ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:ATH • CA04682R1073

Current stock price

11.91 CAD
-0.05 (-0.42%)
Last:

This ATH.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. ATH.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ATH was profitable.
  • ATH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years ATH 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ATH had a positive operating cash flow.
ATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.61%, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATH's Return On Equity of 13.82% is amongst the best of the industry. ATH outperforms 90.15% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 12.48%, ATH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ATH is above the industry average of 6.97%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.56%) for ATH is below the current ROIC(12.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.61%
ROE 13.82%
ROIC 12.48%
ROA(3y)8.67%
ROA(5y)15.59%
ROE(3y)12.45%
ROE(5y)23.08%
ROIC(3y)11.56%
ROIC(5y)9.69%
ATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • ATH has a Profit Margin of 18.66%. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 79.80% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ATH has declined.
  • ATH has a Operating Margin of 28.34%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ATH outperforms 82.27% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ATH has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of ATH (62.86%) is better than 79.80% of its industry peers.
  • ATH's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.34%
PM (TTM) 18.66%
GM 62.86%
OM growth 3Y15.44%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-26.37%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
ATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

8

2. ATH.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ATH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ATH has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ATH has less shares outstanding
  • ATH has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • ATH has an Altman-Z score of 5.51. This indicates that ATH is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ATH has a better Altman-Z score (5.51) than 84.24% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ATH is 1.00, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ATH, only 1.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.00, ATH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ATH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • ATH has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11. This is in the better half of the industry: ATH outperforms 71.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1
Altman-Z 5.51
ROIC/WACC1.56
WACC8.02%
ATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ATH has a Current Ratio of 1.78. This is a normal value and indicates that ATH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ATH has a better Current ratio (1.78) than 75.37% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that ATH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.62, ATH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.62
ATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. ATH.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ATH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -43.02%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.86% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • Looking at the last year, ATH shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -4.07% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 21.12% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-43.02%
EPS 3Y26.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-80%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.07%
Revenue growth 3Y2.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.12%
Sales Q2Q%-14.59%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 31.37% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ATH will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -62.75% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-34.04%
EPS Next 2Y9.34%
EPS Next 3Y31.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-20.76%
Revenue Next 3Y-62.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
ATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. ATH.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 24.31 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ATH.
  • 64.53% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • ATH's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.64.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.85, ATH can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • ATH's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ATH to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.36), we can say ATH is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.31
Fwd PE 36.85
ATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ATH's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 65.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ATH, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 29.12
EV/EBITDA 11.26
ATH.CA Per share dataATH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of ATH may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ATH's earnings are expected to grow with 31.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.34%
EPS Next 3Y31.37%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ATH.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ATH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

ATH.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ATHABASCA OIL CORP

TSX:ATH (5/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

11.91

-0.05 (-0.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength86.61
Industry Growth44.78
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners24.4%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.98%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.76B
Revenue(TTM)1.31B
Net Income(TTM)245.11M
Analysts73.33
Price Target9.75 (-18.14%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.99%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-12.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.66%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.99%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)16.51%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-62.78%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-52.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-30.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-37.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-31.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-37.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-23.87%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-28.68%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)21.64%
PT rev (3m)24.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.86%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.31
Fwd PE 36.85
P/S 4.39
P/FCF 29.12
P/OCF 11.07
P/B 3.25
P/tB 3.25
EV/EBITDA 11.26
EPS(TTM)0.49
EY4.11%
EPS(NY)0.32
Fwd EY2.71%
FCF(TTM)0.41
FCFY3.43%
OCF(TTM)1.08
OCFY9.03%
SpS2.72
BVpS3.67
TBVpS3.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.35767 (-46.62%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.61%
ROE 13.82%
ROCE 16.4%
ROIC 12.48%
ROICexc 14.5%
ROICexgc 14.5%
OM 28.34%
PM (TTM) 18.66%
GM 62.86%
FCFM 15.06%
ROA(3y)8.67%
ROA(5y)15.59%
ROE(3y)12.45%
ROE(5y)23.08%
ROIC(3y)11.56%
ROIC(5y)9.69%
ROICexc(3y)13.7%
ROICexc(5y)11.35%
ROICexgc(3y)13.7%
ROICexgc(5y)11.35%
ROCE(3y)15.19%
ROCE(5y)12.73%
ROICexgc growth 3Y14.09%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y14.09%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y15.44%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-26.37%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1
Debt/EBITDA 0.39
Cap/Depr 245.65%
Cap/Sales 24.55%
Interest Coverage 22.49
Cash Conversion 103.34%
Profit Quality 80.75%
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z 5.51
F-Score5
WACC8.02%
ROIC/WACC1.56
Cap/Depr(3y)201.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)164.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-43.02%
EPS 3Y26.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-80%
EPS Next Y-34.04%
EPS Next 2Y9.34%
EPS Next 3Y31.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.07%
Revenue growth 3Y2.37%
Revenue growth 5Y21.12%
Sales Q2Q%-14.59%
Revenue Next Year-8.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-20.76%
Revenue Next 3Y-62.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-10.06%
EBIT growth 3Y18.18%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year44.67%
EBIT Next 3Y42.68%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.52%
FCF growth 3Y5.57%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.65%
OCF growth 3Y18.15%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ATHABASCA OIL CORP / ATH.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ATH.CA.


What is the valuation status for ATH stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of ATH stock?

ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ATH stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATHABASCA OIL CORP (ATH.CA) is expected to decline by -34.04% in the next year.