ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:ORC - US68571X3017 - REIT
7.1 USD
-0.09 (-1.25%)
7.1474 USD
+0.05 (+0.67%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to ORC. ORC was compared to 69 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. ORC has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. An interesting combination arises when we look at growth and value: ORC is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ORC was profitable.
In the past year ORC had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years ORC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
ORC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.67%, ORC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 5.63%, ORC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.46% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.53%, ORC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.67% | ||
| ROE | 5.63% | ||
| ROIC | 0.53% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of ORC (17.18%) is better than 72.46% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ORC has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 17.18%, ORC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
ORC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ORC's Gross Margin of 19.29% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORC is outperformed by 65.22% of its industry peers.
ORC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.18% | ||
| GM | 19.29% |
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-51.53%
GM growth 5Y-8.82%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ORC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ORC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ORC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
ORC has an Altman-Z score of -0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that ORC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -0.87, ORC is not doing good in the industry: 78.26% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
ORC has a debt to FCF ratio of 89.26. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ORC would need 89.26 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ORC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 89.26. This is in the better half of the industry: ORC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.37 is on the high side and indicates that ORC has dependencies on debt financing.
ORC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (7.37) than 62.32% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.37 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 89.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.87 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
ORC has a Current Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that ORC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ORC (0.08) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.08 indicates that ORC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ORC has a worse Quick ratio (0.08) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ORC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -41.76%.
The earnings per share for ORC have been decreasing by -23.17% on average. This is quite bad
ORC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 18.51%.
Measured over the past years, ORC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 19.70% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%420%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.51%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%7817.35%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, ORC will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 167.41% on average per year.
ORC is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7658.82% yearly.
EPS Next Y423.2%
EPS Next 2Y167.41%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year372063%
Revenue Next 2Y7658.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.40, ORC is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ORC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.87% of the companies are valued more expensively.
ORC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.76.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.89, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ORC.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORC indicates a rather cheap valuation: ORC is cheaper than 84.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.96, ORC is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.89 |
4.2 Price Multiples
65.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ORC, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ORC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
ORC's earnings are expected to grow with 167.41% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y167.41%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ORC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 19.70%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.09, ORC pays a better dividend. On top of this ORC pays more dividend than 98.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, ORC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 19.7% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ORC decreases each year by -21.95%.
ORC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
ORC pays out 244.27% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP244.27%
EPS Next 2Y167.41%
EPS Next 3YN/A
7.1
-0.09 (-1.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners31.68%
Inst Owner Change16.83%
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change0.77%
Market Cap1.19B
Revenue(TTM)356.07M
Net Income(TTM)61.17M
Analysts46.67
Price Target8.16 (14.93%)
Short Float %6.67%
Short Ratio1.96
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 19.7% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.95%
DP244.27%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.2%
Min EPS beat(2)9.25%
Max EPS beat(2)13.15%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)436.66%
Min EPS beat(4)9.25%
Max EPS beat(4)1586.64%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)286%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-38.18%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-33.13%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.72%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.41%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)75.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)187.03%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)74.71%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)50.5%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-39.93%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)12.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)15.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.49%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.89 | ||
| P/S | 3.35 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.28 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.28 | ||
| P/B | 1.1 | ||
| P/tB | 1.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.53
EY7.46%
EPS(NY)1.03
Fwd EY14.51%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY7.53%
OCF(TTM)0.53
OCFY7.53%
SpS2.12
BVpS6.47
TBVpS6.47
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.79
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.67% | ||
| ROE | 5.63% | ||
| ROCE | 5.61% | ||
| ROIC | 0.53% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.57% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.57% | ||
| OM | 17.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.18% | ||
| GM | 19.29% | ||
| FCFM | 25.19% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.12%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.19%
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-51.53%
GM growth 5Y-8.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.37 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 89.26 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 146.66% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.87 |
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%420%
EPS Next Y423.2%
EPS Next 2Y167.41%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.51%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%7817.35%
Revenue Next Year372063%
Revenue Next 2Y7658.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.25%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y9.16%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y88.85%
FCF growth 3Y-11.42%
FCF growth 5Y6.81%
OCF growth 1Y88.85%
OCF growth 3Y-11.42%
OCF growth 5Y6.81%
ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC / ORC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ORC.
Can you provide the valuation status for ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC?
ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) is 13.4 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.1.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORC stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) is expected to grow by 423.2% in the next year.