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LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:LUN - CA5503721063 - Common Stock

17.28 CAD
+0.45 (+2.67%)
Last: 9/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

LUN gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 808 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUN scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. LUN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LUN was profitable.
LUN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years LUN 4 years were profitable.
LUN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of -0.82%, LUN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.79% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of -1.76%, LUN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.92% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 91.34% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LUN is significantly below the industry average of 11.68%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.70%) for LUN is below the current ROIC(4.55%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROIC 4.55%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
LUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Operating Margin value of 26.64%, LUN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.69% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUN has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 30.14%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.21% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
LUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), LUN is destroying value.
LUN has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
LUN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LUN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
LUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
LUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.80, we must say that LUN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of LUN (1.80) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LUN has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.93. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LUN would need 2.93 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LUN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.93. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 92.33% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that LUN is not too dependend on debt financing.
LUN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.33) than 70.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Altman-Z 1.8
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC8.3%
LUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

LUN has a Current Ratio of 1.88. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.88, LUN is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.84% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LUN has a Quick ratio (1.53) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
LUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 24.41% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, LUN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.05% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, LUN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -18.90% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 12.58% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.96% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, LUN will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -2.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y22.6%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue Next Year-11.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
LUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
LUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.67 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LUN.
LUN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUN is cheaper than 91.34% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.41. LUN is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.38, LUN is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.87. LUN is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.67
Fwd PE 18.38
LUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

95.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
96.53% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.94
EV/EBITDA 8.43
LUN.CA Per share dataLUN.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LUN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.05
PEG (5Y)2.14
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUN has a yearly dividend return of 0.66%, which is pretty low.
LUN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 14.19. LUN pays more dividend than 95.67% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.66, LUN pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.38.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%

5.2 History

The dividend of LUN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 23.66%!
LUN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
LUN has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

LUN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
LUN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-217.57%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
LUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

LUNDIN MINING CORP

TSX:LUN (9/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

17.28

+0.45 (+2.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners48.75%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.79B
Analysts75
Price Target17.6 (1.85%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%
Yearly Dividend0.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
DP-217.57%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date09-05 2025-09-05 (0.0275)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)27.94%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(4)27.94%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.05%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.92%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-11.62%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.83%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.97%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.14%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.99%
PT rev (1m)6.38%
PT rev (3m)11.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.24%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.67
Fwd PE 18.38
P/S 3.1
P/FCF 14.94
P/OCF 7.5
P/B 2.03
P/tB 2.1
EV/EBITDA 8.43
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY4.22%
EPS(NY)0.94
Fwd EY5.44%
FCF(TTM)1.16
FCFY6.69%
OCF(TTM)2.3
OCFY13.34%
SpS5.57
BVpS8.52
TBVpS8.25
PEG (NY)1.05
PEG (5Y)2.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROCE 9.43%
ROIC 4.55%
ROICexc 4.71%
ROICexgc 4.8%
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
FCFM 20.78%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
ROICexc(3y)3.85%
ROICexc(5y)4.87%
ROICexgc(3y)3.97%
ROICexgc(5y)5.05%
ROCE(3y)7.68%
ROCE(5y)9.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-22.24%
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Debt/EBITDA 1.19
Cap/Depr 126.74%
Cap/Sales 20.62%
Interest Coverage 7.35
Cash Conversion 96.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 1.8
F-Score5
WACC8.3%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)146.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)127.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
EPS Next Y22.6%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%
Revenue Next Year-11.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%
EBIT growth 1Y82.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.05%
EBIT growth 5Y21.76%
EBIT Next Year54.28%
EBIT Next 3Y20.66%
EBIT Next 5Y15.5%
FCF growth 1Y515.36%
FCF growth 3Y-9.28%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y85.13%
OCF growth 3Y0.76%
OCF growth 5Y21.89%