VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VALE • US91912E1055

Current stock price

14.87 USD
+0.08 (+0.54%)
At close:
14.94 USD
+0.07 (+0.47%)
After Hours:

This VALE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. VALE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VALE was profitable.
  • VALE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years VALE has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years VALE had a positive operating cash flow.
VALE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVALE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50B 100B 150B

1.2 Ratios

  • VALE has a better Return On Assets (2.90%) than 66.04% of its industry peers.
  • VALE's Return On Equity of 7.50% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VALE outperforms 68.55% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of VALE (10.37%) is better than 77.36% of its industry peers.
  • VALE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.02%. This is significantly below the industry average of 61.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 7.5%
ROIC 10.37%
ROA(3y)6.01%
ROA(5y)12.69%
ROE(3y)14.56%
ROE(5y)31.59%
ROIC(3y)11.02%
ROIC(5y)15.09%
VALE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVALE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 6.47%, VALE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VALE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 28.36%, VALE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VALE has declined.
  • VALE's Gross Margin of 34.98% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VALE outperforms 69.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VALE has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.36%
PM (TTM) 6.47%
GM 34.98%
OM growth 3Y-10.91%
OM growth 5Y-10.49%
PM growth 3Y-46.55%
PM growth 5Y-12.98%
GM growth 3Y-8.17%
GM growth 5Y-8.94%
VALE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVALE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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3

2. VALE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), VALE is destroying value.
  • VALE has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • VALE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VALE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
VALE Yearly Shares OutstandingVALE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
VALE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVALE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100B 200B 300B 400B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.88 indicates that VALE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • VALE's Altman-Z score of 1.88 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VALE is outperformed by 69.18% of its industry peers.
  • VALE has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.73. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as VALE would need 6.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • VALE's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.73 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VALE outperforms 67.30% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that VALE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of VALE (0.54) is worse than 72.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 6.73
Altman-Z 1.88
ROIC/WACC0.74
WACC14%
VALE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVALE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50B 100B 150B 200B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VALE has a Current Ratio of 1.15. This is a normal value and indicates that VALE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.15, VALE is doing worse than 77.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that VALE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • VALE has a worse Quick ratio (0.78) than 78.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.78
VALE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVALE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. VALE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for VALE have decreased strongly by -61.11% in the last year.
  • VALE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -11.98% yearly.
  • VALE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.68%.
  • Measured over the past years, VALE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.72% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.11%
EPS 3Y-48.29%
EPS 5Y-11.98%
EPS Q2Q%-462.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.94%
Revenue growth 5Y0.72%
Sales Q2Q%9.25%

3.2 Future

  • VALE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 56.58% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.66% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y261.14%
EPS Next 2Y86.79%
EPS Next 3Y56.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.76%
Revenue Next 3Y3.57%
Revenue Next 5Y0.66%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
VALE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVALE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B
VALE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVALE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3 4

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8

4. VALE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 26.55, the valuation of VALE can be described as expensive.
  • VALE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VALE is cheaper than 67.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VALE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.50.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.35 indicates a rather cheap valuation of VALE.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VALE indicates a rather cheap valuation: VALE is cheaper than 84.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.67, VALE is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.55
Fwd PE 7.35
VALE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVALE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 93.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VALE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 83.02% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VALE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.74
EV/EBITDA 5.07
VALE Per share dataVALE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • VALE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as VALE's earnings are expected to grow with 56.58% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y86.79%
EPS Next 3Y56.58%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. VALE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.38%, VALE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.14, VALE pays a better dividend. On top of this VALE pays more dividend than 80.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • VALE's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.38%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of VALE has a limited annual growth rate of 5.10%.
  • VALE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
VALE Yearly Dividends per shareVALE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 144.57% of the earnings are spent on dividend by VALE. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of VALE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP144.57%
EPS Next 2Y86.79%
EPS Next 3Y56.58%
VALE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVALE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
VALE Dividend Payout.VALE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.VALE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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VALE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VALE SA-SP ADR

NYSE:VALE (3/24/2026, 10:05:19 PM)

After market: 14.94 +0.07 (+0.47%)

14.87

+0.08 (+0.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners45.85%
Inst Owner Change13.91%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap63.48B
Revenue(TTM)213.59B
Net Income(TTM)13.81B
Analysts76.52
Price Target15.16 (1.95%)
Short Float %1.55%
Short Ratio1.43
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.38%
Yearly Dividend0.89
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.1%
DP144.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-109.89%
Min EPS beat(2)-241.43%
Max EPS beat(2)21.66%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-48.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-241.43%
Max EPS beat(4)38.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-36.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-33.87%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-14.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-81.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-81.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-81.4%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-81.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-81.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)-81.33%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-81.53%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-81.75%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-62.86%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)10.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.78%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.55
Fwd PE 7.35
P/S 1.57
P/FCF 21.74
P/OCF 6.86
P/B 1.81
P/tB 2.48
EV/EBITDA 5.07
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY3.77%
EPS(NY)2.02
Fwd EY13.6%
FCF(TTM)0.68
FCFY4.6%
OCF(TTM)2.17
OCFY14.59%
SpS9.5
BVpS8.2
TBVpS6.01
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 7.5%
ROCE 15.58%
ROIC 10.37%
ROICexc 11.62%
ROICexgc 13.54%
OM 28.36%
PM (TTM) 6.47%
GM 34.98%
FCFM 7.2%
ROA(3y)6.01%
ROA(5y)12.69%
ROE(3y)14.56%
ROE(5y)31.59%
ROIC(3y)11.02%
ROIC(5y)15.09%
ROICexc(3y)11.9%
ROICexc(5y)16.85%
ROICexgc(3y)14.07%
ROICexgc(5y)19.82%
ROCE(3y)16.55%
ROCE(5y)22.66%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.97%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.86%
OM growth 3Y-10.91%
OM growth 5Y-10.49%
PM growth 3Y-46.55%
PM growth 5Y-12.98%
GM growth 3Y-8.17%
GM growth 5Y-8.94%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 6.73
Debt/EBITDA 1.28
Cap/Depr 192.94%
Cap/Sales 15.63%
Interest Coverage 5.66
Cash Conversion 62.61%
Profit Quality 111.3%
Current Ratio 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 1.88
F-Score5
WACC14%
ROIC/WACC0.74
Cap/Depr(3y)199.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)187.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.71%
Profit Quality(3y)83.46%
Profit Quality(5y)74.39%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.11%
EPS 3Y-48.29%
EPS 5Y-11.98%
EPS Q2Q%-462.5%
EPS Next Y261.14%
EPS Next 2Y86.79%
EPS Next 3Y56.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.94%
Revenue growth 5Y0.72%
Sales Q2Q%9.25%
Revenue Next Year6.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.76%
Revenue Next 3Y3.57%
Revenue Next 5Y0.66%
EBIT growth 1Y4.35%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.64%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.85%
EBIT Next Year57.5%
EBIT Next 3Y18.55%
EBIT Next 5Y15.45%
FCF growth 1Y1.81%
FCF growth 3Y-19.99%
FCF growth 5Y-22.07%
OCF growth 1Y-2.86%
OCF growth 3Y-5.73%
OCF growth 5Y-8.3%

VALE SA-SP ADR / VALE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for VALE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VALE.


Can you provide the valuation status for VALE SA-SP ADR?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for VALE SA-SP ADR?

VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) is 26.55 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.81.


What is the earnings growth outlook for VALE SA-SP ADR?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) is expected to grow by 261.14% in the next year.