NATURES SUNSHINE PRODS INC (NATR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:NATR - US6390271012 - Common Stock
17.04 USD
-0.11 (-0.64%)
17.04 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to NATR. NATR was compared to 36 industry peers in the Personal Care Products industry. NATR has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on NATR. With these ratings, NATR could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NATR was profitable.
NATR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years NATR 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years NATR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.53%, NATR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
NATR's Return On Equity of 8.95% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NATR outperforms 72.22% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of NATR (7.03%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
NATR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.68%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.91%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.68%) for NATR is below the current ROIC(7.03%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.53% | ||
| ROE | 8.95% | ||
| ROIC | 7.03% |
ROA(3y)3.02%
ROA(5y)5.75%
ROE(3y)4.82%
ROE(5y)9.28%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)7.92%
1.3 Margins
NATR's Profit Margin of 3.06% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NATR outperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
NATR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of NATR (4.40%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NATR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
NATR's Gross Margin of 71.77% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NATR outperforms 72.22% of its industry peers.
NATR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.4% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.06% | ||
| GM | 71.77% |
OM growth 3Y-17.57%
OM growth 5Y-2.84%
PM growth 3Y-36.12%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y-0.72%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NATR is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, NATR has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for NATR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
NATR has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.76 indicates that NATR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.76, NATR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for NATR. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.76 |
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC8.68%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.27 indicates that NATR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NATR (2.27) is better than 61.11% of its industry peers.
NATR has a Quick Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that NATR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NATR has a Quick ratio (1.35) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.35 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.53% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.47% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.33% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, NATR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.64% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.53%
EPS 3Y-34.26%
EPS 5Y3.47%
EPS Q2Q%400%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.33%
Revenue growth 3Y0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4.64%
Sales Q2Q%3.8%
3.2 Future
NATR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 49.37% yearly.
NATR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.74% yearly.
EPS Next Y137.15%
EPS Next 2Y49.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.83%
Revenue Next 2Y3.74%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
NATR is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.04.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NATR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NATR is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NATR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.03, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 19.09, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of NATR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NATR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NATR is cheaper than 63.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NATR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.54), we can say NATR is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
88.89% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NATR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
83.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NATR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
NATR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
NATR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
NATR's earnings are expected to grow with 49.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)6.07
EPS Next 2Y49.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for NATR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
17.04
-0.11 (-0.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupHousehold & Personal Products
GICS IndustryPersonal Care Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners67.31%
Inst Owner Change-6.51%
Ins Owners5.78%
Ins Owner Change1.89%
Market Cap300.59M
Analysts82.5
Price Target21.93 (28.7%)
Short Float %1.26%
Short Ratio1.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)81.5%
Min EPS beat(2)48.54%
Max EPS beat(2)114.46%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-109.8%
Max EPS beat(4)114.46%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)26.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)253.62%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.13%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.85%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.26%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.09%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-3.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)18.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)20%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.74%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.09 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.44 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.45 | ||
| P/B | 1.91 | ||
| P/tB | 1.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.35 |
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY4.75%
EPS(NY)0.89
Fwd EY5.24%
FCF(TTM)1.27
FCFY7.44%
OCF(TTM)1.63
OCFY9.57%
SpS26.12
BVpS8.94
TBVpS8.94
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)6.07
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.53% | ||
| ROE | 8.95% | ||
| ROCE | 11.33% | ||
| ROIC | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.88% | ||
| OM | 4.4% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.06% | ||
| GM | 71.77% | ||
| FCFM | 4.85% |
ROA(3y)3.02%
ROA(5y)5.75%
ROE(3y)4.82%
ROE(5y)9.28%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)7.92%
ROICexc(3y)12.35%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)12.35%
ROICexgc(5y)15.04%
ROCE(3y)10.76%
ROCE(5y)12.79%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-15.19%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.36%
OM growth 3Y-17.57%
OM growth 5Y-2.84%
PM growth 3Y-36.12%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y-0.72%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 43.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 413.88 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | 158.52% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.35 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.76 |
F-Score5
WACC8.68%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)78.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.87%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.53%
EPS 3Y-34.26%
EPS 5Y3.47%
EPS Q2Q%400%
EPS Next Y137.15%
EPS Next 2Y49.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.33%
Revenue growth 3Y0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4.64%
Sales Q2Q%3.8%
Revenue Next Year4.83%
Revenue Next 2Y3.74%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-6.55%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.94%
EBIT growth 5Y1.67%
EBIT Next Year96.85%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y19.58%
FCF growth 3Y-19.96%
FCF growth 5Y32.94%
OCF growth 1Y5.25%
OCF growth 3Y-9.92%
OCF growth 5Y24.23%