PAYCHEX INC (PAYX)

US7043261079 - Common Stock

121.97  -0.55 (-0.45%)

After market: 121.45 -0.52 (-0.43%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall PAYX gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated PAYX against 80 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. PAYX scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. PAYX is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. With these ratings, PAYX could be worth investigating further for quality investing!.



8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PAYX was profitable.
In the past year PAYX had a positive cash flow from operations.
PAYX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years PAYX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.

1.2 Ratios

PAYX has a Return On Assets of 12.75%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PAYX outperforms 88.75% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of PAYX (44.32%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of PAYX (32.42%) is better than 96.25% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PAYX is significantly above the industry average of 12.22%.
The 3 year average ROIC (30.37%) for PAYX is below the current ROIC(32.42%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 12.75%
ROE 44.32%
ROIC 32.42%
ROA(3y)13.71%
ROA(5y)13.18%
ROE(3y)42.32%
ROE(5y)41.19%
ROIC(3y)30.37%
ROIC(5y)29.07%

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 31.86%, PAYX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.25% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PAYX has remained more or less at the same level.
The Operating Margin of PAYX (41.16%) is better than 98.75% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PAYX has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 41.16%
PM (TTM) 31.86%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y3.95%
OM growth 5Y1.21%
PM growth 3Y4.6%
PM growth 5Y1.11%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PAYX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
PAYX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
PAYX has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PAYX has an improved debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

PAYX has an Altman-Z score of 4.21. This indicates that PAYX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
PAYX's Altman-Z score of 4.21 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PAYX outperforms 77.50% of its industry peers.
PAYX has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.43. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
PAYX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.43. This is in the better half of the industry: PAYX outperforms 78.75% of its industry peers.
PAYX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
PAYX has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 0.43
Altman-Z 4.21
ROIC/WACC3.53
WACC9.18%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.24 indicates that PAYX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PAYX has a Current ratio (1.24) which is in line with its industry peers.
PAYX has a Quick Ratio of 1.24. This is a normal value and indicates that PAYX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PAYX has a Quick ratio (1.24) which is in line with its industry peers.
PAYX does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.24
Quick Ratio 1.24

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

PAYX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.92%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.80% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
PAYX shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.91%.
Measured over the past years, PAYX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.19% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.92%
EPS 3Y12.7%
EPS 5Y11.8%
EPS growth Q2Q6.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.91%
Revenue growth 3Y7.41%
Revenue growth 5Y8.19%
Revenue growth Q2Q4.22%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PAYX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.50% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, PAYX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.51% on average per year.
EPS Next Y12.13%
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y8.1%
EPS Next 5Y8.5%
Revenue Next Year5.63%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y5.56%
Revenue Next 5Y6.51%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 26.69, which means the current valuation is very expensive for PAYX.
PAYX's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.20. PAYX is around the same levels.
PAYX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.01.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PAYX is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.63, PAYX is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.69
Fwd PE 24.01

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as PAYX.
PAYX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.17
EV/EBITDA 18.59

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of PAYX may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.2
PEG (5Y)2.26
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y8.1%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PAYX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.02%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.10, PAYX pays a better dividend. On top of this PAYX pays more dividend than 93.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
PAYX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.02%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of PAYX grows each year by 9.61%, which is quite nice.
PAYX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
As PAYX did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.61%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6

5.3 Sustainability

77.27% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PAYX. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
PAYX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP77.27%
EPS Next 2Y8.95%
EPS Next 3Y8.1%

PAYCHEX INC

NASDAQ:PAYX (4/25/2024, 5:03:34 PM)

After market: 121.45 -0.52 (-0.43%)

121.97

-0.55 (-0.45%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap43.90B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.02%
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.69
Fwd PE 24.01
P/S
P/FCF
P/OCF
P/B
P/tB
EV/EBITDA
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)2.2
PEG (5Y)2.26
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 12.75%
ROE 44.32%
ROCE
ROIC
ROICexc
ROICexgc
OM 41.16%
PM (TTM) 31.86%
GM N/A
FCFM
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF
Debt/EBITDA
Cap/Depr
Cap/Sales
Interest Coverage
Cash Conversion
Profit Quality
Current Ratio 1.24
Quick Ratio 1.24
Altman-Z
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.92%
EPS 3Y12.7%
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y12.13%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.91%
Revenue growth 3Y7.41%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y