MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MUSA • US6267551025

Current stock price

531.29 USD
-1.47 (-0.28%)
At close:
531.29 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This MUSA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. MUSA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MUSA was profitable.
  • In the past year MUSA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years MUSA has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MUSA had a positive operating cash flow.
MUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of MUSA (9.96%) is better than 84.55% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of MUSA (75.48%) is better than 98.37% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA's Return On Invested Capital of 15.03% is amongst the best of the industry. MUSA outperforms 84.55% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUSA is above the industry average of 13.57%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.96%
ROE 75.48%
ROIC 15.03%
ROA(3y)11.28%
ROA(5y)12%
ROE(3y)67.49%
ROE(5y)71.34%
ROIC(3y)16.55%
ROIC(5y)17.32%
MUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.43%, MUSA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of MUSA (3.82%) is better than 61.79% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • MUSA's Gross Margin of 12.17% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUSA is outperformed by 87.80% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUSA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.82%
PM (TTM) 2.43%
GM 12.17%
OM growth 3Y-2.68%
OM growth 5Y-5.17%
PM growth 3Y-5.43%
PM growth 5Y-6.66%
GM growth 3Y5.94%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
MUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. MUSA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MUSA is creating value.
  • MUSA has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • MUSA has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • MUSA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingMUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
MUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 7.25 indicates that MUSA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MUSA has a Altman-Z score of 7.25. This is amongst the best in the industry. MUSA outperforms 95.12% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUSA is 5.83, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MUSA, 5.83 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUSA (5.83) is better than 62.60% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.47 is on the high side and indicates that MUSA has dependencies on debt financing.
  • MUSA's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUSA is outperformed by 73.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.47
Debt/FCF 5.83
Altman-Z 7.25
ROIC/WACC1.85
WACC8.11%
MUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.80 indicates that MUSA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of MUSA (0.80) is worse than 84.55% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA has a Quick Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MUSA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.36, MUSA is doing worse than 69.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.36
MUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. MUSA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MUSA shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 0.33%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.72% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -4.25% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.47% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.14%
Revenue growth 5Y11.47%
Sales Q2Q%0.7%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MUSA will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.73% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.37%
EPS Next 2Y6.7%
EPS Next 3Y7.67%
EPS Next 5Y6.73%
Revenue Next Year2.24%
Revenue Next 2Y2.3%
Revenue Next 3Y3.09%
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
MUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10 20 30 40 50

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4

4. MUSA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 21.88, the valuation of MUSA can be described as rather expensive.
  • MUSA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MUSA is cheaper than 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.42, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.77, MUSA is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUSA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MUSA is cheaper than 61.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUSA to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.24), we can say MUSA is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.88
Fwd PE 20.77
MUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MUSA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 60.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUSA, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.26
EV/EBITDA 11.82
MUSA Per share dataMUSA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 200 400 600 800 1K

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MUSA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of MUSA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.07
PEG (5Y)1.72
EPS Next 2Y6.7%
EPS Next 3Y7.67%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. MUSA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.49%, MUSA is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.35, MUSA pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.49, MUSA pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.49%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MUSA grows each year by 55.16%, which is quite nice.
  • MUSA has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • As MUSA did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)55.16%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
MUSA Yearly Dividends per shareMUSA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • MUSA pays out 8.82% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MUSA is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP8.82%
EPS Next 2Y6.7%
EPS Next 3Y7.67%
MUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
MUSA Dividend Payout.MUSA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUSA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MUSA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MURPHY USA INC

NYSE:MUSA (4/24/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 531.29 0 (0%)

531.29

-1.47 (-0.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners87.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.74%
Ins Owners7.92%
Ins Owner Change-3.14%
Market Cap9.83B
Revenue(TTM)19.38B
Net Income(TTM)470.60M
Analysts72.94
Price Target437.54 (-17.65%)
Short Float %7.41%
Short Ratio3.16
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.49%
Yearly Dividend2.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)55.16%
DP8.82%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date02-23
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.02%
Max EPS beat(2)8.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-35.68%
Max EPS beat(4)8.94%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.07%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.4%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)10.15%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.71%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.02%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.12%
PT rev (1m)2.08%
PT rev (3m)6.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.88
Fwd PE 20.77
P/S 0.51
P/FCF 26.26
P/OCF 12.08
P/B 15.76
P/tB 62.92
EV/EBITDA 11.82
EPS(TTM)24.28
EY4.57%
EPS(NY)25.58
Fwd EY4.82%
FCF(TTM)20.23
FCFY3.81%
OCF(TTM)43.99
OCFY8.28%
SpS1047.78
BVpS33.7
TBVpS8.44
PEG (NY)4.07
PEG (5Y)1.72
Graham Number135.69 (-74.46%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.96%
ROE 75.48%
ROCE 19.48%
ROIC 15.03%
ROICexc 15.15%
ROICexgc 17.29%
OM 3.82%
PM (TTM) 2.43%
GM 12.17%
FCFM 1.93%
ROA(3y)11.28%
ROA(5y)12%
ROE(3y)67.49%
ROE(5y)71.34%
ROIC(3y)16.55%
ROIC(5y)17.32%
ROICexc(3y)16.89%
ROICexc(5y)17.86%
ROICexgc(3y)19.48%
ROICexgc(5y)20.76%
ROCE(3y)21.45%
ROCE(5y)22.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-14.34%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.58%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.95%
OM growth 3Y-2.68%
OM growth 5Y-5.17%
PM growth 3Y-5.43%
PM growth 5Y-6.66%
GM growth 3Y5.94%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover4.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.47
Debt/FCF 5.83
Debt/EBITDA 2.13
Cap/Depr 158.82%
Cap/Sales 2.27%
Interest Coverage 7.04
Cash Conversion 80.08%
Profit Quality 79.54%
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.36
Altman-Z 7.25
F-Score6
WACC8.11%
ROIC/WACC1.85
Cap/Depr(3y)163.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)151.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.03%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.79%
Profit Quality(3y)79.19%
Profit Quality(5y)91.31%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
EPS Next Y5.37%
EPS Next 2Y6.7%
EPS Next 3Y7.67%
EPS Next 5Y6.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.14%
Revenue growth 5Y11.47%
Sales Q2Q%0.7%
Revenue Next Year2.24%
Revenue Next 2Y2.3%
Revenue Next 3Y3.09%
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-8.66%
EBIT growth 5Y5.71%
EBIT Next Year42.36%
EBIT Next 3Y15.85%
EBIT Next 5Y11.91%
FCF growth 1Y-3.9%
FCF growth 3Y-18.42%
FCF growth 5Y2.37%
OCF growth 1Y-3.98%
OCF growth 3Y-6.47%
OCF growth 5Y7.62%

MURPHY USA INC / MUSA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MURPHY USA INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MUSA.


What is the valuation status of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY USA INC (MUSA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MUSA stock?

MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is MURPHY USA INC?

The financial health rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is expected to grow by 5.37% in the next year.