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MODERNA INC (MRNA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:MRNA - Nasdaq - US60770K1079 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

30.49  +0.21 (+0.69%)

After market: 30.51 +0.02 (+0.07%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, MRNA scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MRNA was compared to 555 industry peers in the Biotechnology industry. MRNA scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. While showing a medium growth rate, MRNA is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MRNA had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year MRNA has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years MRNA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years MRNA reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
MRNA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMRNA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of MRNA (-26.42%) is better than 71.35% of its industry peers.
MRNA has a Return On Equity of -33.35%. This is in the better half of the industry: MRNA outperforms 75.14% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -26.42%
ROE -33.35%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-6.14%
ROA(5y)4.17%
ROE(3y)-7.66%
ROE(5y)6.83%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MRNA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMRNA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

1.3 Margins

MRNA has a Gross Margin of 68.68%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MRNA outperforms 81.44% of its industry peers.
MRNA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for MRNA so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.68%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.55%
GM growth 5YN/A
MRNA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMRNA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600 -800

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MRNA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, MRNA has more shares outstanding
MRNA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MRNA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
MRNA Yearly Shares OutstandingMRNA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
MRNA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMRNA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.57 indicates that MRNA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of MRNA (3.57) is better than 74.23% of its industry peers.
MRNA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, MRNA is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.57
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.84%
MRNA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMRNA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 4.22 indicates that MRNA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 4.22, MRNA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.39% of the companies in the same industry.
MRNA has a Quick Ratio of 4.14. This indicates that MRNA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
MRNA has a Quick ratio of 4.14. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MRNA outperforms 48.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.22
Quick Ratio 4.14
MRNA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMRNA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 44.29% over the past year.
MRNA shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -38.35%.
MRNA shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 122.01% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.29%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%17.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.35%
Revenue growth 3Y-44.04%
Revenue growth 5Y122.01%
Sales Q2Q%-35.33%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MRNA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 18.65% on average per year.
MRNA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 17.50% yearly.
EPS Next Y-11.41%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y12.96%
EPS Next 5Y18.65%
Revenue Next Year-34.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-15.54%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.99%
Revenue Next 5Y17.5%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
MRNA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMRNA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B
MRNA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMRNA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 10 -10 20

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MRNA. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MRNA. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
MRNA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMRNA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
MRNA Per share dataMRNA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MRNA's earnings are expected to grow with 12.96% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y12.96%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for MRNA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MODERNA INC

NASDAQ:MRNA (7/3/2025, 7:51:04 PM)

After market: 30.51 +0.02 (+0.07%)

30.49

+0.21 (+0.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryBiotechnology
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/bmo
Inst Owners73.88%
Inst Owner Change2.24%
Ins Owners2.56%
Ins Owner Change0.06%
Market Cap11.79B
Analysts56.13
Price Target47.74 (56.58%)
Short Float %17.73%
Short Ratio5.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)7.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)21.22%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)30%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.26%
Max EPS beat(4)101.54%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)-10.14%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.55%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.53%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.45%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)31.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)78.74%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)29.59%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)24.91%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)19.49%
PT rev (1m)2.26%
PT rev (3m)-14.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.56%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 3.71
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.17
P/tB 1.18
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-8.73
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-7.82
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-10.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-7.89
OCFYN/A
SpS8.22
BVpS26.04
TBVpS25.77
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -26.42%
ROE -33.35%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.68%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-6.14%
ROA(5y)4.17%
ROE(3y)-7.66%
ROE(5y)6.83%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.55%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 511.46%
Cap/Sales 30.91%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.22
Quick Ratio 4.14
Altman-Z 3.57
F-Score5
WACC8.84%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)261.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)224.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.95%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)44.29%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%17.92%
EPS Next Y-11.41%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y12.96%
EPS Next 5Y18.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.35%
Revenue growth 3Y-44.04%
Revenue growth 5Y122.01%
Sales Q2Q%-35.33%
Revenue Next Year-34.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-15.54%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.99%
Revenue Next 5Y17.5%
EBIT growth 1Y32.09%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-1.39%
EBIT Next 3Y15.37%
EBIT Next 5Y18.96%
FCF growth 1Y-759.15%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-407.35%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A