MERCURY GENERAL CORP (MCY) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:MCY - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US5894001008 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, MCY scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MCY was compared to 145 industry peers in the Insurance industry. MCY has an average financial health and profitability rating. MCY has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MCY had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MCY had a positive cash flow from operations.
MCY had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
MCY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MCY (3.17%) is better than 73.10% of its industry peers.
MCY has a better Return On Equity (15.72%) than 76.55% of its industry peers.
MCY's Return On Invested Capital of 3.77% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MCY outperforms 73.79% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.17% | ||
| ROE | 15.72% | ||
| ROIC | 3.77% |
ROA(3y)-0.29%
ROA(5y)1.74%
ROE(3y)-1.14%
ROE(5y)5.32%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.11%, MCY is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MCY's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
MCY has a worse Operating Margin (6.68%) than 64.83% of its industry peers.
MCY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.11% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y11.77%
OM growth 5Y2.15%
PM growth 3Y11.24%
PM growth 5Y1.18%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MCY is destroying value.
MCY has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MCY remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
MCY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
MCY has an Altman-Z score of 1.32. This is a bad value and indicates that MCY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of MCY (1.32) is better than 82.76% of its industry peers.
MCY has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.79. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MCY has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.79. This is in the better half of the industry: MCY outperforms 71.72% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 indicates that MCY is not too dependend on debt financing.
MCY has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.32) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.32 |
ROIC/WACC0.44
WACC8.47%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.80 indicates that MCY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.80, MCY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.62% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.80 indicates that MCY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.80, MCY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 58.46% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, MCY shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.56% on average per year.
MCY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 16.64%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.63% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)58.46%
EPS 3Y35.66%
EPS 5Y22.56%
EPS Q2Q%-393.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.64%
Revenue growth 3Y11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y6.63%
Sales Q2Q%9.4%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.15% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-58.91%
EPS Next 2Y-3.17%
EPS Next 3Y0.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.41%
Revenue Next 2Y6.5%
Revenue Next 3Y6.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.03, MCY is valued correctly.
MCY's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.30, MCY is valued a bit cheaper.
MCY is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.80.
MCY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
MCY is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.76, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
MCY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MCY is cheaper than 67.59% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MCY is valued a bit cheaper than 69.66% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.04 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.71
EPS Next 2Y-3.17%
EPS Next 3Y0.15%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MCY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.92%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
MCY's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.67.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, MCY has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.92% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MCY decreases each year by -12.76%.
MCY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MCY has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
MCY pays out 24.58% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP24.58%
EPS Next 2Y-3.17%
EPS Next 3Y0.15%
66.04
-0.2 (-0.3%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners51.81%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners35.51%
Ins Owner Change0.08%
Market Cap3.66B
Analysts80
Price Target81.6 (23.56%)
Short Float %5.71%
Short Ratio4.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.92% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.76%
DP24.58%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)88%
Min EPS beat(2)30.24%
Max EPS beat(2)145.76%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)64.71%
Min EPS beat(4)30.24%
Max EPS beat(4)145.76%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)241.65%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)108.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)57.16%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.74%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.58%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.5%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1750%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)101.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.87%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.8 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.72 | ||
| P/B | 2.01 | ||
| P/tB | 2.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.04 |
EPS(TTM)4.12
EY6.24%
EPS(NY)6.74
Fwd EY10.21%
FCF(TTM)13.12
FCFY19.87%
OCF(TTM)14.01
OCFY21.21%
SpS101.02
BVpS32.87
TBVpS31.96
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.71
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.17% | ||
| ROE | 15.72% | ||
| ROCE | 4.23% | ||
| ROIC | 3.77% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.01% | ||
| OM | 6.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.11% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 12.99% |
ROA(3y)-0.29%
ROA(5y)1.74%
ROE(3y)-1.14%
ROE(5y)5.32%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y17.76%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.29%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.72%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.52%
OM growth 3Y11.77%
OM growth 5Y2.15%
PM growth 3Y11.24%
PM growth 5Y1.18%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.37 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 109.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.88% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.66 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 185.41% | ||
| Profit Quality | 253.96% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.32 |
F-Score7
WACC8.47%
ROIC/WACC0.44
Cap/Depr(3y)91.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.87%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)58.46%
EPS 3Y35.66%
EPS 5Y22.56%
EPS Q2Q%-393.59%
EPS Next Y-58.91%
EPS Next 2Y-3.17%
EPS Next 3Y0.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.64%
Revenue growth 3Y11.1%
Revenue growth 5Y6.63%
Sales Q2Q%9.4%
Revenue Next Year5.41%
Revenue Next 2Y6.5%
Revenue Next 3Y6.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y34.53%
EBIT growth 3Y24.17%
EBIT growth 5Y8.92%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y218.33%
FCF growth 3Y29.13%
FCF growth 5Y15.62%
OCF growth 1Y193.63%
OCF growth 3Y27.4%
OCF growth 5Y14.82%