VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VALE - US91912E1055 - ADR
12.69 USD
-0.6 (-4.51%)
12.74 USD
+0.05 (+0.39%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to VALE. VALE was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While VALE has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. VALE may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VALE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VALE had a positive cash flow from operations.
VALE had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years VALE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 6.22%, VALE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.48% of the companies in the same industry.
VALE has a better Return On Equity (13.84%) than 82.58% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.53%, VALE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.23% of the companies in the same industry.
VALE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 15.63%. This is above the industry average of 13.23%.
The 3 year average ROIC (15.63%) for VALE is well above the current ROIC(11.53%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.22% | ||
| ROE | 13.84% | ||
| ROIC | 11.53% |
ROA(3y)12.09%
ROA(5y)13.23%
ROE(3y)29.15%
ROE(5y)32.97%
ROIC(3y)15.63%
ROIC(5y)19.92%
1.3 Margins
VALE's Profit Margin of 14.15% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VALE outperforms 76.77% of its industry peers.
VALE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
VALE has a better Operating Margin (27.66%) than 78.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VALE has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 34.81%, VALE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.26% of the companies in the same industry.
VALE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.15% | ||
| GM | 34.81% |
OM growth 3Y-20.55%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3Y-28.12%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-15.48%
GM growth 5Y-5.12%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VALE is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for VALE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, VALE has less shares outstanding
VALE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
VALE has an Altman-Z score of 1.93. This is not the best score and indicates that VALE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.93, VALE is doing worse than 70.97% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VALE is 6.13, which is on the high side as it means it would take VALE, 6.13 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
VALE's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.13 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VALE outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
VALE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.44. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.44, VALE is doing worse than 75.48% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.44 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC14.1%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.24 indicates that VALE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
VALE has a worse Current ratio (1.24) than 78.71% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.82 indicates that VALE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.82, VALE is not doing good in the industry: 79.35% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VALE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -39.81%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.15% on average over the past years.
VALE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.05%.
Measured over the past years, VALE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.33% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.81%
EPS 3Y-31.35%
EPS 5Y5.15%
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.05%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y7.33%
Sales Q2Q%9.07%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.83% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
VALE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.62% yearly.
EPS Next Y40.62%
EPS Next 2Y17.63%
EPS Next 3Y10.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.17%
Revenue Next 2Y2.5%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y0.62%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.76, the valuation of VALE can be described as reasonable.
98.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VALE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
VALE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.56.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.37, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of VALE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VALE indicates a rather cheap valuation: VALE is cheaper than 96.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
VALE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.79.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VALE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
89.03% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VALE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.69 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VALE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VALE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)1.89
EPS Next 2Y17.63%
EPS Next 3Y10.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.59%, VALE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
VALE's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.03. VALE pays more dividend than 81.94% of the companies in the same industry.
VALE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.59% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of VALE grows each year by 104.30%, which is quite nice.
VALE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)104.3%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
VALE pays out 64.46% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of VALE is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP64.46%
EPS Next 2Y17.63%
EPS Next 3Y10.83%
12.69
-0.6 (-4.51%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners42.18%
Inst Owner Change5%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap54.17B
Revenue(TTM)213.32B
Net Income(TTM)30.18B
Analysts78.26
Price Target13.77 (8.51%)
Short Float %1.91%
Short Ratio2.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.59% |
Yearly Dividend0.89
Dividend Growth(5Y)104.3%
DP64.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)30.31%
Min EPS beat(2)21.66%
Max EPS beat(2)38.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-21.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-135.22%
Max EPS beat(4)38.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-10.97%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-11.55%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.89%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-81.96%
Min Revenue beat(2)-82.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)-81.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-81.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-82.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)-81.8%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-81.98%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-75.62%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-58.99%
PT rev (1m)7.31%
PT rev (3m)1.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.72%
EPS NQ rev (3m)22.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)26.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.84%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.37 | ||
| P/S | 1.37 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.72 | ||
| P/B | 1.34 | ||
| P/tB | 1.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.69 |
EPS(TTM)1.3
EY10.24%
EPS(NY)1.99
Fwd EY15.7%
FCF(TTM)0.7
FCFY5.5%
OCF(TTM)2.22
OCFY17.47%
SpS9.25
BVpS9.46
TBVpS6.94
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)1.89
Graham Number16.63
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.22% | ||
| ROE | 13.84% | ||
| ROCE | 14.25% | ||
| ROIC | 11.53% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.76% | ||
| OM | 27.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.15% | ||
| GM | 34.81% | ||
| FCFM | 7.54% |
ROA(3y)12.09%
ROA(5y)13.23%
ROE(3y)29.15%
ROE(5y)32.97%
ROIC(3y)15.63%
ROIC(5y)19.92%
ROICexc(3y)16.65%
ROICexc(5y)22.69%
ROICexgc(3y)19.73%
ROICexgc(5y)26.7%
ROCE(3y)19.31%
ROCE(5y)24.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-31.02%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.69%
ROICexc growth 3Y-31.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.74%
OM growth 3Y-20.55%
OM growth 5Y-6.5%
PM growth 3Y-28.12%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-15.48%
GM growth 5Y-5.12%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.44 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.13 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.25 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 201.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.43% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.01 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 53.27% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
F-Score5
WACC14.1%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)192.28%
Cap/Depr(5y)174.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.69%
Profit Quality(3y)56.79%
Profit Quality(5y)92.18%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.81%
EPS 3Y-31.35%
EPS 5Y5.15%
EPS Q2Q%12.5%
EPS Next Y40.62%
EPS Next 2Y17.63%
EPS Next 3Y10.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.05%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y7.33%
Sales Q2Q%9.07%
Revenue Next Year-0.17%
Revenue Next 2Y2.5%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y0.62%
EBIT growth 1Y-14.96%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.39%
EBIT growth 5Y0.36%
EBIT Next Year25.23%
EBIT Next 3Y10.57%
EBIT Next 5Y3.62%
FCF growth 1Y-32.72%
FCF growth 3Y-48.33%
FCF growth 5Y-14.71%
OCF growth 1Y-2.21%
OCF growth 3Y-28.4%
OCF growth 5Y1.2%
VALE SA-SP ADR / VALE FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VALE.
What is the valuation status for VALE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for VALE SA-SP ADR?
VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for VALE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) is expected to grow by 40.62% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for VALE stock?
The dividend rating of VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 64.46%.