AVISTA CORP (AVA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AVA • US05379B1070

Current stock price

39.87 USD
+0.58 (+1.48%)
At close:
39.87 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This AVA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AVA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AVA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AVA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • AVA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years AVA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AVA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • AVA has a worse Return On Assets (2.31%) than 69.23% of its industry peers.
  • AVA's Return On Equity of 7.12% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AVA is outperformed by 73.08% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AVA (3.55%) is worse than 69.23% of its industry peers.
  • AVA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.19%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.74%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.55%) for AVA is above the 3 year average (3.19%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.31%
ROE 7.12%
ROIC 3.55%
ROA(3y)2.27%
ROA(5y)2.21%
ROE(3y)6.99%
ROE(5y)6.89%
ROIC(3y)3.19%
ROIC(5y)2.93%
AVA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 9.83%, AVA is not doing good in the industry: 61.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AVA has remained more or less at the same level.
  • AVA has a worse Operating Margin (18.02%) than 73.08% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AVA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.02%
PM (TTM) 9.83%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y17.46%
OM growth 5Y0.47%
PM growth 3Y2.69%
PM growth 5Y0.06%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AVA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

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1

2. AVA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AVA is destroying value.
  • AVA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • AVA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • AVA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AVA Yearly Shares OutstandingAVA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
AVA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.85, we must say that AVA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.85, AVA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.19 is on the high side and indicates that AVA has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AVA's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.19 is amongst the best of the industry. AVA outperforms 80.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.85
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.32%
AVA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.83 indicates that AVA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AVA has a Current ratio of 0.83. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AVA outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.56 indicates that AVA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AVA has a Quick ratio (0.56) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.83
Quick Ratio 0.56
AVA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. AVA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AVA shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.82%.
  • AVA shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.70% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.34% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AVA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.24% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.82%
EPS 3Y4.08%
EPS 5Y4.7%
EPS Q2Q%3.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.34%
Revenue growth 3Y4.72%
Revenue growth 5Y8.24%
Sales Q2Q%0.04%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AVA will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.14% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y13.23%
EPS Next 2Y9.94%
EPS Next 3Y7.89%
EPS Next 5Y7.14%
Revenue Next Year0.1%
Revenue Next 2Y2.09%
Revenue Next 3Y2.77%
Revenue Next 5Y2.24%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AVA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
AVA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3

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4

4. AVA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AVA is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.68.
  • AVA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AVA is cheaper than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.71, AVA is valued a bit cheaper.
  • AVA is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.73.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AVA is valued a bit cheaper than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.83, AVA is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.68
Fwd PE 14.73
AVA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AVA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AVA is cheaper than 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.48
AVA Per share dataAVA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AVA's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)3.55
EPS Next 2Y9.94%
EPS Next 3Y7.89%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

8

5. AVA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.01%, AVA is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • AVA's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.06.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, AVA pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.01%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AVA has a limited annual growth rate of 3.86%.
  • AVA has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • AVA has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.86%
Div Incr Years22
Div Non Decr Years25
AVA Yearly Dividends per shareAVA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 82.38% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AVA. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • AVA's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP82.38%
EPS Next 2Y9.94%
EPS Next 3Y7.89%
AVA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAVA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M -300M
AVA Dividend Payout.AVA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AVA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AVA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AVISTA CORP

NYSE:AVA (3/13/2026, 8:10:40 PM)

After market: 39.87 0 (0%)

39.87

+0.58 (+1.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryMulti-Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-25
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners88.91%
Inst Owner Change1.38%
Ins Owners0.61%
Ins Owner Change2.11%
Market Cap3.28B
Revenue(TTM)1.96B
Net Income(TTM)193.00M
Analysts52.31
Price Target41.21 (3.36%)
Short Float %4.19%
Short Ratio4.72
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.01%
Yearly Dividend1.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.86%
DP82.38%
Div Incr Years22
Div Non Decr Years25
Ex-Date02-25
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)5.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.58%
Max EPS beat(2)24.98%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.54%
Max EPS beat(4)24.98%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)6.84%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)6.61%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.91%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.29%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.65%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.5%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.29%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.35%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.77%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.95%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.3%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.98%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.68
Fwd PE 14.73
P/S 1.67
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 6.99
P/B 1.21
P/tB 1.23
EV/EBITDA 9.48
EPS(TTM)2.39
EY5.99%
EPS(NY)2.71
Fwd EY6.79%
FCF(TTM)-1.23
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)5.7
OCFY14.3%
SpS23.88
BVpS32.94
TBVpS32.3
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)3.55
Graham Number42.08
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.31%
ROE 7.12%
ROCE 4.73%
ROIC 3.55%
ROICexc 3.56%
ROICexgc 3.59%
OM 18.02%
PM (TTM) 9.83%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.27%
ROA(5y)2.21%
ROE(3y)6.99%
ROE(5y)6.89%
ROIC(3y)3.19%
ROIC(5y)2.93%
ROICexc(3y)3.2%
ROICexc(5y)2.94%
ROICexgc(3y)3.22%
ROICexgc(5y)2.96%
ROCE(3y)4.24%
ROCE(5y)3.9%
ROICexgc growth 3Y17.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.31%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.84%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.35%
OM growth 3Y17.46%
OM growth 5Y0.47%
PM growth 3Y2.69%
PM growth 5Y0.06%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.02
Cap/Depr 197.23%
Cap/Sales 29.02%
Interest Coverage 2.46
Cash Conversion 72.94%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.83
Quick Ratio 0.56
Altman-Z 0.85
F-Score6
WACC6.32%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)193.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)189.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)28.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.82%
EPS 3Y4.08%
EPS 5Y4.7%
EPS Q2Q%3.53%
EPS Next Y13.23%
EPS Next 2Y9.94%
EPS Next 3Y7.89%
EPS Next 5Y7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.34%
Revenue growth 3Y4.72%
Revenue growth 5Y8.24%
Sales Q2Q%0.04%
Revenue Next Year0.1%
Revenue Next 2Y2.09%
Revenue Next 3Y2.77%
Revenue Next 5Y2.24%
EBIT growth 1Y15.69%
EBIT growth 3Y23.01%
EBIT growth 5Y8.75%
EBIT Next Year76.14%
EBIT Next 3Y26.37%
EBIT Next 5Y17.39%
FCF growth 1Y-10200%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-12.17%
OCF growth 3Y55.72%
OCF growth 5Y7.22%

AVISTA CORP / AVA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVISTA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AVA.


Can you provide the valuation status for AVISTA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to AVISTA CORP (AVA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is AVISTA CORP (AVA) stock?

AVISTA CORP (AVA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is AVISTA CORP?

The financial health rating of AVISTA CORP (AVA) is 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AVA stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AVISTA CORP (AVA) is expected to grow by 13.23% in the next year.