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AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC (AGFS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AGFS - Nasdaq - US00856G1094 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3  +0.01 (+0.33%)

After market: 3 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

AGFS gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 85 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. The financial health of AGFS is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AGFS does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AGFS had negative earnings in the past year.
AGFS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGFS had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AGFS had a positive operating cash flow.
AGFS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGFS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

The profitability ratios for AGFS are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.78%, AGFS is not doing good in the industry: 77.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGFS is above the industry average of 6.84%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.78%) for AGFS is well below the 3 year average (9.75%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AGFS had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 0.78%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGFS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGFS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

AGFS's Operating Margin of 3.85% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGFS is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGFS has declined.
AGFS has a better Gross Margin (67.00%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGFS has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.85%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 67%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
AGFS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGFS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 -50

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AGFS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AGFS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AGFS is higher compared to a year ago.
AGFS Yearly Shares OutstandingAGFS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
AGFS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGFS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.12, we must say that AGFS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGFS has a Altman-Z score of 0.12. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGFS underperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
AGFS has a debt to FCF ratio of 21.23. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGFS would need 21.23 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 21.23, AGFS is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that AGFS is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.75, AGFS is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.39% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 21.23
Altman-Z 0.12
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC8.16%
AGFS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGFS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.39 indicates that AGFS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.39, AGFS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.96% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 2.01 indicates that AGFS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AGFS (2.01) is better than 77.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 2.01
AGFS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGFS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AGFS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -134.69%.
AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.44%.
Measured over the past years, AGFS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.25% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.18% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AGFS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGFS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 100M 200M 300M
AGFS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGFS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -0.5 -1

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AGFS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AGFS. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
AGFS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGFS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGFS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGFS is cheaper than 68.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGFS is valued a bit cheaper than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.28
EV/EBITDA 7
AGFS Per share dataAGFS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AGFS's earnings are expected to grow with 18.69% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%

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1

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AGFS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%.
AGFS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.75.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, AGFS's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

AGFS is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of AGFS are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AGFS will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-17.77%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
AGFS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGFS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -50M -100M

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AGROFRESH SOLUTIONS INC

NASDAQ:AGFS (3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 3 0 (0%)

3

+0.01 (+0.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)03-10 2023-03-10/dmh
Earnings (Next)05-09 2023-05-09
Inst Owners70.48%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners13.49%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap161.15M
Analysts77.78
Price Target3.06 (2%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-17.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-295.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-215.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-147.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-375.15%
Max EPS beat(4)19.79%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.56%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1
P/FCF 13.28
P/OCF 9.96
P/B 0.48
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7
EPS(TTM)-1.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.65
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.23
FCFY7.53%
OCF(TTM)0.3
OCFY10.04%
SpS3.01
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-3.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 0.78%
ROICexc 0.85%
ROICexgc 6.66%
OM 3.85%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 67%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)9.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-26.31%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-31.26%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.03%
GM growth 5Y-3.51%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 21.23
Debt/EBITDA 4.97
Cap/Depr 8.84%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 2.01
Altman-Z 0.12
F-Score3
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)7.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)7.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-134.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-680%
EPS Next Y43.23%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y18.69%
EPS Next 5Y14.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.63%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.25%
Sales Q2Q%-13.17%
Revenue Next Year7.81%
Revenue Next 2Y13.33%
Revenue Next 3Y11.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.18%
EBIT growth 1Y-52.16%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-31.43%
EBIT Next Year378.79%
EBIT Next 3Y93.66%
EBIT Next 5Y57%
FCF growth 1Y-74.7%
FCF growth 3Y-8.57%
FCF growth 5Y-15.19%
OCF growth 1Y-68.9%
OCF growth 3Y-6.93%
OCF growth 5Y-14.5%