NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND (NCDL) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:NCDL • US67090S1087

Current stock price

13.31 USD
+0.22 (+1.68%)
Last:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND (NCDL).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$15.98
+ 20.06% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 6, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.43
Revenue Estimate
48.634M
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
78.33%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$15.98
Upside
+ 20.06%
From current price of $13.31 to mean target of $15.98, Based on 12 analyst forecasts
Low
$14.14
Median
$15.94
High
$18.90

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.00%
3 Months
-2.34%

Price Target Summary

12 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for NCDL. The average price target is 15.98 USD. This implies a price increase of 20.06% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 13.31.
The average price target has been revised downward by 2.34% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

NCDL Current Analyst RatingNCDL Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 1 2 3 4

Analyst Ratings History

NCDL Historical Analyst RatingsNCDL Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 2 4 6 8 10

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
78.33%
NCDL was analyzed by 12 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 78. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about NCDL.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
NCDL was analyzed by 12 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-03-04Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-03-04Truist SecuritiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-02-27Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintains Market Perform -> Market Perform
2025-11-05Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintains Market Perform -> Market Perform
2025-11-05Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-10-14UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-07-16UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-06-24JMP SecuritiesMaintains Market Outperform -> Market Outperform
2025-05-13Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-04-28Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-04-17UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-04-08Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintains Market Perform -> Market Perform
2024-08-12Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-03-26JMP SecuritiesReiterate Market Outperform -> Market Outperform
2024-02-28JMP SecuritiesUpgrade Market Perform -> Market Outperform
2024-02-20Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiate Market Perform
2024-02-20JMP SecuritiesInitiate Market Perform
2024-02-20UBSInitiate Neutral
2024-02-20Wells FargoInitiate Equal-Weight
2024-02-20Truist SecuritiesInitiate Buy
2024-02-20B of A SecuritiesInitiate Buy

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 6, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.43
Revenue Estimate
48.634M
Revenue Q2Q
-9.24%
EPS Q2Q
-18.53%
Number of Analysts
8

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.00%
Revenue (3 Months)
0.00%
EPS (1 Month)
0.00%
EPS (3 Months)
0.00%

Next Earnings Summary

NCDL is expected to report earnings on 5/6/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.43 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 48.63M USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 0% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Revenue
YoY % growth
NCDL revenue by date.NCDL revenue by date.
82.453M
127.21%		161.756M
96.18%		224.04M
38.50%		211.52M
-5.59%		184.64M
-12.71%		176.17M
-4.59%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
NCDL ebitda by date.NCDL ebitda by date.
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
EBIT
YoY % growth
NCDL ebit by date.NCDL ebit by date.
46.323M
115.16%		85.016M
83.53%		123.526M
45.30%		96.492M
-21.89%		89.015M
-7.75%		80.784M
-9.25%
Operating Margin
NCDL operating margin by date.NCDL operating margin by date.
56.18%52.56%55.14%45.62%48.21%45.86%
EPS
YoY % growth
NCDL eps by date.NCDL eps by date.
N/AN/A2.26
-9.56%		1.88
-17.70%		1.67
-10.34%		1.54
-7.65%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27
EPS
Q2Q % growth		0.43
-18.53%		0.42
-7.98%		0.41
-4.17%		0.41
-7.85%		0.39
-9.45%		0.39
-7.63%		0.39
-5.12%		0.39
-4.40%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		48.634M
-9.24%		47.241M
-11.09%		45.527M
-10.92%		44.917M
-10.23%		44.18M
-9.16%		44.18M
-6.48%		44.18M
-2.96%		44.18M
-1.64%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		22.685M
-18.12%		22.256M
-3.59%		N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

NCDL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNCDL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M
NCDL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNCDL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
N/A
EPS Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
N/A
Revenue Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
N/A
EBIT Next 5 Year
N/A
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND / NCDL Forecast FAQ

What is the average price target for NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND (NCDL) stock?

12 analysts have analysed NCDL and the average price target is 15.98 USD. This implies a price increase of 20.06% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 13.31.

What is the next earnings date for NCDL stock?

NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND (NCDL) will report earnings on 2026-05-06.

What are the consensus estimates for NCDL stock next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND (NCDL) is 0.43 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 48.63M USD.

How many analysts cover NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND (NCDL) stock?

The number of analysts covering NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LEND (NCDL) is 12.