VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VALE • US91912E1055

Current stock price

17.165 USD
+0.02 (+0.15%)
Last:

This VALE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. VALE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • VALE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year VALE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • VALE had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years VALE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
VALE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVALE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50B 100B 150B

1.2 Ratios

  • VALE has a Return On Assets of 2.90%. This is in the better half of the industry: VALE outperforms 66.26% of its industry peers.
  • VALE has a Return On Equity of 7.50%. This is in the better half of the industry: VALE outperforms 69.33% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.37%, VALE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VALE is significantly below the industry average of 58.80%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 7.5%
ROIC 10.37%
ROA(3y)6.01%
ROA(5y)12.69%
ROE(3y)14.56%
ROE(5y)31.59%
ROIC(3y)11.02%
ROIC(5y)15.09%
VALE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVALE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of VALE (6.47%) is better than 71.17% of its industry peers.
  • VALE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of VALE (28.36%) is better than 76.07% of its industry peers.
  • VALE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of VALE (34.98%) is better than 68.71% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VALE has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.36%
PM (TTM) 6.47%
GM 34.98%
OM growth 3Y-10.91%
OM growth 5Y-10.49%
PM growth 3Y-46.55%
PM growth 5Y-12.98%
GM growth 3Y-8.17%
GM growth 5Y-8.94%
VALE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVALE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

3

2. VALE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • VALE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VALE has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The number of shares outstanding for VALE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • VALE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
VALE Yearly Shares OutstandingVALE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
VALE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVALE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100B 200B 300B 400B

2.2 Solvency

  • VALE has an Altman-Z score of 1.96. This is not the best score and indicates that VALE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.96, VALE is not doing good in the industry: 71.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VALE is 6.73, which is on the high side as it means it would take VALE, 6.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • VALE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (6.73) than 67.48% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that VALE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • VALE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.54. This is in the lower half of the industry: VALE underperforms 74.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 6.73
Altman-Z 1.96
ROIC/WACC0.71
WACC14.7%
VALE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVALE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50B 100B 150B 200B

2.3 Liquidity

  • VALE has a Current Ratio of 1.15. This is a normal value and indicates that VALE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.15, VALE is not doing good in the industry: 79.14% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that VALE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of VALE (0.78) is worse than 80.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.78
VALE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVALE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

4

3. VALE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • VALE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -61.11%.
  • Measured over the past years, VALE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -11.98% on average per year.
  • VALE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.68%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.72% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.11%
EPS 3Y-48.29%
EPS 5Y-11.98%
EPS Q2Q%-462.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.94%
Revenue growth 5Y0.72%
Sales Q2Q%9.25%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, VALE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 52.66% on average per year.
  • VALE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.66% yearly.
EPS Next Y270.69%
EPS Next 2Y88.48%
EPS Next 3Y52.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.02%
Revenue Next 2Y4.03%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y0.66%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
VALE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVALE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B
VALE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVALE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3 4

7

4. VALE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 31.21, which means the current valuation is very expensive for VALE.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VALE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VALE to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.47), we can say VALE is valued inline with the index average.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.46, which indicates a very decent valuation of VALE.
  • 85.28% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VALE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • VALE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.62, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.21
Fwd PE 8.46
VALE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVALE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VALE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.48% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • VALE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VALE is cheaper than 83.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.19
EV/EBITDA 5.55
VALE Per share dataVALE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as VALE's earnings are expected to grow with 52.66% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.12
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y88.48%
EPS Next 3Y52.66%

4

5. VALE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • VALE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.13%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.06, VALE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, VALE is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.13%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of VALE has a limited annual growth rate of 5.10%.
  • VALE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • VALE has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.1%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
VALE Yearly Dividends per shareVALE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • VALE pays out 144.57% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of VALE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP144.57%
EPS Next 2Y88.48%
EPS Next 3Y52.66%
VALE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendVALE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
VALE Dividend Payout.VALE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.VALE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

VALE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VALE SA-SP ADR

NYSE:VALE (4/24/2026, 3:23:06 PM)

17.165

+0.02 (+0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners49.69%
Inst Owner Change0.74%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change12.76%
Market Cap74.93B
Revenue(TTM)213.59B
Net Income(TTM)13.81B
Analysts75.65
Price Target17.92 (4.4%)
Short Float %1.59%
Short Ratio1.71
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.13%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.1%
DP144.57%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-109.89%
Min EPS beat(2)-241.43%
Max EPS beat(2)21.66%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-48.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-241.43%
Max EPS beat(4)38.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-36.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-33.87%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-14.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-80.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-80.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-80.27%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-80.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)-80.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)-80.19%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-80.4%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-80.64%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-60.58%
PT rev (1m)18.23%
PT rev (3m)29.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)22.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.21%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.21
Fwd PE 8.46
P/S 1.74
P/FCF 24.19
P/OCF 7.63
P/B 2.02
P/tB 2.75
EV/EBITDA 5.55
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY3.2%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY11.83%
FCF(TTM)0.71
FCFY4.13%
OCF(TTM)2.25
OCFY13.11%
SpS9.86
BVpS8.51
TBVpS6.23
PEG (NY)0.12
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.2604 (-40.22%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 7.5%
ROCE 15.58%
ROIC 10.37%
ROICexc 11.62%
ROICexgc 13.54%
OM 28.36%
PM (TTM) 6.47%
GM 34.98%
FCFM 7.2%
ROA(3y)6.01%
ROA(5y)12.69%
ROE(3y)14.56%
ROE(5y)31.59%
ROIC(3y)11.02%
ROIC(5y)15.09%
ROICexc(3y)11.9%
ROICexc(5y)16.85%
ROICexgc(3y)14.07%
ROICexgc(5y)19.82%
ROCE(3y)16.55%
ROCE(5y)22.66%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.97%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.86%
OM growth 3Y-10.91%
OM growth 5Y-10.49%
PM growth 3Y-46.55%
PM growth 5Y-12.98%
GM growth 3Y-8.17%
GM growth 5Y-8.94%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 6.73
Debt/EBITDA 1.28
Cap/Depr 192.94%
Cap/Sales 15.63%
Interest Coverage 5.66
Cash Conversion 62.61%
Profit Quality 111.3%
Current Ratio 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 1.96
F-Score5
WACC14.7%
ROIC/WACC0.71
Cap/Depr(3y)199.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)187.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.71%
Profit Quality(3y)83.46%
Profit Quality(5y)74.39%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.11%
EPS 3Y-48.29%
EPS 5Y-11.98%
EPS Q2Q%-462.5%
EPS Next Y270.69%
EPS Next 2Y88.48%
EPS Next 3Y52.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.94%
Revenue growth 5Y0.72%
Sales Q2Q%9.25%
Revenue Next Year7.02%
Revenue Next 2Y4.03%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y0.66%
EBIT growth 1Y4.35%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.64%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.85%
EBIT Next Year59.68%
EBIT Next 3Y17.73%
EBIT Next 5Y15.45%
FCF growth 1Y1.81%
FCF growth 3Y-19.99%
FCF growth 5Y-22.07%
OCF growth 1Y-2.86%
OCF growth 3Y-5.73%
OCF growth 5Y-8.3%

VALE SA-SP ADR / VALE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for VALE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to VALE.


Can you provide the valuation status for VALE SA-SP ADR?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of VALE stock?

VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of VALE SA-SP ADR based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) is 31.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.02.


What is the expected EPS growth for VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) is expected to grow by 270.69% in the next year.