ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:AGI - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
AGI gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 807 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. An interesting combination arises when we look at growth and value: AGI is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued. With these ratings, AGI could be worth investigating further for value and growth investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGI was profitable.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AGI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGI (4.80%) is better than 89.10% of its industry peers.
AGI's Return On Equity of 7.15% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 89.84% of its industry peers.
AGI's Return On Invested Capital of 6.70% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 91.82% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 12.23%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AGI (18.36%) is better than 94.80% of its industry peers.
AGI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI has a Operating Margin of 36.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 96.53% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 44.90%, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.92% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.39 indicates that AGI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.39, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.30% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI is 1.42, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AGI, only 1.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.42, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.93% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07 indicates that AGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.07, AGI is doing worse than 60.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Although AGI does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC8.57%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.49, AGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.94% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI has a Quick ratio (0.94) which is in line with its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for AGI is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 51.85% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 29.78% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 33.63% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
AGI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 14.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 27.76% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AGI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 33.43, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AGI.
87.98% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.60. AGI is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
AGI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.46.
88.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGI is valued cheaper than 90.83% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 90.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 58.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.56 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)1.12
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.37%, AGI is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.62, AGI pays a better dividend. On top of this AGI pays more dividend than 94.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.37% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 16.57%, which is quite nice.
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
AGI pays out 14.02% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AGI is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP14.02%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
TSX:AGI (6/12/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
37.44
+0.34 (+0.92%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners73.01%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.75B
Analysts81.67
Price Target48.58 (29.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.37% |
Yearly Dividend0.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP14.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.64%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.17%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)6.72%
PT rev (3m)19.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.46 | ||
| P/S | 8.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 58.04 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.28 | ||
| P/B | 3.21 | ||
| P/tB | 3.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.56 |
EPS(TTM)1.12
EY2.99%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY5.42%
FCF(TTM)0.65
FCFY1.72%
OCF(TTM)2.05
OCFY5.47%
SpS4.55
BVpS11.66
TBVpS11.66
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)1.12
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROCE | 10.46% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.16% | ||
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% | ||
| FCFM | 14.19% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 196.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.39 |
F-Score3
WACC8.57%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
EBIT growth 1Y59.66%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year111.46%
EBIT Next 3Y37.88%
EBIT Next 5Y31.63%
FCF growth 1Y451.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.44%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%