MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOH - US60855R1005 - Common Stock
148.33 USD
+1.56 (+1.06%)
148.75 USD
+0.42 (+0.28%)
MOH gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 101 industry peers in the Health Care Providers & Services industry. MOH has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MOH is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOH was profitable.
In the past year MOH has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
MOH had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
MOH had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
MOH's Return On Assets of 5.62% is amongst the best of the industry. MOH outperforms 81.19% of its industry peers.
MOH has a Return On Equity of 21.07%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MOH outperforms 89.11% of its industry peers.
MOH has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.98%) than 87.13% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MOH is significantly above the industry average of 9.27%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.98%) for MOH is well below the 3 year average (17.96%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOH had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.62% | ||
| ROE | 21.07% | ||
| ROIC | 11.98% |
ROA(3y)7.1%
ROA(5y)6.75%
ROE(3y)26.28%
ROE(5y)27.2%
ROIC(3y)17.96%
ROIC(5y)17.65%
1.3 Margins
MOH has a Profit Margin of 1.98%. This is in the better half of the industry: MOH outperforms 61.39% of its industry peers.
MOH's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MOH has a Operating Margin (2.97%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOH's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 13.91%, MOH is doing worse than 67.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOH has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.98% | ||
| GM | 13.91% |
OM growth 3Y1.53%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y6.92%
PM growth 5Y-7.91%
GM growth 3Y1.48%
GM growth 5Y-2.5%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
MOH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MOH has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for MOH is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MOH has an Altman-Z score of 4.26. This indicates that MOH is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 4.26, MOH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.24% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92 indicates that MOH is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
MOH has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.92. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOH outperforms 40.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.26 |
ROIC/WACC1.45
WACC8.28%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.68 indicates that MOH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.68, MOH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.37% of the companies in the same industry.
MOH has a Quick Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that MOH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.68, MOH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.68 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -16.06%.
Measured over the past years, MOH shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.16% on average per year.
MOH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 13.65%.
The Revenue has been growing by 19.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.06%
EPS 3Y18.68%
EPS 5Y14.16%
EPS Q2Q%-69.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.65%
Revenue growth 3Y13.54%
Revenue growth 5Y19.29%
Sales Q2Q%11%
3.2 Future
MOH is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.50% yearly.
MOH is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.76% yearly.
EPS Next Y-33.62%
EPS Next 2Y-19.59%
EPS Next 3Y-8.28%
EPS Next 5Y6.5%
Revenue Next Year10.91%
Revenue Next 2Y7.4%
Revenue Next 3Y7.22%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.04, which indicates a very decent valuation of MOH.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOH is valued cheaper than 96.04% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.15, MOH is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.13, the valuation of MOH can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOH is valued cheaper than 90.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.12, MOH is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | -0.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOH has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
MOH's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.28% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.57
EPS Next 2Y-19.59%
EPS Next 3Y-8.28%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOH does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
148.33
+1.56 (+1.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners99.99%
Inst Owner Change12.23%
Ins Owners1.26%
Ins Owner Change1.15%
Market Cap8.04B
Revenue(TTM)44.55B
Net Income(TTM)883.00M
Analysts65.83
Price Target176.67 (19.11%)
Short Float %5.87%
Short Ratio2.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.8%
Min EPS beat(2)-53.34%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.27%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.34%
Max EPS beat(4)1.06%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-7.75%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.04%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.32%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.99%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.53%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.99%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.12%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.26%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.23%
PT rev (1m)-13.89%
PT rev (3m)-15.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-71.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-73.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-20.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.84%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.13 | ||
| P/S | 0.18 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.92 | ||
| P/tB | 4.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | -0.51 |
EPS(TTM)18.45
EY12.44%
EPS(NY)14.65
Fwd EY9.87%
FCF(TTM)-10.59
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-8.51
OCFYN/A
SpS821.96
BVpS77.32
TBVpS36.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.57
Graham Number179.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.62% | ||
| ROE | 21.07% | ||
| ROCE | 16.11% | ||
| ROIC | 11.98% | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 2.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.98% | ||
| GM | 13.91% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.1%
ROA(5y)6.75%
ROE(3y)26.28%
ROE(5y)27.2%
ROIC(3y)17.96%
ROIC(5y)17.65%
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)24.15%
ROCE(5y)23.74%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1.53%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y6.92%
PM growth 5Y-7.91%
GM growth 3Y1.48%
GM growth 5Y-2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover2.84
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 56.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.26 |
F-Score4
WACC8.28%
ROIC/WACC1.45
Cap/Depr(3y)51.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.29%
Profit Quality(3y)92.3%
Profit Quality(5y)171.56%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.06%
EPS 3Y18.68%
EPS 5Y14.16%
EPS Q2Q%-69.38%
EPS Next Y-33.62%
EPS Next 2Y-19.59%
EPS Next 3Y-8.28%
EPS Next 5Y6.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.65%
Revenue growth 3Y13.54%
Revenue growth 5Y19.29%
Sales Q2Q%11%
Revenue Next Year10.91%
Revenue Next 2Y7.4%
Revenue Next 3Y7.22%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.56%
EBIT growth 3Y15.28%
EBIT growth 5Y10.22%
EBIT Next Year-15.62%
EBIT Next 3Y-1.12%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-128.12%
FCF growth 3Y-35.66%
FCF growth 5Y7.61%
OCF growth 1Y-121.54%
OCF growth 3Y-32.77%
OCF growth 5Y8.21%
MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC / MOH FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MOH stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOH.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) stock?
MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) stock?
The financial health rating of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) is 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) is expected to decline by -33.62% in the next year.