PAYA HOLDINGS INC (PAYA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PAYA • US70434P1030

Current stock price

9.74 USD
+0.01 (+0.1%)
At close:
9.74 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This PAYA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. PAYA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PAYA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • PAYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
PAYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPAYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10M 20M 30M

1.2 Ratios

  • PAYA has a Return On Assets (1.42%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 3.75%, PAYA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.00%, PAYA is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 3.75%
ROIC 4%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PAYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPAYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 1 2 3 4

1.3 Margins

  • PAYA has a Profit Margin of 3.42%. This is in the better half of the industry: PAYA outperforms 60.15% of its industry peers.
  • The Operating Margin of PAYA (9.60%) is better than 61.65% of its industry peers.
  • PAYA has a better Gross Margin (51.29%) than 70.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.6%
PM (TTM) 3.42%
GM 51.29%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
PAYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPAYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 20 30 40 50

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5

2. PAYA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PAYA is destroying value.
  • PAYA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for PAYA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PAYA Yearly Shares OutstandingPAYA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
PAYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPAYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.68 indicates that PAYA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • PAYA has a Altman-Z score of 2.68. This is in the better half of the industry: PAYA outperforms 64.66% of its industry peers.
  • PAYA has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.30. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as PAYA would need 6.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of PAYA (6.30) is better than 62.41% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.95 indicates that PAYA is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.95, PAYA is not doing good in the industry: 64.66% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.95
Debt/FCF 6.3
Altman-Z 2.68
ROIC/WACC0.44
WACC9.2%
PAYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPAYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.11 indicates that PAYA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.11, PAYA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.11 indicates that PAYA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of PAYA (2.11) is better than 75.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.11
Quick Ratio 2.11
PAYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPAYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. PAYA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.63% over the past year.
  • The Revenue for PAYA has decreased by -28.69% in the past year. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%125%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.69%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%13.18%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, PAYA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.17% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, PAYA will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.51% on average per year.
EPS Next Y18.73%
EPS Next 2Y17.07%
EPS Next 3Y15.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year14.7%
Revenue Next 2Y12.89%
Revenue Next 3Y12.24%
Revenue Next 5Y11.51%

3.3 Evolution

PAYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPAYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
PAYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPAYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

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3

4. PAYA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 26.32, which means the current valuation is very expensive for PAYA.
  • PAYA's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • PAYA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.95.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.21 indicates a rather expensive valuation of PAYA.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PAYA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PAYA is cheaper than 60.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.68, PAYA is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.32
Fwd PE 22.21
PAYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPAYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • PAYA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as PAYA.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 33.39
EV/EBITDA 23.62
PAYA Per share dataPAYA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as PAYA's earnings are expected to grow with 15.17% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.41
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.07%
EPS Next 3Y15.17%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. PAYA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PAYA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PAYA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PAYA HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:PAYA (2/21/2023, 8:00:03 PM)

After market: 9.74 0 (0%)

9.74

+0.01 (+0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-27
Earnings (Next)05-08
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners49.15%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.29B
Revenue(TTM)276.91M
Net Income(TTM)9.47M
Analysts71.25
Price Target9.84 (1.03%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.1%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.46%
Max EPS beat(2)5.67%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.46%
Max EPS beat(4)10.64%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.67%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.67%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.37%
PT rev (3m)7.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.32
Fwd PE 22.21
P/S 4.65
P/FCF 33.39
P/OCF 29.56
P/B 5.1
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 23.62
EPS(TTM)0.37
EY3.8%
EPS(NY)0.44
Fwd EY4.5%
FCF(TTM)0.29
FCFY2.99%
OCF(TTM)0.33
OCFY3.38%
SpS2.09
BVpS1.91
TBVpS-0.74
PEG (NY)1.41
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 3.75%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 4%
ROICexc 5.69%
ROICexgc 111.35%
OM 9.6%
PM (TTM) 3.42%
GM 51.29%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.95
Debt/FCF 6.3
Debt/EBITDA 4.18
Cap/Depr 15.82%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 407.47%
Current Ratio 2.11
Quick Ratio 2.11
Altman-Z 2.68
F-Score6
WACC9.2%
ROIC/WACC0.44
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%125%
EPS Next Y18.73%
EPS Next 2Y17.07%
EPS Next 3Y15.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.69%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%13.18%
Revenue Next Year14.7%
Revenue Next 2Y12.89%
Revenue Next 3Y12.24%
Revenue Next 5Y11.51%
EBIT growth 1Y-33.13%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year203.09%
EBIT Next 3Y58.4%
EBIT Next 5Y44.07%
FCF growth 1Y1297.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y1453.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

PAYA HOLDINGS INC / PAYA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAYA HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PAYA.


What is the valuation status for PAYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to PAYA HOLDINGS INC (PAYA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for PAYA HOLDINGS INC?

PAYA HOLDINGS INC (PAYA) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for PAYA HOLDINGS INC (PAYA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAYA HOLDINGS INC (PAYA) is expected to grow by 18.73% in the next year.