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NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND (NCDL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NCDL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US67090S1087 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

16.3  +0.06 (+0.37%)

After market: 16.3 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, NCDL scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NCDL was compared to 237 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. There are concerns on the financial health of NCDL while its profitability can be described as average. NCDL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year NCDL was profitable.
In the past year NCDL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
NCDL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
NCDL had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
NCDL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNCDL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M -300M -400M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.66%, NCDL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.09% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of NCDL (11.01%) is better than 63.71% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of NCDL (4.52%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NCDL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.88%. This is below the industry average of 7.85%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.52%) for NCDL is above the 3 year average (3.88%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.66%
ROE 11.01%
ROIC 4.52%
ROA(3y)3.73%
ROA(5y)3.02%
ROE(3y)8.48%
ROE(5y)6.82%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.04%
NCDL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNCDL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

NCDL has a better Profit Margin (44.83%) than 88.19% of its industry peers.
NCDL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
NCDL has a better Operating Margin (53.62%) than 89.45% of its industry peers.
NCDL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of NCDL (49.99%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NCDL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 53.62%
PM (TTM) 44.83%
GM 49.99%
OM growth 3Y-2.41%
OM growth 5Y4.58%
PM growth 3Y-11.59%
PM growth 5Y1.87%
GM growth 3Y-7.32%
GM growth 5Y0.38%
NCDL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNCDL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

Compared to 1 year ago, NCDL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, NCDL has less shares outstanding
NCDL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
NCDL Yearly Shares OutstandingNCDL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
NCDL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNCDL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.66, we must say that NCDL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.66, NCDL is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.04% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.30 is on the high side and indicates that NCDL has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.30, NCDL is doing worse than 63.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.3
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.66
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
NCDL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNCDL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.25 indicates that NCDL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
NCDL has a Current ratio (1.25) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.25 indicates that NCDL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
NCDL's Quick ratio of 1.25 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NCDL outperforms 55.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.25
Quick Ratio 1.25
NCDL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNCDL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

NCDL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 55.16%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, NCDL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 75.26% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, NCDL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 38.50%.
NCDL shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 70.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)55.16%
EPS 3Y62.6%
EPS 5Y75.26%
EPS Q2Q%-19.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)38.5%
Revenue growth 3Y83.45%
Revenue growth 5Y70.84%
Sales Q2Q%-3.55%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, NCDL will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -7.92% on average per year.
NCDL is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -8.04% yearly.
EPS Next Y-13.95%
EPS Next 2Y-11.04%
EPS Next 3Y-7.92%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.13%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.04%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
NCDL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNCDL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M
NCDL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNCDL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.69, the valuation of NCDL can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NCDL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NCDL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.11), we can say NCDL is valued rather cheaply.
NCDL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.11.
81.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NCDL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.78. NCDL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.69
Fwd PE 9.11
NCDL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNCDL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
NCDL Per share dataNCDL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

NCDL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
NCDL's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.92% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.1
EPS Next 2Y-11.04%
EPS Next 3Y-7.92%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.32%, NCDL is a good candidate for dividend investing.
NCDL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 7.84. NCDL pays more dividend than 81.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, NCDL pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.32%

5.2 History

NCDL is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
NCDL Yearly Dividends per shareNCDL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y-11.04%
EPS Next 3Y-7.92%
NCDL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNCDL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M -300M -400M

NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND

NYSE:NCDL (8/13/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 16.3 0 (0%)

16.3

+0.06 (+0.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)08-06 2025-08-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/bmo
Inst Owners28.82%
Inst Owner Change0.41%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change0.07%
Market Cap819.56M
Analysts78.33
Price Target17.17 (5.34%)
Short Float %1.06%
Short Ratio2.38
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.32%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date09-30 2025-09-30 (0.45)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-7.66%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.76%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.23%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.76%
Max EPS beat(4)-2.8%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.42%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.2%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.42%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.45%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.5%
PT rev (3m)-2.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.8%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.39%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.69
Fwd PE 9.11
P/S 3.63
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.89
P/tB 0.89
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)2.12
EY13.01%
EPS(NY)1.79
Fwd EY10.97%
FCF(TTM)-4.15
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-4.15
OCFYN/A
SpS4.5
BVpS18.3
TBVpS18.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.1
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.66%
ROE 11.01%
ROCE 5.72%
ROIC 4.52%
ROICexc 4.62%
ROICexgc 4.64%
OM 53.62%
PM (TTM) 44.83%
GM 49.99%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.73%
ROA(5y)3.02%
ROE(3y)8.48%
ROE(5y)6.82%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.04%
ROICexc(3y)4.01%
ROICexc(5y)3.14%
ROICexgc(3y)4.01%
ROICexgc(5y)3.14%
ROCE(3y)4.92%
ROCE(5y)3.85%
ROICexcg growth 3Y28.07%
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.13%
OM growth 3Y-2.41%
OM growth 5Y4.58%
PM growth 3Y-11.59%
PM growth 5Y1.87%
GM growth 3Y-7.32%
GM growth 5Y0.38%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.3
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 1.53
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.25
Quick Ratio 1.25
Altman-Z 0.66
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)55.16%
EPS 3Y62.6%
EPS 5Y75.26%
EPS Q2Q%-19.3%
EPS Next Y-13.95%
EPS Next 2Y-11.04%
EPS Next 3Y-7.92%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)38.5%
Revenue growth 3Y83.45%
Revenue growth 5Y70.84%
Sales Q2Q%-3.55%
Revenue Next Year-5.13%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.04%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y24.4%
EBIT growth 3Y79.02%
EBIT growth 5Y78.66%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y47.82%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y47.82%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A