Decent Value Stocks. Analyze the stocks with a good fundamental valuation, while still showing decent profitability, health and growth.


MERCK & CO. INC.

New York Stock Exchange, Inc. / Health Care / Pharmaceuticals

Fundamental Rating

7

MRK gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 198 industry peers in the Pharmaceuticals industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making MRK a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. MRK scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. MRK also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings could make MRK a good candidate for value and dividend and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MRK had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MRK had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years MRK has always been profitable.
MRK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
MRK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMRK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

MRK has a better Return On Assets (14.62%) than 96.46% of its industry peers.
MRK has a Return On Equity of 36.96%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MRK outperforms 96.46% of its industry peers.
MRK has a better Return On Invested Capital (19.77%) than 93.94% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MRK is significantly below the industry average of 41.62%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.62%
ROE 36.96%
ROIC 19.77%
ROA(3y)9.42%
ROA(5y)9.66%
ROE(3y)23.17%
ROE(5y)26.32%
ROIC(3y)20.13%
ROIC(5y)17.77%
MRK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMRK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

MRK's Profit Margin of 26.68% is amongst the best of the industry. MRK outperforms 95.96% of its industry peers.
MRK's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 34.59%, MRK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MRK has grown nicely.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 78.19%, MRK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.85% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MRK has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.59%
PM (TTM) 26.68%
GM 78.19%
OM growth 3Y4.43%
OM growth 5Y7.18%
PM growth 3Y-0.15%
PM growth 5Y1.18%
GM growth 3Y3.55%
GM growth 5Y2.42%
MRK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMRK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MRK is creating value.
MRK has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MRK has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
MRK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MRK Yearly Shares OutstandingMRK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
MRK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMRK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

MRK has an Altman-Z score of 3.81. This indicates that MRK is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
MRK has a better Altman-Z score (3.81) than 78.28% of its industry peers.
MRK has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MRK would need 2.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MRK's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.05 is amongst the best of the industry. MRK outperforms 93.43% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74 indicates that MRK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MRK (0.74) is worse than 67.17% of its industry peers.
Although MRK does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.74
Debt/FCF 2.05
Altman-Z 3.81
ROIC/WACC2.14
WACC9.25%
MRK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMRK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.36 indicates that MRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MRK has a Current ratio of 1.36. This is in the lower half of the industry: MRK underperforms 76.77% of its industry peers.
MRK has a Quick Ratio of 1.15. This is a normal value and indicates that MRK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MRK has a worse Quick ratio (1.15) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
MRK does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.36
Quick Ratio 1.15
MRK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMRK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 258.99% over the past year.
MRK shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.04% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.10% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.40% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)258.99%
EPS 3Y6.87%
EPS 5Y8.04%
EPS Q2Q%7.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.1%
Revenue growth 3Y9.63%
Revenue growth 5Y10.4%
Sales Q2Q%-1.56%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MRK will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.16% on average per year.
MRK is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y18.6%
EPS Next 2Y14.32%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
EPS Next 5Y6.16%
Revenue Next Year1.56%
Revenue Next 2Y3.93%
Revenue Next 3Y4.56%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MRK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMRK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 20B 40B 60B
MRK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMRK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8 10

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.68 indicates a reasonable valuation of MRK.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MRK is valued cheaper than 90.40% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MRK to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.18), we can say MRK is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.33 indicates a reasonable valuation of MRK.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MRK is valued cheaper than 91.41% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 20.81. MRK is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.68
Fwd PE 8.33
MRK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMRK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MRK indicates a rather cheap valuation: MRK is cheaper than 85.86% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MRK indicates a rather cheap valuation: MRK is cheaper than 88.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.57
EV/EBITDA 8.7
MRK Per share dataMRK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MRK has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MRK's earnings are expected to grow with 13.30% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.57
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y14.32%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MRK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.89%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.18, MRK pays a better dividend. On top of this MRK pays more dividend than 94.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.45, MRK pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.89%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of MRK grows each year by 6.90%, which is quite nice.
MRK has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MRK has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.9%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years33
MRK Yearly Dividends per shareMRK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

45.80% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MRK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of MRK is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.32%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
MRK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMRK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B
MRK Dividend Payout.MRK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MRK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings