ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:AGI - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
AGI gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 797 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AGI has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI has both an excellent growth and valuation score. This means it is growing and it is still cheap. This is a rare combination! These ratings could make AGI a good candidate for value and growth investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AGI 4 years were profitable.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 4.80%, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.15%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.96% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of AGI (6.70%) is better than 92.22% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 11.45%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AGI (18.36%) is better than 94.86% of its industry peers.
AGI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI has a Operating Margin of 36.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 96.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 44.90%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.86% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.24 indicates that AGI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
AGI has a Altman-Z score of 4.24. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 61.98% of its industry peers.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.42. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.42 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI (1.42) is better than 93.73% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AGI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.07. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGI underperforms 60.73% of its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for AGI, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.24 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC8.55%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.49 indicates that AGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AGI has a Current ratio (1.49) which is in line with its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.94, AGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.66% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 46.03% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 29.78% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 31.62%.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.62%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
3.2 Future
AGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 27.76% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 16.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue Next Year33.8%
Revenue Next 2Y25.36%
Revenue Next 3Y17.78%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.59 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AGI.
89.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.99. AGI is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.74, AGI is valued on the expensive side.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 88.71% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.36, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 91.09% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 91.09% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 55.75 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.54
PEG (5Y)0.96
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.40%, which is pretty low.
AGI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 16.93. AGI pays more dividend than 94.60% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.57%!
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
As AGI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
14.02% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.02%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
TSX:AGI (8/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
36.31
+0.15 (+0.41%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners75.22%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.27B
Analysts83.08
Price Target50.09 (37.95%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
Yearly Dividend0.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP14.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.64%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.17%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)1.98%
PT rev (3m)10.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.77%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.74 | ||
| P/S | 7.91 | ||
| P/FCF | 55.75 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.56 | ||
| P/B | 3.08 | ||
| P/tB | 3.08 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.95 |
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY3.5%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY5.64%
FCF(TTM)0.65
FCFY1.79%
OCF(TTM)2.07
OCFY5.7%
SpS4.59
BVpS11.77
TBVpS11.77
PEG (NY)0.54
PEG (5Y)0.96
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROCE | 10.46% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.16% | ||
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% | ||
| FCFM | 14.19% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 196.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.24 |
F-Score3
WACC8.55%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.62%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
Revenue Next Year33.8%
Revenue Next 2Y25.36%
Revenue Next 3Y17.78%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
EBIT growth 1Y59.66%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year111.46%
EBIT Next 3Y37.88%
EBIT Next 5Y31.61%
FCF growth 1Y451.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.44%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%