AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AGFS • US00856G1094

Current stock price

3 USD
+0.01 (+0.33%)
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This AGFS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. AGFS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGFS has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year AGFS had a positive cash flow from operations.
AGFS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGFS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • The profitability ratios for AGFS are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AGFS (0.78%) is worse than 77.17% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGFS is above the industry average of 6.46%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (9.75%) for AGFS is well above the current ROIC(0.78%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 0.78%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGFS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGFS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of AGFS (3.85%) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGFS has declined.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 67.00%, AGFS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGFS's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.85%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 67%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
AGFS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGFS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 -50

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4

2. AGFS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AGFS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGFS has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGFS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AGFS Yearly Shares OutstandingAGFS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
AGFS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGFS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.12, we must say that AGFS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGFS has a worse Altman-Z score (0.12) than 80.43% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AGFS is 21.23, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGFS, 21.23 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • AGFS has a Debt to FCF ratio (21.23) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that AGFS is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of AGFS (0.75) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 21.23
Altman-Z 0.12
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC8.16%
AGFS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGFS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • AGFS has a Current Ratio of 2.39. This indicates that AGFS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGFS has a Current ratio of 2.39. This is in the better half of the industry: AGFS outperforms 61.96% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.01 indicates that AGFS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.01, AGFS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 2.01
AGFS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGFS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. AGFS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AGFS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -134.69%.
  • AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.44%.
  • Measured over the past years, AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.25% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%

3.2 Future

  • AGFS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.46% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGFS will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.18% on average per year.
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AGFS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGFS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 100M 200M 300M
AGFS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGFS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -0.5 -1

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2

4. AGFS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AGFS reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AGFS. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
AGFS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGFS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGFS is valued a bit cheaper than 68.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGFS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGFS is cheaper than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.28
EV/EBITDA 7
AGFS Per share dataAGFS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AGFS's earnings are expected to grow with 18.69% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

1

5. AGFS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AGFS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%.
  • AGFS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.07.
  • AGFS's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • AGFS does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of AGFS are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AGFS will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-17.77%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
AGFS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGFS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -50M -100M

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AGFS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC

NASDAQ:AGFS (3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 3 0 (0%)

3

+0.01 (+0.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)03-10
Earnings (Next)05-09
Inst Owners70.48%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners13.49%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap161.15M
Revenue(TTM)161.94M
Net Income(TTM)-59.79M
Analysts77.78
Price Target3.06 (2%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-17.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-295.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-215.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-147.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(4)19.79%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.56%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1
P/FCF 13.28
P/OCF 9.96
P/B 0.48
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7
EPS(TTM)-1.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.65
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.23
FCFY7.53%
OCF(TTM)0.3
OCFY10.04%
SpS3.01
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-3.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 0.78%
ROICexc 0.85%
ROICexgc 6.66%
OM 3.85%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 67%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-26.31%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 21.23
Debt/EBITDA 4.97
Cap/Depr 8.84%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 2.01
Altman-Z 0.12
F-Score3
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)7.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)7.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.16%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-31.43%
EBIT Next Year378.79%
EBIT Next 3Y93.66%
EBIT Next 5Y57%
FCF growth 1Y-74.7%
FCF growth 3Y-8.57%
FCF growth 5Y-15.19%
OCF growth 1Y-68.9%
OCF growth 3Y-6.93%
OCF growth 5Y-14.5%

AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC / AGFS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGFS.


Can you provide the valuation status for AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AGFS stock?

AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) stock?

The dividend rating of AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) is 1 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -17.77%.