AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:AGFS - US00856G1094 - Common Stock
3 USD
+0.01 (+0.33%)
3 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AGFS scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGFS was compared to 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. AGFS scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. AGFS is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGFS had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGFS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years AGFS always reported negative net income.
Each year in the past 5 years AGFS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AGFS has negative profitability rations, so we won't be analyzing them here.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.78%, AGFS is not doing good in the industry: 77.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGFS is above the industry average of 6.34%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.78%) for AGFS is well below the 3 year average (9.75%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AGFS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | N/A | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 0.78% |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 3.85%, AGFS is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGFS has declined.
AGFS has a Gross Margin of 67.00%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGFS outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGFS has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.85% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 67% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGFS is creating some value.
AGFS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AGFS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.12, we must say that AGFS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AGFS (0.12) is worse than 80.43% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGFS is 21.23, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGFS, 21.23 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AGFS has a Debt to FCF ratio (21.23) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGFS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75. This is a neutral value indicating AGFS is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AGFS (0.75) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.12 |
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC8.16%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.39 indicates that AGFS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AGFS has a better Current ratio (2.39) than 61.96% of its industry peers.
AGFS has a Quick Ratio of 2.01. This indicates that AGFS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AGFS has a Quick ratio of 2.01. This is in the better half of the industry: AGFS outperforms 77.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.01 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AGFS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -134.69%.
AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.44%.
Measured over the past years, AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.25% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
AGFS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.18% yearly.
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AGFS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year AGFS is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
68.48% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGFS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGFS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGFS's earnings are expected to grow with 18.69% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%, AGFS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
AGFS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.44.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.26, AGFS pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.26% |
5.2 History
AGFS is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AGFS are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AGFS will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-17.77%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
3
+0.01 (+0.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.48%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners13.49%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap161.15M
Analysts77.78
Price Target3.06 (2%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.26% |
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-17.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-295.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-215.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-147.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(4)19.79%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.56%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 1 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.28 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.96 | ||
| P/B | 0.48 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7 |
EPS(TTM)-1.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.65
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.23
FCFY7.53%
OCF(TTM)0.3
OCFY10.04%
SpS3.01
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-3.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | N/A | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 0.78% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.66% | ||
| OM | 3.85% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 67% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-26.31%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.23 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 8.84% | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.12 |
F-Score3
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)7.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)7.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.16%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-31.43%
EBIT Next Year378.79%
EBIT Next 3Y93.66%
EBIT Next 5Y57%
FCF growth 1Y-74.7%
FCF growth 3Y-8.57%
FCF growth 5Y-15.19%
OCF growth 1Y-68.9%
OCF growth 3Y-6.93%
OCF growth 5Y-14.5%