LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (1LYB.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1LYB • NL0009434992

Current stock price

60.92 EUR
-11.24 (-15.58%)
Last:

This 1LYB.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. 1LYB.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1LYB was profitable.
  • 1LYB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • 1LYB had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years 1LYB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1LYB.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1LYB.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -2.21%, 1LYB is doing worse than 62.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -7.46%, 1LYB is not doing good in the industry: 69.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.51%, 1LYB is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1LYB is in line with the industry average of 7.13%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.66%) for 1LYB is well above the current ROIC(2.51%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.21%
ROE -7.46%
ROIC 2.51%
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
1LYB.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1LYB.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • 1LYB's Operating Margin of 2.76% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1LYB is outperformed by 62.32% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1LYB has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 8.55%, 1LYB is doing worse than 84.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1LYB's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.76%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 8.55%
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
1LYB.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1LYB.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20

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3

2. 1LYB.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1LYB is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1LYB has less shares outstanding
  • 1LYB has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for 1LYB is higher compared to a year ago.
1LYB.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1LYB.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
1LYB.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1LYB.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • 1LYB has an Altman-Z score of 1.99. This is not the best score and indicates that 1LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • 1LYB's Altman-Z score of 1.99 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1LYB is outperformed by 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of 1LYB is 33.69, which is on the high side as it means it would take 1LYB, 33.69 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • 1LYB's Debt to FCF ratio of 33.69 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1LYB outperforms 40.58% of its industry peers.
  • 1LYB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.22, 1LYB is not doing good in the industry: 86.96% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 33.69
Altman-Z 1.99
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC7.64%
1LYB.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1LYB.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that 1LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • 1LYB has a Current ratio (1.77) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • 1LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that 1LYB is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.20, 1LYB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.2
1LYB.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1LYB.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. 1LYB.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • 1LYB shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -73.44%.
  • Measured over the past years, 1LYB shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -21.44% on average per year.
  • The Revenue for 1LYB has decreased by -25.18% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, 1LYB shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1LYB will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 36.17% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y161.07%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.03%
Revenue Next 3Y0.99%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1LYB.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1LYB.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
1LYB.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1LYB.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15

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4

4. 1LYB.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • 1LYB is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 42.01.
  • 1LYB's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. 1LYB is more expensive than 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of 1LYB to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.86), we can say 1LYB is valued expensively.
  • 1LYB is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.07.
  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1LYB, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • 1LYB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 37.39.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 42.01
Fwd PE 16.07
1LYB.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1LYB.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1LYB is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 62.32% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as 1LYB.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 59.86
EV/EBITDA 14.52
1LYB.MI Per share data1LYB.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as 1LYB's earnings are expected to grow with 48.51% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. 1LYB.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1LYB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.82%.
  • 1LYB's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.31.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, 1LYB pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.82%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of 1LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.33%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of 1LYB are negative and hence is the payout ratio. 1LYB will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
  • 1LYB's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-234.57%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
1LYB.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1LYB.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

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1LYB.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A

BIT:1LYB (4/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

60.92

-11.24 (-15.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-30
Earnings (Next)05-01
Inst Owners74.36%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap19.63B
Revenue(TTM)30.15B
Net Income(TTM)-752.00M
Analysts65.6
Price Target57.15 (-6.19%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.82%
Yearly Dividend4.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
DP-234.57%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-137.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-80.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-39.32%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.06%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.1%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.24%
PT rev (1m)26.24%
PT rev (3m)26.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-63.83%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-63.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)33.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)33.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.99%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 42.01
Fwd PE 16.07
P/S 0.76
P/FCF 59.86
P/OCF 10.16
P/B 2.28
P/tB 2.58
EV/EBITDA 14.52
EPS(TTM)1.45
EY2.38%
EPS(NY)3.79
Fwd EY6.22%
FCF(TTM)1.02
FCFY1.67%
OCF(TTM)6
OCFY9.84%
SpS79.92
BVpS26.72
TBVpS23.65
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number29.53
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.21%
ROE -7.46%
ROCE 2.98%
ROIC 2.51%
ROICexc 2.86%
ROICexgc 3%
OM 2.76%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 8.55%
FCFM 1.27%
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.53%
ROICexc(5y)12.09%
ROICexgc(3y)8.19%
ROICexgc(5y)13.23%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)13.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-44.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.05%
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 33.69
Debt/EBITDA 5.56
Cap/Depr 135.11%
Cap/Sales 6.23%
Interest Coverage 1.72
Cash Conversion 101.85%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.2
Altman-Z 1.99
F-Score3
WACC7.64%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)118.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)129.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
EPS Next Y161.07%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%
Revenue Next Year1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.03%
Revenue Next 3Y0.99%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-69.96%
EBIT growth 3Y-45.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-17.24%
EBIT Next Year181.06%
EBIT Next 3Y46.57%
EBIT Next 5Y31.66%
FCF growth 1Y-80.61%
FCF growth 3Y-55.05%
FCF growth 5Y-23.41%
OCF growth 1Y-40.77%
OCF growth 3Y-28.23%
OCF growth 5Y-7.85%

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / 1LYB.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for 1LYB stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to 1LYB.MI.


What is the valuation status of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (1LYB.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (1LYB.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (1LYB.MI) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?

The financial health rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (1LYB.MI) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for 1LYB stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (1LYB.MI) is expected to grow by 161.07% in the next year.