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NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP (NYCB) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NYCB - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6494454001 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

10.55  -0.95 (-8.26%)

After market: 10.57 +0.02 (+0.19%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, NYCB scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NYCB was compared to 396 industry peers in the Banks industry. NYCB has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. NYCB does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year NYCB has reported negative net income.
In the past year NYCB had a positive cash flow from operations.
NYCB had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years NYCB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
NYCB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNYCB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

NYCB has a Return On Assets of -2.66%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NYCB underperforms 99.50% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -36.53%, NYCB is doing worse than 99.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.66%
ROE -36.53%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.5%
ROA(5y)0.6%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.13%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NYCB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNYCB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for NYCB so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
NYCB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNYCB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30 40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NYCB does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
NYCB has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, NYCB has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for NYCB is higher compared to a year ago.
NYCB Yearly Shares OutstandingNYCB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M
NYCB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNYCB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

NYCB has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.72. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as NYCB would need 2.72 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.72, NYCB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.25% of the companies in the same industry.
NYCB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating NYCB is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
NYCB has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.71. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NYCB underperforms 80.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 2.72
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.73%
NYCB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNYCB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
NYCB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNYCB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for NYCB have decreased strongly by -183.97% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, NYCB shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 250.82%.
Measured over the past years, NYCB shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 38.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-183.97%
EPS 3Y-8.46%
EPS 5Y0%
EPS Q2Q%-163.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)250.82%
Revenue growth 3Y70.58%
Revenue growth 5Y38.71%
Sales Q2Q%-42.18%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, NYCB will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -32.11% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, NYCB will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -7.14% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-225.78%
EPS Next 2Y-46.17%
EPS Next 3Y-32.11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-29.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.17%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
NYCB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNYCB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
NYCB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNYCB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2 4

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for NYCB. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for NYCB. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
NYCB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNYCB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of NYCB indicates a rather cheap valuation: NYCB is cheaper than 98.51% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.94
EV/EBITDA N/A
NYCB Per share dataNYCB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as NYCB's earnings are expected to decrease with -32.11% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-46.17%
EPS Next 3Y-32.11%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NYCB has a yearly dividend return of 0.38%, which is pretty low.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.38, NYCB pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 3.48. 87.56% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than NYCB!
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, NYCB's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.38%

5.2 History

The dividend of NYCB is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 23.88%!
NYCB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
As NYCB did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.88%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
NYCB Yearly Dividends per shareNYCB Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of NYCB are negative and hence is the payout ratio. NYCB will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-10.34%
EPS Next 2Y-46.17%
EPS Next 3Y-32.11%
NYCB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNYCB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP

NYSE:NYCB (10/25/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 10.57 +0.02 (+0.19%)

10.55

-0.95 (-8.26%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupBanks
GICS IndustryBanks
Earnings (Last)10-25 2024-10-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners70.19%
Inst Owner Change0.89%
Ins Owners1.39%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.38B
Analysts71
Price Target12.66 (20%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.38%
Yearly Dividend2.22
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.88%
DP-10.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-104.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-145.75%
Max EPS beat(2)-62.82%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-99.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-193.09%
Max EPS beat(4)1.73%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-45.66%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-30.57%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-19.25%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.61%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.09%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.3%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.25%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.53%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.55%
PT rev (1m)4.77%
PT rev (3m)0.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)-22.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)-41.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.36
P/FCF 1.94
P/OCF 1.88
P/B 0.51
P/tB 0.63
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-3.3
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.32
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)5.45
FCFY51.63%
OCF(TTM)5.62
OCFY53.3%
SpS7.74
BVpS20.84
TBVpS16.8
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.66%
ROE -36.53%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM 70.4%
ROA(3y)0.5%
ROA(5y)0.6%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.13%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 2.72
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 39.89%
Cap/Sales 2.27%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score3
WACC9.73%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)25.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)0.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-183.97%
EPS 3Y-8.46%
EPS 5Y0%
EPS Q2Q%-163.89%
EPS Next Y-225.78%
EPS Next 2Y-46.17%
EPS Next 3Y-32.11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)250.82%
Revenue growth 3Y70.58%
Revenue growth 5Y38.71%
Sales Q2Q%-42.18%
Revenue Next Year-29.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.17%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y236.11%
FCF growth 3Y-16.15%
FCF growth 5Y-17.98%
OCF growth 1Y245.93%
OCF growth 3Y-7.68%
OCF growth 5Y-13.41%