ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ATO • US0495601058

185.38 USD
-1.39 (-0.74%)
At close: Mar 5, 2026
185.38 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/5/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This ATO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall ATO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated ATO against 15 industry peers in the Gas Utilities industry. While ATO has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ATO is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. ATO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ATO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ATO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ATO has been profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years ATO 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ATO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.19%, ATO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATO has a Return On Equity (8.75%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ATO's Return On Invested Capital of 4.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ATO outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ATO is in line with the industry average of 6.13%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (4.71%) for ATO is above the 3 year average (4.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.19%
ROE 8.75%
ROIC 4.71%
ROA(3y)4.1%
ROA(5y)3.84%
ROE(3y)8.52%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)4.53%
ROIC(5y)4.46%
ATO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • ATO has a better Profit Margin (25.66%) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • ATO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 33.17%, ATO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 76.83%, ATO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ATO has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 25.66%
GM 76.83%
OM growth 3Y14.81%
OM growth 5Y2.57%
PM growth 3Y11.42%
PM growth 5Y3.65%
GM growth 3Y8.86%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
ATO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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4

2. ATO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ATO is destroying value.
  • ATO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • ATO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ATO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ATO Yearly Shares OutstandingATO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
ATO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.78, we must say that ATO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 1.78, ATO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67 indicates that ATO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • ATO has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.67) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.78
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC7.59%
ATO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ATO has a Current Ratio of 1.13. This is a normal value and indicates that ATO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ATO (1.13) is better than 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.02 indicates that ATO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of ATO (1.02) is better than 93.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.02
ATO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. ATO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.16% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, ATO shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.58% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -8.83% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, ATO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.76% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.16%
EPS 3Y9.79%
EPS 5Y9.58%
EPS Q2Q%9.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.83%
Revenue growth 3Y3.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.76%
Sales Q2Q%14.17%

3.2 Future

  • ATO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.34% yearly.
  • ATO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.89%
EPS Next 2Y9.26%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
EPS Next 5Y8.34%
Revenue Next Year9.43%
Revenue Next 2Y11.06%
Revenue Next 3Y10.11%
Revenue Next 5Y9.6%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
ATO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B
ATO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8 10

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1

4. ATO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ATO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.08.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ATO is valued expensively inside the industry as 80.00% of the companies are valued cheaper.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.74. ATO is around the same levels.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.73 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ATO.
  • ATO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. ATO is more expensive than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATO is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.82, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.08
Fwd PE 20.73
ATO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ATO is valued more expensive than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.99
ATO Per share dataATO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ATO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of ATO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.21
PEG (5Y)2.51
EPS Next 2Y9.26%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. ATO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ATO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.18%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.56, ATO's dividend is way lower than its industry peers. On top of this 86.67% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than ATO!
  • ATO's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.18%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of ATO grows each year by 8.68%, which is quite nice.
  • ATO has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • ATO has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.68%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
ATO Yearly Dividends per shareATO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • ATO pays out 46.32% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of ATO is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP46.32%
EPS Next 2Y9.26%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
ATO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendATO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B -3B
ATO Dividend Payout.ATO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ATO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ATO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ATMOS ENERGY CORP

NYSE:ATO (3/5/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 185.38 0 (0%)

185.38

-1.39 (-0.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryGas Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners102.27%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners0.32%
Ins Owner Change4.11%
Market Cap30.67B
Revenue(TTM)4.87B
Net Income(TTM)1.25B
Analysts68.42
Price Target182.25 (-1.69%)
Short Float %2.45%
Short Ratio3.06
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.18%
Yearly Dividend3.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.68%
DP46.32%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-23
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.66%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(2)5.71%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(4)5.71%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)2.85%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.22%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.08%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.23%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.12%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.37%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-15.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.85%
PT rev (1m)2.31%
PT rev (3m)3.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.76%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.08
Fwd PE 20.73
P/S 6.3
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 14.78
P/B 2.15
P/tB 2.28
EV/EBITDA 16.99
EPS(TTM)7.7
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)8.94
Fwd EY4.82%
FCF(TTM)-9.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)12.55
OCFY6.77%
SpS29.43
BVpS86.33
TBVpS81.47
PEG (NY)2.21
PEG (5Y)2.51
Graham Number122.3
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.19%
ROE 8.75%
ROCE 5.7%
ROIC 4.71%
ROICexc 4.78%
ROICexgc 4.92%
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 25.66%
GM 76.83%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.1%
ROA(5y)3.84%
ROE(3y)8.52%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)4.53%
ROIC(5y)4.46%
ROICexc(3y)4.57%
ROICexc(5y)4.49%
ROICexgc(3y)4.73%
ROICexgc(5y)4.67%
ROCE(3y)5.5%
ROCE(5y)5.41%
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y5.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.64%
OM growth 3Y14.81%
OM growth 5Y2.57%
PM growth 3Y11.42%
PM growth 5Y3.65%
GM growth 3Y8.86%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.07
Cap/Depr 494.56%
Cap/Sales 76.06%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 87.79%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.02
Altman-Z 1.78
F-Score3
WACC7.59%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)462.48%
Cap/Depr(5y)451.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)70.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)65.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.16%
EPS 3Y9.79%
EPS 5Y9.58%
EPS Q2Q%9.42%
EPS Next Y10.89%
EPS Next 2Y9.26%
EPS Next 3Y8.74%
EPS Next 5Y8.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.83%
Revenue growth 3Y3.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.76%
Sales Q2Q%14.17%
Revenue Next Year9.43%
Revenue Next 2Y11.06%
Revenue Next 3Y10.11%
Revenue Next 5Y9.6%
EBIT growth 1Y-11%
EBIT growth 3Y19.2%
EBIT growth 5Y13.61%
EBIT Next Year60.48%
EBIT Next 3Y26.93%
EBIT Next 5Y22.49%
FCF growth 1Y-321.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-40.97%
OCF growth 3Y27.99%
OCF growth 5Y14.57%

ATMOS ENERGY CORP / ATO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ATO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ATO.


What is the valuation status for ATO stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ATO stock?

ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) is expected to grow by 10.89% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ATO stock?

The dividend rating of ATMOS ENERGY CORP (ATO) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 46.32%.