MACY'S INC (M) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:M • US55616P1049

Current stock price

17.68 USD
-0.42 (-2.32%)
Last:

This M fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. M Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year M was profitable.
  • In the past year M had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years M has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years M had a positive operating cash flow.
M Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.96%, M is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • M has a Return On Equity of 13.23%. This is in the better half of the industry: M outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.72%, M is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for M is below the industry average of 8.84%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.96%
ROE 13.23%
ROIC 5.72%
ROA(3y)2.59%
ROA(5y)4.54%
ROE(3y)9.04%
ROE(5y)18.94%
ROIC(3y)6.64%
ROIC(5y)8.92%
M Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • M has a Profit Margin of 2.84%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: M outperforms 56.67% of its industry peers.
  • M's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • M has a Operating Margin (3.91%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of M has declined.
  • M has a Gross Margin of 40.33%. This is in the lower half of the industry: M underperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of M has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.91%
PM (TTM) 2.84%
GM 40.33%
OM growth 3Y-15.37%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.53%
GM growth 5Y4.67%
M Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 -20 40

4

2. M Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), M is destroying value.
  • M has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, M has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for M has been reduced compared to a year ago.
M Yearly Shares OutstandingM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
M Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • M has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.52. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as M would need 3.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • M's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.52 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. M outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • M has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50. This is a neutral value indicating M is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.50, M perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF 3.52
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC8.49%
M Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.49 indicates that M should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • M has a Current ratio of 1.49. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: M outperforms 53.33% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.50 indicates that M may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.50, M is not doing good in the industry: 90.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.49
Quick Ratio 0.5
M Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B

2

3. M Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • M shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.74%.
  • M shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -18.54% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, M shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.67% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.56% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.74%
EPS 3Y-18.54%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.85%
Revenue growth 5Y4.56%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.93% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.64% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-2.11%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y3.05%
EPS Next 5Y3.93%
Revenue Next Year-1.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.64%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
M Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
M Yearly EPS VS EstimatesM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 2 -2 4

7

4. M Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.59, the valuation of M can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, M is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • M's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.51.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.75 indicates a rather cheap valuation of M.
  • M's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. M is cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of M to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.76), we can say M is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.59
Fwd PE 7.75
M Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, M is valued cheaper than 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of M indicates a rather cheap valuation: M is cheaper than 86.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.81
EV/EBITDA 3.37
M Per share dataM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y3.05%

7

5. M Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • M has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.95%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • The stock price of M dropped by -20.44% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • M's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.67. M pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • M's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.95%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of M is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.05%!
  • M has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • M has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.05%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
M Yearly Dividends per shareM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • M pays out 30.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of M is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP30.64%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y3.05%
M Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2B -2B
M Dividend Payout.M Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.M Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

M Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MACY'S INC

NYSE:M (4/2/2026, 10:43:07 AM)

17.68

-0.42 (-2.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-18
Earnings (Next)05-26
Inst Owners90.94%
Inst Owner Change-2.05%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change-0.46%
Market Cap4.70B
Revenue(TTM)22.62B
Net Income(TTM)643.00M
Analysts54.74
Price Target19.59 (10.8%)
Short Float %10.06%
Short Ratio3.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.95%
Yearly Dividend0.73
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.05%
DP30.64%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)84.71%
Min EPS beat(2)6.73%
Max EPS beat(2)162.7%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)74.42%
Min EPS beat(4)6.73%
Max EPS beat(4)162.7%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)70.12%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)450.87%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)351.94%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.98%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.76%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-0.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.69%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.59
Fwd PE 7.75
P/S 0.21
P/FCF 6.81
P/OCF 3.29
P/B 0.97
P/tB 1.3
EV/EBITDA 3.37
EPS(TTM)2.33
EY13.18%
EPS(NY)2.28
Fwd EY12.9%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY14.68%
OCF(TTM)5.38
OCFY30.42%
SpS85.08
BVpS18.28
TBVpS13.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number30.96
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.96%
ROE 13.23%
ROCE 7.53%
ROIC 5.72%
ROICexc 6.39%
ROICexgc 7.26%
OM 3.91%
PM (TTM) 2.84%
GM 40.33%
FCFM 3.05%
ROA(3y)2.59%
ROA(5y)4.54%
ROE(3y)9.04%
ROE(5y)18.94%
ROIC(3y)6.64%
ROIC(5y)8.92%
ROICexc(3y)7.38%
ROICexc(5y)9.99%
ROICexgc(3y)8.9%
ROICexgc(5y)12.05%
ROCE(3y)8.74%
ROCE(5y)11.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.73%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.37%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.53%
GM growth 5Y4.67%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF 3.52
Debt/EBITDA 1.37
Cap/Depr 82.77%
Cap/Sales 3.27%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 80.43%
Profit Quality 107.31%
Current Ratio 1.49
Quick Ratio 0.5
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score8
WACC8.49%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)97.86%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.74%
Profit Quality(3y)289.62%
Profit Quality(5y)208.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.74%
EPS 3Y-18.54%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.22%
EPS Next Y-2.11%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y3.05%
EPS Next 5Y3.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.85%
Revenue growth 5Y4.56%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-1.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.64%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.66%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.63%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year105.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.15%
EBIT Next 5Y15.96%
FCF growth 1Y74.24%
FCF growth 3Y29.19%
FCF growth 5Y30.4%
OCF growth 1Y11.89%
OCF growth 3Y-3.97%
OCF growth 5Y17.12%

MACY'S INC / M Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MACY'S INC (M) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to M.


What is the valuation status of MACY'S INC (M) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MACY'S INC (M). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MACY'S INC?

MACY'S INC (M) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of MACY'S INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MACY'S INC (M) is 7.59 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.97.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MACY'S INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MACY'S INC (M) is expected to decline by -2.11% in the next year.