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ARGONAUT GOLD INC (AR.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:AR - CA04016A1012 - Common Stock

0.52 CAD
+0.02 (+4%)
Last: 7/16/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall AR gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AR against 792 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AR has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AR has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AR had negative earnings in the past year.
AR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AR reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years AR 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -27.87%, AR is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.07% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of AR (-59.12%) is worse than 63.50% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.58%, AR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.41% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AR is significantly below the industry average of 12.40%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.87%
ROE -59.12%
ROIC 0.58%
ROA(3y)-2.52%
ROA(5y)-4.31%
ROE(3y)-3.69%
ROE(5y)-5.35%
ROIC(3y)2.78%
ROIC(5y)3.46%
AR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

AR's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AR has a better Operating Margin (1.82%) than 89.03% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AR has declined.
The Gross Margin of AR (9.89%) is better than 86.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AR has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.82%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.89%
OM growth 3Y-39.22%
OM growth 5Y-16.56%
PM growth 3Y32.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-25.39%
GM growth 5Y-9.67%
AR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AR has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AR has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, AR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.19, we must say that AR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.19, AR is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.07% of the companies in the same industry.
AR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AR is outperformed by 69.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.19
ROIC/WACC0.07
WACC8.78%
AR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.61 indicates that AR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AR (0.61) is worse than 71.39% of its industry peers.
AR has a Quick Ratio of 0.61. This is a bad value and indicates that AR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.52, AR is not doing good in the industry: 72.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.61
Quick Ratio 0.52
AR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 33.33% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -34.02% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.81% in the last year.
AR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.69% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.33%
EPS 3Y-63.75%
EPS 5Y-34.02%
EPS Q2Q%-3400%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.81%
Revenue growth 3Y5.22%
Revenue growth 5Y13.69%
Sales Q2Q%-49.65%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 38.79% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y930%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y45.65%
EPS Next 5Y38.79%
Revenue Next Year11.39%
Revenue Next 2Y2.15%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.34%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
AR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 30.39, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AR.
AR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AR is cheaper than 87.42% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.35), we can say AR is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 30.39
AR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

AR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AR is cheaper than 89.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.92
AR.CA Per share dataAR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.2 0.4 0.6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AR's earnings are expected to grow with 45.65% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y45.65%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ARGONAUT GOLD INC

TSX:AR (7/16/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

0.52

+0.02 (+4%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-15 2024-05-15/amc
Earnings (Next)08-07 2024-08-07/amc
Inst Owners40.74%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap659.92M
Revenue(TTM)338.22M
Net Income(TTM)-342030000
Analysts80
Price Target0.52 (0%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-40.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-74.64%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.26%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-0.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)100%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 30.39
P/S 1.41
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 26.58
P/B 0.82
P/tB 0.82
EV/EBITDA 13.92
EPS(TTM)-0.03
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.02
Fwd EY3.29%
FCF(TTM)-0.18
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.02
OCFY3.76%
SpS0.37
BVpS0.63
TBVpS0.63
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.87%
ROE -59.12%
ROCE 0.8%
ROIC 0.58%
ROICexc 0.58%
ROICexgc 0.58%
OM 1.82%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.89%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-2.52%
ROA(5y)-4.31%
ROE(3y)-3.69%
ROE(5y)-5.35%
ROIC(3y)2.78%
ROIC(5y)3.46%
ROICexc(3y)3.29%
ROICexc(5y)4.12%
ROICexgc(3y)3.29%
ROICexgc(5y)4.12%
ROCE(3y)3.87%
ROCE(5y)4.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-47.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-17.75%
ROICexc growth 3Y-47.23%
ROICexc growth 5Y-17.75%
OM growth 3Y-39.22%
OM growth 5Y-16.56%
PM growth 3Y32.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-25.39%
GM growth 5Y-9.67%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.41
Cap/Depr 362.77%
Cap/Sales 54.02%
Interest Coverage 0.18
Cash Conversion 31.74%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.61
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z -0.19
F-Score5
WACC8.78%
ROIC/WACC0.07
Cap/Depr(3y)462.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)324.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)70.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.33%
EPS 3Y-63.75%
EPS 5Y-34.02%
EPS Q2Q%-3400%
EPS Next Y930%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y45.65%
EPS Next 5Y38.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.81%
Revenue growth 3Y5.22%
Revenue growth 5Y13.69%
Sales Q2Q%-49.65%
Revenue Next Year11.39%
Revenue Next 2Y2.15%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.34%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-36.04%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.14%
EBIT Next Year59.99%
EBIT Next 3Y-8.57%
EBIT Next 5Y-2.44%
FCF growth 1Y8.81%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-83.47%
OCF growth 3Y-26.18%
OCF growth 5Y7.17%

ARGONAUT GOLD INC / AR.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ARGONAUT GOLD INC (AR.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AR.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for ARGONAUT GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ARGONAUT GOLD INC (AR.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ARGONAUT GOLD INC (AR.CA) stock?

ARGONAUT GOLD INC (AR.CA) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ARGONAUT GOLD INC (AR.CA) is expected to grow by 930% in the next year.