AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AFRM • US00827B1061

Current stock price

43.03 USD
+0.5 (+1.18%)
At close:
42.69 USD
-0.34 (-0.79%)
After Hours:

This AFRM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. AFRM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AFRM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AFRM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AFRM had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: AFRM reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
AFRM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAFRM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.18%, AFRM is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of AFRM (7.96%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 4.48%, AFRM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.18%
ROE 7.96%
ROIC 4.48%
ROA(3y)-5.68%
ROA(5y)-7.25%
ROE(3y)-18.71%
ROE(5y)-20.05%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AFRM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAFRM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.60%, AFRM is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 17.93%, AFRM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AFRM has a better Gross Margin (92.32%) than 95.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AFRM has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.93%
PM (TTM) 7.6%
GM 92.32%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.9%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
AFRM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAFRM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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4

2. AFRM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AFRM is destroying value.
  • AFRM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AFRM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AFRM is higher compared to a year ago.
AFRM Yearly Shares OutstandingAFRM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
AFRM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAFRM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • AFRM has an Altman-Z score of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that AFRM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of AFRM (1.19) is better than 66.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AFRM is 14.55, which is on the high side as it means it would take AFRM, 14.55 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 14.55, AFRM is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AFRM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.54. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.54, AFRM is not doing good in the industry: 71.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.54
Debt/FCF 14.55
Altman-Z 1.19
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC7.71%
AFRM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAFRM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 5.29 indicates that AFRM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AFRM (5.29) is better than 91.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 5.29 indicates that AFRM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of AFRM (5.29) is better than 91.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.29
Quick Ratio 5.29
AFRM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAFRM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. AFRM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AFRM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 224.62%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue has grown by 32.70% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • The Revenue has been growing by 44.63% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)224.62%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.7%
Revenue growth 3Y33.69%
Revenue growth 5Y44.63%
Sales Q2Q%29.62%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 102.22% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 23.05% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y747.96%
EPS Next 2Y268.09%
EPS Next 3Y166.65%
EPS Next 5Y102.22%
Revenue Next Year29.83%
Revenue Next 2Y26.93%
Revenue Next 3Y26.51%
Revenue Next 5Y23.05%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
AFRM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAFRM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
AFRM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAFRM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 2 -2 4 6 8

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. AFRM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 53.12, the valuation of AFRM can be described as expensive.
  • 74.00% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AFRM, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • AFRM is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 24.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.43 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AFRM.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AFRM indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AFRM is more expensive than 68.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AFRM is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 53.12
Fwd PE 24.43
AFRM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAFRM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AFRM is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • AFRM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.15
EV/EBITDA 23.26
AFRM Per share dataAFRM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AFRM's earnings are expected to grow with 166.65% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y268.09%
EPS Next 3Y166.65%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. AFRM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AFRM!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AFRM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:AFRM (3/30/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 42.69 -0.34 (-0.79%)

43.03

+0.5 (+1.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners85.16%
Inst Owner Change3.94%
Ins Owners0.93%
Ins Owner Change0.62%
Market Cap14.33B
Revenue(TTM)3.72B
Net Income(TTM)282.33M
Analysts79.46
Price Target84.72 (96.89%)
Short Float %6.34%
Short Ratio2.63
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)74.79%
Min EPS beat(2)39.07%
Max EPS beat(2)110.5%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)91.78%
Min EPS beat(4)39.07%
Max EPS beat(4)133.59%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)92.34%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)69.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)55.23%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.08%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.08%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.21%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.59%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.1%
PT rev (1m)-2.35%
PT rev (3m)-11.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 53.12
Fwd PE 24.43
P/S 3.86
P/FCF 23.15
P/OCF 17.2
P/B 4.04
P/tB 4.78
EV/EBITDA 23.26
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY1.88%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY4.09%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY4.32%
OCF(TTM)2.5
OCFY5.81%
SpS11.16
BVpS10.65
TBVpS9.01
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number13.93
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.18%
ROE 7.96%
ROCE 5.28%
ROIC 4.48%
ROICexc 5.1%
ROICexgc 5.49%
OM 17.93%
PM (TTM) 7.6%
GM 92.32%
FCFM 16.66%
ROA(3y)-5.68%
ROA(5y)-7.25%
ROE(3y)-18.71%
ROE(5y)-20.05%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.9%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.54
Debt/FCF 14.55
Debt/EBITDA 9.68
Cap/Depr 81.02%
Cap/Sales 5.76%
Interest Coverage 1.63
Cash Conversion 89.54%
Profit Quality 219.3%
Current Ratio 5.29
Quick Ratio 5.29
Altman-Z 1.19
F-Score8
WACC7.71%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)89.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)224.62%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60.87%
EPS Next Y747.96%
EPS Next 2Y268.09%
EPS Next 3Y166.65%
EPS Next 5Y102.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.7%
Revenue growth 3Y33.69%
Revenue growth 5Y44.63%
Sales Q2Q%29.62%
Revenue Next Year29.83%
Revenue Next 2Y26.93%
Revenue Next 3Y26.51%
Revenue Next 5Y23.05%
EBIT growth 1Y1964.63%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year1412.88%
EBIT Next 3Y188.88%
EBIT Next 5Y92.99%
FCF growth 1Y1787.66%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y412.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC / AFRM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AFRM.


Can you provide the valuation status for AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) stock?

AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


How financially healthy is AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC?

The financial health rating of AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) is 4 / 10.