CARNIVAL PLC (POH1.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
FRA:POH1 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - GB0031215220 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
POH1 gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 54 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of POH1 while its profitability can be described as average. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on POH1.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
POH1 had positive earnings in the past year.
POH1 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
POH1 had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In multiple years POH1 reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
POH1 has a Return On Assets (4.23%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 22.35%, POH1 belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.32%, POH1 is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.23% | ||
| ROE | 22.35% | ||
| ROIC | 7.32% |
ROA(3y)-2.68%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)-22.21%
ROE(5y)-38.93%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 8.07%, POH1 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.96% of the companies in the same industry.
POH1's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
POH1 has a better Operating Margin (15.11%) than 75.93% of its industry peers.
POH1's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
POH1 has a Gross Margin (38.26%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POH1's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.07% | ||
| GM | 38.26% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-11.81%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POH1 is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for POH1 has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
POH1 has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
POH1 has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.98, we must say that POH1 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
POH1's Altman-Z score of 0.98 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. POH1 is outperformed by 61.11% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POH1 is 13.60, which is on the high side as it means it would take POH1, 13.60 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
POH1 has a Debt to FCF ratio of 13.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: POH1 underperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.78 is on the high side and indicates that POH1 has dependencies on debt financing.
POH1 has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.78. This is in the lower half of the industry: POH1 underperforms 64.81% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.78 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
ROIC/WACC1.19
WACC6.16%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.26 indicates that POH1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
POH1's Current ratio of 0.26 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. POH1 is outperformed by 85.19% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.21 indicates that POH1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.21, POH1 is not doing good in the industry: 85.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 414.02% over the past year.
The earnings per share for POH1 have been decreasing by -20.48% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, POH1 shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.66% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.74% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)414.02%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%192.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.66%
Revenue growth 3Y135.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.74%
Sales Q2Q%7.47%
3.2 Future
POH1 is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.02% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, POH1 will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.23% on average per year.
EPS Next Y32.5%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
EPS Next 5Y19.02%
Revenue Next Year4.59%
Revenue Next 2Y4.13%
Revenue Next 3Y4.17%
Revenue Next 5Y4.23%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
POH1 is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.76.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of POH1 indicates a rather cheap valuation: POH1 is cheaper than 88.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.18. POH1 is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.32, the valuation of POH1 can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of POH1 indicates a rather cheap valuation: POH1 is cheaper than 92.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 20.81. POH1 is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
POH1's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POH1 is cheaper than 70.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POH1 is valued a bit cheaper than 74.07% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as POH1's earnings are expected to grow with 21.59% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
POH1 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.91%.
In the last 3 months the price of POH1 has falen by -37.03%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.10, POH1 pays a better dividend. On top of this POH1 pays more dividend than 87.04% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.45, POH1 pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.91% |
5.2 History
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
FRA:POH1 (5/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
15.605
+0.86 (+5.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners46.68%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.6%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap20.46B
Analysts81.11
Price Target23.72 (52%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.91% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)265.26%
Min EPS beat(2)56.83%
Max EPS beat(2)473.7%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)409.19%
Min EPS beat(4)5.33%
Max EPS beat(4)1100.9%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)214.84%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)106.33%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)76.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.41%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-10.51%
PT rev (1m)-4.55%
PT rev (3m)-3.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.56%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.32 | ||
| P/S | 0.91 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.69 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.57 | ||
| P/B | 2.53 | ||
| P/tB | 3.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.67 |
EPS(TTM)1.45
EY9.29%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY12.02%
FCF(TTM)1.34
FCFY8.56%
OCF(TTM)3.42
OCFY21.89%
SpS17.09
BVpS6.17
TBVpS5
PEG (NY)0.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.23% | ||
| ROE | 22.35% | ||
| ROCE | 10.4% | ||
| ROIC | 7.32% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.49% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.87% | ||
| OM | 15.11% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.07% | ||
| GM | 38.26% | ||
| FCFM | 7.81% |
ROA(3y)-2.68%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)-22.21%
ROE(5y)-38.93%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.43%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-11.81%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.78 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.6 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.96 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 119.13% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.17% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 96.78% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
F-Score7
WACC6.16%
ROIC/WACC1.19
Cap/Depr(3y)178.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)171.94%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)65.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)414.02%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%192.86%
EPS Next Y32.5%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
EPS Next 5Y19.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.66%
Revenue growth 3Y135.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.74%
Sales Q2Q%7.47%
Revenue Next Year4.59%
Revenue Next 2Y4.13%
Revenue Next 3Y4.17%
Revenue Next 5Y4.23%
EBIT growth 1Y59.82%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y1.76%
EBIT Next Year90.81%
EBIT Next 3Y28.91%
EBIT Next 5Y18.55%
FCF growth 1Y30.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y94.16%
OCF growth 1Y38.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y1.58%