MESA Fundamental Analysis - MESA AIR GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to MESA. MESA was compared to 22 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. Both the profitability and financial health of MESA have multiple concerns. MESA is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MESA had negative earnings in the past year.

In the past year MESA has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MESA reported negative net income in multiple years.

MESA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

MESA has a worse Return On Assets (-101.42%) than 90.91% of its industry peers.

MESA has a Return On Invested Capital of 20.32%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MESA outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-101.42%
ROE	N/A
ROIC	20.32%

ROA(3y)-15%

ROA(5y)-8.4%

ROE(3y)-67.3%

ROE(5y)-38.5%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

MESA has a Operating Margin of 0.78%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MESA outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.

MESA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.

The Gross Margin of MESA (18.68%) is worse than 72.73% of its industry peers.

MESA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	0.78%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	18.68%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5Y-36.96%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y9.11%

GM growth 5Y-10.25%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MESA is creating value.

Compared to 1 year ago, MESA has more shares outstanding

MESA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.

MESA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.

2.2 Solvency

MESA has an Altman-Z score of -0.29. This is a bad value and indicates that MESA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.

The Altman-Z score of MESA (-0.29) is worse than 68.18% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	-0.29

ROIC/WACC2.99

WACC6.79%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that MESA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.81, MESA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.

A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that MESA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

MESA has a Quick ratio of 0.74. This is in the better half of the industry: MESA outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	0.81
Quick Ratio	0.74

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

MESA shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -76.34%.

Looking at the last year, MESA shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -11.55% in the last year.

Measured over the past years, MESA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -8.01% on average per year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.34%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-599.65%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.55%

Revenue growth 3Y-1.83%

Revenue growth 5Y-8.01%

Sales Q2Q%-27.99%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.

EPS Next Y568.97%

EPS Next 2YN/A

EPS Next 3YN/A

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year16.19%

Revenue Next 2YN/A

Revenue Next 3YN/A

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

MESA reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.36, the valuation of MESA can be described as very cheap.

MESA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MESA is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.

MESA is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.46, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	1.36

4.2 Price Multiples

MESA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MESA is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	3.37

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2YN/A

EPS Next 3YN/A

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for MESA!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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MESA AIR GROUP INC

NASDAQ:MESA (6/25/2025, 1:13:50 PM)

0.94

-0.01 (-1.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorIndustrials

GICS IndustryGroupTransportation

GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines

Earnings (Last)05-20 2025-05-20

Earnings (Next)10-13 2025-10-13

Inst Owners10.74%

Inst Owner Change0.42%

Ins Owners12.23%

Ins Owner Change19.38%

Market Cap38.85M

Analysts43.33

Price TargetN/A

Short Float %1.21%

Short Ratio0.29

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DPN/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)N/A

Avg EPS beat(2)N/A

Min EPS beat(2)N/A

Max EPS beat(2)N/A

EPS beat(4)N/A

Avg EPS beat(4)N/A

Min EPS beat(4)N/A

Max EPS beat(4)N/A

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A

Min Revenue beat(2)N/A

Max Revenue beat(2)N/A

Revenue beat(4)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A

Min Revenue beat(4)N/A

Max Revenue beat(4)N/A

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)0%

EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A

Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NY rev (1m)0%

Revenue NY rev (3m)0%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	1.36
P/S	0.09
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	N/A
P/tB	N/A
EV/EBITDA	3.37

EPS(TTM)-5.28

EYN/A

EPS(NY)0.69

Fwd EY73.79%

FCF(TTM)-0.47

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.2

OCFYN/A

SpS10.26

BVpS-1.51

TBVpS-1.51

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-101.42%
ROE	N/A
ROCE	25.72%
ROIC	20.32%
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	0.78%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	18.68%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)-15%

ROA(5y)-8.4%

ROE(3y)-67.3%

ROE(5y)-38.5%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5Y-29.03%

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5Y-28.91%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5Y-36.96%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y9.11%

GM growth 5Y-10.25%

F-Score6

Asset Turnover1.97

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	0.93
Cap/Depr	37.03%
Cap/Sales	2.7%
Interest Coverage	0.14
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	0.81
Quick Ratio	0.74
Altman-Z	-0.29

F-Score6

WACC6.79%

ROIC/WACC2.99

Cap/Depr(3y)53.83%

Cap/Depr(5y)42.92%

Cap/Sales(3y)6.43%

Cap/Sales(5y)5.52%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.34%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-599.65%

EPS Next Y568.97%

EPS Next 2YN/A

EPS Next 3YN/A

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.55%

Revenue growth 3Y-1.83%

Revenue growth 5Y-8.01%

Sales Q2Q%-27.99%

Revenue Next Year16.19%

Revenue Next 2YN/A

Revenue Next 3YN/A

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y111.27%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5Y-42.01%

EBIT Next Year208.01%

EBIT Next 3YN/A

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y52.03%

FCF growth 3Y-50.63%

FCF growth 5Y-11.93%

OCF growth 1Y-55.67%

OCF growth 3Y-36.37%

OCF growth 5Y-25.75%

MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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