AMCOR PLC (AMCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AMCR - JE00BJ1F3079 - Common Stock
7.9 USD
+0.05 (+0.64%)
7.91 USD
+0.01 (+0.13%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AMCR. AMCR was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. While AMCR is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AMCR has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMCR was profitable.
In the past year AMCR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years AMCR has been profitable.
In the past 5 years AMCR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AMCR has a Return On Assets (1.38%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AMCR has a Return On Equity (4.36%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AMCR has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.51%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMCR is in line with the industry average of 7.18%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 4.36% | ||
| ROIC | 3.51% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.40%, AMCR is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
AMCR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AMCR has a Operating Margin of 8.77%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMCR outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMCR has remained more or less at the same level.
AMCR has a worse Gross Margin (18.88%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
AMCR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.4% | ||
| GM | 18.88% |
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMCR is still creating some value.
AMCR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMCR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
AMCR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.02, we must say that AMCR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AMCR has a Altman-Z score of 1.02. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMCR underperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
AMCR has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.40. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AMCR would need 17.40 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMCR has a Debt to FCF ratio (17.40) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.19 is on the high side and indicates that AMCR has dependencies on debt financing.
AMCR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (1.19) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC4.08%
2.3 Liquidity
AMCR has a Current Ratio of 1.21. This is a normal value and indicates that AMCR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AMCR (1.21) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
AMCR has a Quick Ratio of 1.21. This is a bad value and indicates that AMCR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AMCR has a Quick ratio of 0.71. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMCR underperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMCR have decreased by -0.14% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.22% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, AMCR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.04% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AMCR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.78% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.14%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%-5.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%43.76%
3.2 Future
AMCR is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.29% yearly.
AMCR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 12.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.33%
EPS Next 2Y13.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.65%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue Next Year52.51%
Revenue Next 2Y24.22%
Revenue Next 3Y17.75%
Revenue Next 5Y12.16%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.29, the valuation of AMCR can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMCR is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AMCR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.11), we can say AMCR is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.66, the valuation of AMCR can be described as very reasonable.
81.82% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMCR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMCR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.55), we can say AMCR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMCR is valued a bit more expensive than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AMCR.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.09
EPS Next 2Y13.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.50%, AMCR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.54, AMCR pays a better dividend. On top of this AMCR pays more dividend than 95.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMCR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.37.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.5% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AMCR decreases each year by -1.15%.
AMCR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AMCR has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
165.36% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AMCR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP165.36%
EPS Next 2Y13.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.65%
7.9
+0.05 (+0.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners68.91%
Inst Owner Change-0.2%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change-3.61%
Market Cap18.24B
Revenue(TTM)15.01B
Net Income(TTM)511.00M
Analysts78.89
Price Target10.75 (36.08%)
Short Float %3.26%
Short Ratio3.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.5% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.15%
DP165.36%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.16%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.73%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.59%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.93%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.5%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.29%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.31%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.67%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.73%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.24%
PT rev (1m)-1.61%
PT rev (3m)-5.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.22%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.66 | ||
| P/S | 1.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.51 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.12 | ||
| P/B | 1.55 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.4 |
EPS(TTM)0.7
EY8.86%
EPS(NY)0.82
Fwd EY10.35%
FCF(TTM)0.35
FCFY4.44%
OCF(TTM)0.6
OCFY7.62%
SpS6.5
BVpS5.08
TBVpS-3.01
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.09
Graham Number8.95
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 4.36% | ||
| ROCE | 4.38% | ||
| ROIC | 3.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.93% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.4% | ||
| GM | 18.88% | ||
| FCFM | 5.4% |
ROA(3y)3.97%
ROA(5y)4.39%
ROE(3y)16.31%
ROE(5y)17.65%
ROIC(3y)7.02%
ROIC(5y)7.88%
ROICexc(3y)7.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.34%
ROICexgc(3y)17.83%
ROICexgc(5y)20.43%
ROCE(3y)8.76%
ROCE(5y)9.85%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.18%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.71%
OM growth 5Y-0.3%
PM growth 3Y-14.9%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-0.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.4 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.85 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 80.33% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.2% | ||
| Profit Quality | 158.51% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score6
WACC4.08%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.66%
Profit Quality(3y)114.49%
Profit Quality(5y)112.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.14%
EPS 3Y-4.46%
EPS 5Y2.22%
EPS Q2Q%-5.21%
EPS Next Y16.33%
EPS Next 2Y13.64%
EPS Next 3Y11.65%
EPS Next 5Y7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.05%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%43.76%
Revenue Next Year52.51%
Revenue Next 2Y24.22%
Revenue Next 3Y17.75%
Revenue Next 5Y12.16%
EBIT growth 1Y0.38%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.71%
EBIT growth 5Y3.46%
EBIT Next Year127.13%
EBIT Next 3Y36.14%
EBIT Next 5Y18.28%
FCF growth 1Y-2.29%
FCF growth 3Y-4.29%
FCF growth 5Y-3.83%
OCF growth 1Y5.22%
OCF growth 3Y-1.42%
OCF growth 5Y0.08%
AMCOR PLC / AMCR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMCR.
What is the valuation status of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMCOR PLC (AMCR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AMCOR PLC (AMCR) stock?
AMCOR PLC (AMCR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AMCR stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is 11.29 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.55.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AMCR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMCOR PLC (AMCR) is expected to grow by 16.33% in the next year.