PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PYPL • US70450Y1038

Current stock price

46.13 USD
+0.71 (+1.56%)
At close:
46.18 USD
+0.05 (+0.11%)
Pre-Market:

This PYPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. PYPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PYPL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • PYPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years PYPL has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years PYPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PYPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPYPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • PYPL has a better Return On Assets (6.53%) than 81.63% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 25.83%, PYPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 15.26%, PYPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PYPL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.68%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.22%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (15.26%) for PYPL is above the 3 year average (13.68%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 25.83%
ROIC 15.26%
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
PYPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPYPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 15.78%, PYPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PYPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 19.28%, PYPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PYPL has grown nicely.
  • PYPL's Gross Margin of 41.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PYPL outperforms 62.24% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.28%
PM (TTM) 15.78%
GM 41.48%
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
PYPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPYPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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6

2. PYPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PYPL is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PYPL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PYPL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for PYPL is higher compared to a year ago.
PYPL Yearly Shares OutstandingPYPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
PYPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPYPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • PYPL has an Altman-Z score of 1.87. This is not the best score and indicates that PYPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of PYPL (1.87) is better than 75.51% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of PYPL is 2.05, which is a good value as it means it would take PYPL, 2.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.05, PYPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PYPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • PYPL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.49 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PYPL outperforms 56.12% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF 2.05
Altman-Z 1.87
ROIC/WACC1.98
WACC7.69%
PYPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPYPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.29 indicates that PYPL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.29, PYPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.29 indicates that PYPL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of PYPL (1.29) is better than 63.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.29
PYPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPYPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. PYPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PYPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.43%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, PYPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.53% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.32% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 9.11% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%

3.2 Future

  • PYPL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.78% yearly.
  • PYPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y2.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue Next Year2.42%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.98%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
PYPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPYPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
PYPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPYPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8 10

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7

4. PYPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • PYPL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.70.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of PYPL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PYPL is cheaper than 65.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • PYPL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.11.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.52, the valuation of PYPL can be described as very reasonable.
  • PYPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PYPL is cheaper than 62.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PYPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.12), we can say PYPL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.7
Fwd PE 8.52
PYPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPYPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PYPL is valued cheaper than 91.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PYPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: PYPL is cheaper than 81.63% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.63
EV/EBITDA 5.58
PYPL Per share dataPYPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates PYPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of PYPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.95
PEG (5Y)1.57
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

2

5. PYPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PYPL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • The stock price of PYPL dropped by -22.87% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.61, PYPL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • PYPL does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
PYPL Yearly Dividends per sharePYPL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2025 2026 0.05 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 2.48% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PYPL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP2.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
PYPL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPYPL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B
PYPL Dividend Payout.PYPL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PYPL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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PYPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:PYPL (3/17/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

Premarket: 46.18 +0.05 (+0.11%)

46.13

+0.71 (+1.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners82.1%
Inst Owner Change-1.18%
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner Change0.17%
Market Cap42.47B
Revenue(TTM)33.17B
Net Income(TTM)5.23B
Analysts65.88
Price Target51.89 (12.49%)
Short Float %4.56%
Short Ratio1.67
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP2.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(2)9.38%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.3%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.57%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)5.95%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.12%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.21%
PT rev (1m)-29.9%
PT rev (3m)-38.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.7
Fwd PE 8.52
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 7.63
P/OCF 6.62
P/B 2.1
P/tB 4.62
EV/EBITDA 5.58
EPS(TTM)5.3
EY11.49%
EPS(NY)5.42
Fwd EY11.74%
FCF(TTM)6.04
FCFY13.1%
OCF(TTM)6.97
OCFY15.11%
SpS36.03
BVpS22
TBVpS9.98
PEG (NY)3.95
PEG (5Y)1.57
Graham Number51.22
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 25.83%
ROCE 18.96%
ROIC 15.26%
ROICexc 22.09%
ROICexgc 42.08%
OM 19.28%
PM (TTM) 15.78%
GM 41.48%
FCFM 16.77%
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
ROICexc(3y)21.02%
ROICexc(5y)18.45%
ROICexgc(3y)44.19%
ROICexgc(5y)39.13%
ROCE(3y)16.99%
ROCE(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y11.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.67%
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF 2.05
Debt/EBITDA 1.36
Cap/Depr 88.47%
Cap/Sales 2.57%
Interest Coverage 15.75
Cash Conversion 87.19%
Profit Quality 106.33%
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.29
Altman-Z 1.87
F-Score8
WACC7.69%
ROIC/WACC1.98
Cap/Depr(3y)70.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)67.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.59%
Profit Quality(3y)122.96%
Profit Quality(5y)139.46%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
EPS Next Y2.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%
Revenue Next Year2.42%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.98%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
EBIT growth 1Y10.98%
EBIT growth 3Y16.51%
EBIT growth 5Y13.29%
EBIT Next Year5.21%
EBIT Next 3Y1.99%
EBIT Next 5Y10.35%
FCF growth 1Y-17.78%
FCF growth 3Y2.9%
FCF growth 5Y0.78%
OCF growth 1Y-13.88%
OCF growth 3Y3.34%
OCF growth 5Y0.63%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC / PYPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PYPL.


What is the valuation status of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?

The financial health rating of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PYPL stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is expected to grow by 2.2% in the next year.