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LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:LUN - CA5503721063 - Common Stock

20.49 CAD
-1.4 (-6.4%)
Last: 10/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, LUN scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LUN was compared to 805 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While LUN has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. LUN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LUN was profitable.
In the past year LUN had a positive cash flow from operations.
LUN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years LUN had a positive operating cash flow.
LUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.82%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.35% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of -1.76%, LUN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.48% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 91.06% of its industry peers.
LUN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.70%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.09%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.70%) for LUN is below the current ROIC(4.55%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROIC 4.55%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
LUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

LUN has a better Operating Margin (26.64%) than 93.79% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUN has grown nicely.
LUN's Gross Margin of 30.14% is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 90.81% of its industry peers.
LUN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
LUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), LUN is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LUN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, LUN has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LUN is higher compared to a year ago.
LUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
LUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.99 indicates that LUN is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.99, LUN is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.58% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.93. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LUN would need 2.93 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LUN (2.93) is better than 92.05% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that LUN is not too dependend on debt financing.
LUN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.33) than 70.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Altman-Z 1.99
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC7.96%
LUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.88 indicates that LUN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.88, LUN is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.06% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that LUN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LUN has a Quick ratio of 1.53. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LUN outperforms 49.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
LUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 24.41% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, LUN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.05% on average per year.
LUN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -18.90%.
LUN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.58% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%

3.2 Future

LUN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.96% yearly.
LUN is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -2.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.96%
EPS Next 2Y22.28%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue Next Year-10.84%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.18%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
LUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
LUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.69, LUN can be considered very expensive at the moment.
LUN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUN is cheaper than 89.81% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.40, LUN is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUN is valued cheaper than 88.94% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.09, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.69
Fwd PE 21.4
LUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LUN indicates a rather cheap valuation: LUN is cheaper than 94.66% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LUN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUN is cheaper than 95.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.43
EV/EBITDA 9.73
LUN.CA Per share dataLUN.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LUN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)2.51
EPS Next 2Y22.28%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUN has a yearly dividend return of 0.51%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.79, LUN pays a better dividend. On top of this LUN pays more dividend than 95.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, LUN's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.51%

5.2 History

The dividend of LUN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 23.66%!
LUN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of LUN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of LUN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. LUN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
The dividend of LUN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-217.57%
EPS Next 2Y22.28%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
LUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

LUNDIN MINING CORP

TSX:LUN (10/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

20.49

-1.4 (-6.4%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners48.37%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.72%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap17.55B
Revenue(TTM)3.30B
Net Income(TTM)-93073000
Analysts75.71
Price Target18.17 (-11.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.51%
Yearly Dividend0.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
DP-217.57%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date09-05 2025-09-05 (0.0275)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)27.94%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(4)27.94%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.05%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.92%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-11.62%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.83%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.97%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.14%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.99%
PT rev (1m)3.24%
PT rev (3m)10.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)16.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.84%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.69
Fwd PE 21.4
P/S 3.62
P/FCF 17.43
P/OCF 8.75
P/B 2.37
P/tB 2.45
EV/EBITDA 9.73
EPS(TTM)0.74
EY3.61%
EPS(NY)0.96
Fwd EY4.67%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY5.74%
OCF(TTM)2.34
OCFY11.43%
SpS5.66
BVpS8.65
TBVpS8.38
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)2.51
Graham Number12
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROCE 9.43%
ROIC 4.55%
ROICexc 4.71%
ROICexgc 4.8%
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
FCFM 20.78%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
ROICexc(3y)3.85%
ROICexc(5y)4.87%
ROICexgc(3y)3.97%
ROICexgc(5y)5.05%
ROCE(3y)7.68%
ROCE(5y)9.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-22.24%
ROICexgc growth 5Y13.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Debt/EBITDA 1.19
Cap/Depr 126.74%
Cap/Sales 20.62%
Interest Coverage 7.35
Cash Conversion 96.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 1.99
F-Score5
WACC7.96%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)146.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)127.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
EPS Next Y20.96%
EPS Next 2Y22.28%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%
Revenue Next Year-10.84%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.18%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%
EBIT growth 1Y82.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.05%
EBIT growth 5Y21.76%
EBIT Next Year68.38%
EBIT Next 3Y21.46%
EBIT Next 5Y15.5%
FCF growth 1Y515.36%
FCF growth 3Y-9.28%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y85.13%
OCF growth 3Y0.76%
OCF growth 5Y21.89%