KELT EXPLORATION LTD (KEL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:KEL - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA4882951060 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to KEL. KEL was compared to 214 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While KEL belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. KEL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year KEL was profitable.
KEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years KEL 4 years were profitable.
KEL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
KEL's Return On Assets of 3.47% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KEL outperforms 70.56% of its industry peers.
KEL has a Return On Equity of 4.84%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: KEL outperforms 59.35% of its industry peers.
KEL has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.71%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: KEL outperforms 54.21% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for KEL is above the industry average of 7.31%.
The 3 year average ROIC (9.54%) for KEL is well above the current ROIC(3.71%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.47% | ||
| ROE | 4.84% | ||
| ROIC | 3.71% |
ROA(3y)8.01%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)10.15%
ROE(5y)-1.51%
ROIC(3y)9.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
KEL's Profit Margin of 12.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KEL outperforms 75.23% of its industry peers.
KEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
KEL has a Operating Margin (16.23%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of KEL has grown nicely.
KEL has a better Gross Margin (57.21%) than 74.30% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of KEL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.23% | ||
| GM | 57.21% |
OM growth 3Y-16%
OM growth 5Y17.59%
PM growth 3Y-34.73%
PM growth 5Y44.22%
GM growth 3Y-4.48%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
KEL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for KEL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, KEL has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for KEL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.45 indicates that KEL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
KEL's Altman-Z score of 2.45 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KEL outperforms 73.36% of its industry peers.
KEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of KEL (0.10) is better than 71.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.45 |
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC8.06%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.53 indicates that KEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
KEL has a Current ratio of 0.53. This is in the lower half of the industry: KEL underperforms 72.90% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.53 indicates that KEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.53, KEL is not doing good in the industry: 66.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.53 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
KEL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -36.73%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 48.96% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, KEL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.73% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, KEL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.98% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.73%
EPS 3Y-28.82%
EPS 5Y48.96%
EPS Q2Q%50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.73%
Revenue growth 3Y12.66%
Revenue growth 5Y1.98%
Sales Q2Q%14.29%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 43.23% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
KEL is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y322.36%
EPS Next 2Y28.56%
EPS Next 3Y43.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-18.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.38%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 30.68, which means the current valuation is very expensive for KEL.
KEL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.41, KEL is valued at the same level.
KEL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.09.
KEL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of KEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.19), we can say KEL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
KEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. KEL is cheaper than 70.09% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
KEL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
KEL's earnings are expected to grow with 43.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)0.63
EPS Next 2Y28.56%
EPS Next 3Y43.23%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
KEL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TSX:KEL (7/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
7.67
+0.29 (+3.93%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners35.71%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners17.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.53B
Analysts78.57
Price Target9.32 (21.51%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-60.6%
Min EPS beat(2)-76.9%
Max EPS beat(2)-44.31%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-82.78%
Max EPS beat(4)-44.31%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-19.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-20.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.67%
Max Revenue beat(4)-18.18%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-12.35%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.61%
PT rev (3m)-3.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-46.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.09 | ||
| P/S | 3.55 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.53 | ||
| P/B | 1.41 | ||
| P/tB | 1.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.38 |
EPS(TTM)0.25
EY3.26%
EPS(NY)0.36
Fwd EY4.74%
FCF(TTM)-0.62
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.17
OCFY15.3%
SpS2.16
BVpS5.46
TBVpS5.46
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)0.63
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.47% | ||
| ROE | 4.84% | ||
| ROCE | 5.04% | ||
| ROIC | 3.71% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.71% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.71% | ||
| OM | 16.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.23% | ||
| GM | 57.21% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)8.01%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)10.15%
ROE(5y)-1.51%
ROIC(3y)9.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.58%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)9.58%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.98%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-19.47%
ROICexcg growth 5Y22.56%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.56%
OM growth 3Y-16%
OM growth 5Y17.59%
PM growth 3Y-34.73%
PM growth 5Y44.22%
GM growth 3Y-4.48%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 236.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 83.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 14.86 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 105.64% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.45 |
F-Score3
WACC8.06%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)244.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)202.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)67.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)71.48%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.73%
EPS 3Y-28.82%
EPS 5Y48.96%
EPS Q2Q%50%
EPS Next Y322.36%
EPS Next 2Y28.56%
EPS Next 3Y43.23%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.73%
Revenue growth 3Y12.66%
Revenue growth 5Y1.98%
Sales Q2Q%14.29%
Revenue Next Year-18.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.38%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.4%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.37%
EBIT growth 5Y19.91%
EBIT Next Year80.92%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-512.38%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-31.43%
OCF growth 3Y9.4%
OCF growth 5Y5.18%