ALSTOM (ALO.PA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

EPA:ALO • FR0010220475

Current stock price

17.085 EUR
+0.45 (+2.67%)
Last:

This ALO.PA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. ALO.PA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ALO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • ALO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years ALO reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: ALO reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
ALO.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALO.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • ALO's Return On Assets of 0.92% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALO is outperformed by 67.29% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.03%, ALO is doing worse than 63.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ALO has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.65%) than 61.68% of its industry peers.
  • ALO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.46%. This is significantly below the industry average of 8.67%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.46%) for ALO is below the current ROIC(3.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.92%
ROE 3.03%
ROIC 3.65%
ROA(3y)-0.31%
ROA(5y)-0.39%
ROE(3y)-1.2%
ROE(5y)-1.48%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)2.04%
ALO.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALO.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of ALO (1.68%) is worse than 63.55% of its industry peers.
  • ALO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • ALO has a worse Operating Margin (4.01%) than 62.62% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ALO has declined.
  • ALO's Gross Margin of 12.59% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALO is outperformed by 94.39% of its industry peers.
  • ALO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.01%
PM (TTM) 1.68%
GM 12.59%
OM growth 3Y69.79%
OM growth 5Y-11.95%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.37%
GM growth 3Y3.78%
GM growth 5Y-6.9%
ALO.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALO.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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1

2. ALO.PA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ALO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ALO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ALO has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for ALO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ALO.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingALO.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
ALO.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALO.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.83, we must say that ALO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of ALO (0.83) is worse than 77.57% of its industry peers.
  • ALO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of ALO (0.31) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.83
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.03%
ALO.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALO.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.97 indicates that ALO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.97, ALO is not doing good in the industry: 85.98% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that ALO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ALO has a Quick ratio of 0.74. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALO underperforms 72.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.74
ALO.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALO.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. ALO.PA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 208.61% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for ALO have been decreasing by -29.24% on average. This is quite bad
  • ALO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.58%.
  • ALO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 17.65% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)208.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-29.24%
EPS Q2Q%275.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.58%
Revenue growth 3Y6.12%
Revenue growth 5Y17.65%
Sales Q2Q%3.24%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.96% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • ALO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y26.58%
EPS Next 2Y24.16%
EPS Next 3Y19.88%
EPS Next 5Y13.96%
Revenue Next Year3.67%
Revenue Next 2Y4.5%
Revenue Next 3Y4.64%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ALO.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALO.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
ALO.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALO.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

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5

4. ALO.PA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ALO is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.13.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ALO.
  • ALO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.89.
  • ALO is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.82.
  • 94.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ALO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.50. ALO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.13
Fwd PE 7.82
ALO.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALO.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ALO is valued a bit cheaper than 69.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.01
ALO.PA Per share dataALO.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALO's earnings are expected to grow with 19.88% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.16%
EPS Next 3Y19.88%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. ALO.PA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%, ALO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • In the last 3 months the price of ALO has falen by -36.20%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.40, ALO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, ALO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of ALO decreases each year by -59.58%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-59.58%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ALO.PA Yearly Dividends per shareALO.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 11.39% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ALO. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP11.39%
EPS Next 2Y24.16%
EPS Next 3Y19.88%
ALO.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendALO.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B 3B
ALO.PA Dividend Payout.ALO.PA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ALO.PA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ALO.PA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALSTOM

EPA:ALO (4/20/2026, 5:36:15 PM)

17.085

+0.45 (+2.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)01-20
Earnings (Next)05-13
Inst Owners70.09%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.89B
Revenue(TTM)18.77B
Net Income(TTM)316.00M
Analysts71.82
Price Target26.49 (55.05%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.03%
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)-59.58%
DP11.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.26%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.13
Fwd PE 7.82
P/S 0.42
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 20.61
P/B 0.76
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.01
EPS(TTM)0.68
EY3.98%
EPS(NY)2.19
Fwd EY12.79%
FCF(TTM)-0.24
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.83
OCFY4.85%
SpS40.63
BVpS22.55
TBVpS-1.17
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.573 (8.71%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.92%
ROE 3.03%
ROCE 4.97%
ROIC 3.65%
ROICexc 3.76%
ROICexgc 14.71%
OM 4.01%
PM (TTM) 1.68%
GM 12.59%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.31%
ROA(5y)-0.39%
ROE(3y)-1.2%
ROE(5y)-1.48%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)2.04%
ROICexc(3y)2.57%
ROICexc(5y)2.16%
ROICexgc(3y)20.69%
ROICexgc(5y)26.6%
ROCE(3y)3.35%
ROCE(5y)2.78%
ROICexgc growth 3Y15.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-22.05%
ROICexc growth 3Y72.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.96%
OM growth 3Y69.79%
OM growth 5Y-11.95%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.37%
GM growth 3Y3.78%
GM growth 5Y-6.9%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.04
Cap/Depr 58.83%
Cap/Sales 2.63%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 24.07%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 0.83
F-Score8
WACC7.03%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)53.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)55.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.75%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)208.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-29.24%
EPS Q2Q%275.83%
EPS Next Y26.58%
EPS Next 2Y24.16%
EPS Next 3Y19.88%
EPS Next 5Y13.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.58%
Revenue growth 3Y6.12%
Revenue growth 5Y17.65%
Sales Q2Q%3.24%
Revenue Next Year3.67%
Revenue Next 2Y4.5%
Revenue Next 3Y4.64%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1Y32.57%
EBIT growth 3Y80.18%
EBIT growth 5Y3.59%
EBIT Next Year112.41%
EBIT Next 3Y36.96%
EBIT Next 5Y23.55%
FCF growth 1Y87.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y17.8%
OCF growth 1Y183.99%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y14.6%

ALSTOM / ALO.PA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALSTOM (ALO.PA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to ALO.PA.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALSTOM?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ALSTOM (ALO.PA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ALSTOM (ALO.PA) stock?

ALSTOM (ALO.PA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ALO stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALSTOM (ALO.PA) is expected to grow by 26.58% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ALO stock?

The dividend rating of ALSTOM (ALO.PA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 11.39%.