AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:AFRM • US00827B1061
Current stock price
47.4 USD
-1.05 (-2.17%)
At close:
47.4 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This AFRM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AFRM Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AFRM had positive earnings in the past year.
- AFRM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- AFRM had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In multiple years AFRM reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- AFRM's Return On Assets of 2.18% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AFRM outperforms 62.00% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of AFRM (7.96%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AFRM has a better Return On Invested Capital (4.48%) than 64.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.18% | ||
| ROE | 7.96% | ||
| ROIC | 4.48% |
ROA(3y)-5.68%
ROA(5y)-7.25%
ROE(3y)-18.71%
ROE(5y)-20.05%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- AFRM's Profit Margin of 7.60% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AFRM outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
- The Operating Margin of AFRM (17.93%) is better than 64.00% of its industry peers.
- AFRM has a better Gross Margin (92.32%) than 95.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AFRM has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.93% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.6% | ||
| GM | 92.32% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.9%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
2. AFRM Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AFRM is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AFRM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- AFRM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AFRM has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.31, we must say that AFRM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.31, AFRM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AFRM has a debt to FCF ratio of 14.55. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AFRM would need 14.55 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 14.55, AFRM is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.54 is on the high side and indicates that AFRM has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.54, AFRM is doing worse than 71.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.55 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.31 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC7.75%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 5.29 indicates that AFRM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- AFRM has a better Current ratio (5.29) than 91.00% of its industry peers.
- AFRM has a Quick Ratio of 5.29. This indicates that AFRM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Quick ratio value of 5.29, AFRM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 5.29 |
3. AFRM Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 224.62% over the past year.
- The Revenue has grown by 32.70% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- The Revenue has been growing by 44.63% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)224.62%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.7%
Revenue growth 3Y33.69%
Revenue growth 5Y44.63%
Sales Q2Q%29.62%
3.2 Future
- AFRM is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 102.22% yearly.
- AFRM is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 23.05% yearly.
EPS Next Y747.96%
EPS Next 2Y268.09%
EPS Next 3Y166.65%
EPS Next 5Y102.22%
Revenue Next Year29.83%
Revenue Next 2Y26.96%
Revenue Next 3Y26.53%
Revenue Next 5Y23.05%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. AFRM Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AFRM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 58.52.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AFRM is valued a bit more expensive than 73.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.21. AFRM is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
- AFRM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.91.
- AFRM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AFRM is more expensive than 68.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AFRM to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.13), we can say AFRM is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 58.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- AFRM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- AFRM's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 25.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- AFRM's earnings are expected to grow with 166.65% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y268.09%
EPS Next 3Y166.65%
5. AFRM Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for AFRM!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
AFRM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
47.4
-1.05 (-2.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07/amc
Inst Owners85.16%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.93%
Ins Owner Change0.61%
Market Cap15.79B
Revenue(TTM)3.72B
Net Income(TTM)282.33M
Analysts79.46
Price Target84.72 (78.73%)
Short Float %5.84%
Short Ratio2.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)74.79%
Min EPS beat(2)39.07%
Max EPS beat(2)110.5%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)91.78%
Min EPS beat(4)39.07%
Max EPS beat(4)133.59%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)92.34%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)69.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)55.23%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.08%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.08%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.21%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.59%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.1%
PT rev (1m)-2.35%
PT rev (3m)-11.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 58.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.91 | ||
| P/S | 4.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.5 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.95 | ||
| P/B | 4.45 | ||
| P/tB | 5.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 25.38 |
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY1.71%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY3.72%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY3.92%
OCF(TTM)2.5
OCFY5.28%
SpS11.16
BVpS10.65
TBVpS9.01
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number13.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.18% | ||
| ROE | 7.96% | ||
| ROCE | 5.28% | ||
| ROIC | 4.48% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.49% | ||
| OM | 17.93% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.6% | ||
| GM | 92.32% | ||
| FCFM | 16.66% |
ROA(3y)-5.68%
ROA(5y)-7.25%
ROE(3y)-18.71%
ROE(5y)-20.05%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.9%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.55 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 9.68 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 81.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.76% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.63 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 219.3% | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 5.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.31 |
F-Score8
WACC7.75%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)89.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)224.62%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60.87%
EPS Next Y747.96%
EPS Next 2Y268.09%
EPS Next 3Y166.65%
EPS Next 5Y102.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.7%
Revenue growth 3Y33.69%
Revenue growth 5Y44.63%
Sales Q2Q%29.62%
Revenue Next Year29.83%
Revenue Next 2Y26.96%
Revenue Next 3Y26.53%
Revenue Next 5Y23.05%
EBIT growth 1Y1964.63%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year1412.88%
EBIT Next 3Y188.88%
EBIT Next 5Y92.99%
FCF growth 1Y1787.66%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y412.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC / AFRM Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AFRM.
Can you provide the valuation status for AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of AFRM stock?
AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for AFRM stock?
The financial health rating of AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) is 4 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AFFIRM HOLDINGS INC (AFRM) is expected to grow by 747.96% in the next year.