MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:MESA - US5904791358 - Common Stock
1.55 USD
-0.11 (-6.63%)
1.58 USD
+0.03 (+1.94%)
MESA gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 21 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. MESA may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. MESA has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MESA had negative earnings in the past year.
MESA had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years MESA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
MESA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
MESA's Return On Assets of -99.22% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MESA is outperformed by 90.48% of its industry peers.
MESA has a Return On Invested Capital of 83.68%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MESA outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -99.22% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 83.68% |
ROA(3y)-15%
ROA(5y)-8.4%
ROE(3y)-67.3%
ROE(5y)-38.5%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
MESA's Operating Margin of 1.05% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MESA is outperformed by 61.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MESA has declined.
MESA's Gross Margin of 18.36% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MESA is outperformed by 71.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MESA has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 18.36% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-36.96%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.11%
GM growth 5Y-10.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MESA is creating value.
MESA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MESA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MESA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.20, we must say that MESA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
MESA's Altman-Z score of -0.20 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MESA is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.2 |
ROIC/WACC11.56
WACC7.24%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.76 indicates that MESA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MESA's Current ratio of 0.76 is amongst the best of the industry. MESA outperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.67 indicates that MESA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MESA has a Quick ratio of 0.67. This is amongst the best in the industry. MESA outperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.67 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MESA have decreased strongly by -86.23% in the last year.
The Revenue for MESA has decreased by -14.62% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been decreasing by -8.01% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-86.23%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%203.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-8.01%
Sales Q2Q%-16.25%
3.2 Future
No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y568.97%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.19%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MESA. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 2.23, the valuation of MESA can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MESA is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MESA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.57.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 2.23 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MESA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MESA is cheaper than 76.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.87 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MESA does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
1.55
-0.11 (-6.63%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners17.52%
Inst Owner Change-1.58%
Ins Owners12.54%
Ins Owner Change19.38%
Market Cap64.90M
Revenue(TTM)406.02M
Net Income(TTM)-177.25M
Analysts43.33
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %0.78%
Short Ratio2.05
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 2.23 | ||
| P/S | 0.16 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.87 |
EPS(TTM)-4.29
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY44.75%
FCF(TTM)-0.9
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.69
OCFYN/A
SpS9.7
BVpS-0.99
TBVpS-0.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -99.22% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 105.93% | ||
| ROIC | 83.68% | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 1.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 18.36% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-15%
ROA(5y)-8.4%
ROE(3y)-67.3%
ROE(5y)-38.5%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-29.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-28.91%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-36.96%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.11%
GM growth 5Y-10.25%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover2.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 35.97% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.17% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.22 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.2 |
F-Score6
WACC7.24%
ROIC/WACC11.56
Cap/Depr(3y)53.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-86.23%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%203.6%
EPS Next Y568.97%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-8.01%
Sales Q2Q%-16.25%
Revenue Next Year16.19%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y130.04%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-42.01%
EBIT Next Year208.01%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y18.8%
FCF growth 3Y-50.63%
FCF growth 5Y-11.93%
OCF growth 1Y-104.99%
OCF growth 3Y-36.37%
OCF growth 5Y-25.75%
MESA AIR GROUP INC / MESA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to MESA.
Can you provide the valuation status for MESA AIR GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA) stock?
MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MESA stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MESA AIR GROUP INC (MESA) is expected to grow by 568.97% in the next year.