ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:ORC - US68571X3017 - REIT
7 USD
-0.08 (-1.13%)
7.04 USD
+0.04 (+0.57%)
Overall ORC gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated ORC against 67 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. ORC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ORC is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ORC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ORC had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years ORC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years ORC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
ORC has a Return On Assets (0.08%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ORC has a Return On Equity of 0.70%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ORC outperforms 40.30% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.07%, ORC is doing worse than 65.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.08% | ||
| ROE | 0.7% | ||
| ROIC | 0.07% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.24%, ORC is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.30% of the companies in the same industry.
ORC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of ORC (2.24%) is worse than 67.16% of its industry peers.
ORC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 4.75%, ORC is doing worse than 86.57% of the companies in the same industry.
ORC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.24% | ||
| GM | 4.75% |
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-51.53%
GM growth 5Y-8.82%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ORC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ORC has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ORC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ORC has an Altman-Z score of -0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that ORC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.91, ORC is doing worse than 79.10% of the companies in the same industry.
ORC has a debt to FCF ratio of 141.88. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ORC would need 141.88 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ORC's Debt to FCF ratio of 141.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ORC outperforms 44.78% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.30 is on the high side and indicates that ORC has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 7.30, ORC is not doing good in the industry: 68.66% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 141.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.07 indicates that ORC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ORC (0.07) is worse than 62.69% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.07 indicates that ORC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ORC (0.07) is worse than 62.69% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.07 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ORC have decreased strongly by -52.94% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ORC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -23.17% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 46.80% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 19.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.94%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%300%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.8%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%3421.95%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 157.80% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, ORC will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7300.97% on average per year.
EPS Next Y403%
EPS Next 2Y157.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year356293%
Revenue Next 2Y7300.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ORC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.88.
ORC's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.38, ORC is valued a bit cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.53, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ORC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ORC is valued a bit cheaper than 76.12% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.86. ORC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ORC.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ORC's earnings are expected to grow with 157.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y157.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ORC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 20.34%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 10.79, ORC pays a better dividend. On top of this ORC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, ORC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 20.34% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ORC decreases each year by -21.95%.
ORC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
1977.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ORC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP1977.47%
EPS Next 2Y157.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
7
-0.08 (-1.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners30.1%
Inst Owner Change18.56%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change0.85%
Market Cap1.02B
Analysts77.14
Price Target8.16 (16.57%)
Short Float %7.02%
Short Ratio2.46
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 20.34% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.95%
DP1977.47%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)75.38%
Min EPS beat(2)13.15%
Max EPS beat(2)137.61%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)441.67%
Min EPS beat(4)13.15%
Max EPS beat(4)1586.64%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)281.95%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-43.98%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-34.16%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)51.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.72%
Max Revenue beat(2)99.18%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)103.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)187.03%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)71.95%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)23.1%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-40.47%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)21.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.89%
Revenue NY rev (3m)19.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.53 | ||
| P/S | 3.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 21.8 | ||
| P/OCF | 21.8 | ||
| P/B | 1.12 | ||
| P/tB | 1.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY4.57%
EPS(NY)0.93
Fwd EY13.27%
FCF(TTM)0.32
FCFY4.59%
OCF(TTM)0.32
OCFY4.59%
SpS1.96
BVpS6.24
TBVpS6.24
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.08% | ||
| ROE | 0.7% | ||
| ROCE | 0.7% | ||
| ROIC | 0.07% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.07% | ||
| OM | 2.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.24% | ||
| GM | 4.75% | ||
| FCFM | 16.41% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y1.12%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.19%
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-51.53%
GM growth 5Y-8.82%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 141.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 731.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.94%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%300%
EPS Next Y403%
EPS Next 2Y157.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.8%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%3421.95%
Revenue Next Year356293%
Revenue Next 2Y7300.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y116.78%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y9.16%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-60.24%
FCF growth 3Y-11.42%
FCF growth 5Y6.81%
OCF growth 1Y-60.24%
OCF growth 3Y-11.42%
OCF growth 5Y6.81%