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LOTTOMATICA GROUP SPA (LTMC.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:LTMC - Euronext Milan - IT0005541336 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

23.3  +0.26 (+1.13%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall LTMC gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated LTMC against 56 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While LTMC is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. LTMC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LTMC was profitable.
In the past year LTMC had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: LTMC reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years LTMC had a positive operating cash flow.
LTMC.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLTMC.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

1.2 Ratios

LTMC has a Return On Assets (3.27%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 21.12%, LTMC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.14% of the companies in the same industry.
LTMC's Return On Invested Capital of 7.65% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LTMC outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
LTMC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.01%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.53%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.65%) for LTMC is above the 3 year average (7.01%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.27%
ROE 21.12%
ROIC 7.65%
ROA(3y)2.52%
ROA(5y)0.04%
ROE(3y)57.67%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)7.01%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LTMC.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLTMC.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 100 150 200

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.60%, LTMC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
LTMC's Operating Margin of 19.11% is amongst the best of the industry. LTMC outperforms 80.36% of its industry peers.
LTMC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 41.63%, LTMC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.43% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LTMC has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.11%
PM (TTM) 5.6%
GM 41.63%
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.29%
GM growth 5YN/A
LTMC.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLTMC.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LTMC is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for LTMC remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
LTMC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
LTMC.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingLTMC.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
LTMC.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLTMC.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

LTMC has an Altman-Z score of 2.10. This is not the best score and indicates that LTMC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LTMC's Altman-Z score of 2.10 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LTMC outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
LTMC has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.07. This is a neutral value as LTMC would need 5.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 5.07, LTMC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.64% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.51 is on the high side and indicates that LTMC has dependencies on debt financing.
LTMC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.51. This is in the lower half of the industry: LTMC underperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.51
Debt/FCF 5.07
Altman-Z 2.1
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC7.02%
LTMC.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLTMC.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

LTMC has a Current Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that LTMC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LTMC (0.79) is worse than 60.71% of its industry peers.
LTMC has a Quick Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that LTMC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.78, LTMC is doing worse than 60.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.78
LTMC.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLTMC.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 134.70% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 30.23% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, LTMC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 35.37% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)134.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%81.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.23%
Revenue growth 3Y35.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%32.83%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.69% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, LTMC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.75% on average per year.
EPS Next Y38.99%
EPS Next 2Y29.25%
EPS Next 3Y23.8%
EPS Next 5Y29.69%
Revenue Next Year15.33%
Revenue Next 2Y11.21%
Revenue Next 3Y9.55%
Revenue Next 5Y7.75%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LTMC.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLTMC.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
LTMC.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLTMC.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 48.54, the valuation of LTMC can be described as expensive.
LTMC's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LTMC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say LTMC is valued expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.60, the valuation of LTMC can be described as correct.
LTMC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LTMC is cheaper than 82.14% of the companies in the same industry.
LTMC is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 48.54
Fwd PE 13.6
LTMC.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLTMC.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LTMC is valued a bit cheaper than 60.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LTMC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.43
EV/EBITDA 11.3
LTMC.MI Per share dataLTMC.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LTMC may justify a higher PE ratio.
LTMC's earnings are expected to grow with 23.80% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.25%
EPS Next 3Y23.8%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.28%, LTMC has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
LTMC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.09.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, LTMC's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.28%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

LTMC pays out 55.80% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP55.8%
EPS Next 2Y29.25%
EPS Next 3Y23.8%
LTMC.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLTMC.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M
LTMC.MI Dividend Payout.LTMC.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LTMC.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

LOTTOMATICA GROUP SPA

BIT:LTMC (6/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

23.3

+0.26 (+1.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30
Inst Owners23.61%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners41.95%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.86B
Analysts86
Price Target21.96 (-5.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.28%
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP55.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.72%
PT rev (3m)22.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.62%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 48.54
Fwd PE 13.6
P/S 2.73
P/FCF 14.43
P/OCF 9.99
P/B 10.29
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.3
EPS(TTM)0.48
EY2.06%
EPS(NY)1.71
Fwd EY7.35%
FCF(TTM)1.61
FCFY6.93%
OCF(TTM)2.33
OCFY10.01%
SpS8.54
BVpS2.26
TBVpS-9.17
PEG (NY)1.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.27%
ROE 21.12%
ROCE 13.75%
ROIC 7.65%
ROICexc 8.42%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 19.11%
PM (TTM) 5.6%
GM 41.63%
FCFM 18.9%
ROA(3y)2.52%
ROA(5y)0.04%
ROE(3y)57.67%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)7.01%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.5%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.6%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y69.05%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.29%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.51
Debt/FCF 5.07
Debt/EBITDA 2.99
Cap/Depr 70.13%
Cap/Sales 8.4%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 87.83%
Profit Quality 337.73%
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 2.1
F-Score7
WACC7.02%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)65.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.99%
Profit Quality(3y)403.76%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)134.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%81.82%
EPS Next Y38.99%
EPS Next 2Y29.25%
EPS Next 3Y23.8%
EPS Next 5Y29.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.23%
Revenue growth 3Y35.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%32.83%
Revenue Next Year15.33%
Revenue Next 2Y11.21%
Revenue Next 3Y9.55%
Revenue Next 5Y7.75%
EBIT growth 1Y26.03%
EBIT growth 3Y102.68%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year62.16%
EBIT Next 3Y25.95%
EBIT Next 5Y21.44%
FCF growth 1Y20.62%
FCF growth 3Y62.05%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y28.66%
OCF growth 3Y59.03%
OCF growth 5YN/A