AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:AGFS - US00856G1094 - Common Stock
3 USD
+0.01 (+0.33%)
3 USD
0 (0%)
AGFS gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. AGFS scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. AGFS does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGFS has reported negative net income.
In the past year AGFS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years AGFS always reported negative net income.
AGFS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AGFS has negative profitability rations, so we won't be analyzing them here.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.78%, AGFS is not doing good in the industry: 77.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGFS is above the industry average of 6.30%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.78%) for AGFS is well below the 3 year average (9.75%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AGFS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | N/A | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 0.78% |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 3.85%, AGFS is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGFS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGFS's Gross Margin of 67.00% is amongst the best of the industry. AGFS outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGFS has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.85% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 67% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGFS is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AGFS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AGFS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AGFS has an Altman-Z score of 0.12. This is a bad value and indicates that AGFS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.12, AGFS is not doing good in the industry: 80.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGFS has a debt to FCF ratio of 21.23. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGFS would need 21.23 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGFS has a Debt to FCF ratio (21.23) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGFS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75. This is a neutral value indicating AGFS is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AGFS has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.75) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.12 |
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC8.16%
2.3 Liquidity
AGFS has a Current Ratio of 2.39. This indicates that AGFS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AGFS has a Current ratio of 2.39. This is in the better half of the industry: AGFS outperforms 61.96% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.01 indicates that AGFS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 2.01, AGFS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.17% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.01 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AGFS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -134.69%.
AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.44%.
AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.25% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGFS will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.18% on average per year.
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AGFS reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year AGFS is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
68.48% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGFS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
AGFS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGFS is cheaper than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGFS's earnings are expected to grow with 18.69% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGFS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.70, AGFS has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, AGFS's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.26% |
5.2 History
AGFS does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
AGFS has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-17.77%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
3
+0.01 (+0.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.48%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners13.49%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap161.15M
Revenue(TTM)161.94M
Net Income(TTM)-59786000
Analysts77.78
Price Target3.06 (2%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.26% |
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-17.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-295.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-215.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-147.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(4)19.79%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.56%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 1 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.28 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.96 | ||
| P/B | 0.48 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7 |
EPS(TTM)-1.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.65
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.23
FCFY7.53%
OCF(TTM)0.3
OCFY10.04%
SpS3.01
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-3.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | N/A | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 0.78% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.66% | ||
| OM | 3.85% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 67% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-26.31%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.23 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 8.84% | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.12 |
F-Score3
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)7.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)7.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.16%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-31.43%
EBIT Next Year378.79%
EBIT Next 3Y93.66%
EBIT Next 5Y57%
FCF growth 1Y-74.7%
FCF growth 3Y-8.57%
FCF growth 5Y-15.19%
OCF growth 1Y-68.9%
OCF growth 3Y-6.93%
OCF growth 5Y-14.5%
AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC / AGFS FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGFS.
What is the valuation status of AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC?
AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AGFS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) is expected to grow by 43.23% in the next year.