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PONY AI INC (PONY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:PONY - Nasdaq - US7329081084 - ADR - Currency: USD

11.83  -0.82 (-6.48%)

After market: 11.84 +0.01 (+0.08%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, PONY scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PONY was compared to 284 industry peers in the Software industry. While PONY seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. PONY is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PONY has reported negative net income.
PONY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
PONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -26.09%, PONY is doing worse than 70.07% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -28.82%, PONY is not doing good in the industry: 60.56% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -26.09%
ROE -28.82%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-20.66%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-22.68%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2021 2022 2023 2024 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

PONY has a worse Gross Margin (15.20%) than 83.45% of its industry peers.
PONY does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.2%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
PONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PONY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
PONY has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for PONY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PONY Yearly Shares OutstandingPONY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
PONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 23.63 indicates that PONY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of PONY (23.63) is better than 95.42% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that PONY is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, PONY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 23.63
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.54%
PONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 11.77 indicates that PONY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
PONY's Current ratio of 11.77 is amongst the best of the industry. PONY outperforms 95.07% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 11.77 indicates that PONY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 11.77, PONY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 11.77
Quick Ratio 11.77
PONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

PONY shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -611.12%.
PONY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.35%.
The Revenue has been growing by 109.86% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-611.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.35%
Revenue growth 3Y109.86%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.03% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 30.68% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y10.94%
EPS Next 2Y0.78%
EPS Next 3Y3.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.7%
Revenue Next 2Y37.45%
Revenue Next 3Y30.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
PONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
PONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for PONY. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year PONY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
PONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
PONY Per share dataPONY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2 -2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.78%
EPS Next 3Y3.03%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PONY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PONY AI INC

NASDAQ:PONY (6/20/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 11.84 +0.01 (+0.08%)

11.83

-0.82 (-6.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)03-25 2025-03-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners35.06%
Inst Owner Change7.8%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.20B
Analysts86
Price Target22.44 (89.69%)
Short Float %3.97%
Short Ratio0.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)7.58%
PT rev (3m)-7.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-48.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-10.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 56.02
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 4.42
P/tB 4.42
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.37
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.54
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.34
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.31
OCFYN/A
SpS0.21
BVpS2.68
TBVpS2.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -26.09%
ROE -28.82%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.2%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-20.66%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-22.68%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 136.31%
Cap/Sales 15.19%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 11.77
Quick Ratio 11.77
Altman-Z 23.63
F-Score3
WACC7.54%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)81.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)13.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-611.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y10.94%
EPS Next 2Y0.78%
EPS Next 3Y3.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.35%
Revenue growth 3Y109.86%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A
Revenue Next Year11.7%
Revenue Next 2Y37.45%
Revenue Next 3Y30.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-99.33%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-4.84%
EBIT Next 3Y2.7%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1.36%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y4.04%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A