MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:MOH - US60855R1005 - Common Stock
147.12 USD
-2.63 (-1.76%)
148.5 USD
+1.38 (+0.94%)
Taking everything into account, MOH scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MOH was compared to 100 industry peers in the Health Care Providers & Services industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MOH get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. MOH is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOH had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MOH has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years MOH has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MOH had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MOH (5.62%) is better than 82.00% of its industry peers.
MOH has a better Return On Equity (21.07%) than 89.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.98%, MOH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MOH had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.96%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.42%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.98%) for MOH is well below the 3 year average (17.96%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOH had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.62% | ||
| ROE | 21.07% | ||
| ROIC | 11.98% |
ROA(3y)7.1%
ROA(5y)6.75%
ROE(3y)26.28%
ROE(5y)27.2%
ROIC(3y)17.96%
ROIC(5y)17.65%
1.3 Margins
MOH's Profit Margin of 1.98% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOH outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOH has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.97%, MOH is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOH has declined.
MOH's Gross Margin of 13.91% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOH is outperformed by 67.00% of its industry peers.
MOH's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.98% | ||
| GM | 13.91% |
OM growth 3Y1.53%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y6.92%
PM growth 5Y-7.91%
GM growth 3Y1.48%
GM growth 5Y-2.5%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MOH is creating value.
MOH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MOH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MOH is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.26 indicates that MOH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of MOH (4.26) is better than 76.00% of its industry peers.
MOH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92. This is a neutral value indicating MOH is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
MOH has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.92. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOH underperforms 61.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.26 |
ROIC/WACC1.39
WACC8.62%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.68 indicates that MOH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MOH's Current ratio of 1.68 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOH outperforms 61.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.68 indicates that MOH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MOH has a better Quick ratio (1.68) than 64.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.68 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MOH have decreased strongly by -16.06% in the last year.
MOH shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 14.16% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MOH shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 13.65% in the last year.
MOH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 19.29% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.06%
EPS 3Y18.68%
EPS 5Y14.16%
EPS Q2Q%-69.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.65%
Revenue growth 3Y13.54%
Revenue growth 5Y19.29%
Sales Q2Q%11%
3.2 Future
MOH is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.44% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.76% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.84%
EPS Next 2Y-7.17%
EPS Next 3Y1.22%
EPS Next 5Y8.44%
Revenue Next Year9.89%
Revenue Next 2Y8.01%
Revenue Next 3Y7.13%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.97, the valuation of MOH can be described as very cheap.
96.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOH, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.67. MOH is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.54, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of MOH.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOH is valued cheaper than 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOH to the average of the S&P500 Index (31.86), we can say MOH is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | -0.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of MOH may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.56
EPS Next 2Y-7.17%
EPS Next 3Y1.22%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for MOH!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
147.12
-2.63 (-1.76%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners99.99%
Inst Owner Change1.28%
Ins Owners1.26%
Ins Owner Change1.15%
Market Cap7.97B
Revenue(TTM)44.55B
Net Income(TTM)883.00M
Analysts67.83
Price Target190.57 (29.53%)
Short Float %6.02%
Short Ratio2.24
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.8%
Min EPS beat(2)-53.34%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.27%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.34%
Max EPS beat(4)1.06%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-7.75%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.04%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.32%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.99%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.53%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.99%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.12%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.26%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.23%
PT rev (1m)-9.05%
PT rev (3m)-42.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-42.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-55.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.54 | ||
| P/S | 0.18 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.9 | ||
| P/tB | 4.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | -0.46 |
EPS(TTM)18.45
EY12.54%
EPS(NY)19.52
Fwd EY13.27%
FCF(TTM)-10.59
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-8.51
OCFYN/A
SpS821.96
BVpS77.32
TBVpS36.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.56
Graham Number179.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.62% | ||
| ROE | 21.07% | ||
| ROCE | 16.11% | ||
| ROIC | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 2.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.98% | ||
| GM | 13.91% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.1%
ROA(5y)6.75%
ROE(3y)26.28%
ROE(5y)27.2%
ROIC(3y)17.96%
ROIC(5y)17.65%
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)24.15%
ROCE(5y)23.74%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1.53%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y6.92%
PM growth 5Y-7.91%
GM growth 3Y1.48%
GM growth 5Y-2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover2.84
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 56.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.26 |
F-Score4
WACC8.62%
ROIC/WACC1.39
Cap/Depr(3y)51.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.29%
Profit Quality(3y)92.3%
Profit Quality(5y)171.56%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.06%
EPS 3Y18.68%
EPS 5Y14.16%
EPS Q2Q%-69.38%
EPS Next Y-16.84%
EPS Next 2Y-7.17%
EPS Next 3Y1.22%
EPS Next 5Y8.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.65%
Revenue growth 3Y13.54%
Revenue growth 5Y19.29%
Sales Q2Q%11%
Revenue Next Year9.89%
Revenue Next 2Y8.01%
Revenue Next 3Y7.13%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.56%
EBIT growth 3Y15.28%
EBIT growth 5Y10.22%
EBIT Next Year-15.62%
EBIT Next 3Y-1.12%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-128.12%
FCF growth 3Y-35.66%
FCF growth 5Y7.61%
OCF growth 1Y-121.54%
OCF growth 3Y-32.77%
OCF growth 5Y8.21%
MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC / MOH FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MOH stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOH.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) stock?
MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) stock?
The financial health rating of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) is 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) is expected to decline by -16.84% in the next year.