Logo image of LUN.CA

LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:LUN - CA5503721063 - Common Stock

15.69 CAD
+0.45 (+2.95%)
Last: 8/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, LUN scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LUN was compared to 791 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While LUN belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. LUN may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LUN was profitable.
In the past year LUN had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years LUN 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years LUN had a positive operating cash flow.
LUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

LUN has a better Return On Assets (-0.82%) than 83.19% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -1.76%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.55%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.77% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUN is significantly below the industry average of 11.97%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.55%) for LUN is above the 3 year average (3.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROIC 4.55%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
LUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Operating Margin value of 26.64%, LUN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.17% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUN has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of LUN (30.14%) is better than 90.64% of its industry peers.
LUN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
LUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LUN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for LUN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LUN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LUN is higher compared to a year ago.
LUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
LUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

LUN has an Altman-Z score of 1.70. This is a bad value and indicates that LUN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
LUN's Altman-Z score of 1.70 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LUN outperforms 51.58% of its industry peers.
LUN has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.93. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LUN would need 2.93 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LUN's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.93 is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 92.41% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that LUN is not too dependend on debt financing.
LUN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.33) than 71.30% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Altman-Z 1.7
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC8.97%
LUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.88 indicates that LUN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.88, LUN is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.48% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that LUN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LUN has a Quick ratio (1.53) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
LUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LUN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 24.41%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, LUN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.05% on average per year.
The Revenue for LUN has decreased by -18.90% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing by 12.58% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, LUN will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.96% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.16% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y22.6%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue Next Year-11.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.04%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
LUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

LUN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.49.
LUN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUN is cheaper than 90.39% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LUN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.03), we can say LUN is valued slightly cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.68 indicates a correct valuation of LUN.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LUN to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.63), we can say LUN is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.49
Fwd PE 16.68
LUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

LUN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUN is cheaper than 93.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUN is valued cheaper than 95.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.55
EV/EBITDA 7.75
LUN.CA Per share dataLUN.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LUN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LUN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)1.95
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUN has a yearly dividend return of 0.72%, which is pretty low.
LUN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 18.57. LUN pays more dividend than 95.70% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.72, LUN pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.34.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.72%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of LUN grows each year by 23.66%, which is quite nice.
LUN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of LUN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

LUN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
LUN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-217.57%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
LUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

LUNDIN MINING CORP

TSX:LUN (8/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

15.69

+0.45 (+2.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners48.75%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.43B
Analysts75.71
Price Target17.46 (11.28%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.72%
Yearly Dividend0.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
DP-217.57%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date09-05 2025-09-05 (0.0275)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)27.94%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(4)27.94%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.05%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.92%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-11.62%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.83%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.97%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.14%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.99%
PT rev (1m)5.83%
PT rev (3m)14.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)18.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)9.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.49
Fwd PE 16.68
P/S 2.82
P/FCF 13.55
P/OCF 6.8
P/B 1.84
P/tB 1.9
EV/EBITDA 7.75
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY4.65%
EPS(NY)0.94
Fwd EY6%
FCF(TTM)1.16
FCFY7.38%
OCF(TTM)2.31
OCFY14.7%
SpS5.57
BVpS8.52
TBVpS8.25
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)1.95
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROCE 9.43%
ROIC 4.55%
ROICexc 4.71%
ROICexgc 4.8%
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
FCFM 20.78%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
ROICexc(3y)3.85%
ROICexc(5y)4.87%
ROICexgc(3y)3.97%
ROICexgc(5y)5.05%
ROCE(3y)7.68%
ROCE(5y)9.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-22.24%
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Debt/EBITDA 1.19
Cap/Depr 126.74%
Cap/Sales 20.62%
Interest Coverage 7.35
Cash Conversion 96.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 1.7
F-Score5
WACC8.97%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)146.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)127.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
EPS Next Y22.6%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%
Revenue Next Year-11.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.04%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%
EBIT growth 1Y82.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.05%
EBIT growth 5Y21.76%
EBIT Next Year54.28%
EBIT Next 3Y20.66%
EBIT Next 5Y15.5%
FCF growth 1Y515.36%
FCF growth 3Y-9.28%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y85.13%
OCF growth 3Y0.76%
OCF growth 5Y21.89%