ORIGIN MATERIALS INC (ORGN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ORGN • US68622D1063

Current stock price

0.1178 USD
0 (-0.51%)
At close:
0.125 USD
+0.01 (+6.11%)
After Hours:

This ORGN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. ORGN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ORGN had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ORGN has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ORGN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years ORGN always reported negative operating cash flow.
ORGN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFORGN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -21.11%, ORGN is doing worse than 84.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ORGN has a Return On Equity of -23.42%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ORGN underperforms 74.70% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.11%
ROE -23.42%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-11.35%
ROE(3y)0.58%
ROE(5y)-6056.88%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ORGN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICORGN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -10K -20K -30K

1.3 Margins

  • The Gross Margin of ORGN (1.85%) is worse than 91.57% of its industry peers.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for ORGN so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 1.85%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ORGN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsORGN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200

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2. ORGN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ORGN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • ORGN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • ORGN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ORGN Yearly Shares OutstandingORGN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
ORGN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsORGN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.37, we must say that ORGN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of ORGN (-0.37) is worse than 83.13% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that ORGN is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • ORGN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORGN outperforms 95.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.37
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC12.93%
ORGN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFORGN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ORGN has a Current Ratio of 6.33. This indicates that ORGN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 6.33, ORGN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 6.28 indicates that ORGN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of ORGN (6.28) is better than 97.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 6.33
Quick Ratio 6.28
ORGN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesORGN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

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3. ORGN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ORGN have decreased by -2.17% in the last year.
  • ORGN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -28.47%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%26.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.47%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-43.18%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ORGN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.99% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 87.52% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y10.75%
EPS Next 2Y15.81%
EPS Next 3Y17.39%
EPS Next 5Y16.99%
Revenue Next Year46.92%
Revenue Next 2Y89.65%
Revenue Next 3Y96.88%
Revenue Next 5Y87.52%

3.3 Evolution

ORGN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesORGN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
ORGN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesORGN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6

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4. ORGN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ORGN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ORGN. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ORGN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsORGN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ORGN Per share dataORGN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1 1.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ORGN's earnings are expected to grow with 17.39% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.81%
EPS Next 3Y17.39%

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5. ORGN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ORGN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ORGN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ORIGIN MATERIALS INC

NASDAQ:ORGN (3/17/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 0.125 +0.01 (+6.11%)

0.1178

0 (-0.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-13
Earnings (Next)03-27
Inst Owners13.91%
Inst Owner Change21.99%
Ins Owners2.99%
Ins Owner Change-2.45%
Market Cap18.28M
Revenue(TTM)25.12M
Net Income(TTM)-69.09M
Analysts82.86
Price Target1.02 (765.87%)
Short Float %4.76%
Short Ratio4.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-26.05%
Min EPS beat(2)-54.06%
Max EPS beat(2)1.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-32.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-96.08%
Max EPS beat(4)19.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-15.44%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)49.05%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)105.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-82.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-84.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)-80.43%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-61.72%
Min Revenue beat(4)-84.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-20.35%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-50%
PT rev (3m)-50%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.73
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.06
P/tB 0.06
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.47
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.32
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.35
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.19
OCFYN/A
SpS0.16
BVpS1.9
TBVpS1.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.11%
ROE -23.42%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 1.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-11.35%
ROE(3y)0.58%
ROE(5y)-6056.88%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 232.83%
Cap/Sales 99.25%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 6.33
Quick Ratio 6.28
Altman-Z -0.37
F-Score2
WACC12.93%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)4824.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)3442.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%26.67%
EPS Next Y10.75%
EPS Next 2Y15.81%
EPS Next 3Y17.39%
EPS Next 5Y16.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.47%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-43.18%
Revenue Next Year46.92%
Revenue Next 2Y89.65%
Revenue Next 3Y96.88%
Revenue Next 5Y87.52%
EBIT growth 1Y8.38%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year36.46%
EBIT Next 3Y14.85%
EBIT Next 5Y43.23%
FCF growth 1Y69.57%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.11%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

ORIGIN MATERIALS INC / ORGN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ORIGIN MATERIALS INC (ORGN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ORGN.


What is the valuation status for ORGN stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ORIGIN MATERIALS INC (ORGN). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ORIGIN MATERIALS INC?

ORIGIN MATERIALS INC (ORGN) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ORGN stock?

The dividend rating of ORIGIN MATERIALS INC (ORGN) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.