SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SHAK • US8190471016
Current stock price
81.32 USD
-3.76 (-4.42%)
At close:
81.0888 USD
-0.23 (-0.28%)
After Hours:
This SHAK fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SHAK Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SHAK was profitable.
- In the past year SHAK had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SHAK reported negative net income in multiple years.
- Each year in the past 5 years SHAK had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- SHAK has a Return On Assets (2.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- SHAK has a better Return On Equity (8.70%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- SHAK has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.96%) than 65.08% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SHAK is significantly below the industry average of 10.68%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (2.96%) for SHAK is above the 3 year average (1.82%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.41% | ||
| ROE | 8.7% | ||
| ROIC | 2.96% |
ROA(3y)1.42%
ROA(5y)0.41%
ROE(3y)5.15%
ROE(5y)1.44%
ROIC(3y)1.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- SHAK has a Profit Margin of 3.16%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SHAK outperforms 50.79% of its industry peers.
- SHAK's Operating Margin of 4.69% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SHAK is outperformed by 65.87% of its industry peers.
- SHAK's Gross Margin of 47.73% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SHAK outperforms 53.17% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SHAK has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.69% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.16% | ||
| GM | 47.73% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.96%
GM growth 5Y3.2%
2. SHAK Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SHAK is destroying value.
- SHAK has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SHAK has more shares outstanding
- SHAK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.57 indicates that SHAK is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.57, SHAK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- SHAK has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.66. This is a neutral value as SHAK would need 4.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- SHAK has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.66. This is in the better half of the industry: SHAK outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
- SHAK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- SHAK's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.49 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SHAK outperforms 65.87% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
ROIC/WACC0.35
WACC8.46%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.76 indicates that SHAK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- SHAK has a better Current ratio (1.76) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
- SHAK has a Quick Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that SHAK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.73, SHAK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.73 |
3. SHAK Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 43.96% over the past year.
- Looking at the last year, SHAK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.38% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 22.55% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)43.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%42.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.08%
Revenue growth 5Y22.55%
Sales Q2Q%21.86%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.11% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- SHAK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.95% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.14%
EPS Next 2Y16.09%
EPS Next 3Y21.82%
EPS Next 5Y20.11%
Revenue Next Year14.03%
Revenue Next 2Y14.48%
Revenue Next 3Y14.34%
Revenue Next 5Y13.95%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. SHAK Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 62.08, SHAK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- 60.32% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than SHAK, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 24.89, SHAK is valued quite expensively.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 58.49, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SHAK.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SHAK indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: SHAK is more expensive than 65.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- SHAK is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 62.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 58.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SHAK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. SHAK is more expensive than 69.84% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SHAK is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 61.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- SHAK's earnings are expected to grow with 21.82% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)10.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.09%
EPS Next 3Y21.82%
5. SHAK Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for SHAK!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SHAK Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
81.32
-3.76 (-4.42%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/bmo
Inst Owners107.73%
Inst Owner Change4.2%
Ins Owners4.37%
Ins Owner Change1.28%
Market Cap3.47B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)45.73M
Analysts75.15
Price Target115.57 (42.12%)
Short Float %15.25%
Short Ratio3.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.79%
Min EPS beat(2)4.4%
Max EPS beat(2)15.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.46%
Max EPS beat(4)15.17%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.75%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)41.31%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)41.56%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.1%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.94%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.58%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.72%
PT rev (1m)1.58%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-20.27%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 62.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 58.49 | ||
| P/S | 2.4 | ||
| P/FCF | 61.44 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.61 | ||
| P/B | 6.61 | ||
| P/tB | 6.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.36 |
EPS(TTM)1.31
EY1.61%
EPS(NY)1.39
Fwd EY1.71%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.63%
OCF(TTM)5.21
OCFY6.41%
SpS33.86
BVpS12.31
TBVpS12.31
PEG (NY)10.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.04
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.41% | ||
| ROE | 8.7% | ||
| ROCE | 4.1% | ||
| ROIC | 2.96% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.79% | ||
| OM | 4.69% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.16% | ||
| GM | 47.73% | ||
| FCFM | 3.91% |
ROA(3y)1.42%
ROA(5y)0.41%
ROE(3y)5.15%
ROE(5y)1.44%
ROIC(3y)1.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.31%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.31%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)2.51%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.96%
GM growth 5Y3.2%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.76
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.66 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.48 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 155.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 11.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 82.63 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | 123.58% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
F-Score7
WACC8.46%
ROIC/WACC0.35
Cap/Depr(3y)149.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)163.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)43.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%42.31%
EPS Next Y6.14%
EPS Next 2Y16.09%
EPS Next 3Y21.82%
EPS Next 5Y20.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.08%
Revenue growth 5Y22.55%
Sales Q2Q%21.86%
Revenue Next Year14.03%
Revenue Next 2Y14.48%
Revenue Next 3Y14.34%
Revenue Next 5Y13.95%
EBIT growth 1Y91.37%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year270.16%
EBIT Next 3Y72.31%
EBIT Next 5Y46.37%
FCF growth 1Y58.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y29.91%
OCF growth 3Y42.56%
OCF growth 5Y42.87%
SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A / SHAK Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to SHAK.
What is the valuation status of SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of SHAK stock?
SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SHAK stock?
The financial health rating of SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) is expected to grow by 6.14% in the next year.