PONY AI INC (PONY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PONY • US7329081084

Current stock price

9.56 USD
+0.19 (+2.03%)
At close:
9.59 USD
+0.03 (+0.31%)
After Hours:

This PONY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. PONY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PONY had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years PONY always reported negative net income.
  • PONY had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
PONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • PONY has a worse Return On Assets (-7.39%) than 60.36% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -8.11%, PONY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.39%
ROE -8.11%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-16.73%
ROA(5y)-20.21%
ROE(3y)-18.39%
ROE(5y)-21.9%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • PONY's Gross Margin of 15.73% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PONY is outperformed by 84.00% of its industry peers.
  • PONY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for PONY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.73%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
PONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

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2. PONY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PONY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PONY has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • There is no outstanding debt for PONY. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
PONY Yearly Shares OutstandingPONY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
PONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • PONY has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.55%
PONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 13.67 indicates that PONY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • PONY's Current ratio of 13.67 is amongst the best of the industry. PONY outperforms 96.36% of its industry peers.
  • PONY has a Quick Ratio of 13.67. This indicates that PONY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • PONY has a better Quick ratio (13.67) than 96.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 13.67
Quick Ratio 13.67
PONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

6

3. PONY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PONY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 55.28%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, PONY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 19.96% in the last year.
  • PONY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.59% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)55.28%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%102.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.96%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-61.18%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, PONY will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 35.55% on average per year.
  • PONY is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 99.09% yearly.
EPS Next Y-14.32%
EPS Next 2Y-7.12%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y35.55%
Revenue Next Year42.46%
Revenue Next 2Y75.29%
Revenue Next 3Y100.01%
Revenue Next 5Y99.09%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
PONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B
PONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1

0

4. PONY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for PONY. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for PONY. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
PONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
PONY Per share dataPONY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • PONY's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.12%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

0

5. PONY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for PONY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

PONY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PONY AI INC

NASDAQ:PONY (4/10/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 9.59 +0.03 (+0.31%)

9.56

+0.19 (+2.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)03-26
Earnings (Next)05-20
Inst Owners42.87%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner Change2.77%
Market Cap4.14B
Revenue(TTM)90.00M
Net Income(TTM)-133.97M
Analysts86.4
Price Target23.29 (143.62%)
Short Float %8.59%
Short Ratio5.06
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.61%
Min EPS beat(2)3.34%
Max EPS beat(2)35.89%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.67%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)19.3%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.62%
PT rev (3m)-2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.98%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 46.05
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.51
P/tB 2.51
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.7
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.5
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS0.21
BVpS3.81
TBVpS3.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.39%
ROE -8.11%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.73%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-16.73%
ROA(5y)-20.21%
ROE(3y)-18.39%
ROE(5y)-21.9%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 13.67
Quick Ratio 13.67
Altman-Z N/A
F-ScoreN/A
WACC9.55%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)55.28%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%102.5%
EPS Next Y-14.32%
EPS Next 2Y-7.12%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y35.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.96%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-61.18%
Revenue Next Year42.46%
Revenue Next 2Y75.29%
Revenue Next 3Y100.01%
Revenue Next 5Y99.09%
EBIT growth 1Y8.64%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year11.69%
EBIT Next 3Y13.34%
EBIT Next 5Y33.5%
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

PONY AI INC / PONY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PONY AI INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PONY.


Can you provide the valuation status for PONY AI INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to PONY AI INC (PONY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for PONY AI INC?

PONY AI INC (PONY) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for PONY stock?

The financial health rating of PONY AI INC (PONY) is 7 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for PONY AI INC (PONY) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PONY AI INC (PONY) is expected to decline by -14.32% in the next year.