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ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:ATH - CA04682R1073 - Common Stock

6.31 CAD
+0.18 (+2.94%)
Last: 10/17/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, ATH scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ATH was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. ATH gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. ATH may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth With these ratings, ATH could be worth investigating further for value and quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ATH was profitable.
ATH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ATH reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years ATH 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

ATH has a Return On Assets of 18.66%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 96.19% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 26.06%, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 14.10%, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ATH is above the industry average of 6.85%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.38%) for ATH is below the current ROIC(14.10%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.66%
ROE 26.06%
ROIC 14.1%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

ATH has a Profit Margin of 32.99%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 88.10% of its industry peers.
ATH's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ATH has a Operating Margin of 29.77%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ATH has grown nicely.
ATH's Gross Margin of 63.49% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATH outperforms 79.05% of its industry peers.
ATH's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.77%
PM (TTM) 32.99%
GM 63.49%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ATH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ATH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ATH has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.71 indicates that ATH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.71, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ATH is 0.68, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ATH, only 0.68 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ATH has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.68) than 93.81% of its industry peers.
ATH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ATH (0.11) is better than 69.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.68
Altman-Z 3.71
ROIC/WACC1.73
WACC8.14%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

ATH has a Current Ratio of 2.34. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ATH's Current ratio of 2.34 is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
ATH has a Quick Ratio of 2.15. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.15, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.34
Quick Ratio 2.15
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ATH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 480.00%, which is quite impressive.
ATH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 84.71% yearly.
Looking at the last year, ATH shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.92% in the last year.
ATH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.85% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)480%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%-35.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.92%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-6.71%

3.2 Future

ATH is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.12% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -62.90% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-38.34%
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y14.85%
EPS Next 5Y13.12%
Revenue Next Year-0.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.89%
Revenue Next 3Y-62.9%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.25, the valuation of ATH can be described as very cheap.
ATH's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ATH is cheaper than 84.76% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.40. ATH is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.50, the valuation of ATH can be described as correct.
61.90% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
ATH is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.94, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.25
Fwd PE 12.5
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ATH is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ATH is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.69
EV/EBITDA 5.38
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ATH has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
ATH's earnings are expected to grow with 14.85% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.09
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y14.85%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ATH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (10/17/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

6.31

+0.18 (+2.94%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)07-24 2025-07-24/amc
Earnings (Next)10-28 2025-10-28
Inst Owners15.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.11B
Analysts73.85
Price Target6.66 (5.55%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.91%
Min EPS beat(2)-16.22%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.59%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)43.53%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.11%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-9.33%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-50.74%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)173.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-31.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-30.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-30.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-32.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)-26.67%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)4.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)49.54%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.25
Fwd PE 12.5
P/S 2.22
P/FCF 10.69
P/OCF 5.44
P/B 1.75
P/tB 1.75
EV/EBITDA 5.38
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY13.79%
EPS(NY)0.51
Fwd EY8%
FCF(TTM)0.59
FCFY9.35%
OCF(TTM)1.16
OCFY18.37%
SpS2.84
BVpS3.6
TBVpS3.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.09
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.66%
ROE 26.06%
ROCE 18.44%
ROIC 14.1%
ROICexc 16.29%
ROICexgc 16.29%
OM 29.77%
PM (TTM) 32.99%
GM 63.49%
FCFM 20.76%
ROA(3y)14.02%
ROA(5y)4.44%
ROE(3y)19%
ROE(5y)-2.87%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.18%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.18%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.57%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexcg growth 5Y42.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.21%
OM growth 3Y38.33%
OM growth 5Y30.41%
PM growth 3Y-14.63%
PM growth 5Y1.59%
GM growth 3Y1.13%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 0.68
Debt/EBITDA 0.36
Cap/Depr 225.51%
Cap/Sales 20%
Interest Coverage 20.32
Cash Conversion 105.47%
Profit Quality 62.92%
Current Ratio 2.34
Quick Ratio 2.15
Altman-Z 3.71
F-Score7
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC1.73
Cap/Depr(3y)160.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)134.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)480%
EPS 3Y0.21%
EPS 5Y84.71%
EPS Q2Q%-35.29%
EPS Next Y-38.34%
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y14.85%
EPS Next 5Y13.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.92%
Revenue growth 3Y18%
Revenue growth 5Y11.85%
Sales Q2Q%-6.71%
Revenue Next Year-0.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.89%
Revenue Next 3Y-62.9%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y63.22%
EBIT growth 5Y45.86%
EBIT Next Year101.36%
EBIT Next 3Y45.98%
EBIT Next 5Y34.13%
FCF growth 1Y139%
FCF growth 3Y41.42%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y124.03%
OCF growth 3Y42.1%
OCF growth 5Y43.2%