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PONY AI INC (PONY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:PONY - Nasdaq - US7329081084 - ADR - Currency: USD

11.78  -0.92 (-7.24%)

After market: 11.74 -0.04 (-0.34%)

Fundamental Rating

3

PONY gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 284 industry peers in the Software industry. The financial health of PONY is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. PONY is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

PONY had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year PONY has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
PONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -26.09%, PONY is not doing good in the industry: 69.72% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
PONY has a Return On Equity of -28.82%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PONY underperforms 60.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -26.09%
ROE -28.82%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-20.66%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-22.68%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2021 2022 2023 2024 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

With a Gross Margin value of 15.20%, PONY is not doing good in the industry: 83.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for PONY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.2%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
PONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PONY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, PONY has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The debt/assets ratio for PONY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PONY Yearly Shares OutstandingPONY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
PONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

PONY has an Altman-Z score of 25.49. This indicates that PONY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
PONY's Altman-Z score of 25.49 is amongst the best of the industry. PONY outperforms 95.42% of its industry peers.
PONY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
PONY has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.00) than 68.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 25.49
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.54%
PONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

PONY has a Current Ratio of 11.77. This indicates that PONY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of PONY (11.77) is better than 95.07% of its industry peers.
PONY has a Quick Ratio of 11.77. This indicates that PONY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 11.77, PONY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 11.77
Quick Ratio 11.77
PONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

PONY shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -611.12%.
PONY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.35%.
PONY shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 109.86% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-611.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.35%
Revenue growth 3Y109.86%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A

3.2 Future

PONY is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 1.74% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, PONY will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 30.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.06%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y1.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.7%
Revenue Next 2Y37.45%
Revenue Next 3Y30.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
PONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
PONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for PONY. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year PONY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
PONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
PONY Per share dataPONY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2 -2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y1.74%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for PONY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PONY AI INC

NASDAQ:PONY (6/13/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 11.74 -0.04 (-0.34%)

11.78

-0.92 (-7.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)03-25 2025-03-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners22.64%
Inst Owner Change7.8%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.19B
Analysts86
Price Target22.44 (90.49%)
Short Float %4.39%
Short Ratio0.75
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.5%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 55.79
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 4.4
P/tB 4.4
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.37
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.4
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.34
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.31
OCFYN/A
SpS0.21
BVpS2.68
TBVpS2.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -26.09%
ROE -28.82%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.2%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-20.66%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-22.68%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 136.31%
Cap/Sales 15.19%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 11.77
Quick Ratio 11.77
Altman-Z 25.49
F-Score3
WACC7.54%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)81.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)13.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-611.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y24.06%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y1.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.35%
Revenue growth 3Y109.86%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A
Revenue Next Year11.7%
Revenue Next 2Y37.45%
Revenue Next 3Y30.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-99.33%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-4.84%
EBIT Next 3Y2.7%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1.36%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y4.04%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A