AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AGFS • US00856G1094

3 USD
+0.01 (+0.33%)
At close: Mar 30, 2023
3 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall AGFS gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AGFS against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. AGFS scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. AGFS is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGFS has reported negative net income.
  • AGFS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGFS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGFS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • AGFS has negative profitability rations, so we won't be analyzing them here.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AGFS (0.78%) is worse than 77.17% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGFS is above the industry average of 6.07%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (0.78%) for AGFS is well below the 3 year average (9.75%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AGFS had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 0.78%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGFS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGFS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • AGFS's Operating Margin of 3.85% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGFS is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGFS has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of AGFS (67.00%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGFS has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.85%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 67%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
AGFS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGFS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 -50

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AGFS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGFS has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGFS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AGFS Yearly Shares OutstandingAGFS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
AGFS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGFS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.12, we must say that AGFS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.12, AGFS is not doing good in the industry: 80.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • AGFS has a debt to FCF ratio of 21.23. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGFS would need 21.23 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AGFS has a Debt to FCF ratio (21.23) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that AGFS is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.75, AGFS is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.39% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 21.23
Altman-Z 0.12
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC8.16%
AGFS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGFS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.39 indicates that AGFS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 2.39, AGFS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.01 indicates that AGFS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AGFS's Quick ratio of 2.01 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGFS outperforms 77.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 2.01
AGFS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGFS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AGFS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -134.69%.
  • AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.44%.
  • AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.25% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • AGFS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.18% yearly.
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AGFS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGFS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 100M 200M 300M
AGFS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGFS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -0.5 -1

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AGFS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AGFS. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
AGFS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGFS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 68.48% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGFS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGFS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.28
EV/EBITDA 7
AGFS Per share dataAGFS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGFS's earnings are expected to grow with 18.69% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

1

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%, AGFS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • AGFS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.16.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.85, AGFS is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • AGFS does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

  • AGFS has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-17.77%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
AGFS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGFS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -50M -100M

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC

NASDAQ:AGFS (3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 3 0 (0%)

3

+0.01 (+0.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)03-10
Earnings (Next)05-09
Inst Owners70.48%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners13.49%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap161.15M
Revenue(TTM)161.94M
Net Income(TTM)-59.79M
Analysts77.78
Price Target3.06 (2%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-17.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-295.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-215.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-147.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(4)19.79%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.56%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1
P/FCF 13.28
P/OCF 9.96
P/B 0.48
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7
EPS(TTM)-1.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.65
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.23
FCFY7.53%
OCF(TTM)0.3
OCFY10.04%
SpS3.01
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-3.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 0.78%
ROICexc 0.85%
ROICexgc 6.66%
OM 3.85%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 67%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-26.31%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 21.23
Debt/EBITDA 4.97
Cap/Depr 8.84%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 2.01
Altman-Z 0.12
F-Score3
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)7.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)7.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.16%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-31.43%
EBIT Next Year378.79%
EBIT Next 3Y93.66%
EBIT Next 5Y57%
FCF growth 1Y-74.7%
FCF growth 3Y-8.57%
FCF growth 5Y-15.19%
OCF growth 1Y-68.9%
OCF growth 3Y-6.93%
OCF growth 5Y-14.5%

AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC / AGFS FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGFS.


What is the valuation status for AGFS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC?

AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) is expected to grow by 43.23% in the next year.