ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:AGI - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to AGI. AGI was compared to 811 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AGI scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued. This is an interesting combination These ratings could make AGI a good candidate for value and growth investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGI was profitable.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AGI 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AGI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.33%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.93%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.74% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.59%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.97% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 24.67%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.59%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.33% | ||
| ROE | 7.93% | ||
| ROIC | 6.59% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
AGI's Profit Margin of 21.11% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 95.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
AGI's Operating Margin of 37.48% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 97.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
AGI has a Gross Margin of 44.23%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 95.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 37.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.11% | ||
| GM | 44.23% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 4.16. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AGI's Altman-Z score of 4.16 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 65.47% of its industry peers.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.18. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.18 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.18. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 94.33% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AGI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.08 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGI is outperformed by 60.05% of its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for AGI, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.16 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.82%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.51 indicates that AGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.51, AGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.45% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.96 indicates that AGI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.96, AGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.14% of the companies in the same industry.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for AGI is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.96 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 51.85% over the past year.
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 60.35% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AGI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 24.61%.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.44% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.61%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 36.54% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 20.15% on average per year.
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y50.7%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
EPS Next 5Y36.54%
Revenue Next Year32.75%
Revenue Next 2Y29.02%
Revenue Next 3Y22.38%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 31.52 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGI indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 88.66% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.75.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.40 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGI indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 88.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AGI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 20.49, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.4 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.51% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.85 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 41.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.57
PEG (5Y)0.52
EPS Next 2Y50.7%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.35%, which is pretty low.
AGI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.89. AGI pays more dividend than 94.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.35% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.57%!
AGI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
5.3 Sustainability
AGI pays out 12.35% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AGI is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP12.35%
EPS Next 2Y50.7%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
TSX:AGI (5/1/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
35.62
-3.79 (-9.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners73.01%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.98B
Analysts81.82
Price Target45.52 (27.79%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.35% |
Yearly Dividend0.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP12.35%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-7.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(2)-4.06%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.9%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.35%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.02%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.88%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.55%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.57%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.94%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)12.32%
PT rev (3m)25.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.31%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.4 | ||
| P/S | 8.04 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.38 | ||
| P/B | 3.02 | ||
| P/tB | 3.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.85 |
EPS(TTM)1.13
EY3.17%
EPS(NY)1.66
Fwd EY4.67%
FCF(TTM)0.8
FCFY2.25%
OCF(TTM)2.17
OCFY6.1%
SpS4.43
BVpS11.79
TBVpS11.79
PEG (NY)0.57
PEG (5Y)0.52
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.33% | ||
| ROE | 7.93% | ||
| ROCE | 10.29% | ||
| ROIC | 6.59% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 37.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.11% | ||
| GM | 44.23% | ||
| FCFM | 18.08% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.18 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 191.21% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 91.41% | ||
| Profit Quality | 85.65% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.16 |
F-Score4
WACC8.82%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y50.7%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
EPS Next 5Y36.54%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.61%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
Revenue Next Year32.75%
Revenue Next 2Y29.02%
Revenue Next 3Y22.38%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%
EBIT growth 1Y58.69%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year103.31%
EBIT Next 3Y40.55%
EBIT Next 5Y32.44%
FCF growth 1Y96.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y39.86%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%