Decent Value Stocks. Analyze the stocks with a good fundamental valuation, while still showing decent profitability, health and growth.


MERCK & CO. INC.

New York Stock Exchange, Inc. / Health Care / Pharmaceuticals

Fundamental Rating

7

We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to MRK. MRK was compared to 198 industry peers in the Pharmaceuticals industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making MRK a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. MRK scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. Finally MRK also has an excellent dividend rating. With these ratings, MRK could be worth investigating further for value and dividend and quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MRK had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MRK had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years MRK has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MRK had a positive operating cash flow.
MRK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMRK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

MRK's Return On Assets of 14.62% is amongst the best of the industry. MRK outperforms 96.46% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 36.96%, MRK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 19.77%, MRK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.94% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MRK is significantly below the industry average of 41.62%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.62%
ROE 36.96%
ROIC 19.77%
ROA(3y)9.42%
ROA(5y)9.66%
ROE(3y)23.17%
ROE(5y)26.32%
ROIC(3y)20.13%
ROIC(5y)17.77%
MRK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMRK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 26.68%, MRK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.96% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MRK has remained more or less at the same level.
MRK has a better Operating Margin (34.59%) than 95.45% of its industry peers.
MRK's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of MRK (78.19%) is better than 84.85% of its industry peers.
MRK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.59%
PM (TTM) 26.68%
GM 78.19%
OM growth 3Y4.43%
OM growth 5Y7.18%
PM growth 3Y-0.15%
PM growth 5Y1.18%
GM growth 3Y3.55%
GM growth 5Y2.42%
MRK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMRK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MRK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for MRK remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
MRK has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MRK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MRK Yearly Shares OutstandingMRK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
MRK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMRK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.81 indicates that MRK is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.81, MRK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.28% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MRK is 2.05, which is a good value as it means it would take MRK, 2.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MRK has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.05. This is amongst the best in the industry. MRK outperforms 93.43% of its industry peers.
MRK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74. This is a neutral value indicating MRK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
MRK has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.74) than 67.17% of its industry peers.
Although MRK does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.74
Debt/FCF 2.05
Altman-Z 3.81
ROIC/WACC2.1
WACC9.4%
MRK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMRK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

MRK has a Current Ratio of 1.36. This is a normal value and indicates that MRK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MRK has a worse Current ratio (1.36) than 76.77% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.15 indicates that MRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MRK (1.15) is worse than 72.73% of its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for MRK is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.36
Quick Ratio 1.15
MRK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMRK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 258.99% over the past year.
MRK shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.04% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MRK shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.10% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MRK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.40% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)258.99%
EPS 3Y6.87%
EPS 5Y8.04%
EPS Q2Q%7.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.1%
Revenue growth 3Y9.63%
Revenue growth 5Y10.4%
Sales Q2Q%-1.56%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MRK will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.16% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y18.6%
EPS Next 2Y14.32%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
EPS Next 5Y6.16%
Revenue Next Year1.56%
Revenue Next 2Y3.93%
Revenue Next 3Y4.56%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MRK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMRK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 20B 40B 60B
MRK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMRK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8 10

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.68, the valuation of MRK can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MRK is valued cheaper than 90.40% of the companies in the same industry.
MRK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.33, the valuation of MRK can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MRK indicates a rather cheap valuation: MRK is cheaper than 91.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MRK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 20.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.68
Fwd PE 8.33
MRK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMRK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

MRK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MRK is cheaper than 85.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MRK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.57
EV/EBITDA 8.7
MRK Per share dataMRK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MRK's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MRK has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
MRK's earnings are expected to grow with 13.30% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.57
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y14.32%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.89%, MRK has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.18, MRK pays a better dividend. On top of this MRK pays more dividend than 94.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.45, MRK pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.89%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of MRK grows each year by 6.90%, which is quite nice.
MRK has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MRK has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.9%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years33
MRK Yearly Dividends per shareMRK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

45.80% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MRK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
MRK's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.32%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
MRK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMRK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B
MRK Dividend Payout.MRK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MRK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings