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OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC (OSG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:OSG - US0231398845 - Common Stock

7.94 USD
-0.14 (-1.73%)
Last: 12/26/2025, 2:04:31 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to OSG. OSG was compared to 148 industry peers in the Insurance industry. OSG scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. OSG has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year OSG has reported negative net income.
OSG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: OSG reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years OSG reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
OSG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOSG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.92%, OSG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 17.90%, OSG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.41% of the companies in the same industry.
OSG's Return On Invested Capital of 8.79% is amongst the best of the industry. OSG outperforms 91.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.92%
ROE 17.9%
ROIC 8.79%
ROA(3y)1.32%
ROA(5y)1.43%
ROE(3y)3.93%
ROE(5y)4.45%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OSG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOSG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 14.26%, OSG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.03% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OSG has grown nicely.
OSG has a Operating Margin of 21.49%. This is in the better half of the industry: OSG outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OSG has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of OSG (57.90%) is better than 94.59% of its industry peers.
OSG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.49%
PM (TTM) 14.26%
GM 57.9%
OM growth 3Y30.51%
OM growth 5Y27.84%
PM growth 3Y24.48%
PM growth 5Y30.25%
GM growth 3Y3.28%
GM growth 5Y1.68%
OSG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOSG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), OSG is creating some value.
OSG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
OSG Yearly Shares OutstandingOSG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
OSG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOSG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.73, we must say that OSG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
OSG's Altman-Z score of 0.73 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OSG outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OSG is 7.05, which is on the high side as it means it would take OSG, 7.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OSG (7.05) is worse than 67.57% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.93 indicates that OSG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of OSG (0.93) is worse than 88.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.93
Debt/FCF 7.05
Altman-Z 0.73
ROIC/WACC1.18
WACC7.48%
OSG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOSG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.67 indicates that OSG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
OSG has a better Current ratio (0.67) than 75.68% of its industry peers.
OSG has a Quick Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that OSG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.63, OSG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.63
OSG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOSG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for OSG have decreased strongly by -179.07% in the last year.
The earnings per share for OSG have been decreasing by -21.40% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)-179.07%
EPS 3Y-13.99%
EPS 5Y-21.4%
EPS Q2Q%54.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, OSG will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -12.88% on average per year.
OSG is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -4.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y-283.96%
EPS Next 2Y-75.48%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-25.27%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.34%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
OSG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOSG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M
OSG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOSG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 10 20

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for OSG. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 314.46, which means the current valuation is very expensive for OSG.
82.43% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than OSG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
OSG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.03.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 314.46
OSG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOSG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 100 200 300

4.2 Price Multiples

83.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than OSG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
64.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than OSG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.22
EV/EBITDA 3.81
OSG Per share dataOSG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

OSG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
OSG's earnings are expected to decrease with -12.88% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-75.48%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for OSG!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC

NYSE:OSG (12/26/2025, 2:04:31 PM)

7.94

-0.14 (-1.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)11-10 2025-11-10/amc
Earnings (Next)02-24 2026-02-24/amc
Inst Owners86.9%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.83%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap347.85M
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)64.96M
Analysts80
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %6%
Short Ratio3.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1269.66%
Min EPS beat(2)855.15%
Max EPS beat(2)1684.16%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)963.25%
Min EPS beat(4)143.32%
Max EPS beat(4)1684.16%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)684.06%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)495.4%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)379.42%
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 314.46
P/S 0.76
P/FCF 6.22
P/OCF 3.78
P/B 0.96
P/tB 0.99
EV/EBITDA 3.81
EPS(TTM)-0.68
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.03
Fwd EY0.32%
FCF(TTM)1.28
FCFY16.08%
OCF(TTM)2.1
OCFY26.45%
SpS10.4
BVpS8.28
TBVpS8
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.92%
ROE 17.9%
ROCE 10.61%
ROIC 8.79%
ROICexc 9.83%
ROICexgc 9.97%
OM 21.49%
PM (TTM) 14.26%
GM 57.9%
FCFM 12.28%
ROA(3y)1.32%
ROA(5y)1.43%
ROE(3y)3.93%
ROE(5y)4.45%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y27.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y42.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.84%
OM growth 3Y30.51%
OM growth 5Y27.84%
PM growth 3Y24.48%
PM growth 5Y30.25%
GM growth 3Y3.28%
GM growth 5Y1.68%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.93
Debt/FCF 7.05
Debt/EBITDA 2.02
Cap/Depr 52.16%
Cap/Sales 7.92%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 55.07%
Profit Quality 86.1%
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 0.73
F-Score7
WACC7.48%
ROIC/WACC1.18
Cap/Depr(3y)22.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)85.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-179.07%
EPS 3Y-13.99%
EPS 5Y-21.4%
EPS Q2Q%54.35%
EPS Next Y-283.96%
EPS Next 2Y-75.48%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A
Revenue Next Year-25.27%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.34%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y25.69%
EBIT growth 3Y33.87%
EBIT growth 5Y33.33%
EBIT Next Year-13.3%
EBIT Next 3Y-21.01%
EBIT Next 5Y-11.22%
FCF growth 1Y960.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y25.59%
OCF growth 1Y11600.1%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y17.85%

OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC / OSG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC (OSG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OSG.


What is the valuation status of OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC (OSG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC (OSG). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC?

OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC (OSG) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


How financially healthy is OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC?

The financial health rating of OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INC (OSG) is 2 / 10.