ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:ORC - US68571X3017 - REIT
7.29 USD
-0.02 (-0.27%)
7.34 USD
+0.05 (+0.69%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to ORC. ORC was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of ORC while its profitability can be described as average. ORC is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ORC had positive earnings in the past year.
ORC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years ORC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years ORC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
ORC's Return On Assets of 0.67% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ORC outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 5.63%, ORC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 0.53%, ORC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.67% | ||
| ROE | 5.63% | ||
| ROIC | 0.53% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 17.18%, ORC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
ORC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ORC has a better Operating Margin (17.18%) than 76.47% of its industry peers.
ORC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ORC's Gross Margin of 19.29% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ORC outperforms 47.06% of its industry peers.
ORC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.18% | ||
| GM | 19.29% |
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-51.53%
GM growth 5Y-8.82%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, ORC has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, ORC has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ORC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ORC has an Altman-Z score of -0.88. This is a bad value and indicates that ORC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
ORC has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.88) than 77.94% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ORC is 89.26, which is on the high side as it means it would take ORC, 89.26 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ORC has a better Debt to FCF ratio (89.26) than 66.18% of its industry peers.
ORC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.37. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 7.37, ORC is doing worse than 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.37 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 89.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.88 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.08 indicates that ORC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.08, ORC is doing worse than 61.76% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.08 indicates that ORC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ORC has a worse Quick ratio (0.08) than 61.76% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ORC have decreased strongly by -41.76% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ORC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -23.17% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 18.51% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 19.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%420%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.51%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%7817.35%
3.2 Future
ORC is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 167.41% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ORC will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7658.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y423.2%
EPS Next 2Y167.41%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year372063%
Revenue Next 2Y7658.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.75, ORC is valued correctly.
ORC's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ORC is cheaper than 61.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.91, ORC is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.08, the valuation of ORC can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ORC is cheaper than 77.94% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.57, ORC is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.08 |
4.2 Price Multiples
ORC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ORC is cheaper than 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
ORC's earnings are expected to grow with 167.41% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y167.41%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 19.67%, ORC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
ORC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 13.23. ORC pays more dividend than 98.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, ORC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 19.67% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ORC decreases each year by -21.95%.
ORC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
244.27% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ORC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP244.27%
EPS Next 2Y167.41%
EPS Next 3YN/A
7.29
-0.02 (-0.27%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners30.9%
Inst Owner Change3.75%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change0.77%
Market Cap1.11B
Revenue(TTM)356.07M
Net Income(TTM)61.17M
Analysts46.67
Price Target8.16 (11.93%)
Short Float %5.71%
Short Ratio1.8
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 19.67% |
Yearly Dividend1.38
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.95%
DP244.27%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.2%
Min EPS beat(2)9.25%
Max EPS beat(2)13.15%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)436.66%
Min EPS beat(4)9.25%
Max EPS beat(4)1586.64%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)286%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-38.18%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-33.13%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.72%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.41%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)75.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)187.03%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)74.71%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)50.5%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-39.93%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)12.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)21.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)15.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.53%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.08 | ||
| P/S | 3.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.33 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.33 | ||
| P/B | 1.02 | ||
| P/tB | 1.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.53
EY7.27%
EPS(NY)1.03
Fwd EY14.13%
FCF(TTM)0.59
FCFY8.11%
OCF(TTM)0.59
OCFY8.11%
SpS2.35
BVpS7.16
TBVpS7.16
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.67% | ||
| ROE | 5.63% | ||
| ROCE | 5.61% | ||
| ROIC | 0.53% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.57% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.57% | ||
| OM | 17.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.18% | ||
| GM | 19.29% | ||
| FCFM | 25.19% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.12%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.19%
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-51.53%
GM growth 5Y-8.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.37 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 89.26 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 146.66% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.88 |
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%420%
EPS Next Y423.2%
EPS Next 2Y167.41%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.51%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%7817.35%
Revenue Next Year372063%
Revenue Next 2Y7658.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.25%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y9.16%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y88.85%
FCF growth 3Y-11.42%
FCF growth 5Y6.81%
OCF growth 1Y88.85%
OCF growth 3Y-11.42%
OCF growth 5Y6.81%
ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC / ORC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ORC.
Can you provide the valuation status for ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC?
ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) is 13.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.02.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORC stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) is expected to grow by 423.2% in the next year.