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ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:AGI - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

31.58  -1.12 (-3.43%)

Fundamental Rating

8

We assign a fundamental rating of 8 out of 10 to AGI. AGI was compared to 820 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making AGI a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. AGI is evaluated to be cheap and growing strongly. This does not happen too often! These ratings could make AGI a good candidate for value and growth and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AGI 4 years were profitable.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AGI.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGI.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.61%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.95% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 6.95%, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.08% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 4.58%, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.49% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 11.94%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.71%) for AGI is below the current ROIC(4.58%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.61%
ROE 6.95%
ROIC 4.58%
ROA(3y)1.47%
ROA(5y)2.24%
ROE(3y)2.04%
ROE(5y)2.95%
ROIC(3y)3.71%
ROIC(5y)3.36%
AGI.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGI.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

AGI has a better Profit Margin (19.89%) than 96.22% of its industry peers.
AGI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI has a Operating Margin of 34.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 97.03% of its industry peers.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of AGI (45.64%) is better than 94.59% of its industry peers.
AGI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.13%
PM (TTM) 19.89%
GM 45.64%
OM growth 3Y-0.22%
OM growth 5Y37.38%
PM growth 3Y2.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y8.58%
AGI.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGI.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
AGI.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAGI.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
AGI.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGI.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

AGI has an Altman-Z score of 3.51. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AGI has a better Altman-Z score (3.51) than 60.68% of its industry peers.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.45. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.45 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGI's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.45 is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 93.78% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.08, AGI is not doing good in the industry: 67.16% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Although AGI does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 1.45
Altman-Z 3.51
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC9.33%
AGI.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGI.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that AGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AGI has a Current ratio (1.62) which is in line with its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.62. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI has a Quick ratio of 0.97. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGI underperforms 60.81% of its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for AGI is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 0.97
AGI.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGI.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.00% over the past year.
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 60.35% yearly.
AGI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 22.50%.
The Revenue has been growing by 9.44% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%35.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)22.5%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%40.87%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.20% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AGI is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 20.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y54.65%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
EPS Next 5Y33.2%
Revenue Next Year33.24%
Revenue Next 2Y28.19%
Revenue Next 3Y21.46%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AGI.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGI.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
AGI.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGI.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2 3

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 32.90, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AGI.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AGI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 30.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.56, AGI is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGI indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 89.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.58.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.9
Fwd PE 17.56
AGI.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGI.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

AGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 89.59% of the companies in the same industry.
91.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 45.77
EV/EBITDA 14.81
AGI.CA Per share dataAGI.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AGI has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 35.43% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)0.55
EPS Next 2Y54.65%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.41%, which is pretty low.
AGI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 7.52. AGI pays more dividend than 94.19% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.41, AGI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.30.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.41%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 34.89%!
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
As AGI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
AGI.CA Yearly Dividends per shareAGI.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

AGI pays out 14.19% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AGI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP14.19%
EPS Next 2Y54.65%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
AGI.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGI.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M
AGI.CA Dividend Payout.AGI.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGI.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A

TSX:AGI (2/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

31.58

-1.12 (-3.43%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.28B
Analysts82.86
Price Target36.23 (14.72%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.41%
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.89%
DP14.19%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)8.16%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(2)26.73%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.11%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.61%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.18%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.93%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.47%
PT rev (1m)0.04%
PT rev (3m)11.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.9
Fwd PE 17.56
P/S 7.63
P/FCF 45.77
P/OCF 15.78
P/B 2.67
P/tB 2.67
EV/EBITDA 14.81
EPS(TTM)0.96
EY3.04%
EPS(NY)1.8
Fwd EY5.7%
FCF(TTM)0.69
FCFY2.18%
OCF(TTM)2
OCFY6.34%
SpS4.14
BVpS11.84
TBVpS11.84
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)0.55
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.61%
ROE 6.95%
ROCE 8.51%
ROIC 4.58%
ROICexc 4.9%
ROICexgc 4.9%
OM 34.13%
PM (TTM) 19.89%
GM 45.64%
FCFM 16.68%
ROA(3y)1.47%
ROA(5y)2.24%
ROE(3y)2.04%
ROE(5y)2.95%
ROIC(3y)3.71%
ROIC(5y)3.36%
ROICexc(3y)3.92%
ROICexc(5y)3.58%
ROICexgc(3y)3.92%
ROICexgc(5y)3.58%
ROCE(3y)6.88%
ROCE(5y)6.24%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y44.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y44.94%
OM growth 3Y-0.22%
OM growth 5Y37.38%
PM growth 3Y2.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y8.58%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 1.45
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 184.43%
Cap/Sales 31.7%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 94.28%
Profit Quality 83.84%
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 0.97
Altman-Z 3.51
F-Score3
WACC9.33%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)193.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)38.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%35.71%
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y54.65%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
EPS Next 5Y33.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)22.5%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%40.87%
Revenue Next Year33.24%
Revenue Next 2Y28.19%
Revenue Next 3Y21.46%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%
EBIT growth 1Y35.9%
EBIT growth 3Y10.76%
EBIT growth 5Y50.35%
EBIT Next Year131.2%
EBIT Next 3Y49.14%
EBIT Next 5Y39.69%
FCF growth 1Y421.38%
FCF growth 3Y22.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y108.58%
OCF growth 3Y8.66%
OCF growth 5Y17.19%