MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MSM • US5535301064

Current stock price

103.015 USD
+2.27 (+2.25%)
Last:

This MSM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. MSM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MSM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year MSM had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years MSM has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years MSM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MSM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMSM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.47%, MSM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MSM's Return On Equity of 15.01% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MSM outperforms 71.74% of its industry peers.
  • MSM has a better Return On Invested Capital (13.87%) than 84.78% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MSM is significantly above the industry average of 9.22%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.47%
ROE 15.01%
ROIC 13.87%
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)10.67%
ROE(3y)18.71%
ROE(5y)20.03%
ROIC(3y)16.43%
ROIC(5y)16.08%
MSM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMSM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.42%, MSM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MSM has declined.
  • MSM has a Operating Margin of 8.42%. This is in the better half of the industry: MSM outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MSM has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 40.78%, MSM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MSM has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.42%
PM (TTM) 5.42%
GM 40.78%
OM growth 3Y-13.59%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3Y-16.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.63%
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y-0.64%
MSM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMSM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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6

2. MSM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MSM is creating value.
  • MSM has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • MSM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • MSM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MSM Yearly Shares OutstandingMSM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
MSM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMSM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.66 indicates that MSM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MSM has a better Altman-Z score (5.66) than 82.61% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MSM is 2.38, which is a good value as it means it would take MSM, 2.38 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • MSM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.38. This is amongst the best in the industry. MSM outperforms 82.61% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14 indicates that MSM is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • MSM has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.14) than 76.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF 2.38
Altman-Z 5.66
ROIC/WACC1.52
WACC9.11%
MSM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMSM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MSM has a Current Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that MSM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MSM's Current ratio of 1.73 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MSM outperforms 45.65% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that MSM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MSM has a Quick ratio of 0.78. This is in the lower half of the industry: MSM underperforms 71.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.73
Quick Ratio 0.78
MSM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMSM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. MSM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.02% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.42% on average over the past years.
  • MSM shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.16%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.38% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.02%
EPS 3Y-15.2%
EPS 5Y-4.42%
EPS Q2Q%13.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.16%
Revenue growth 3Y0.7%
Revenue growth 5Y3.38%
Sales Q2Q%2.92%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MSM will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.57% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.00% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.11%
EPS Next 2Y15.02%
EPS Next 3Y15.06%
EPS Next 5Y8.57%
Revenue Next Year5.28%
Revenue Next 2Y5.27%
Revenue Next 3Y5.18%
Revenue Next 5Y4%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
MSM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMSM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
MSM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMSM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

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4

4. MSM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MSM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.88.
  • MSM's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.54. MSM is around the same levels.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 20.77, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MSM.
  • 65.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MSM, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.68, MSM is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.88
Fwd PE 20.77
MSM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMSM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MSM is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • 76.09% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MSM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.75
EV/EBITDA 14.54
MSM Per share dataMSM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MSM's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of MSM may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • MSM's earnings are expected to grow with 15.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.61
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.02%
EPS Next 3Y15.06%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. MSM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MSM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.55%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.76, MSM pays a better dividend. On top of this MSM pays more dividend than 97.83% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MSM pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.55%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MSM decreases each year by -15.79%.
  • MSM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MSM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MSM Yearly Dividends per shareMSM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

  • MSM pays out 92.40% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP92.4%
EPS Next 2Y15.02%
EPS Next 3Y15.06%
MSM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMSM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
MSM Dividend Payout.MSM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MSM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MSM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A

NYSE:MSM (4/30/2026, 3:12:17 PM)

103.015

+2.27 (+2.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Industry Strength68.32
Industry Growth45.34
Earnings (Last)04-01
Earnings (Next)06-29
Inst Owners88.25%
Inst Owner Change-6.04%
Ins Owners19.07%
Ins Owner Change5.55%
Market Cap5.75B
Revenue(TTM)3.83B
Net Income(TTM)207.68M
Analysts52.5
Price Target92.23 (-10.47%)
Short Float %6.08%
Short Ratio4.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.55%
Yearly Dividend3.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.79%
DP92.4%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date04-08
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.23%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.91%
Max EPS beat(2)3.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.91%
Max EPS beat(4)6.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.18%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.62%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.44%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.83%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.6%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.37%
PT rev (1m)4.01%
PT rev (3m)2.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.77%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.3%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.88
Fwd PE 20.77
P/S 1.5
P/FCF 26.75
P/OCF 19.1
P/B 4.16
P/tB 9.89
EV/EBITDA 14.54
EPS(TTM)3.98
EY3.86%
EPS(NY)4.96
Fwd EY4.82%
FCF(TTM)3.85
FCFY3.74%
OCF(TTM)5.39
OCFY5.24%
SpS68.65
BVpS24.78
TBVpS10.41
PEG (NY)1.61
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number47.1085 (-54.27%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.47%
ROE 15.01%
ROCE 18.52%
ROIC 13.87%
ROICexc 14.25%
ROICexgc 27.04%
OM 8.42%
PM (TTM) 5.42%
GM 40.78%
FCFM 5.61%
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)10.67%
ROE(3y)18.71%
ROE(5y)20.03%
ROIC(3y)16.43%
ROIC(5y)16.08%
ROICexc(3y)16.85%
ROICexc(5y)16.46%
ROICexgc(3y)31.18%
ROICexgc(5y)29.73%
ROCE(3y)21.95%
ROCE(5y)21.47%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.93%
OM growth 3Y-13.59%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3Y-16.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.63%
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y-0.64%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF 2.38
Debt/EBITDA 0.46
Cap/Depr 89.46%
Cap/Sales 2.25%
Interest Coverage 14.29
Cash Conversion 71.88%
Profit Quality 103.52%
Current Ratio 1.73
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 5.66
F-Score6
WACC9.11%
ROIC/WACC1.52
Cap/Depr(3y)116.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.14%
Profit Quality(3y)139.37%
Profit Quality(5y)110.25%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.02%
EPS 3Y-15.2%
EPS 5Y-4.42%
EPS Q2Q%13.89%
EPS Next Y16.11%
EPS Next 2Y15.02%
EPS Next 3Y15.06%
EPS Next 5Y8.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.16%
Revenue growth 3Y0.7%
Revenue growth 5Y3.38%
Sales Q2Q%2.92%
Revenue Next Year5.28%
Revenue Next 2Y5.27%
Revenue Next 3Y5.18%
Revenue Next 5Y4%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.98%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.85%
EBIT Next Year59.85%
EBIT Next 3Y25.17%
EBIT Next 5Y13.13%
FCF growth 1Y-38.12%
FCF growth 3Y9.24%
FCF growth 5Y-7.18%
OCF growth 1Y-32.03%
OCF growth 3Y10.67%
OCF growth 5Y-3.4%

MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A / MSM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MSM.


What is the valuation status for MSM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A?

MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) is 25.88 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.16.


What is the expected EPS growth for MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) is expected to grow by 16.11% in the next year.