86  -2.66 (-1.5%)

174.86  -2.66 (-1.5%)

US0534841012 - REIT


Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, AVB scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AVB was compared to 218 industry peers in the Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of AVB get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. AVB is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.




Profitability

Profitability Rating

6

AVB has a Return On Assets of 7.39%. This is amongst the best returns in the industry. The industry average is 4.00%. AVB outperforms 83% of its industry peers.
AVB has a Return On Equity of 13.29%. This is better than the industry average of 9.25%.

AVB has a Profit Margin of 47.47%. This is better than the industry average of 32.35%.
The Piotroski-F score of AVB is 6.00. This is a neutral score and indicates average health and profitability for AVB.
VS Industry

ROA (7.39%) VS Industry: 83% outperformed.

0.02
28.72

ROE (13.29%) VS Industry: 68% outperformed.

0.04
125.88

Profit Margin (47.47%) VS Industry: 67% outperformed.

0.16
684.56

Valuation

Valuation Rating

4

AVB's low PEG Ratio, which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The Price/Earnings Ratio is 22.59, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AVB.
AVB's Price/Earning Ratio is in line with the industry average which is at 25.00.
With a price book ratio of 2.18, AVB is valued correctly.

When comparing the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AVB to the average industry ratio of 17.41, AVB is valued in line with its industry peers.
The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio of 29.35 indicates a quite expensive current valuation of AVB.
When comparing the price book ratio of AVB to the average industry price book ratio of 1.26, AVB is valued more expensive than its industry peers.
VS Industry

Price/Earnings (22.59) VS Industry: 56% outperformed.

318.00
0.83

Price/Book (2.18) VS Industry: 24% outperformed.

97.36
0.07

Enterprise Value/ EBITDA (18.92) VS Industry: 45% outperformed.

146.17
2.93

Growth

Growth Rating

6

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 63.64% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.91% on average over the next 5 years. This is quite good.
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last 5 years to the growth rate of the upcoming 5 years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue has grown by 12.08% in the past year. This is quite good.

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last 5 years to the growth rate of the upcoming 5 years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
Measured over the past 5 years, AVB shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -9.01% on average per year.
AVB shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last 5 years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.33% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.64% on average over the next 5 years.

PastFuture
5Y3Y1Y1Y2Y3Y5Y
EPS-9.01% -12.7% 63.64% 64.58% 12.71% 5.77% 11.91%
Revenue2.33% 0.15% 12.08% 13.28% 10.03% 8.44% 7.64%

Health

Health Rating

4

The Debt to Equity ratio of AVB is way better than the industry averages.
AVB has one of the better Altman-Z scores in its industry. It is much better than the industry average of 0.80. AVB has a better score than 86% of its industry peers.
An Altman-Z score of 1.98 indicates that AVB is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Piotroski-F score of AVB is 6.00. This is a neutral score and indicates average health and profitability for AVB.

A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that AVB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
When comparing the Current Ratio of AVB to the average industry Current Ratio of 0.76, AVB is less able to pay its short term obligations than its industry peers.
AVB has a Quick Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that AVB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Compared to an average industry Quick Ratio of 0.76, AVB is worse placed to pay its short term obligations than its industry peers.
VS Industry

Debt/Equity (0.72) VS Industry: 73% outperformed.

69.38
0.00

Quick Ratio (0.52) VS Industry: 37% outperformed.

0.00
22.38

Current Ratio (0.52) VS Industry: 36% outperformed.

0.00
22.38

Altman-Z (1.98) VS Industry: 86% outperformed.

-1.25
14.35

Dividend

Dividend Rating

6

AVB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.41.
The dividend of AVB is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
AVB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AVB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.73%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.

The dividend of AVB has a limited annual growth rate of 2.94%.
AVB pays out 59.69% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.85, AVB is paying slightly less dividend.
VS Industry

Dividend Yield (3.73%) VS Industry: 24% outperformed.

0.27
22.70

AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC174.86

NYSE:AVB (1/30/2023, 11:47:23 AM)-2.66 (-1.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS Sector Real Estate
GICS IndustryGroup Real Estate
GICS Industry Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Earnings (Last) 11-03 2022-11-03/amc Earnings (Next) 01-31 2023-01-31
Inst Owners 92.21% Inst Owner Change -0.26%
Ins Owners 0.28% Ins Owner Change 0.48%
Market Cap 24.46B Analysts 67.14
Price Target 190.14 (8.74%)

Dividend
Dividend Yield 3.73% Dividend Growth 2.94%
DP 59.69% Ex-Date N/A

Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2) 2 Avg EPS beat(2) 91.87%
Min EPS beat(2) 6.35% Max EPS beat(2) 177.39%
EPS beat(4) 3 Avg EPS beat(4) 78.71%
Min EPS beat(4) -7.04% Max EPS beat(4) 177.39%
Revenue beat(2) 1 Avg Revenue beat(2) 48.49%
Min Revenue beat(2) -0.57% Max Revenue beat(2) 97.54%
Revenue beat(4) 1 Avg Revenue beat(4) 23.99%
Min Revenue beat(4) -0.57% Max Revenue beat(4) 97.54%
PT rev (1m) -3.53% EPS NQ rev (1m) 0%
EPS NY rev (1m) 0% Revenue NQ rev (1m) 0%
Revenue NY rev (1m) 0%

Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.59
Fwd PE 29.35
P/S 7.79
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 17.83
P/B 2.18
P/tB 2.18
EV/EBITDA 18.92
EPS(TTM) 7.74 EY 4.43%
EPS(NY) 5.96 Fwd EY 3.41%
FCF(TTM) -3.53 FCFY N/A
OCF(TTM) 9.81 OCFY 5.61%
SpS 22.44 BVpS 80.13
TBVpS 80.13 PEG (NY) 0.35
PEG (5Y) N/A

Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.39%
ROE 13.29%
ROIC 3.78%
ROICexc 3.82%
ROICexgc 3.83%
OM 29.37%
PM 47.47%
GM 64.22%
ROICexgc(3y) 3.11% ROICexcg growth 3Y -11.24%
ROICexcg growth 5Y -6.57% ROICexc(3y) 3.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y -11.23% ROICexc growth 5Y -6.57%
OM growth 3Y -9.63% OM growth 5Y -7%
PM growth 3Y 0.88% PM growth 5Y -2.84%
GM growth 3Y -1.78% GM growth 5Y -1.17%
F-Score 6 Asset Turnover 0.16

Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.65
Cap/Depr 231.81%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 1.98
F-Score 6 WACC 6.69%
ROIC/WACC 0.57 Cap/Depr(3y) 196.93%
Cap/Depr(5y) 203.84% Profit Quality(3y) N/A
Profit Quality(5y) N/A

Growth
EPS 1Y 63.64% EPS 3Y -12.7%
EPS 5Y -9.01% EPS growth Q2Q 530.36%
EPS Next Y 64.58% EPS Next 2Y 12.71%
EPS Next 3Y 5.77% EPS Next 5Y 11.91%
Revenue growth 1Y 12.08% Revenue growth 3Y 0.15%
Revenue growth 5Y 2.33% Revenue growth Q2Q 14.55%
Revenue Next Year 13.28% Revenue Next 2Y 10.03%
Revenue Next 3Y 8.44% Revenue Next 5Y 7.64%
EBIT growth 1Y 26.57% EBIT growth 3Y -9.49%
EBIT growth 5Y -4.83% EBIT Next Year 127.5%
EBIT Next 3Y 34.8% EBIT Next 5Y 25.46%
FCF growth 1Y -395.43% FCF growth 3Y N/A
FCF growth 5Y N/A OCF growth 1Y 8.11%
OCF growth 3Y -2.57% OCF growth 5Y 0.73%

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