NATURES SUNSHINE PRODS INC (NATR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:NATR - Nasdaq - US6390271012 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall NATR gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated NATR against 35 industry peers in the Personal Care Products industry. NATR has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. NATR has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NATR was profitable.
In the past year NATR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years NATR 4 years were profitable.
NATR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.53%, NATR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.57% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of NATR (8.95%) is better than 74.29% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.03%, NATR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NATR is significantly below the industry average of 13.70%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.03%) for NATR is above the 3 year average (6.68%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.53% | ||
| ROE | 8.95% | ||
| ROIC | 7.03% |
ROA(3y)3.02%
ROA(5y)5.75%
ROE(3y)4.82%
ROE(5y)9.28%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)7.92%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 3.06%, NATR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.86% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NATR has declined.
NATR's Operating Margin of 4.40% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NATR outperforms 51.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NATR has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 71.77%, NATR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.29% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NATR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.4% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.06% | ||
| GM | 71.77% |
OM growth 3Y-17.57%
OM growth 5Y-2.84%
PM growth 3Y-36.12%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y-0.72%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NATR is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, NATR has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for NATR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
NATR has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.77 indicates that NATR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 4.77, NATR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.57% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for NATR. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.77 |
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC8.93%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.27 indicates that NATR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
NATR has a Current ratio (2.27) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.35 indicates that NATR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
NATR has a Quick ratio of 1.35. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NATR outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.35 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.53% over the past year.
NATR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.47% yearly.
Looking at the last year, NATR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.33% in the last year.
NATR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.64% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.53%
EPS 3Y-34.26%
EPS 5Y3.47%
EPS Q2Q%400%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.33%
Revenue growth 3Y0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4.64%
Sales Q2Q%3.8%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, NATR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 49.80% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.72% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y100.18%
EPS Next 2Y49.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.04%
Revenue Next 2Y2.72%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.54, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of NATR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NATR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NATR is cheaper than 68.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.76. NATR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.54, NATR is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NATR is valued a bit cheaper than 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NATR to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.91), we can say NATR is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
NATR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NATR is cheaper than 88.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NATR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 80.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of NATR may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as NATR's earnings are expected to grow with 49.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)5.92
EPS Next 2Y49.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for NATR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
16.64
+0.16 (+0.94%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupHousehold & Personal Products
GICS IndustryPersonal Care Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners67.31%
Inst Owner Change-6.51%
Ins Owners5.78%
Ins Owner Change1.94%
Market Cap307.17M
Analysts82.5
Price Target21.93 (31.79%)
Short Float %1.12%
Short Ratio1.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)81.5%
Min EPS beat(2)48.54%
Max EPS beat(2)114.46%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-109.8%
Max EPS beat(4)114.46%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)26.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)253.62%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.13%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.85%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.26%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.09%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)7.5%
PT rev (3m)-3.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.54 | ||
| P/S | 0.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.68 | ||
| P/B | 1.95 | ||
| P/tB | 1.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.4 |
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY4.87%
EPS(NY)0.9
Fwd EY5.39%
FCF(TTM)1.21
FCFY7.28%
OCF(TTM)1.56
OCFY9.36%
SpS24.96
BVpS8.54
TBVpS8.54
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)5.92
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.53% | ||
| ROE | 8.95% | ||
| ROCE | 11.33% | ||
| ROIC | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.88% | ||
| OM | 4.4% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.06% | ||
| GM | 71.77% | ||
| FCFM | 4.85% |
ROA(3y)3.02%
ROA(5y)5.75%
ROE(3y)4.82%
ROE(5y)9.28%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)7.92%
ROICexc(3y)12.35%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)12.35%
ROICexgc(5y)15.04%
ROCE(3y)10.76%
ROCE(5y)12.79%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-15.19%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.36%
OM growth 3Y-17.57%
OM growth 5Y-2.84%
PM growth 3Y-36.12%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y-0.72%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 43.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 413.88 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | 158.52% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.35 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.77 |
F-Score5
WACC8.93%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)78.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.87%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.53%
EPS 3Y-34.26%
EPS 5Y3.47%
EPS Q2Q%400%
EPS Next Y100.18%
EPS Next 2Y49.8%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.33%
Revenue growth 3Y0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4.64%
Sales Q2Q%3.8%
Revenue Next Year3.04%
Revenue Next 2Y2.72%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-6.55%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.94%
EBIT growth 5Y1.67%
EBIT Next Year96.85%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y19.58%
FCF growth 3Y-19.96%
FCF growth 5Y32.94%
OCF growth 1Y5.25%
OCF growth 3Y-9.92%
OCF growth 5Y24.23%