MESA Fundamental Analysis - MESA AIR GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to MESA. MESA was compared to 23 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. Both the profitability and financial health of MESA have multiple concerns. MESA has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MESA has reported negative net income.

MESA had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MESA reported negative net income in multiple years.

Of the past 5 years MESA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -99.22%, MESA is doing worse than 91.30% of the companies in the same industry.

The Return On Invested Capital of MESA (83.68%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-99.22%
ROE	N/A
ROIC	83.68%

ROA(3y)-15%

ROA(5y)-8.4%

ROE(3y)-67.3%

ROE(5y)-38.5%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

MESA has a Operating Margin of 1.05%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MESA outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MESA has declined.

MESA's Gross Margin of 18.36% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MESA is outperformed by 73.91% of its industry peers.

MESA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	1.05%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	18.36%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5Y-36.96%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y9.11%

GM growth 5Y-10.25%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MESA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.

MESA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.

Compared to 5 years ago, MESA has more shares outstanding

The debt/assets ratio for MESA has been reduced compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.25, we must say that MESA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

MESA has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.25) than 69.57% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	-0.25

ROIC/WACC11.8

WACC7.09%

2.3 Liquidity

MESA has a Current Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that MESA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

With a decent Current ratio value of 0.76, MESA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.

MESA has a Quick Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that MESA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.67, MESA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	0.76
Quick Ratio	0.67

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

MESA shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -86.23%.

The Revenue for MESA has decreased by -14.62% in the past year. This is quite bad

Measured over the past years, MESA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -8.01% on average per year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-86.23%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%203.6%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.62%

Revenue growth 3Y-1.83%

Revenue growth 5Y-8.01%

Sales Q2Q%-16.25%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.

EPS Next Y568.97%

EPS Next 2YN/A

EPS Next 3YN/A

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year16.19%

Revenue Next 2YN/A

Revenue Next 3YN/A

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

MESA reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.92, the valuation of MESA can be described as very cheap.

Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MESA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.

When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MESA to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.48), we can say MESA is valued rather cheaply.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	1.92

4.2 Price Multiples

MESA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MESA is cheaper than 91.30% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	4.24

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MESA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2YN/A

EPS Next 3YN/A

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for MESA!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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MESA AIR GROUP INC

NASDAQ:MESA (9/3/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 1.35 +0.02 (+1.5%)

1.33

+0.1 (+8.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorIndustrials

GICS IndustryGroupTransportation

GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines

Earnings (Last)05-20 2025-05-20

Earnings (Next)10-13 2025-10-13

Inst Owners15.79%

Inst Owner Change65.82%

Ins Owners12.7%

Ins Owner Change19.38%

Market Cap55.69M

Analysts43.33

Price TargetN/A

Short Float %0.84%

Short Ratio2.52

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DPN/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)N/A

Avg EPS beat(2)N/A

Min EPS beat(2)N/A

Max EPS beat(2)N/A

EPS beat(4)N/A

Avg EPS beat(4)N/A

Min EPS beat(4)N/A

Max EPS beat(4)N/A

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A

Min Revenue beat(2)N/A

Max Revenue beat(2)N/A

Revenue beat(4)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A

Min Revenue beat(4)N/A

Max Revenue beat(4)N/A

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)0%

EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A

Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NY rev (1m)0%

Revenue NY rev (3m)0%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	1.92
P/S	0.14
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	N/A
P/tB	N/A
EV/EBITDA	4.24

EPS(TTM)-4.29

EYN/A

EPS(NY)0.69

Fwd EY52.15%

FCF(TTM)-0.9

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.69

OCFYN/A

SpS9.7

BVpS-0.99

TBVpS-0.99

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-99.22%
ROE	N/A
ROCE	105.93%
ROIC	83.68%
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	1.05%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	18.36%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)-15%

ROA(5y)-8.4%

ROE(3y)-67.3%

ROE(5y)-38.5%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5Y-29.03%

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5Y-28.91%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5Y-36.96%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y9.11%

GM growth 5Y-10.25%

F-Score6

Asset Turnover2.27

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	0.98
Cap/Depr	35.97%
Cap/Sales	2.17%
Interest Coverage	0.22
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	0.76
Quick Ratio	0.67
Altman-Z	-0.25

F-Score6

WACC7.09%

ROIC/WACC11.8

Cap/Depr(3y)53.83%

Cap/Depr(5y)42.92%

Cap/Sales(3y)6.43%

Cap/Sales(5y)5.52%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-86.23%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%203.6%

EPS Next Y568.97%

EPS Next 2YN/A

EPS Next 3YN/A

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.62%

Revenue growth 3Y-1.83%

Revenue growth 5Y-8.01%

Sales Q2Q%-16.25%

Revenue Next Year16.19%

Revenue Next 2YN/A

Revenue Next 3YN/A

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y130.04%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5Y-42.01%

EBIT Next Year208.01%

EBIT Next 3YN/A

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y18.8%

FCF growth 3Y-50.63%

FCF growth 5Y-11.93%

OCF growth 1Y-104.99%

OCF growth 3Y-36.37%

OCF growth 5Y-25.75%

MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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