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CARNIVAL PLC (POH1.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:POH1 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - GB0031215220 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

17.7  -0.56 (-3.07%)

Fundamental Rating

4

POH1 gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 56 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. POH1 has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. POH1 is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year POH1 was profitable.
In the past year POH1 had a positive cash flow from operations.
POH1 had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In multiple years POH1 reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
POH1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPOH1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.23%, POH1 is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.79% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of POH1 (22.35%) is better than 86.21% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of POH1 (7.32%) is better than 63.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.23%
ROE 22.35%
ROIC 7.32%
ROA(3y)-2.68%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)-22.21%
ROE(5y)-38.93%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
POH1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPOH1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 8.07%, POH1 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.24% of the companies in the same industry.
POH1's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of POH1 (15.11%) is better than 74.14% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POH1 has declined.
POH1 has a Gross Margin (38.26%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of POH1 has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.11%
PM (TTM) 8.07%
GM 38.26%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-11.81%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
POH1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPOH1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), POH1 is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, POH1 has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, POH1 has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for POH1 has been reduced compared to a year ago.
POH1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingPOH1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
POH1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPOH1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.04, we must say that POH1 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
POH1 has a Altman-Z score (1.04) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POH1 is 13.60, which is on the high side as it means it would take POH1, 13.60 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POH1 (13.60) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POH1 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.78. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.78, POH1 is not doing good in the industry: 60.34% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.78
Debt/FCF 13.6
Altman-Z 1.04
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC6.05%
POH1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPOH1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.26 indicates that POH1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.26, POH1 is not doing good in the industry: 86.21% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.21 indicates that POH1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
POH1 has a worse Quick ratio (0.21) than 86.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.26
Quick Ratio 0.21
POH1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPOH1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

POH1 shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 414.02%, which is quite impressive.
POH1 shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -20.48% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 12.66% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.74% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)414.02%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%192.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.66%
Revenue growth 3Y135.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.74%
Sales Q2Q%7.47%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y32.5%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
EPS Next 5Y18.65%
Revenue Next Year4.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.95%
Revenue Next 3Y4%
Revenue Next 5Y4.13%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
POH1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPOH1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
POH1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPOH1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

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7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.38 indicates a correct valuation of POH1.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, POH1 is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.66% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.32, POH1 is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.58 indicates a reasonable valuation of POH1.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of POH1 indicates a rather cheap valuation: POH1 is cheaper than 87.93% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.13, POH1 is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.38
Fwd PE 9.58
POH1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPOH1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

68.97% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than POH1, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POH1 is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.46
EV/EBITDA 8.22
POH1.DE Per share dataPOH1.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
POH1's earnings are expected to grow with 21.59% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.38
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%

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4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

POH1 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.91%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.28, POH1 pays a better dividend. On top of this POH1 pays more dividend than 87.93% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, POH1 pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.91%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
POH1.DE Yearly Dividends per sharePOH1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
POH1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPOH1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B -6B -8B -10B

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CARNIVAL PLC

FRA:POH1 (6/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

17.7

-0.56 (-3.07%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)03-21 2025-03-21/dmh
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners39.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.9%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap23.22B
Analysts83.53
Price Target24.99 (41.19%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.91%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)265.26%
Min EPS beat(2)56.83%
Max EPS beat(2)473.7%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)409.19%
Min EPS beat(4)5.33%
Max EPS beat(4)1100.9%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)214.84%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)106.33%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)76.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.41%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-10.51%
PT rev (1m)5.35%
PT rev (3m)-0.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.38
Fwd PE 9.58
P/S 1.05
P/FCF 13.46
P/OCF 5.26
P/B 2.91
P/tB 3.59
EV/EBITDA 8.22
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY8.08%
EPS(NY)1.85
Fwd EY10.44%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY7.43%
OCF(TTM)3.37
OCFY19.01%
SpS16.84
BVpS6.08
TBVpS4.93
PEG (NY)0.38
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.23%
ROE 22.35%
ROCE 10.4%
ROIC 7.32%
ROICexc 7.49%
ROICexgc 7.87%
OM 15.11%
PM (TTM) 8.07%
GM 38.26%
FCFM 7.81%
ROA(3y)-2.68%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)-22.21%
ROE(5y)-38.93%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.43%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-11.81%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.78
Debt/FCF 13.6
Debt/EBITDA 3.96
Cap/Depr 119.13%
Cap/Sales 12.17%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.9%
Profit Quality 96.78%
Current Ratio 0.26
Quick Ratio 0.21
Altman-Z 1.04
F-Score7
WACC6.05%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)178.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)171.94%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)65.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)414.02%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%192.86%
EPS Next Y32.5%
EPS Next 2Y24.15%
EPS Next 3Y21.59%
EPS Next 5Y18.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.66%
Revenue growth 3Y135.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.74%
Sales Q2Q%7.47%
Revenue Next Year4.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.95%
Revenue Next 3Y4%
Revenue Next 5Y4.13%
EBIT growth 1Y59.82%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y1.76%
EBIT Next Year91.87%
EBIT Next 3Y28.52%
EBIT Next 5Y18.42%
FCF growth 1Y30.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y94.16%
OCF growth 1Y38.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y1.58%