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LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:LUN - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA5503721063 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

13.85  -0.4 (-2.81%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall LUN gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated LUN against 797 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUN scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. LUN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LUN had positive earnings in the past year.
LUN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LUN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years LUN had a positive operating cash flow.
LUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.82%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.94% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN has a Return On Equity of -1.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 81.68% of its industry peers.
LUN has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 91.09% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUN is significantly below the industry average of 12.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.55%) for LUN is above the 3 year average (3.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROIC 4.55%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
LUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 26.64%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.73% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUN has grown nicely.
LUN's Gross Margin of 30.14% is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 91.09% of its industry peers.
LUN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
LUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LUN is destroying value.
LUN has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LUN has more shares outstanding
LUN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
LUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
LUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that LUN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
LUN has a Altman-Z score (1.60) which is in line with its industry peers.
LUN has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.93. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LUN would need 2.93 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LUN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.93. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 92.22% of its industry peers.
LUN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.33, LUN is doing worse than 70.26% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC8.33%
LUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

LUN has a Current Ratio of 1.88. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LUN has a Current ratio of 1.88. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LUN outperforms 55.21% of its industry peers.
LUN has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of LUN (1.53) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
LUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 95.17% over the past year.
LUN shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 11.05% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -3.58% in the past year.
LUN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.58% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)95.17%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%183.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.58%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%2.87%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.65% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.80% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.66%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y7.07%
EPS Next 5Y3.65%
Revenue Next Year-18.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.84%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.8%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
LUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.76, the valuation of LUN can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LUN indicates a rather cheap valuation: LUN is cheaper than 90.97% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.30. LUN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.76, LUN is valued on the expensive side.
88.83% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LUN to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.76), we can say LUN is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.76
Fwd PE 17.76
LUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LUN indicates a rather cheap valuation: LUN is cheaper than 94.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.07
EV/EBITDA 7.04
LUN.CA Per share dataLUN.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
LUN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.85
PEG (5Y)1.61
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y7.07%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.77%, LUN is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
LUN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 14.97. LUN pays more dividend than 95.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, LUN's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.77%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of LUN grows each year by 23.66%, which is quite nice.
LUN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
LUN has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of LUN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. LUN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
LUN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-217.57%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y7.07%
LUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

LUNDIN MINING CORP

TSX:LUN (7/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

13.85

-0.4 (-2.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-07 2025-05-07/amc
Earnings (Next)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Inst Owners48.75%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.86B
Analysts76.43
Price Target15.85 (14.44%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.77%
Yearly Dividend0.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
DP-217.57%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date06-05 2025-06-05 (0.0275)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)27.94%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(4)27.94%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.05%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.92%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-11.62%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.83%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.97%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.14%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.99%
PT rev (1m)2.02%
PT rev (3m)-2.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-16.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.76
Fwd PE 17.76
P/S 2.51
P/FCF 12.07
P/OCF 6.06
P/B 1.64
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA 7.04
EPS(TTM)0.78
EY5.63%
EPS(NY)0.78
Fwd EY5.63%
FCF(TTM)1.15
FCFY8.29%
OCF(TTM)2.29
OCFY16.51%
SpS5.52
BVpS8.45
TBVpS8.18
PEG (NY)4.85
PEG (5Y)1.61
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROCE 9.43%
ROIC 4.55%
ROICexc 4.71%
ROICexgc 4.8%
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
FCFM 20.78%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
ROICexc(3y)3.85%
ROICexc(5y)4.87%
ROICexgc(3y)3.97%
ROICexgc(5y)5.05%
ROCE(3y)7.68%
ROCE(5y)9.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-22.24%
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Debt/EBITDA 1.19
Cap/Depr 126.74%
Cap/Sales 20.62%
Interest Coverage 7.35
Cash Conversion 96.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score5
WACC8.33%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)146.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)127.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)95.17%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%183.33%
EPS Next Y3.66%
EPS Next 2Y11.73%
EPS Next 3Y7.07%
EPS Next 5Y3.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.58%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%2.87%
Revenue Next Year-18.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.84%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.8%
EBIT growth 1Y82.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.05%
EBIT growth 5Y21.76%
EBIT Next Year54.28%
EBIT Next 3Y20.66%
EBIT Next 5Y15.5%
FCF growth 1Y515.36%
FCF growth 3Y-9.28%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y85.13%
OCF growth 3Y0.76%
OCF growth 5Y21.89%