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MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:MESA - Nasdaq - US5904791358 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.1  +0.01 (+0.92%)

After market: 1.07 -0.03 (-2.73%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, MESA scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MESA was compared to 22 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. MESA has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. MESA is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MESA has reported negative net income.
In the past year MESA has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years MESA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years MESA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
MESA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMESA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -101.42%, MESA is doing worse than 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
MESA has a better Return On Invested Capital (20.32%) than 95.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -101.42%
ROE N/A
ROIC 20.32%
ROA(3y)-15%
ROA(5y)-8.4%
ROE(3y)-67.3%
ROE(5y)-38.5%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MESA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMESA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

MESA has a Operating Margin (0.78%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MESA has declined.
MESA has a worse Gross Margin (18.68%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MESA has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.78%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 18.68%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-36.96%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.11%
GM growth 5Y-10.25%
MESA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMESA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MESA is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MESA has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for MESA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
MESA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MESA Yearly Shares OutstandingMESA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M
MESA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMESA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.28, we must say that MESA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -0.28, MESA is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.28
ROIC/WACC2.94
WACC6.91%
MESA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMESA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

MESA has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that MESA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MESA (0.81) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
MESA has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that MESA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MESA has a Quick ratio of 0.74. This is in the better half of the industry: MESA outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.74
MESA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMESA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

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0

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for MESA have decreased strongly by -76.34% in the last year.
MESA shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -11.55%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -8.01% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.34%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-599.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-8.01%
Sales Q2Q%-27.99%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y568.97%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.19%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
MESA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMESA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
MESA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMESA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MESA. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.59, the valuation of MESA can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MESA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MESA to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.78), we can say MESA is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1.59
MESA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMESA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MESA indicates a rather cheap valuation: MESA is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.55
MESA Per share dataMESA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for MESA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MESA AIR GROUP INC

NASDAQ:MESA (8/13/2025, 4:51:50 PM)

After market: 1.07 -0.03 (-2.73%)

1.1

+0.01 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)05-20 2025-05-20
Earnings (Next)10-13 2025-10-13
Inst Owners15.79%
Inst Owner Change8.65%
Ins Owners12.7%
Ins Owner Change19.38%
Market Cap45.46M
Analysts43.33
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %1.25%
Short Ratio3.24
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1.59
P/S 0.11
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.55
EPS(TTM)-5.28
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY63.05%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.2
OCFYN/A
SpS10.26
BVpS-1.51
TBVpS-1.51
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -101.42%
ROE N/A
ROCE 25.72%
ROIC 20.32%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 0.78%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 18.68%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-15%
ROA(5y)-8.4%
ROE(3y)-67.3%
ROE(5y)-38.5%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-29.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-28.91%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-36.96%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.11%
GM growth 5Y-10.25%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.97
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.93
Cap/Depr 37.03%
Cap/Sales 2.7%
Interest Coverage 0.14
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z -0.28
F-Score6
WACC6.91%
ROIC/WACC2.94
Cap/Depr(3y)53.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.34%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-599.65%
EPS Next Y568.97%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-8.01%
Sales Q2Q%-27.99%
Revenue Next Year16.19%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y111.27%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-42.01%
EBIT Next Year208.01%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y52.03%
FCF growth 3Y-50.63%
FCF growth 5Y-11.93%
OCF growth 1Y-55.67%
OCF growth 3Y-36.37%
OCF growth 5Y-25.75%