PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:PYPL • US70450Y1038
Current stock price
45.23 USD
+0.56 (+1.25%)
At close:
45.437 USD
+0.21 (+0.46%)
Pre-Market:
This PYPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. PYPL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- PYPL had positive earnings in the past year.
- PYPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years PYPL has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years PYPL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- PYPL has a better Return On Assets (6.53%) than 82.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 25.83%, PYPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 15.26%, PYPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PYPL is significantly above the industry average of 8.06%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (13.68%) for PYPL is below the current ROIC(15.26%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.53% | ||
| ROE | 25.83% | ||
| ROIC | 15.26% |
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
1.3 Margins
- PYPL's Profit Margin of 15.78% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PYPL outperforms 63.00% of its industry peers.
- PYPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- PYPL has a Operating Margin of 19.28%. This is in the better half of the industry: PYPL outperforms 68.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PYPL has grown nicely.
- PYPL has a Gross Margin of 41.48%. This is in the better half of the industry: PYPL outperforms 63.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PYPL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 15.78% | ||
| GM | 41.48% |
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
2. PYPL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- PYPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, PYPL has less shares outstanding
- PYPL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- PYPL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- PYPL has an Altman-Z score of 1.86. This is not the best score and indicates that PYPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- PYPL has a better Altman-Z score (1.86) than 77.00% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of PYPL is 2.05, which is a good value as it means it would take PYPL, 2.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.05, PYPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- PYPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- PYPL has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.49) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.86 |
ROIC/WACC1.98
WACC7.7%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.29 indicates that PYPL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- PYPL has a Current ratio of 1.29. This is in the better half of the industry: PYPL outperforms 62.00% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.29 indicates that PYPL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- PYPL has a better Quick ratio (1.29) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 |
3. PYPL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- PYPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.43%.
- Measured over the past 5 years, PYPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.53% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, PYPL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.32% in the last year.
- PYPL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, PYPL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.78% on average per year.
- PYPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y2.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue Next Year2.41%
Revenue Next 2Y3.33%
Revenue Next 3Y3.93%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. PYPL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 8.53, the valuation of PYPL can be described as reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PYPL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.35, PYPL is valued rather cheaply.
- PYPL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.35.
- PYPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PYPL is cheaper than 63.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.61, PYPL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PYPL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PYPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: PYPL is cheaper than 81.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates PYPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The excellent profitability rating of PYPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.88
PEG (5Y)1.54
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
5. PYPL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.24%, PYPL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- In the last 3 months the price of PYPL has falen by -22.20%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
- PYPL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.13.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, PYPL is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
5.2 History
- PYPL is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 2.48% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PYPL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP2.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
PYPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
45.23
+0.56 (+1.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/amc
Inst Owners82.1%
Inst Owner Change-1.18%
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner Change0.18%
Market Cap41.64B
Revenue(TTM)33.17B
Net Income(TTM)5.23B
Analysts65.88
Price Target51.72 (14.35%)
Short Float %4.7%
Short Ratio1.66
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
Yearly Dividend0.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP2.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-04 2026-03-04 (0.14)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(2)9.38%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.3%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.57%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)5.95%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.12%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.21%
PT rev (1m)-30.13%
PT rev (3m)-36.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.3%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.35 | ||
| P/S | 1.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.49 | ||
| P/B | 2.06 | ||
| P/tB | 4.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.47 |
EPS(TTM)5.3
EY11.72%
EPS(NY)5.42
Fwd EY11.98%
FCF(TTM)6.04
FCFY13.36%
OCF(TTM)6.97
OCFY15.41%
SpS36.03
BVpS22
TBVpS9.98
PEG (NY)3.88
PEG (5Y)1.54
Graham Number51.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.53% | ||
| ROE | 25.83% | ||
| ROCE | 18.96% | ||
| ROIC | 15.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 42.08% | ||
| OM | 19.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 15.78% | ||
| GM | 41.48% | ||
| FCFM | 16.77% |
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
ROICexc(3y)21.02%
ROICexc(5y)18.45%
ROICexgc(3y)44.19%
ROICexgc(5y)39.13%
ROCE(3y)16.99%
ROCE(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y11.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.67%
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.47% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.19% | ||
| Profit Quality | 106.33% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.86 |
F-Score8
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACC1.98
Cap/Depr(3y)70.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)67.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.59%
Profit Quality(3y)122.96%
Profit Quality(5y)139.46%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
EPS Next Y2.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%
Revenue Next Year2.41%
Revenue Next 2Y3.33%
Revenue Next 3Y3.93%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
EBIT growth 1Y10.98%
EBIT growth 3Y16.51%
EBIT growth 5Y13.29%
EBIT Next Year5.21%
EBIT Next 3Y1.99%
EBIT Next 5Y10.35%
FCF growth 1Y-17.78%
FCF growth 3Y2.9%
FCF growth 5Y0.78%
OCF growth 1Y-13.88%
OCF growth 3Y3.34%
OCF growth 5Y0.63%
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC / PYPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PYPL.
What is the valuation status of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is 8.53 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.06.
How sustainable is the dividend of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?
The dividend rating of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 2.48%.