PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES (PFSI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:PFSI • US70932M1071
Current stock price
91.39 USD
+1.54 (+1.71%)
At close:
91.39 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This PFSI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. PFSI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year PFSI was profitable.
- In the past year PFSI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years PFSI has always been profitable.
- The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: PFSI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.70%, PFSI is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a Return On Equity value of 11.63%, PFSI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- PFSI has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.71%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PFSI outperforms 48.48% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PFSI is significantly below the industry average of 8.00%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (1.71%) for PFSI is above the 3 year average (1.61%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.7% | ||
| ROE | 11.63% | ||
| ROIC | 1.71% |
ROA(3y)1.22%
ROA(5y)2.37%
ROE(3y)7.95%
ROE(5y)13.38%
ROIC(3y)1.61%
ROIC(5y)3.02%
1.3 Margins
- PFSI has a better Profit Margin (16.66%) than 67.68% of its industry peers.
- PFSI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- PFSI's Operating Margin of 18.49% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PFSI outperforms 65.66% of its industry peers.
- PFSI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 68.06%, PFSI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
- PFSI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.66% | ||
| GM | 68.06% |
OM growth 3Y-13.59%
OM growth 5Y-20.07%
PM growth 3Y-6.65%
PM growth 5Y-16.64%
GM growth 3Y-7.34%
GM growth 5Y-6.09%
2. PFSI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PFSI is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for PFSI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, PFSI has less shares outstanding
- PFSI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- PFSI has an Altman-Z score of 0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that PFSI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- PFSI has a Altman-Z score (0.03) which is in line with its industry peers.
- PFSI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.63. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- PFSI has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (3.63) than 73.74% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.03 |
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.73%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.04 indicates that PFSI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- PFSI's Current ratio of 0.04 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PFSI is outperformed by 81.82% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.04 indicates that PFSI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- PFSI has a worse Quick ratio (0.04) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.04 |
3. PFSI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 22.69% over the past year.
- The earnings per share for PFSI have been decreasing by -15.13% on average. This is quite bad
- The Revenue has grown by 24.62% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- Measured over the past years, PFSI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.44% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.69%
EPS 3Y3.49%
EPS 5Y-15.13%
EPS Q2Q%1.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.62%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.44%
Sales Q2Q%14.44%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 23.27% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 13.92% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y34.25%
EPS Next 2Y30.56%
EPS Next 3Y23.27%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year17.12%
Revenue Next 2Y17.04%
Revenue Next 3Y13.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. PFSI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.83 indicates a reasonable valuation of PFSI.
- PFSI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PFSI is cheaper than 60.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- PFSI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.32, the valuation of PFSI can be described as very cheap.
- 78.79% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PFSI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- PFSI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.24.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PFSI is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- PFSI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- PFSI's earnings are expected to grow with 23.27% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y30.56%
EPS Next 3Y23.27%
5. PFSI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.34%, PFSI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- The stock price of PFSI dropped by -39.43% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
- PFSI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.82.
- PFSI's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of PFSI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 24.03%!
- PFSI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- PFSI has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.03%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 12.48% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PFSI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of PFSI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP12.48%
EPS Next 2Y30.56%
EPS Next 3Y23.27%
PFSI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
91.39
+1.54 (+1.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)01-29 2026-01-29/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/amc
Inst Owners65.67%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners4.69%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap4.77B
Revenue(TTM)3.01B
Net Income(TTM)501.08M
Analysts80
Price Target131 (43.34%)
Short Float %5.69%
Short Ratio1.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% |
Yearly Dividend1.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.03%
DP12.48%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-13 2026-02-13 (0.3)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.34%
Max EPS beat(2)13.86%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-49.34%
Max EPS beat(4)13.86%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-25.99%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-35.69%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-14.31%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-17.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.84%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.84%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-16.56%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-14.99%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.48%
PT rev (1m)-3.44%
PT rev (3m)-14.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.27%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.32 | ||
| P/S | 1.59 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.11 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.27 |
EPS(TTM)9.3
EY10.18%
EPS(NY)12.48
Fwd EY13.66%
FCF(TTM)-32.65
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-31.67
OCFYN/A
SpS57.64
BVpS82.59
TBVpS-103.47
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number131.465 (43.85%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.7% | ||
| ROE | 11.63% | ||
| ROCE | 3.1% | ||
| ROIC | 1.71% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.73% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.51% | ||
| OM | 18.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.66% | ||
| GM | 68.06% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.22%
ROA(5y)2.37%
ROE(3y)7.95%
ROE(5y)13.38%
ROIC(3y)1.61%
ROIC(5y)3.02%
ROICexc(3y)1.66%
ROICexc(5y)3.15%
ROICexgc(3y)6.83%
ROICexgc(5y)12.18%
ROCE(3y)2.85%
ROCE(5y)5.66%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-41.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-20.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y-22.94%
OM growth 3Y-13.59%
OM growth 5Y-20.07%
PM growth 3Y-6.65%
PM growth 5Y-16.64%
GM growth 3Y-7.34%
GM growth 5Y-6.09%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 25.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 94.14% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.7% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.58 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.03 |
F-Score5
WACC7.73%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)67.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.91%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.69%
EPS 3Y3.49%
EPS 5Y-15.13%
EPS Q2Q%1.03%
EPS Next Y34.25%
EPS Next 2Y30.56%
EPS Next 3Y23.27%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.62%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.44%
Sales Q2Q%14.44%
Revenue Next Year17.12%
Revenue Next 2Y17.04%
Revenue Next 3Y13.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y37.52%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 5Y-24.41%
EBIT Next Year40.7%
EBIT Next 3Y36.53%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y62.61%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y63.56%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES / PFSI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PFSI.
Can you provide the valuation status for PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES (PFSI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of PFSI stock?
PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES (PFSI) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES?
The financial health rating of PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES (PFSI) is 1 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES (PFSI) stock?
The dividend rating of PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES (PFSI) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.48%.