MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:MUSA • US6267551025

Current stock price

531.29 USD
-1.47 (-0.28%)
At close:
531.29 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for MURPHY USA INC (MUSA).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$437.54
-17.65% Downside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
Apr 29, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$4.10
Revenue Estimate
4.595B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
72.94%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$437.54
Upside
-17.65%
From current price of $531.29 to mean target of $437.54, Based on 17 analyst forecasts
Low
$353.50
Median
$430.95
High
$588.00

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
2.08%
3 Months
6.04%

Price Target Summary

17 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for MUSA. The average price target is 437.54 USD. This implies a price decrease of -17.65% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 531.29.
The average price target has been revised upward by 6.04% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

MUSA Current Analyst RatingMUSA Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6

Analyst Ratings History

MUSA Historical Analyst RatingsMUSA Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
72.94%
MUSA was analyzed by 17 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 73. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about MUSA.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
MUSA was analyzed by 17 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-04-24KeybancMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-04-23B of A SecuritiesUpgrade Underperform -> Neutral
2026-04-14Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-03-26JP MorganInitiate Overweight
2026-02-06Stephens & Co.Maintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-02-06Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-02-05RBC CapitalMaintains Sector Perform -> Sector Perform
2026-01-21Stephens & Co.Maintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-01-21Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-10-23KeybancMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-15Wells FargoDowngrade Overweight -> Equal-Weight
2025-08-01Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-07-25KeybancMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-05-09KeybancMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-05-09Stephens & Co.Maintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-05-09Raymond JamesDowngrade Outperform -> Market Perform
2025-04-11KeybancInitiate Overweight
2025-02-07Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-02-06RBC CapitalMaintains Sector Perform -> Sector Perform
2024-09-19JP MorganDowngrade Neutral -> Underweight
2024-08-02Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2024-08-02Raymond JamesMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2024-08-01RBC CapitalMaintains Sector Perform -> Sector Perform
2024-07-18Raymond JamesMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2024-04-19Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
Apr 29, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$4.10
Revenue Estimate
4.595B
Revenue Q2Q
1.54%
EPS Q2Q
55.95%
Number of Analysts
11

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
1.64%
Revenue (3 Months)
-4.31%
EPS (1 Month)
29.50%
EPS (3 Months)
21.48%

Next Earnings Summary

MUSA is expected to report earnings on 4/29/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 4.1 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 4.59B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 4.31% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2032

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
Revenue
YoY % growth
MUSA revenue by date.MUSA revenue by date.
21.529B
-8.17%		20.244B
-5.97%		19.384B
-4.25%		20.332B
4.89%		20.813B
2.37%		21.789B
4.69%		23.024B
5.67%		23.426B
1.75%		23.212B
-0.91%		23.701B
2.11%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
MUSA ebitda by date.MUSA ebitda by date.
1.056B
-11.33%		1.004B
-4.92%		1.016B
1.24%		1.04B
2.36%		1.083B
4.13%		1.136B
4.89%		1.216B
7.04%		1.279B
5.18%		1.443B
12.82%		1.507B
4.44%
EBIT
YoY % growth
MUSA ebit by date.MUSA ebit by date.
826.8M
-14.76%		755.6M
-8.61%		739.2M
-2.17%		731.42M
-1.05%		766.42M
4.79%		809.78M
5.66%		860.88M
6.31%		907.8M
5.45%		1.13B
24.48%		1.186B
4.96%
Operating Margin
MUSA operating margin by date.MUSA operating margin by date.
3.84%3.73%3.81%3.60%3.68%3.72%3.74%3.88%4.87%5.00%
EPS
YoY % growth
MUSA eps by date.MUSA eps by date.
25.51
-9.21%		24.20
-5.14%		24.28
0.33%		25.58
5.37%		27.64
8.04%		30.31
9.65%		31.03
2.37%		33.37
7.56%		50.81
52.23%		56.50
11.20%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27
EPS
Q2Q % growth		4.10
55.95%		7.93
7.77%		7.50
10.90%		7.11
-5.60%		3.61
-12.09%		8.01
0.96%		8.34
11.27%		7.35
3.44%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		4.595B
1.54%		5.28B
5.49%		5.295B
3.62%		5.212B
9.87%		4.862B
5.81%		5.411B
2.48%		5.509B
4.04%		5.57B
6.87%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		203.89M
30.28%		297.76M
-15.74%		287.1M
-31.40%		276.45M
-44.08%		195.06M
-4.33%		298.62M
0.29%		305.39M
6.37%		282.32M
2.12%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		129.37M
46.51%		222.54M
1.52%		210.19M
-1.96%		198.76M
-8.66%		88.393M
-31.67%		222.16M
-0.17%		227.64M
8.30%		205.92M
3.60%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

MUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
MUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10 20 30 40 50

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
7.67%
EPS Next 5 Year
6.57%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
3.09%
Revenue Next 5 Year
3.33%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
15.85%
EBIT Next 5 Year
11.85%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

MURPHY USA INC / MUSA Forecast FAQ

What do analysts expect the price target to be for MURPHY USA INC (MUSA)?

17 analysts have analysed MUSA and the average price target is 437.54 USD. This implies a price decrease of -17.65% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 531.29.

When does MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) report earnings?

MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) will report earnings on 2026-04-29, after the market close.

What are the consensus estimates for MUSA stock next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 4.1 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 4.59B USD.

What is the expected long term growth rate for MUSA stock?

The expected long term growth rate for MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 3.09%.