SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SHAKUS8190471016

Current stock price

81.32 USD
-3.76 (-4.42%)
At close:
81.0888 USD
-0.23 (-0.28%)
After Hours:

This SHAK fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. SHAK Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SHAK was profitable.
  • In the past year SHAK had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SHAK reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SHAK had a positive operating cash flow.
SHAK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSHAK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • SHAK has a Return On Assets (2.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • SHAK has a better Return On Equity (8.70%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • SHAK has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.96%) than 65.08% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SHAK is significantly below the industry average of 10.68%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (2.96%) for SHAK is above the 3 year average (1.82%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.41%
ROE 8.7%
ROIC 2.96%
ROA(3y)1.42%
ROA(5y)0.41%
ROE(3y)5.15%
ROE(5y)1.44%
ROIC(3y)1.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SHAK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSHAK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 -10

1.3 Margins

  • SHAK has a Profit Margin of 3.16%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SHAK outperforms 50.79% of its industry peers.
  • SHAK's Operating Margin of 4.69% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SHAK is outperformed by 65.87% of its industry peers.
  • SHAK's Gross Margin of 47.73% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SHAK outperforms 53.17% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SHAK has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.69%
PM (TTM) 3.16%
GM 47.73%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.96%
GM growth 5Y3.2%
SHAK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSHAK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

5

2. SHAK Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SHAK is destroying value.
  • SHAK has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SHAK has more shares outstanding
  • SHAK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SHAK Yearly Shares OutstandingSHAK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
SHAK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSHAK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.57 indicates that SHAK is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.57, SHAK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SHAK has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.66. This is a neutral value as SHAK would need 4.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SHAK has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.66. This is in the better half of the industry: SHAK outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • SHAK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • SHAK's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.49 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SHAK outperforms 65.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF 4.66
Altman-Z 2.57
ROIC/WACC0.35
WACC8.46%
SHAK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSHAK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.76 indicates that SHAK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SHAK has a better Current ratio (1.76) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • SHAK has a Quick Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that SHAK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.73, SHAK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.76
Quick Ratio 1.73
SHAK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSHAK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

7

3. SHAK Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 43.96% over the past year.
  • Looking at the last year, SHAK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.38% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 22.55% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)43.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%42.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.08%
Revenue growth 5Y22.55%
Sales Q2Q%21.86%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.11% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • SHAK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.95% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.14%
EPS Next 2Y16.09%
EPS Next 3Y21.82%
EPS Next 5Y20.11%
Revenue Next Year14.03%
Revenue Next 2Y14.48%
Revenue Next 3Y14.34%
Revenue Next 5Y13.95%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
SHAK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSHAK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B
SHAK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSHAK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2 3

1

4. SHAK Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 62.08, SHAK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • 60.32% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than SHAK, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 24.89, SHAK is valued quite expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 58.49, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SHAK.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SHAK indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: SHAK is more expensive than 65.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SHAK is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 62.08
Fwd PE 58.49
SHAK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSHAK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SHAK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. SHAK is more expensive than 69.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SHAK is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 61.44
EV/EBITDA 19.36
SHAK Per share dataSHAK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • SHAK's earnings are expected to grow with 21.82% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)10.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.09%
EPS Next 3Y21.82%

0

5. SHAK Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SHAK!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SHAK Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A

NYSE:SHAK (3/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 81.0888 -0.23 (-0.28%)

81.32

-3.76 (-4.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners107.73%
Inst Owner Change4.2%
Ins Owners4.37%
Ins Owner Change1.28%
Market Cap3.47B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)45.73M
Analysts75.15
Price Target115.57 (42.12%)
Short Float %15.25%
Short Ratio3.67
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.79%
Min EPS beat(2)4.4%
Max EPS beat(2)15.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.46%
Max EPS beat(4)15.17%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.75%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)41.31%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)41.56%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.1%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.94%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.58%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.72%
PT rev (1m)1.58%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-20.27%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 62.08
Fwd PE 58.49
P/S 2.4
P/FCF 61.44
P/OCF 15.61
P/B 6.61
P/tB 6.61
EV/EBITDA 19.36
EPS(TTM)1.31
EY1.61%
EPS(NY)1.39
Fwd EY1.71%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.63%
OCF(TTM)5.21
OCFY6.41%
SpS33.86
BVpS12.31
TBVpS12.31
PEG (NY)10.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.04
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.41%
ROE 8.7%
ROCE 4.1%
ROIC 2.96%
ROICexc 3.79%
ROICexgc 3.79%
OM 4.69%
PM (TTM) 3.16%
GM 47.73%
FCFM 3.91%
ROA(3y)1.42%
ROA(5y)0.41%
ROE(3y)5.15%
ROE(5y)1.44%
ROIC(3y)1.82%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.31%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.31%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)2.51%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.96%
GM growth 5Y3.2%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.76
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF 4.66
Debt/EBITDA 1.48
Cap/Depr 155.58%
Cap/Sales 11.48%
Interest Coverage 82.63
Cash Conversion 127.53%
Profit Quality 123.58%
Current Ratio 1.76
Quick Ratio 1.73
Altman-Z 2.57
F-Score7
WACC8.46%
ROIC/WACC0.35
Cap/Depr(3y)149.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)163.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)43.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%42.31%
EPS Next Y6.14%
EPS Next 2Y16.09%
EPS Next 3Y21.82%
EPS Next 5Y20.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.08%
Revenue growth 5Y22.55%
Sales Q2Q%21.86%
Revenue Next Year14.03%
Revenue Next 2Y14.48%
Revenue Next 3Y14.34%
Revenue Next 5Y13.95%
EBIT growth 1Y91.37%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year270.16%
EBIT Next 3Y72.31%
EBIT Next 5Y46.37%
FCF growth 1Y58.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y29.91%
OCF growth 3Y42.56%
OCF growth 5Y42.87%

SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A / SHAK Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to SHAK.


What is the valuation status of SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of SHAK stock?

SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for SHAK stock?

The financial health rating of SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) is 5 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SHAKE SHACK INC - CLASS A (SHAK) is expected to grow by 6.14% in the next year.