TARGET CORP (TGT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:TGT • US87612E1064

113.79 USD
-1 (-0.87%)
At close: Feb 27, 2026
113.45 USD
-0.34 (-0.3%)
After Hours: 2/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall TGT gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated TGT against 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. TGT scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. TGT is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TGT had positive earnings in the past year.
  • TGT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • TGT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TGT had a positive operating cash flow.
TGT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTGT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • TGT's Return On Assets of 6.27% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TGT outperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 24.28%, TGT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of TGT (12.98%) is better than 86.84% of its industry peers.
  • TGT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.15%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.42%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.15%) for TGT is below the current ROIC(12.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.27%
ROE 24.28%
ROIC 12.98%
ROA(3y)6.59%
ROA(5y)8.24%
ROE(3y)27.82%
ROE(5y)33.57%
ROIC(3y)11.15%
ROIC(5y)14.5%
TGT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTGT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 3.58%, TGT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TGT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • TGT has a Operating Margin of 6.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TGT outperforms 86.84% of its industry peers.
  • TGT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of TGT (27.74%) is better than 65.79% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TGT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.13%
PM (TTM) 3.58%
GM 27.74%
OM growth 3Y-14.71%
OM growth 5Y-2.48%
PM growth 3Y-16.32%
PM growth 5Y-1.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.06%
TGT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTGT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • TGT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TGT has less shares outstanding
  • TGT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • TGT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TGT Yearly Shares OutstandingTGT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
TGT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTGT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • TGT has an Altman-Z score of 3.00. This indicates that TGT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • TGT has a Altman-Z score of 3.00. This is in the lower half of the industry: TGT underperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of TGT is 5.48, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TGT, 5.48 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • TGT's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.48 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TGT outperforms 55.26% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.99 indicates that TGT is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • TGT has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.99. This is in the lower half of the industry: TGT underperforms 65.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF 5.48
Altman-Z 3
ROIC/WACC1.78
WACC7.28%
TGT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTGT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.97 indicates that TGT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TGT has a worse Current ratio (0.97) than 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.27 indicates that TGT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TGT's Quick ratio of 0.27 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TGT is outperformed by 76.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.27
TGT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTGT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for TGT have decreased strongly by -20.04% in the last year.
  • TGT shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 6.72% yearly.
  • TGT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.16%.
  • TGT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.41% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.04%
EPS 3Y-13.2%
EPS 5Y6.72%
EPS Q2Q%-3.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.16%
Revenue growth 3Y0.18%
Revenue growth 5Y6.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.55%

3.2 Future

  • TGT is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 2.75% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.93% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.98%
EPS Next 2Y-6.27%
EPS Next 3Y-1.99%
EPS Next 5Y2.75%
Revenue Next Year-1.58%
Revenue Next 2Y0.12%
Revenue Next 3Y1.06%
Revenue Next 5Y1.93%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TGT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTGT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
TGT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTGT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.09, TGT is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TGT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TGT to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.07), we can say TGT is valued slightly cheaper.
  • TGT is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.62.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TGT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGT is cheaper than 71.05% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.05. TGT is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.09
Fwd PE 14.62
TGT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTGT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • TGT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TGT is cheaper than 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TGT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.12
EV/EBITDA 6.72
TGT Per share dataTGT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of TGT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.25
EPS Next 2Y-6.27%
EPS Next 3Y-1.99%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.97%, TGT has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • TGT's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.69. TGT pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, TGT pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.97%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TGT is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.38%!
  • TGT has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • TGT has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.38%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
TGT Yearly Dividends per shareTGT Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 54.48% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TGT. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of TGT is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP54.48%
EPS Next 2Y-6.27%
EPS Next 3Y-1.99%
TGT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTGT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B
TGT Dividend Payout.TGT Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TGT Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

TARGET CORP

NYSE:TGT (2/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 113.45 -0.34 (-0.3%)

113.79

-1 (-0.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)11-19
Earnings (Next)05-19
Inst Owners85%
Inst Owner Change0.98%
Ins Owners0.22%
Ins Owner Change-0.37%
Market Cap51.53B
Revenue(TTM)105.24B
Net Income(TTM)3.76B
Analysts67.27
Price Target106.86 (-6.09%)
Short Float %4.16%
Short Ratio2.76
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.97%
Yearly Dividend4.46
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.38%
DP54.48%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.83%
Max EPS beat(2)2.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-19.93%
Max EPS beat(4)5.26%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.39%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)10.14%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.11%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.01%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.88%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.78%
PT rev (1m)5.61%
PT rev (3m)1.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.3%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.09
Fwd PE 14.62
P/S 0.49
P/FCF 17.12
P/OCF 7.61
P/B 3.32
P/tB 3.32
EV/EBITDA 6.72
EPS(TTM)7.54
EY6.63%
EPS(NY)7.78
Fwd EY6.84%
FCF(TTM)6.65
FCFY5.84%
OCF(TTM)14.96
OCFY13.15%
SpS232.42
BVpS34.23
TBVpS34.23
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.25
Graham Number76.21
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.27%
ROE 24.28%
ROCE 16.66%
ROIC 12.98%
ROICexc 14.4%
ROICexgc 14.4%
OM 6.13%
PM (TTM) 3.58%
GM 27.74%
FCFM 2.86%
ROA(3y)6.59%
ROA(5y)8.24%
ROE(3y)27.82%
ROE(5y)33.57%
ROIC(3y)11.15%
ROIC(5y)14.5%
ROICexc(3y)12.58%
ROICexc(5y)21.31%
ROICexgc(3y)12.84%
ROICexgc(5y)22.01%
ROCE(3y)14.31%
ROCE(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.72%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.23%
OM growth 3Y-14.71%
OM growth 5Y-2.48%
PM growth 3Y-16.32%
PM growth 5Y-1.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.75
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF 5.48
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 121.57%
Cap/Sales 3.58%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 70.92%
Profit Quality 79.96%
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.27
Altman-Z 3
F-Score5
WACC7.28%
ROIC/WACC1.78
Cap/Depr(3y)157.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)142.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.08%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.04%
EPS 3Y-13.2%
EPS 5Y6.72%
EPS Q2Q%-3.78%
EPS Next Y-16.98%
EPS Next 2Y-6.27%
EPS Next 3Y-1.99%
EPS Next 5Y2.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.16%
Revenue growth 3Y0.18%
Revenue growth 5Y6.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.55%
Revenue Next Year-1.58%
Revenue Next 2Y0.12%
Revenue Next 3Y1.06%
Revenue Next 5Y1.93%
EBIT growth 1Y7.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.56%
EBIT growth 5Y3.78%
EBIT Next Year40.71%
EBIT Next 3Y14.72%
EBIT Next 5Y11.37%
FCF growth 1Y-17.36%
FCF growth 3Y-4.14%
FCF growth 5Y1.82%
OCF growth 1Y-23.01%
OCF growth 3Y-5.12%
OCF growth 5Y0.69%

TARGET CORP / TGT FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TARGET CORP (TGT) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TGT.


What is the valuation status for TGT stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TARGET CORP (TGT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is TARGET CORP (TGT) stock?

TARGET CORP (TGT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for TARGET CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TARGET CORP (TGT) is expected to decline by -16.98% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for TGT stock?

The dividend rating of TARGET CORP (TGT) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 54.48%.