MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:MSM • US5535301064

Current stock price

90.3 USD
+0.82 (+0.92%)
At close:
90.3 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$89.43
-0.97% Downside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
Apr 1, 2026
Period
Q2 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.84
Revenue Estimate
941.04M
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
52.94%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$89.43
Upside
-0.97%
From current price of $90.30 to mean target of $89.43, Based on 17 analyst forecasts
Low
$82.52
Median
$89.25
High
$98.70

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.85%
3 Months
-2.53%

Price Target Summary

17 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for MSM. The average price target is 89.43 USD. This implies a price decrease of -0.97% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 90.3.
The average price target has been revised downward by 2.53% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

MSM Current Analyst RatingMSM Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6 8 10

Analyst Ratings History

MSM Historical Analyst RatingsMSM Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
52.94%
MSM was analyzed by 17 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 53. So analysts seem to be rather neutral about MSM.
In the last month the buy percentage fell by 14 points. So the trust of analysts is decreasing.
MSM was analyzed by 17 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-02-06JP MorganDowngrade Overweight -> Neutral
2025-10-24JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-15JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-08Wolfe ResearchDowngrade Outperform -> Peer Perform
2025-07-02Stephens & Co.Maintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-07-02Loop CapitalMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-07-02BairdMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-05-27JP MorganUpgrade Neutral -> Overweight
2025-04-04Loop CapitalMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-04-04BairdMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-01-16Wolfe ResearchInitiate Outperform
2024-12-04Stephens & Co.Downgrade Overweight -> Equal-Weight
2024-10-25JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2024-10-16BairdMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2024-07-03Loop CapitalMaintains Hold -> Hold
2024-07-03JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2024-06-17KeybancDowngrade Overweight -> Sector Weight
2024-06-17Loop CapitalDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2024-06-14Stephens & Co.Reiterate Overweight -> Overweight
2024-06-14BairdMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2024-05-29BairdDowngrade Outperform -> Neutral
2024-04-01Stephens & Co.Reiterate Overweight -> Overweight
2024-01-10KeybancMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2023-10-09Loop CapitalUpgrade Hold -> Buy
2023-06-30JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
Apr 1, 2026
Period
Q2 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.84
Revenue Estimate
941.04M
Revenue Q2Q
5.53%
EPS Q2Q
17.31%
Number of Analysts
9

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.01%
Revenue (3 Months)
-2.49%
EPS (1 Month)
-0.05%
EPS (3 Months)
-5.89%

Next Earnings Summary

MSM is expected to report earnings on 4/1/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.84 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 941.04M USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 2.49% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2030

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue
YoY % growth
MSM revenue by date.MSM revenue by date.
4.009B
8.60%		3.821B
-4.70%		3.77B
-1.35%		3.991B
5.88%		4.197B
5.16%		4.442B
5.84%		4.518B
1.71%		4.609B
2.01%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
MSM ebitda by date.MSM ebitda by date.
566.7M
4.02%		486.878M
-14.09%		403.189M
-17.19%		455.65M
13.01%		498.03M
9.30%		551.49M
10.73%		600.95M
8.97%		530.25M
-11.76%
EBIT
YoY % growth
MSM ebit by date.MSM ebit by date.
491.6M
3.63%		405.992M
-17.41%		312.562M
-23.01%		354.67M
13.47%		394.62M
11.26%		447.43M
13.38%		487.83M
9.03%		415.11M
-14.91%
Operating Margin
MSM operating margin by date.MSM operating margin by date.
12.26%10.63%8.29%8.89%9.40%10.07%10.80%9.01%
EPS
YoY % growth
MSM eps by date.MSM eps by date.
6.31
2.60%		4.79
-24.09%		3.75
-21.71%		4.33
15.48%		4.87
12.52%		5.52
13.33%		6.58
19.07%		5.65
-14.13%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		0.84
17.31%		1.21
12.46%		1.26
15.48%		1.11
11.97%		1.04
22.57%		1.38
13.72%		1.36
7.92%		1.24
12.07%		1.06
2.44%		1.54
11.15%		1.71
25.65%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		941.04M
5.53%		1.033B
6.37%		1.042B
6.52%		1.021B
5.73%		1.009B
7.22%		1.096B
6.10%		1.086B
4.22%		1.075B
5.29%		1.042B
3.27%		1.159B
5.75%		1.223B
12.62%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		97.15M
-10.31%		124.58M
-18.53%		127.01M
-29.24%		116.4M
9.58%		110.92M
14.17%		137.03M
9.99%		135.09M
6.36%		130.29M
11.93%		116.15M
4.72%		152.51M
11.30%		166.65M
23.36%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		71.71M
12.66%		99.095M
16.02%		101.59M
14.31%		91.405M
12.69%		85.926M
19.82%		111.53M
12.55%		109.84M
8.12%		104.03M
13.81%		89.89M
4.61%		126.25M
13.20%		140.39M
27.81%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

MSM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMSM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
MSM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMSM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
13.77%
EPS Next 5 Year
8.53%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
5.44%
Revenue Next 5 Year
4.00%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
24.44%
EBIT Next 5 Year
13.13%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A / MSM Forecast FAQ

What is the average price target for MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) stock?

17 analysts have analysed MSM and the average price target is 89.43 USD. This implies a price decrease of -0.97% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 90.3.

What is the next earnings date for MSM stock?

MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) will report earnings on 2026-04-01, before the market open.

What are the consensus estimates for MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) is 0.84 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 941.04M USD.

What is the expected long term growth rate for MSM stock?

The expected long term growth rate for MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO-A (MSM) is 5.44%.