ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:ORC - US68571X3017 - REIT
7.48 USD
-0.03 (-0.4%)
7.48 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, ORC scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ORC was compared to 66 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ORC have multiple concerns. ORC is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ORC had positive earnings in the past year.
ORC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years ORC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years ORC had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of ORC (0.08%) is worse than 60.61% of its industry peers.
ORC's Return On Equity of 0.70% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORC is outperformed by 60.61% of its industry peers.
ORC's Return On Invested Capital of 0.07% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.08% | ||
| ROE | 0.7% | ||
| ROIC | 0.07% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
ORC has a Profit Margin of 2.24%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ORC underperforms 60.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ORC has declined.
ORC's Operating Margin of 2.24% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORC is outperformed by 68.18% of its industry peers.
ORC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ORC's Gross Margin of 4.75% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORC is outperformed by 87.88% of its industry peers.
ORC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.24% | ||
| GM | 4.75% |
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-51.53%
GM growth 5Y-8.82%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, ORC has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for ORC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ORC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.91, we must say that ORC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.91, ORC is doing worse than 78.79% of the companies in the same industry.
ORC has a debt to FCF ratio of 141.88. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ORC would need 141.88 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ORC has a Debt to FCF ratio (141.88) which is in line with its industry peers.
ORC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
ORC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 7.30. This is in the lower half of the industry: ORC underperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 141.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
ORC has a Current Ratio of 0.07. This is a bad value and indicates that ORC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ORC has a Current ratio of 0.07. This is in the lower half of the industry: ORC underperforms 62.12% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.07 indicates that ORC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.07, ORC is doing worse than 62.12% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.07 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ORC have decreased strongly by -52.94% in the last year.
The earnings per share for ORC have been decreasing by -23.17% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, ORC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 46.80%.
The Revenue has been growing by 19.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.94%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%300%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.8%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%3421.95%
3.2 Future
ORC is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 160.72% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7300.97% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y420.67%
EPS Next 2Y160.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year356293%
Revenue Next 2Y7300.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.38, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ORC.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ORC.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ORC to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.77), we can say ORC is valued inline with the index average.
ORC is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.80.
65.15% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ORC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.23. ORC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
ORC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ORC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
ORC's earnings are expected to grow with 160.72% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y160.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ORC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 19.73%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 13.07, ORC pays a better dividend. On top of this ORC pays more dividend than 98.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ORC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 19.73% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ORC decreases each year by -21.95%.
ORC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
ORC pays out 1977.47% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP1977.47%
EPS Next 2Y160.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
7.48
-0.03 (-0.4%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners30.9%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change0.77%
Market Cap1.09B
Revenue(TTM)285.93M
Net Income(TTM)6.41M
Analysts77.14
Price Target8.16 (9.09%)
Short Float %5.4%
Short Ratio1.7
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 19.73% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.95%
DP1977.47%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)75.38%
Min EPS beat(2)13.15%
Max EPS beat(2)137.61%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)441.67%
Min EPS beat(4)13.15%
Max EPS beat(4)1586.64%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)281.95%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-43.98%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-34.16%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)51.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.72%
Max Revenue beat(2)99.18%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)103.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)187.03%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)71.95%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)23.1%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-40.47%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)21.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)19.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.8 | ||
| P/S | 3.82 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.3 | ||
| P/OCF | 23.3 | ||
| P/B | 1.2 | ||
| P/tB | 1.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY4.28%
EPS(NY)0.96
Fwd EY12.83%
FCF(TTM)0.32
FCFY4.29%
OCF(TTM)0.32
OCFY4.29%
SpS1.96
BVpS6.24
TBVpS6.24
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.08% | ||
| ROE | 0.7% | ||
| ROCE | 0.7% | ||
| ROIC | 0.07% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.07% | ||
| OM | 2.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.24% | ||
| GM | 4.75% | ||
| FCFM | 16.41% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.12%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.19%
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-51.53%
GM growth 5Y-8.82%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 141.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 731.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.94%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%300%
EPS Next Y420.67%
EPS Next 2Y160.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.8%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%3421.95%
Revenue Next Year356293%
Revenue Next 2Y7300.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y116.78%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y9.16%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-60.24%
FCF growth 3Y-11.42%
FCF growth 5Y6.81%
OCF growth 1Y-60.24%
OCF growth 3Y-11.42%
OCF growth 5Y6.81%