KELT EXPLORATION LTD (KEL.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:KELCA4882951060

Current stock price

8.5 CAD
-0.39 (-4.39%)
Last:

This KEL.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. KEL.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • KEL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • KEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • KEL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years KEL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
KEL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKEL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of KEL (3.94%) is better than 76.96% of its industry peers.
  • KEL has a better Return On Equity (5.53%) than 60.29% of its industry peers.
  • KEL has a Return On Invested Capital (2.45%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • KEL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.62%. This is below the industry average of 6.85%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.94%
ROE 5.53%
ROIC 2.45%
ROA(3y)4.63%
ROA(5y)8.09%
ROE(3y)6.12%
ROE(5y)10.36%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)7.61%
KEL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKEL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.50%, KEL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • KEL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of KEL (10.82%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of KEL has declined.
  • KEL has a better Gross Margin (55.43%) than 75.98% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of KEL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.82%
PM (TTM) 13.5%
GM 55.43%
OM growth 3Y-37.59%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-22.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-8.34%
GM growth 5Y9.95%
KEL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKEL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100 -150

4

2. KEL.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), KEL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, KEL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, KEL has more shares outstanding
  • KEL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
KEL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingKEL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
KEL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKEL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • KEL has an Altman-Z score of 2.57. This is not the best score and indicates that KEL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • KEL has a better Altman-Z score (2.57) than 73.53% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.16 indicates that KEL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • KEL has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.16) than 69.61% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.16
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.57
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC7.69%
KEL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKEL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.00 indicates that KEL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.00, KEL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that KEL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of KEL (1.00) is better than 65.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 1
KEL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKEL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

8

3. KEL.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 37.14% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 48.96% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • KEL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.88%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-28.82%
EPS 5Y48.96%
EPS Q2Q%34.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.88%
Revenue growth 3Y12.66%
Revenue growth 5Y1.98%
Sales Q2Q%14.83%

3.2 Future

  • KEL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 45.27% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 24.14% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y23.95%
EPS Next 2Y49.22%
EPS Next 3Y54.61%
EPS Next 5Y45.27%
Revenue Next Year-22.72%
Revenue Next 2Y22.79%
Revenue Next 3Y24.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
KEL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKEL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M
KEL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKEL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 -1

3

4. KEL.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 38.64, KEL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of KEL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • KEL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.35 indicates a rather expensive valuation of KEL.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, KEL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • KEL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 38.64
Fwd PE 17.35
KEL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKEL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than KEL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.06
KEL.CA Per share dataKEL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as KEL's earnings are expected to grow with 54.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.61
PEG (5Y)0.79
EPS Next 2Y49.22%
EPS Next 3Y54.61%

0

5. KEL.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for KEL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

KEL.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

KELT EXPLORATION LTD

TSX:KEL (4/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

8.5

-0.39 (-4.39%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners33.71%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners16.85%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.71B
Revenue(TTM)466.99M
Net Income(TTM)63.06M
Analysts80
Price Target10.86 (27.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-27.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)-32.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.2%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-26.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-32.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)-18.18%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-20.14%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-15.6%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)10.08%
PT rev (3m)10.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-92.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-93.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)40.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)32.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 38.64
Fwd PE 17.35
P/S 3.65
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 6.46
P/B 1.5
P/tB 1.5
EV/EBITDA 8.06
EPS(TTM)0.22
EY2.59%
EPS(NY)0.49
Fwd EY5.76%
FCF(TTM)-0.32
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.32
OCFY15.49%
SpS2.33
BVpS5.68
TBVpS5.68
PEG (NY)1.61
PEG (5Y)0.79
Graham Number5.30167 (-37.63%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.94%
ROE 5.53%
ROCE 3.34%
ROIC 2.45%
ROICexc 2.45%
ROICexgc 2.45%
OM 10.82%
PM (TTM) 13.5%
GM 55.43%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.63%
ROA(5y)8.09%
ROE(3y)6.12%
ROE(5y)10.36%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)7.61%
ROICexc(3y)4.65%
ROICexc(5y)7.63%
ROICexgc(3y)4.65%
ROICexgc(5y)7.63%
ROCE(3y)6.28%
ROCE(5y)10.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-47.79%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-47.79%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-37.59%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-22.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-8.34%
GM growth 5Y9.95%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.16
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.77
Cap/Depr 179%
Cap/Sales 70.36%
Interest Coverage 5.15
Cash Conversion 112.87%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 2.57
F-Score6
WACC7.69%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)213.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)231.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)71.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)70.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.14%
EPS 3Y-28.82%
EPS 5Y48.96%
EPS Q2Q%34.01%
EPS Next Y23.95%
EPS Next 2Y49.22%
EPS Next 3Y54.61%
EPS Next 5Y45.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.88%
Revenue growth 3Y12.66%
Revenue growth 5Y1.98%
Sales Q2Q%14.83%
Revenue Next Year-22.72%
Revenue Next 2Y22.79%
Revenue Next 3Y24.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-25.06%
EBIT growth 3Y-40.82%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year25.37%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y48.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y26.35%
OCF growth 3Y-4.77%
OCF growth 5Y34.83%

KELT EXPLORATION LTD / KEL.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for KELT EXPLORATION LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to KEL.CA.


What is the valuation status for KEL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to KELT EXPLORATION LTD (KEL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is KELT EXPLORATION LTD (KEL.CA) stock?

KELT EXPLORATION LTD (KEL.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of KELT EXPLORATION LTD (KEL.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of KELT EXPLORATION LTD (KEL.CA) is 4 / 10.