PONY AI INC (PONY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PONY • US7329081084

12.87 USD
+0.39 (+3.13%)
At close: Mar 9, 2026
12.82 USD
-0.05 (-0.39%)
After Hours: 3/9/2026, 8:00:01 PM

This PONY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to PONY. PONY was compared to 277 industry peers in the Software industry. PONY has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. While showing a medium growth rate, PONY is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. PONY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PONY had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year PONY has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
PONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • PONY's Return On Assets of -27.65% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PONY is outperformed by 76.53% of its industry peers.
  • PONY has a worse Return On Equity (-32.12%) than 65.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.65%
ROE -32.12%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-20.66%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-22.68%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2021 2022 2023 2024 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • The Gross Margin of PONY (15.20%) is worse than 84.84% of its industry peers.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for PONY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.2%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
PONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

7

2. PONY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PONY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PONY remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PONY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
PONY Yearly Shares OutstandingPONY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
PONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • There is no outstanding debt for PONY. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.66%
PONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 6.21 indicates that PONY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • PONY's Current ratio of 6.21 is amongst the best of the industry. PONY outperforms 89.89% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 6.21 indicates that PONY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • PONY has a Quick ratio of 6.21. This is amongst the best in the industry. PONY outperforms 89.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 6.21
Quick Ratio 6.21
PONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

6

3. PONY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PONY shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -605.88%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.35% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 109.86% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-605.88%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.35%
Revenue growth 3Y109.86%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-13.19%

3.2 Future

  • PONY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.71% yearly.
  • PONY is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 87.64% yearly.
EPS Next Y19.92%
EPS Next 2Y4.14%
EPS Next 3Y2.63%
EPS Next 5Y20.71%
Revenue Next Year19.12%
Revenue Next 2Y27.07%
Revenue Next 3Y52%
Revenue Next 5Y87.64%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
PONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B
PONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1

0

4. PONY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • PONY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year PONY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
PONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
PONY Per share dataPONY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 -2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.14%
EPS Next 3Y2.63%

0

5. PONY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PONY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

PONY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PONY AI INC

NASDAQ:PONY (3/9/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 12.82 -0.05 (-0.39%)

12.87

+0.39 (+3.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)11-25
Earnings (Next)03-25
Inst Owners42.87%
Inst Owner Change-30.42%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.58B
Revenue(TTM)75.03M
Net Income(TTM)-274.00M
Analysts87.83
Price Target23.43 (82.05%)
Short Float %10.02%
Short Ratio5.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.47%
PT rev (3m)-1.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)23.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)24.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 74.37
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 6.54
P/tB 6.54
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.03
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.5
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.33
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.3
OCFYN/A
SpS0.17
BVpS1.97
TBVpS1.97
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.65%
ROE -32.12%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.2%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-20.66%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-22.68%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 6.21
Quick Ratio 6.21
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score3
WACC9.66%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)79.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)13.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-605.88%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
EPS Next Y19.92%
EPS Next 2Y4.14%
EPS Next 3Y2.63%
EPS Next 5Y20.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.35%
Revenue growth 3Y109.86%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-13.19%
Revenue Next Year19.12%
Revenue Next 2Y27.07%
Revenue Next 3Y52%
Revenue Next 5Y87.64%
EBIT growth 1Y-100%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-36.33%
EBIT Next 3Y-5.55%
EBIT Next 5Y32.9%
FCF growth 1Y-1.59%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.48%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

PONY AI INC / PONY FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PONY AI INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PONY.


Can you provide the valuation status for PONY AI INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to PONY AI INC (PONY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is PONY AI INC (PONY) stock?

PONY AI INC (PONY) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.