VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:VALE • US91912E1055

Current stock price

16.14 USD
-0.05 (-0.31%)
At close:
16.14 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$15.16
-6.08% Downside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
Apr 28, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.52
Revenue Estimate
9.731B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
75.65%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$15.16
Upside
-6.08%
From current price of $16.14 to mean target of $15.16, Based on 23 analyst forecasts
Low
$12.49
Median
$15.14
High
$17.78

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.00%
3 Months
9.14%

Price Target Summary

23 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for VALE. The average price target is 15.16 USD. This implies a price decrease of -6.08% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 16.14.
The average price target has been revised upward by 9.14% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

VALE Current Analyst RatingVALE Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6 8

Analyst Ratings History

VALE Historical Analyst RatingsVALE Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15 20

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
75.65%
VALE was analyzed by 23 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 76. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about VALE.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
VALE was analyzed by 23 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-04-02B of A SecuritiesUpgrade Neutral -> Buy
2026-03-27UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2026-03-26JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-03-12RBC CapitalDowngrade Outperform -> Sector Perform
2026-03-02BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-02-26B of A SecuritiesDowngrade Buy -> Neutral
2026-01-30Goldman SachsMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-28Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-01-08ScotiaBankDowngrade Sector Outperform -> Sector Perform
2026-01-08BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-12-23Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-12-10RBC CapitalUpgrade Sector Perform -> Outperform
2025-12-08UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-11-10BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-11-04Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-10-20JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-17HSBCMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-10BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-08Wells FargoInitiate Equal-Weight
2025-10-06UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-09-18ScotiaBankUpgrade Sector Perform -> Sector Outperform
2025-09-18BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-09-04JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-08-04UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-07-22ScotiaBankMaintains Sector Perform -> Sector Perform

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
Apr 28, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.52
Revenue Estimate
9.731B
Revenue Q2Q
N/A
EPS Q2Q
N/A
Number of Analysts
8

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
N/A
Revenue (3 Months)
N/A
EPS (1 Month)
20.24%
EPS (3 Months)
N/A

Next Earnings Summary

VALE is expected to report earnings on 4/28/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.52 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 9.73B USD.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2032

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
Revenue
YoY % growth
VALE revenue by date.VALE revenue by date.
208.066B
-8.14%		206.005B
-0.99%		213.595B
3.68%		42.001B42.48B
1.14%		43.491B
2.38%		45.013B
3.50%		40.552B
-9.91%		44.09B
8.72%		45.174B
2.46%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
VALE ebitda by date.VALE ebitda by date.
92.671B
-13.58%		74.574B
-19.53%		77.881B
4.43%		17.764B17.532B
-1.31%		18.793B
7.19%		20.038B
6.62%		N/AN/AN/A
EBIT
YoY % growth
VALE ebit by date.VALE ebit by date.
77.371B
-14.83%		58.049B
-24.97%		60.575B
4.35%		13.222B12.946B
-2.09%		13.54B
4.59%		16.51B
21.94%		11.348B
-31.27%		N/AN/A
Operating Margin
VALE operating margin by date.VALE operating margin by date.
37.19%28.18%28.36%31.48%30.48%31.13%36.68%27.98%N/AN/A
EPS
YoY % growth
VALE eps by date.VALE eps by date.
1.83
-54.81%		1.44
-21.31%		0.56
-61.11%		2.021.95
-3.39%		2.15
10.03%		N/AN/AN/AN/A

Reported data in BRL, estimates in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		0.520.470.530.560.74
42.57%		0.85
82.12%		0.87
62.24%		0.69
-6.94%		0.81
-4.82%		0.84
-2.38%		0.87
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		9.731B10.074B10.82B11.295BN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		4.094B4.286B4.464B4.732B4.859B
18.69%		5.599B
30.63%		5.764B
29.12%		4.893B
0.70%		5.586B
-0.23%		5.702B
-1.08%		5.646B
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		2.99B2.71B3.271B3.556BN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

All data in BRL

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

VALE Yearly Revenue EstimatesVALE Yearly Revenue EstimatesYearly Revenue Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
VALE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVALE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3 4

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
56.58%
EPS Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
3.49%
Revenue Next 5 Year
0.66%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
18.55%
EBIT Next 5 Year
15.45%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

VALE SA-SP ADR / VALE Forecast FAQ

What is the price target for VALE stock?

23 analysts have analysed VALE and the average price target is 15.16 USD. This implies a price decrease of -6.08% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 16.14.

Can you provide the upcoming earnings date for VALE SA-SP ADR?

VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) will report earnings on 2026-04-28.

What are the consensus estimates for VALE stock next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) is 0.52 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 9.73B USD.

How many analysts cover VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) stock?

The number of analysts covering VALE SA-SP ADR (VALE) is 23.