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CARNIVAL PLC (POH1.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:POH1 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - GB0031215220 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

23.6  +0.4 (+1.72%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall POH1 gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated POH1 against 58 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of POH1 while its profitability can be described as average. POH1 may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

POH1 had positive earnings in the past year.
POH1 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years POH1 reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: POH1 reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
POH1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPOH1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.94%, POH1 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.97% of the companies in the same industry.
POH1's Return On Equity of 25.23% is amongst the best of the industry. POH1 outperforms 87.93% of its industry peers.
POH1's Return On Invested Capital of 7.76% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POH1 outperforms 67.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.94%
ROE 25.23%
ROIC 7.76%
ROA(3y)-2.68%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)-22.21%
ROE(5y)-38.93%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
POH1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPOH1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

POH1 has a Profit Margin of 9.72%. This is in the better half of the industry: POH1 outperforms 70.69% of its industry peers.
POH1's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
POH1 has a better Operating Margin (16.23%) than 77.59% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POH1 has declined.
The Gross Margin of POH1 (39.22%) is worse than 60.34% of its industry peers.
POH1's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.23%
PM (TTM) 9.72%
GM 39.22%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-11.81%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
POH1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPOH1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

POH1 has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
POH1 has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for POH1 has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for POH1 has been reduced compared to a year ago.
POH1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingPOH1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
POH1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPOH1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.18, we must say that POH1 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
POH1 has a Altman-Z score of 1.18. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POH1 outperforms 44.83% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POH1 is 9.71, which is on the high side as it means it would take POH1, 9.71 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
POH1's Debt to FCF ratio of 9.71 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. POH1 outperforms 46.55% of its industry peers.
POH1 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.58. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.58, POH1 is doing worse than 60.34% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.58
Debt/FCF 9.71
Altman-Z 1.18
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC6.43%
POH1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPOH1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

POH1 has a Current Ratio of 0.34. This is a bad value and indicates that POH1 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.34, POH1 is doing worse than 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
POH1 has a Quick Ratio of 0.34. This is a bad value and indicates that POH1 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
POH1's Quick ratio of 0.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. POH1 is outperformed by 79.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.34
Quick Ratio 0.3
POH1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPOH1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

POH1 shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 155.06%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, POH1 shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -20.48% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, POH1 shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.82% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, POH1 shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.74% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)155.06%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%218.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.82%
Revenue growth 3Y135.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.74%
Sales Q2Q%9.46%

3.2 Future

POH1 is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.65% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y32.5%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
EPS Next 5Y18.65%
Revenue Next Year6.53%
Revenue Next 2Y5.18%
Revenue Next 3Y4.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.13%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
POH1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPOH1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
POH1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPOH1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.66, the valuation of POH1 can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of POH1 indicates a rather cheap valuation: POH1 is cheaper than 82.76% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of POH1 to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.11), we can say POH1 is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.99, POH1 is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POH1 is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.21% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.78. POH1 is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.66
Fwd PE 12.99
POH1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPOH1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POH1 is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POH1 is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.41% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.92
EV/EBITDA 8.93
POH1.DE Per share dataPOH1.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

POH1's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as POH1's earnings are expected to grow with 21.59% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.45
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.91%, POH1 has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.85, POH1 pays a better dividend. On top of this POH1 pays more dividend than 91.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.
POH1's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.91%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
POH1.DE Yearly Dividends per sharePOH1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
POH1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPOH1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B -6B -8B -10B

CARNIVAL PLC

FRA:POH1 (8/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

23.6

+0.4 (+1.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)06-24 2025-06-24/dmh
Earnings (Next)09-29 2025-09-29
Inst Owners39.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.9%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap30.98B
Analysts83.53
Price Target27.2 (15.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.91%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)256.58%
Min EPS beat(2)39.45%
Max EPS beat(2)473.7%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)143.83%
Min EPS beat(4)5.33%
Max EPS beat(4)473.7%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)217.98%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)112.36%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)80.1%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.36%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.36%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.06%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-6.28%
PT rev (1m)5.65%
PT rev (3m)14.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.97%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.97%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.66
Fwd PE 12.99
P/S 1.4
P/FCF 12.92
P/OCF 6.67
P/B 3.63
P/tB 4.4
EV/EBITDA 8.93
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY6.82%
EPS(NY)1.82
Fwd EY7.7%
FCF(TTM)1.83
FCFY7.74%
OCF(TTM)3.54
OCFY14.98%
SpS16.9
BVpS6.51
TBVpS5.37
PEG (NY)0.45
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.94%
ROE 25.23%
ROCE 11.02%
ROIC 7.76%
ROICexc 8.22%
ROICexgc 8.64%
OM 16.23%
PM (TTM) 9.72%
GM 39.22%
FCFM 10.81%
ROA(3y)-2.68%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)-22.21%
ROE(5y)-38.93%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.43%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-11.81%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.58
Debt/FCF 9.71
Debt/EBITDA 3.76
Cap/Depr 98.91%
Cap/Sales 10.11%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 79.09%
Profit Quality 111.21%
Current Ratio 0.34
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 1.18
F-Score8
WACC6.43%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)178.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)171.94%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)65.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)155.06%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%218.18%
EPS Next Y32.5%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
EPS Next 5Y18.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.82%
Revenue growth 3Y135.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.74%
Sales Q2Q%9.46%
Revenue Next Year6.53%
Revenue Next 2Y5.18%
Revenue Next 3Y4.74%
Revenue Next 5Y4.13%
EBIT growth 1Y48.24%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y1.76%
EBIT Next Year91.87%
EBIT Next 3Y28.52%
EBIT Next 5Y18.42%
FCF growth 1Y215.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y94.16%
OCF growth 1Y411.29%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y1.58%