SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP (SIGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:SIGI - US8163001071 - Common Stock
78.13 USD
-0.91 (-1.15%)
78.13 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to SIGI. SIGI was compared to 143 industry peers in the Insurance industry. There are concerns on the financial health of SIGI while its profitability can be described as average. SIGI has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. Finally SIGI also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SIGI was profitable.
In the past year SIGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years SIGI has been profitable.
In the past 5 years SIGI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
SIGI's Return On Assets of 2.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIGI outperforms 62.24% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 11.11%, SIGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
SIGI has a better Return On Invested Capital (2.89%) than 65.03% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIGI is in line with the industry average of 4.11%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.89%) for SIGI is above the 3 year average (2.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.59% | ||
| ROE | 11.11% | ||
| ROIC | 2.89% |
ROA(3y)2.16%
ROA(5y)2.56%
ROE(3y)8.97%
ROE(5y)9.83%
ROIC(3y)2.53%
ROIC(5y)2.91%
1.3 Margins
SIGI's Profit Margin of 7.33% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SIGI outperforms 51.75% of its industry peers.
SIGI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
SIGI's Operating Margin of 10.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SIGI outperforms 46.15% of its industry peers.
SIGI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.33% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-27.44%
OM growth 5Y-14.64%
PM growth 3Y-29.7%
PM growth 5Y-15.65%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIGI is destroying value.
SIGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SIGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIGI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
SIGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.80. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.80, SIGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.43% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that SIGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
SIGI has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.27) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC0.34
WACC8.46%
2.3 Liquidity
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | N/A | ||
| Quick Ratio | N/A |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 65.49% over the past year.
SIGI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -5.88% yearly.
SIGI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.21%.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.27% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)65.49%
EPS 3Y-19.76%
EPS 5Y-5.88%
EPS Q2Q%219.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.21%
Revenue growth 3Y13.01%
Revenue growth 5Y11.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 34.97% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, SIGI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.69% on average per year.
EPS Next Y114.52%
EPS Next 2Y60.08%
EPS Next 3Y34.97%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.06%
Revenue Next 2Y7.5%
Revenue Next 3Y6.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SIGI is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.83.
SIGI's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
SIGI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.17.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.38, which indicates a very decent valuation of SIGI.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SIGI.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.78, SIGI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.38 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SIGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SIGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.52% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
SIGI's earnings are expected to grow with 34.97% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y60.08%
EPS Next 3Y34.97%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.95%, SIGI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.52, SIGI has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
SIGI's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SIGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.90%!
SIGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
SIGI has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.9%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
SIGI pays out 26.11% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of SIGI is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP26.11%
EPS Next 2Y60.08%
EPS Next 3Y34.97%
78.13
-0.91 (-1.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners86.59%
Inst Owner Change1.58%
Ins Owners0.83%
Ins Owner Change1.79%
Market Cap4.75B
Analysts74.29
Price Target90.44 (15.76%)
Short Float %2.53%
Short Ratio2.79
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
Yearly Dividend1.55
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.9%
DP26.11%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.65%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.75%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.55%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-20.05%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.55%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-33.62%
EPS beat(12)0
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.12%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-18.25%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.24%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.3%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.53%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.13%
PT rev (1m)-6.34%
PT rev (3m)-5.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.38 | ||
| P/S | 0.93 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.06 | ||
| P/B | 1.41 | ||
| P/tB | 1.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.38 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY7.79%
EPS(NY)8.33
Fwd EY10.66%
FCF(TTM)18.63
FCFY23.84%
OCF(TTM)19.24
OCFY24.62%
SpS83.96
BVpS55.37
TBVpS55.24
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.59% | ||
| ROE | 11.11% | ||
| ROCE | 3.61% | ||
| ROIC | 2.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.89% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.22% | ||
| OM | 10.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.33% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 22.18% |
ROA(3y)2.16%
ROA(5y)2.56%
ROE(3y)8.97%
ROE(5y)9.83%
ROIC(3y)2.53%
ROIC(5y)2.91%
ROICexc(3y)2.53%
ROICexc(5y)2.91%
ROICexgc(3y)2.82%
ROICexgc(5y)3.24%
ROCE(3y)3.16%
ROCE(5y)3.64%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-24.16%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-12.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.74%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.9%
OM growth 3Y-27.44%
OM growth 5Y-14.64%
PM growth 3Y-29.7%
PM growth 5Y-15.65%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 117.46% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.73% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 18.13 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 212.75% | ||
| Profit Quality | 302.67% | ||
| Current Ratio | N/A | ||
| Quick Ratio | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score7
WACC8.46%
ROIC/WACC0.34
Cap/Depr(3y)75.11%
Cap/Depr(5y)60.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.66%
Profit Quality(3y)369.06%
Profit Quality(5y)302.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)65.49%
EPS 3Y-19.76%
EPS 5Y-5.88%
EPS Q2Q%219.09%
EPS Next Y114.52%
EPS Next 2Y60.08%
EPS Next 3Y34.97%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.21%
Revenue growth 3Y13.01%
Revenue growth 5Y11.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
Revenue Next Year8.06%
Revenue Next 2Y7.5%
Revenue Next 3Y6.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y62.67%
EBIT growth 3Y-18%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.02%
EBIT Next Year86.17%
EBIT Next 3Y30.95%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y36.37%
FCF growth 3Y12.58%
FCF growth 5Y19.08%
OCF growth 1Y37.3%
OCF growth 3Y12.55%
OCF growth 5Y18.16%